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Poland v Croatia : UEFA Nations League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Tue 15th Oct, 19:45 BST, Stadion Narodowy, Warszawa

It's an away trip for Zlatko Dalić's Croatia side on Tuesday evening, as they travel to the Stadion Narodowy for a UEFA Nations League meeting with Michal Probierz's Poland. Our predictions for each betting market are calculated using the past 20 games for each team (home, away and overall) with extra weighting assigned to top teams. All the statistics and graphics are designed specifically for the selected market. Head to head (H2H) stats for this fixture are also given if there are are enough previous meetings. Odds are provided straight from from leading bookmakers.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Poland
40%
--
Draw
26%
--
Croatia
33%
--
Draw 1-1
13%
--
Poland 1-0
10%
--
Croatia 1-0
9%
--
Poland 2-1
9%
--
Croatia 2-1
8%
--
Draw 0-0
7%
--
Poland 2-0
7%
--
Croatia 2-0
6%
--
Draw 2-2
5%
--
Poland 3-1
4%
--
Poland 3-0
3%
--
Croatia 3-1
3%
--
Poland 3-2
2%
--
Croatia 3-0
2%
--
Croatia 3-2
2%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
48%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
52%
--
Home 1st Goal
49%
--
Away 1st Goal
46%
--
No 1st Goal
5%
--
BTTS - Yes
53%
--
BTTS - No
47%
--
BTTS - Home Win
18%
--
BTTS - Draw
19%
--
BTTS - Away Win
15%
--
Home/draw
67%
--
Away/draw
60%
--
Home/away
74%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
73%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
27%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
26%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
74%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
12%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
88%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
--
Home DNB
59%
--
Away DNB
52%
--
Poland win to nil
22%
--
Croatia win to nil
18%
--
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Win / draw / win form
Poland
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
11
D
3
Lost
6
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Poland1 - 3Austria
Poland1 - 2Netherlands
Poland2 - 1Turkey
Poland3 - 1Ukraine
Poland5 - 1Estonia
Poland2 - 0Latvia
Poland1 - 1Czech Rep
Poland1 - 1Moldova
Poland2 - 0Faroes
Poland1 - 0Germany
Poland1 - 0Albania
Poland0 - 2Argentina
Poland2 - 0Saudi Arabia
Poland0 - 2Netherlands
Poland0 - 1Belgium
Poland2 - 1Wales
Poland2 - 0Sweden
Poland1 - 2Hungary
Poland5 - 0San Marino
Poland1 - 1England
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
9
D
4
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
APoland0 - 1Croatia
APoland3 - 2Scotland
APoland1 - 1France
HPoland1 - 3Austria
HPoland1 - 2Netherlands
HPoland2 - 1Turkey
HPoland3 - 1Ukraine
APoland0 - 0Wales
HPoland5 - 1Estonia
HPoland2 - 0Latvia
HPoland1 - 1Czech Rep
HPoland1 - 1Moldova
APoland2 - 0Faroes
APoland0 - 2Albania
HPoland2 - 0Faroes
APoland2 - 3Moldova
HPoland1 - 0Germany
HPoland1 - 0Albania
APoland1 - 3Czech Rep
APoland1 - 3France
Croatia
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
11
D
4
Lost
5
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Portugal2 - 1Croatia
Spain3 - 0Croatia
Portugal1 - 2Croatia
Egypt2 - 4Croatia
Tunisia0 - 0Croatia
Latvia0 - 2Croatia
Wales2 - 1Croatia
Armenia0 - 1Croatia
Turkey0 - 2Croatia
Argentina3 - 0Croatia
Japan1 - 1Croatia
Morocco0 - 0Croatia
Austria1 - 3Croatia
France0 - 1Croatia
Denmark0 - 1Croatia
Malta1 - 7Croatia
Cyprus0 - 3Croatia
Slovakia0 - 1Croatia
Russia0 - 0Croatia
England1 - 0Croatia
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
10
Draw
5
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HCroatia1 - 0Poland
ACroatia1 - 2Portugal
HCroatia1 - 1Italy
HCroatia2 - 2Albania
ACroatia0 - 3Spain
ACroatia2 - 1Portugal
HCroatia3 - 0Macedonia
ACroatia4 - 2Egypt
ACroatia0 - 0Tunisia
HCroatia1 - 0Armenia
ACroatia2 - 0Latvia
ACroatia1 - 2Wales
HCroatia0 - 1Turkey
ACroatia1 - 0Armenia
HCroatia5 - 0Latvia
ACroatia2 - 0Turkey
HCroatia1 - 1Wales
HCroatia2 - 1Morocco
ACroatia0 - 3Argentina
HCroatia0 - 0Brazil
bet365
bet365
Goal Statistics

Croatia's defensive record is very strong, Z. Dalić's men having conceded 1 or less in 5 consecutive UEFA Nations League games. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.4 for Poland makes sense in this context.

Poland Croatia
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.4
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
25%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 60% probability that Poland will score no more than 1 goal
0
29%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 65% probability that Croatia will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
=0
Poland’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
=0
Croatia’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.7
average goals scored
1.5
average goals scored
1.0
conceded
0.9
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings past 20 games
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/275045/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Poland
PG (predicted goals)
Croatia
1.4
1.2
Attack rating
12%
better
POL
CRO
view stats
Games scored17
15
Failed to score3
5
Scored first12
11
Goals scored30
29
Avg. goals scored1.5
1.5
Avg. shots per game10
12
Avg. shots per goal7
9
Conversion rate for14
12
Avg. XG for1.4
2.2
KickOff rating
+12%
Defence rating
POL
CRO
12%
better
view stats
Games conceded14
11
Clean sheets6
9
Conceded first7
8
Goals conceded25
19
Avg. goals conceded1.3
1
Avg. shots/game conceded10
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
8
Conversion rate against13%
13%
Avg. XG against2
1.5
KickOff rating
+12%

The line-ups for the UEFA Nations League match between Poland v Croatia will show here when available.

Poland UEFA Nations League squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
101682115
R Lewandowski R Lewandowski R Lewandowski J Bednarek
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R Lewandowski  FWD1056821
6
-
P Zielinski MID911113
2
-
J Bednarek DEF621
15
-
B Bereszynski DEF552
8
-
P Frankowski MID4636
3
-
S Szymanski MID3844
2
-
K Swiderski FWD35112
3
-
K Piatek FWD3112
3
-
J Moder MID2821
3
-
J Kiwior DEF271
1
-
N Zalewski MID2325
3
-
A Buksa  FWD177
1
-
J Kaminski FWD1511
1
-
P Dawidowicz DEF14
2
-
T Puchacz DEF143
4
-
B Slisz MID13
4
-
L Skorupski GLK11
1
-
J Piotrowski  MID1021
2
-
K Urbański MID71
-
S Walukiewicz DEF61
-
M Wieteska DEF4
1
-
K Piatkowski DEF31
-
M Bulka  GLK2
-
B Dragowski GLK2
-
M Bogusz MID1
-
Croatia UEFA Nations League squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
111312417
L ModricI PerisicI PerisicI Perisic
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L Modric MID1232018
9
-
I Perisic FWD1183124
16
1
M Kovacic MID9945
16
-
A Kramaric FWD97288
1
-
M Pasalic MID66104
1
-
D Livakovic GLK58
3
-
B Petkovic FWD40113
6
-
J Gvardiol DEF352
2
-
L Majer MID3383
1
-
D Caleta-Car DEF2511
8
-
A Budimir FWD2534
5
-
M Pjaca FWD2511
2
-
B Sosa DEF2311
-
L Ivanusec FWD2012
2
-
J Sutalo DEF19
-
L Sučić MID12
1
-
M Pongracic  DEF10
2
-
K Jakic MID6
-
M Baturina MID5
-
P Sučić MID2
1
-
I Matanovic FWD2
-
N Labrovic GLK1
-
D Kotarski GLK1
-