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Netherlands v Spain : UEFA Nations League match betting preview, prediction and odds

De Kuip, Rotterdam

Ronald Koeman's Netherlands side are on home soil in the UEFA Nations League on Thursday evening, as Luis De la Fuente Castillo's Spain travel to the De Kuip. Stats power the predictions below for 17 individual betting markets, and flipping between them shows bespoke analysis, including head to head (H2H), form and unique league tables. Odds are also provided. Hit the tabs below to find out more.

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Netherlands's next match is v Spain at 19:45 on Sunday 23rd March
Spain's next match is v Netherlands at 19:45 on Sunday 23rd March
The last International UEFA Nations League meeting between Netherlands and Spain was on Thursday 20th March 2025
International UEFA Nations League
March 20th 2025
Netherlands 2
2 Spain
 
C. Gakpo 28'9' N. Williams Arthuer
T. Reijnders 46'90' M. Merino Zazón
 
NED
ESP
Shots On
4
6
Shots Off
5
4
Corners
2
4
Possession
40%
60%
Fouls
14
7
Yellow/red cards
2/1
2/0
 
NetherlandsSpain
 
B. Verbruggen
L. Geertruida
J. Hato
V. van Dijk
J. van Hecke
J. Frimpong
J. Kluivert (X. Simons 74')
F. de Jong (T. Koopmeiners 74')
T. Reijndersfootball icon (M. Wieffer 90')
M. Depay (M. de Ligt 84')
C. Gakpofootball icon
U. Simón Mendibil
(D. Huijsen 41') P. Cubarsí Paredes
P. Porro Sauceda
M. Cucurella
R. Le Normand
(M. Merino Zazón 84') F. Ruiz Peña
M. Zubimendi Ibáñez
(D. Olmo Carvajal 66') P. López
(A. Pérez Gutiérrez 66') Á. Morata Martín
football iconN. Williams Arthuer
(M. Oyarzabal Ugarte 66') L. Yamal Nasraoui Ebana

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

Neither Netherlands or Spain are in the sort of form that would leave us feeling confident enough to tip a match winner, so we've opted for over 1.5 goals. The stats tell us that both have form in this market, both individually and when going head-to-head. Our predictive algorithm suggests there's a 80% chance of two goals or more.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 41% chance of Spain coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Netherlands
35%
-19/10
4%
Draw
24%
-12/5
3%
Spain
41%
-7/5
2%
Draw 1-1
11%
-5/1
Spain 2-1
9%
-15/2
Netherlands 2-1
8%
-17/2
Spain 1-0
8%
-13/2
Netherlands 1-0
7%
-7/1
Draw 2-2
6%
-11/1
Spain 2-0
6%
-9/1
Netherlands 2-0
5%
-11/1
Draw 0-0
5%
-15/2
Spain 3-1
5%
-14/1
Netherlands 3-1
4%
-18/1
12%
Spain 3-2
3%
-20/1
Spain 3-0
3%
-16/1
11%
Netherlands 3-2
3%
-22/1
Netherlands 3-0
2%
-22/1
10%
Over 2.5 Goals
57%
-19/20
Under 2.5 Goals
43%
-4/5
3%
Home 1st Goal
47%
--
Away 1st Goal
49%
--
No 1st Goal
3%
--
BTTS - Yes
60%
-4/5
BTTS - No
40%
-19/20
BTTS - Home Win
19%
-17/4
BTTS - Draw
19%
-10/3
BTTS - Away Win
22%
-7/2
2%
Home/draw
59%
-11/20
1%
Away/draw
65%
-2/5
Home/away
76%
-3/10
Over 1.5 Goals
80%
-1/3
Under 1.5 Goals
20%
-11/5
Over 3.5 Goals
35%
-23/10
Under 3.5 Goals
65%
-3/10
1%
Over 4.5 Goals
18%
-11/2
Under 4.5 Goals
82%
-1/10
Over 5.5 Goals
8%
-12/1
Under 5.5 Goals
92%
-1/50
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
-1/18
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
-15/2
Home DNB
52%
-21/20
5%
Away DNB
58%
-7/10
3%
Netherlands win to nil
16%
--
Spain win to nil
19%
--
Netherlands / Netherlands
17%
-18/5
5%
Netherlands / Spain
4%
-20/1
Netherlands / Draw
6%
-11/1
Draw / Netherlands
12%
-11/2
8%
Draw / Spain
14%
-9/2
Draw / Draw
17%
-18/5
Spain / Netherlands
3%
-22/1
Spain / Spain
21%
-11/4
4%
Spain / Draw
6%
-11/1
Match Predictor Pro
Your ultimate betting assistant
Try it now
Win / draw / win form
5
Spain have won 5 consecutive games
16
Spain have not lost in 16 consecutive games
Netherlands
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
48
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
13
D
4
L
3
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Netherlands4 - 0Hungary
Netherlands2 - 2Germany
Netherlands5 - 2Bosnia
Netherlands1 - 2England
Netherlands2 - 1Turkey
Netherlands2 - 3Austria
Netherlands0 - 0France
Netherlands4 - 0Iceland
Netherlands4 - 0Canada
Netherlands4 - 0Scotland
Netherlands1 - 0Ireland
Netherlands1 - 2France
Netherlands3 - 0Greece
Netherlands3 - 0Gibraltar
Netherlands2 - 2Argentina
Netherlands3 - 1USA
Netherlands2 - 0Qatar
Netherlands1 - 1Ecuador
Netherlands1 - 0Belgium
Netherlands3 - 2Wales
Goals: Scored
45
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
11
D
4
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ANetherlands1 - 1Bosnia
HNetherlands4 - 0Hungary
ANetherlands0 - 1Germany
ANetherlands1 - 1Hungary
HNetherlands2 - 2Germany
HNetherlands5 - 2Bosnia
HNetherlands1 - 2England
HNetherlands2 - 1Turkey
ANetherlands3 - 0Romania
HNetherlands2 - 3Austria
HNetherlands0 - 0France
ANetherlands2 - 1Poland
HNetherlands4 - 0Iceland
HNetherlands4 - 0Canada
ANetherlands1 - 2Germany
HNetherlands4 - 0Scotland
ANetherlands6 - 0Gibraltar
HNetherlands1 - 0Ireland
ANetherlands1 - 0Greece
HNetherlands1 - 2France
Spain
20 league games
Away
Overall
5
Goals: Scored
36
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
12
Draw
5
L
3
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Denmark1 - 2Spain
Switzerland1 - 4Spain
Serbia0 - 0Spain
Albania0 - 1Spain
Cyprus1 - 3Spain
Norway0 - 1Spain
Georgia1 - 7Spain
Scotland2 - 0Spain
Morocco0 - 0Spain
Japan2 - 1Spain
Portugal0 - 1Spain
Switzerland0 - 1Spain
Czech Rep2 - 2Spain
Greece0 - 1Spain
Italy1 - 2Spain
Kosovo0 - 2Spain
Sweden2 - 1Spain
Italy1 - 1Spain
Switzerland1 - 1Spain
Croatia3 - 5Spain
Goals: Scored
47
Conceded
15
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
16
D
3
L
1
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HSpain3 - 2Switzerland
ASpain2 - 1Denmark
HSpain3 - 0Serbia
HSpain1 - 0Denmark
ASpain4 - 1Switzerland
ASpain0 - 0Serbia
HSpain2 - 1England
HSpain2 - 1France
HSpain1 - 1Germany
HSpain4 - 1Georgia
ASpain1 - 0Albania
HSpain1 - 0Italy
HSpain3 - 0Croatia
HSpain5 - 1N Ireland
HSpain5 - 0Andorra
HSpain3 - 3Brazil
HSpain0 - 1Colombia
HSpain3 - 1Georgia
ASpain3 - 1Cyprus
ASpain1 - 0Norway
Goal Statistics

Spain have been consistent in front of goal of late, scoring in 10 consecutive UEFA Nations League matches. Their PG of 1.6 against Netherlands on Thursday suggests that run is likely to continue.

Netherlands Spain
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.4
goals
1.6
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
24%
1
34%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 76% probability that Netherlands will score 1 or more goals
0
21%
1
33%
2
26%
3
13%
4+
7%
There is a 79% probability that Spain will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+16
Netherlands have scored 16% more goals at home than predicted
+13
Spain have scored 13% more goals when away than predicted
2.4
average goals scored
1.8
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
0.9
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
UEFA Nations League - 2024/2024 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/288844/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Netherlands
PG (predicted goals)
Spain
1.4
1.6
Attack rating
NED
ESP
1%
better
view stats
Games scored18
18
Failed to score2
2
Scored first13
15
Goals scored45
47
Avg. goals scored2.3
2.4
Avg. shots per game11
14
Avg. shots per goal5
6
Conversion rate for20
17
Avg. XG for1.7
2
KickOff rating
+1%
Defence rating
NED
ESP
7%
better
view stats
Games conceded11
12
Clean sheets9
8
Conceded first6
4
Goals conceded18
15
Avg. goals conceded0.9
0.8
Avg. shots/game conceded7
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
9
Conversion rate against12%
11%
Avg. XG against1.2
1
KickOff rating
+7%

The line-ups for the UEFA Nations League match between Netherlands v Spain will show here when available.

Netherlands UEFA Nations League squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
6323
B VerbruggenT ReijndersD MalenV Dijk 
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
B Verbruggen GLK6
-
L Geertruida DEF4
-
J Hecke DEF3
-
V Dijk  DEF5
2
1
J Hato DEF5
1
F Jong MID2
-
T Reijnders MID631
1
-
J Frimpong MID41
-
J Kluivert MID21
-
C Gakpo MID731
1
-
M Depay FWD1
-
Subs
N Olij GLK
-
M Flekken GLK1
-
M Ligt DEF5
-
Y Baas  DEF
-
K Taylor MID
-
T Koopmeiners MID31
-
X Simons MID51
1
-
M Wieffer MID4
1
-
B Brobbey FWD411
-
N Lang FWD21
-
D Malen FWD52
-
Spain UEFA Nations League squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
6232
F RuizF RuizN WilliamsR Normand
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
U Simón GLK1
-
P Porro DEF41
-
R Normand DEF3
1
1
P. Cubarsí Paredes DEF3
-
M Cucurella  DEF4
-
Pedri MID71
-
M Zubimendi MID61
-
F Ruiz MID721
-
L Yamal FWD41
1
-
Álvaro Morata FWD51
1
-
N Williams FWD513
-
Subs
D Raya GLK5
1
-
Álex Remiro GLK1
-
Óscar Mingueza DEF1
-
D. Huijsen DEF1
1
-
A Grimaldo DEF4
-
M Merino MID41
-
D Olmo MID31
1
-
A García MID2
-
Álex Baena MID31
-
A Pérez FWD311
2
-
M Oyarzabal FWD51
2
-
S. Omorodion Aghehowa FWD1
-