Northern Ireland's team badge Bulgaria's team badge

Northern Ireland v Bulgaria : UEFA Nations League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Tue 15th Oct, 19:45 BST, Windsor Park, Belfast

the Windsor Park crowd welcome Bulgaria's fans on Tuesday evening, as Michael O'Neill's Northern Ireland clash with Ilian Dimov Iliev's charges in the UEFA Nations League. Ahead of the game, it's our goal to help you find the perfect bet for you. To this end, statistics for the biggest betting market have been published below, with head-to-head records and statistically significant form streaks highlighted. The best odds are included as well.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

The statistics suggest there's no obvious winner here, but there's plenty of reasons to believe that N Ireland and Bulgaria will find the net twice at least between them. Goals have flowed freely when they've gone head-to-head in years gone by, and neither Michael O'Neill or Ilian Dimov Iliev has served up too many 0-0s lately either. The bookmakers are predicting over 1.5 goals too, with odds of 1.40 equating to about a 76% probability.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
N Ireland
52%
-1.91
Draw
24%
-3.40
Bulgaria
24%
-4.20
Draw 1-1
12%
-6.50
N Ireland 1-0
11%
-5.50
N Ireland 2-1
10%
-8.00
N Ireland 2-0
9%
-7.50
Bulgaria 1-0
7%
-8.50
Draw 0-0
7%
-7.00
Bulgaria 2-1
6%
-12.00
N Ireland 3-1
5%
-15.00
N Ireland 3-0
5%
-13.00
Draw 2-2
5%
-15.00
Bulgaria 2-0
4%
-17.00
N Ireland 3-2
3%
-23.00
N Ireland 4-1
2%
-26.00
N Ireland 4-0
2%
-26.00
Bulgaria 3-1
2%
-29.00
Over 2.5 Goals
51%
-2.25
Under 2.5 Goals
49%
-1.60
Home 1st Goal
54%
--
Away 1st Goal
42%
--
No 1st Goal
4%
--
BTTS - Yes
53%
-2.10
BTTS - No
47%
-1.67
BTTS - Home Win
24%
-4.40
BTTS - Draw
18%
-4.80
BTTS - Away Win
11%
-8.50
Home/draw
77%
-1.22
Away/draw
48%
-1.91
Home/away
76%
-1.30
Over 1.5 Goals
76%
-1.40
Under 1.5 Goals
24%
-2.70
Over 3.5 Goals
29%
-4.00
Under 3.5 Goals
71%
-1.20
Over 4.5 Goals
14%
-8.00
Under 4.5 Goals
86%
-1.06
Over 5.5 Goals
6%
-17.00
Under 5.5 Goals
94%
-1.01
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
-1.08
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
-7.00
Home DNB
69%
-1.35
Away DNB
40%
-2.90
N Ireland win to nil
29%
--
Bulgaria win to nil
12%
--
N Ireland / N Ireland
26%
-3.00
N Ireland / Bulgaria
3%
-29.00
N Ireland / Draw
6%
-13.00
Draw / N Ireland
18%
-4.40
Draw / Bulgaria
10%
-8.00
Draw / Draw
17%
-4.50
Bulgaria / N Ireland
4%
-21.00
Bulgaria / Bulgaria
12%
-6.50
Bulgaria / Draw
6%
-13.00
bet365
Match Predictor Pro
Your ultimate betting assistant
Try it now
Win / draw / win form
N Ireland
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
18
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
Won
6
Draw
5
Lost
9
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
N Ireland2 - 0Luxembourg
N Ireland2 - 0Andorra
N Ireland2 - 0Denmark
N Ireland0 - 1Slovenia
N Ireland3 - 0San Marino
N Ireland0 - 1Kazakhstan
N Ireland0 - 1Finland
N Ireland2 - 1Kosovo
N Ireland2 - 2Cyprus
N Ireland0 - 1Greece
N Ireland0 - 1Hungary
N Ireland0 - 0Italy
N Ireland1 - 0Lithuania
N Ireland0 - 0Switzerland
N Ireland0 - 0Bulgaria
N Ireland1 - 2USA
N Ireland1 - 1Romania
N Ireland1 - 2Slovakia
N Ireland0 - 1Austria
N Ireland1 - 5Norway
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
7
D
2
Lost
11
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AN Ireland0 - 1Bulgaria
HN Ireland2 - 0Luxembourg
HN Ireland2 - 0Andorra
AN Ireland1 - 5Spain
AN Ireland1 - 0Scotland
AN Ireland1 - 1Romania
HN Ireland2 - 0Denmark
AN Ireland0 - 4Finland
HN Ireland0 - 1Slovenia
HN Ireland3 - 0San Marino
AN Ireland0 - 1Kazakhstan
AN Ireland2 - 4Slovenia
HN Ireland0 - 1Kazakhstan
AN Ireland0 - 1Denmark
HN Ireland0 - 1Finland
AN Ireland2 - 0San Marino
AN Ireland1 - 3Greece
HN Ireland2 - 1Kosovo
HN Ireland2 - 2Cyprus
AN Ireland2 - 3Kosovo
Bulgaria
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
14
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
W
2
Draw
10
Lost
8
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Belarus0 - 0Bulgaria
Slovenia1 - 1Bulgaria
Romania0 - 0Bulgaria
Azerbaijan1 - 1Bulgaria
Tanzania0 - 1Bulgaria
Serbia2 - 2Bulgaria
Albania2 - 0Bulgaria
Montenegro2 - 1Bulgaria
Lithuania1 - 1Bulgaria
Hungary3 - 0Bulgaria
Macedonia0 - 1Bulgaria
Georgia0 - 0Bulgaria
Gibraltar1 - 1Bulgaria
Croatia2 - 1Bulgaria
Qatar2 - 1Bulgaria
Switzerland4 - 0Bulgaria
Ukraine1 - 1Bulgaria
Lithuania3 - 1Bulgaria
Italy1 - 1Bulgaria
France3 - 0Bulgaria
Goals: Scored
18
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
W
4
Draw
10
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HBulgaria1 - 0N Ireland
ABulgaria0 - 0Belarus
ABulgaria1 - 1Slovenia
ABulgaria0 - 0Romania
ABulgaria1 - 1Azerbaijan
ABulgaria1 - 0Tanzania
ABulgaria2 - 2Serbia
HBulgaria2 - 2Hungary
ABulgaria0 - 2Albania
HBulgaria0 - 2Lithuania
ABulgaria1 - 2Montenegro
HBulgaria0 - 1Iran
HBulgaria1 - 1Serbia
ABulgaria1 - 1Lithuania
ABulgaria0 - 3Hungary
HBulgaria0 - 1Montenegro
ABulgaria1 - 0Macedonia
HBulgaria5 - 1Gibraltar
ABulgaria0 - 0Georgia
ABulgaria1 - 1Gibraltar
bet365
bet365
Goal Statistics

Goals have been difficult to come by for Bulgaria of late. It has been 6 UEFA Nations League matches since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.0 suggests they'll struggle to end that run on Tuesday evening against Northern Ireland.

N Ireland Bulgaria
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.7
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
19%
1
31%
2
26%
3
15%
4+
9%
There is a 81% probability that N Ireland will score 1 or more goals
0
35%
1
37%
2
19%
3
4+
There is a 72% probability that Bulgaria will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
=0
N Ireland’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
=0
Bulgaria’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
0.9
average goals scored
0.7
average goals scored
1.0
conceded
1.5
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings past 20 games
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/275043/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
N Ireland
PG (predicted goals)
Bulgaria
1.7
1
Attack rating
14%
better
NIR
BUL
view stats
Games scored13
12
Failed to score7
8
Scored first8
8
Goals scored23
18
Avg. goals scored1.2
0.9
Avg. shots per game9
8
Avg. shots per goal7
9
Conversion rate for14
11
Avg. XG for1.8
1.2
KickOff rating
+14%
Defence rating
NIR
BUL
17%
better
view stats
Games conceded14
14
Clean sheets6
6
Conceded first12
9
Goals conceded29
21
Avg. goals conceded1.5
1.1
Avg. shots/game conceded8
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded5
8
Conversion rate against19%
12%
Avg. XG against0.8
0.7
KickOff rating
+17%

The line-ups for the UEFA Nations League match between N Ireland v Bulgaria will show here when available.

N Ireland UEFA Nations League squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
5911411
P McNairJ MagennisP McNairP McNair
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Magennis FWD72112
6
-
P McNair DEF7074
11
-
B Peacock-Farrell GLK48
3
-
J Thompson MID362
6
-
A McCann MID241
4
-
C Brown DEF21
3
-
C Bradley DEF193
3
-
S Charles MID192
3
-
S Lavery FWD1831
1
-
T Hume DEF15
3
-
I Price MID142
2
-
C McMenamin FWD1411
-
P Smyth FWD1221
1
-
B Spencer DEF91
-
C Hazard GLK8
1
-
D Taylor FWD8
-
E Toal DEF6
-
C Marshall FWD61
1
-
R McCausland FWD5
-
P Lane FWD4
-
J Reid FWD41
-
C Boyd-Munce MID21
-
L Southwood GLK1
-
Bulgaria UEFA Nations League squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
441589
K DespodovK DespodovK DespodovG Kostadinov
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
K Despodov FWD51158
7
-
G Kostadinov MID4231
9
-
V Antov DEF281
8
-
M Minchev FWD19
1
-
F Krastev MID1812
2
-
I Gruev MID18
3
-
V Popov DEF17
1
-
G Rusev FWD171
2
-
R Kirilov FWD1622
2
-
A Petkov DEF12
2
-
G Minchev FWD121
1
-
Z Atanasov DEF8
1
-
A Kolev FWD82
2
-
I Dyulgerov GLK6
1
-
S Vutsov  GLK6
-
S Petrov DEF6
-
S Ivanov FWD6
-
D Mitov GLK5
-
V Panayotov MID3
1
-
A Lyaskov DEF2
-
I. Minchev MID2
1
-
F Nürnberger MID2
1
-
Z Dimitrov FWD2
-
E Tombak DEF1
-
A Ahmedov FWD1
-