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Poland v Portugal : UEFA Nations League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Stadion Narodowy, Warszawa

Saturday evening sees Michal Probierz’s Poland and Roberto Martínez Montoliú’s Portugal go head to head in a UEFA Nations League battle at the Stadion Narodowy. For every UEFA Nations League match preview, KickOff delves into the statistics for multiple markets. Important stats, including head to head (H2H) results, are then brought forward alongside odds.

This match has now expired. Kickoff has all of the best football predictions for you to choose from, for all UEFA Nations League Predictions. Kickoff constantly updates all 17 football betting markets to analyse and predict football scores – whether you choose football accumulator tips, both teams to score (BTTS tips), correct score, or if you are looking for free football tips – then make sure to sign up to Kickoff.co.uk today.

Poland's next match is v Croatia at 19:45 on Tuesday 15th October
Portugal's next match is v Scotland at 19:45 on Tuesday 15th October
The last International UEFA Nations League meeting between Poland and Portugal was on Saturday 12th October 2024
International UEFA Nations League
October 12th 2024
Poland 1
3 Portugal
 
P. Zieliński 78'26' B. Silva
37' C. Ronaldo
88' (OG)J. Bednarek
 
POL
POR
Shots On
4
6
Shots Off
7
6
Corners
7
4
Possession
37%
63%
Fouls
12
16
Yellow/red cards
4/0
1/0
 
PolandPortugal
 
Ł. Skorupski
S. Walukiewicz (J. Kiwior 46')
P. Dawidowicz
J. Bednarekfootball icon
P. Zielińskifootball icon
M. Oyedele (J. Moder 66')
P. Frankowski
S. Szymański (K. Piątek 84')
N. Zalewski (M. Ameyaw 76')
K. Świderski (K. Urbanski 76')
R. Lewandowski
D. Meireles Costa
J. Dalot Teixeira
R. Santos Gato Alves Dias
N. Mendes
R. De Palma Veiga
R. Da Silva Neves
(S. Costa 90') football iconB. Silva
(O. da Silva Monteiro 90') B. Fernandes
(F. Machado Mota de Castro Trincão 63') R. Conceição Leão
(D. Jota 63') football iconC. Ronaldo
(N. Cabral Semedo 81') P. Lomba Neto
Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

Neither Poland or Portugal are in the sort of form that would have us feeling very confident in tipping a match winner, so we've opted for over 1.5 goals. The stats tell us that both have a track record in this market, both individually and when going head-to-head. Our predictive algorithm suggests there's a 82% chance of 2 goals or more.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Poland
19%
4/1
11%
4/1
15%
Draw
21%
16/5
20%
16/5
11%
Portugal
60%
13/20
10%
11/20
13%
Portugal 2-1
10%
15/213/2
Draw 1-1
10%
7/1
23%
13/2
15%
Portugal 2-0
9%
15/27/1
Portugal 1-0
9%
15/2
13%
13/2
7%
Portugal 3-1
7%
11/1
20%
9/1
17%
Portugal 3-0
6%
12/1
13%
10/1
8%
Draw 2-2
5%
14/111/1
8%
Poland 2-1
5%
14/112/1
8%
Poland 1-0
5%
14/1
31%
12/1
18%
Draw 0-0
4%
14/1
36%
11/1
26%
Portugal 3-2
4%
20/1
9%
16/1
11%
Portugal 4-1
3%
22/1
28%
16/1
19%
Portugal 4-0
3%
22/1
21%
16/1
19%
Poland 2-0
3%
25/1
26%
20/1
24%
Poland 3-2
2%
40/1
17%
25/1
10%
Over 2.5 Goals
60%
13/20
14%
4/7
13%
Under 2.5 Goals
40%
6/5
18%
23/20
13%
Home 1st Goal
42%
15/8
5%
-
Away 1st Goal
56%
4/9
7%
-
No 1st Goal
3%
14/1
36%
-
BTTS - Yes
57%
8/11
3%
13/20
8%
BTTS - No
43%
1/1
5%
21/20
5%
BTTS - Home Win
11%
15/2
6%
7/1
BTTS - Draw
16%
4/1
11%
4/1
4%
BTTS - Away Win
30%
11/5
17%
2/1
17%
Home/draw
40%
6/5
15%
5/4
13%
Away/draw
81%
1/6
1%
1/6
3%
Home/away
79%
2/9
5%
2/9
2%
Over 1.5 Goals
82%
1/5
6%
2/11
9%
Under 1.5 Goals
18%
10/3
20%
3/1
14%
Over 3.5 Goals
38%
13/8
17%
7/5
20%
Under 3.5 Goals
62%
4/9
10%
10/21
10%
Over 4.5 Goals
20%
4/1
28%
3/1
27%
Under 4.5 Goals
80%
1/6
7%
2/11
5%
Over 5.5 Goals
9%
9/1
31%
13/2
36%
Under 5.5 Goals
91%
1/16
3%
1/20
3%
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
1/33
3%
1/40
2%
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
14/1
55%
10/1
16%
Home DNB
34%
11/4
15%
27/10
16%
Away DNB
75%
1/4
6%
1/4
6%
Poland win to nil
9%
9/1
25%
-
Portugal win to nil
30%
2/1
8%
-
Poland / Poland
10%
7/1
14%
7/1
7%
Poland / Portugal
4%
20/1
10%
18/1
19%
Poland / Draw
5%
14/114/1
Draw / Poland
8%
9/1
22%
9/1
11%
Draw / Portugal
19%
7/2
5%
17/5
6%
Draw / Draw
13%
11/2
18%
5/1
9%
Portugal / Poland
2%
33/133/1
Portugal / Portugal
33%
6/4
13%
7/5
9%
Portugal / Draw
5%
14/114/1
15%
bet365
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win form
Poland
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
11
D
3
Lost
6
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Poland1 - 3Austria
Poland1 - 2Netherlands
Poland2 - 1Turkey
Poland3 - 1Ukraine
Poland5 - 1Estonia
Poland2 - 0Latvia
Poland1 - 1Czech Rep
Poland1 - 1Moldova
Poland2 - 0Faroes
Poland1 - 0Germany
Poland1 - 0Albania
Poland0 - 2Argentina
Poland2 - 0Saudi Arabia
Poland0 - 2Netherlands
Poland0 - 1Belgium
Poland2 - 1Wales
Poland2 - 0Sweden
Poland1 - 2Hungary
Poland5 - 0San Marino
Poland1 - 1England
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
9
D
4
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
APoland0 - 1Croatia
APoland3 - 2Scotland
APoland1 - 1France
HPoland1 - 3Austria
HPoland1 - 2Netherlands
HPoland2 - 1Turkey
HPoland3 - 1Ukraine
APoland0 - 0Wales
HPoland5 - 1Estonia
HPoland2 - 0Latvia
HPoland1 - 1Czech Rep
HPoland1 - 1Moldova
APoland2 - 0Faroes
APoland0 - 2Albania
HPoland2 - 0Faroes
APoland2 - 3Moldova
HPoland1 - 0Germany
HPoland1 - 0Albania
APoland1 - 3Czech Rep
APoland1 - 3France
Portugal
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
36
Conceded
12
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
9 / 20
Clean sheets
11 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
11
D
3
Lost
6
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Georgia2 - 0Portugal
Turkey0 - 3Portugal
Slovenia2 - 0Portugal
Liechtenstein0 - 2Portugal
Bosnia0 - 5Portugal
Slovakia0 - 1Portugal
Iceland0 - 1Portugal
Luxembourg0 - 6Portugal
Morocco1 - 0Portugal
South Korea2 - 1Portugal
Czech Rep0 - 4Portugal
Switzerland1 - 0Portugal
Spain1 - 1Portugal
Ireland0 - 0Portugal
Azerbaijan0 - 3Portugal
Qatar1 - 3Portugal
Belgium1 - 0Portugal
Hungary0 - 3Portugal
Spain0 - 0Portugal
Luxembourg1 - 3Portugal
Goals: Scored
48
Conceded
15
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
9 / 20
Clean sheets
11 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
15
D
2
L
3
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HPortugal2 - 1Scotland
HPortugal2 - 1Croatia
HPortugal0 - 0France
HPortugal0 - 0Slovenia
APortugal0 - 2Georgia
APortugal3 - 0Turkey
HPortugal2 - 1Czech Rep
HPortugal3 - 0Ireland
HPortugal1 - 2Croatia
HPortugal4 - 2Finland
APortugal0 - 2Slovenia
HPortugal5 - 2Sweden
HPortugal2 - 0Iceland
APortugal2 - 0Liechtenstein
APortugal5 - 0Bosnia
HPortugal3 - 2Slovakia
HPortugal9 - 0Luxembourg
APortugal1 - 0Slovakia
APortugal1 - 0Iceland
HPortugal3 - 0Bosnia
bet365
bet365
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Poland since 2006
Poland
Portugal
Goals: Scored
4
5
Games: Scored
2 / 3
3 / 3
Clean sheets
0 / 3
1 / 3
POL
1
D
1
POR
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Poland
2 - 3Portugal
Draw0 - 0Draw
Poland2 - 1
League games at Portugal since 2007
Portugal
Poland
Goals: Scored
3
3
Games: Scored
2 / 2
2 / 2
Clean sheets
0 / 2
0 / 2
D
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Portugal
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw2 - 2Draw
Goal Statistics

Portugal's defensive record is to be admired, R. Martínez Montoliú's men having conceded 1 or less in 6 consecutive UEFA Nations League matches. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.1 for Poland makes sense in this context.

Poland Portugal
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.1
goals
2.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
34%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 71% probability that Poland will score no more than 1 goal
0
13%
1
27%
2
27%
3
18%
4+
15%
There is a 60% probability that Portugal will score 2 or more goals in this match
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
=0
Poland’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-27
Portugal have scored 27% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.7
average goals scored
1.8
average goals scored
1.0
conceded
0.6
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings past 20 games
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/275019/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Poland
PG (predicted goals)
Portugal
1.1
2
Attack rating
POL
POR
11%
better
view stats
Games scored17
16
Failed to score3
4
Scored first12
13
Goals scored30
48
Avg. goals scored1.5
2.4
Avg. shots per game10
13
Avg. shots per goal7
6
Conversion rate for14
18
Avg. XG for1.4
1.9
KickOff rating
+11%
Defence rating
POL
POR
28%
better
view stats
Games conceded14
9
Clean sheets6
11
Conceded first7
5
Goals conceded25
15
Avg. goals conceded1.3
0.8
Avg. shots/game conceded10
6
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
8
Conversion rate against13%
12%
Avg. XG against2
0.9
KickOff rating
+28%

The line-ups for the UEFA Nations League match between Poland v Portugal will show here when available.

Poland UEFA Nations League squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
2111
J BednarekS SzymanskiR Lewandowski J Bednarek
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L Skorupski GLK1
-
S Walukiewicz DEF2
-
J Bednarek DEF2
1
-
P Dawidowicz DEF2
1
-
P Frankowski MID2
-
S Szymanski MID21
-
M Oyedele MID
-
P Zielinski MID2
-
N Zalewski MID21
1
-
R Lewandowski  FWD211
-
K Swiderski FWD1
-
Subs
M Bulka  GLK1
-
B Mrozek GLK
-
J Kiwior DEF1
-
B Bereszynski DEF
-
K Piatkowski DEF
-
J Piotrowski  MID2
-
J Moder MID2
-
K Urbański MID2
-
J Kaminski MID1
-
M Ameyaw MID
-
B Kapustka MID
-
K Piatek FWD1
-
Portugal UEFA Nations League squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
2221
D CostaC RonaldoN Mendes R Neves
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Costa GLK2
-
D Dalot DEF21
-
R Dias DEF2
-
R Veiga DEF
-
N Mendes  DEF22
-
B Silva MID2
-
R Neves MID1
1
-
B Fernandes MID211
1
-
P Neto FWD2
-
C Ronaldo FWD22
-
R Leão FWD21
-
Subs
R Silva GLK
-
R Velho GLK
-
J Cancelo DEF
-
A Silva DEF2
-
N Semedo DEF1
1
-
Vitinha MID1
-
S Costa MID
-
J Neves MID2
-
O Otávio MID
-
D Jota  FWD2
-
F Trincão FWD
-
J Félix FWD1
-