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Portugal v Croatia : UEFA Nations League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Estádio da Luz, Lisbon

Portugal and their boss Roberto Martínez Montoliú will be aiming to beat Zlatko Dalić and his Croatia side on Thursday evening, as the pair clash at the Estádio da Luz in the UEFA Nations League. Stats for our tip of Portugal to win are shown below, including head to head (H2H) history. Changing the market using the tabs below changes all statistics and the odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers, making it easier than ever to find the right bet for you.

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The last International UEFA Nations League meeting between Portugal and Croatia was on Thursday 5th September 2024
International UEFA Nations League
September 5th 2024
Portugal 2
1 Croatia
 
J. Dalot Teixeira 7'41' (OG)J. Dalot Teixeira
C. Ronaldo 34'
 
POR
CRO
Shots On
6
4
Shots Off
3
7
Corners
5
7
Possession
50%
50%
Fouls
5
6
Yellow/red cards
1/0
 
PortugalCroatia
 
D. Meireles Costa
R. Santos Gato Alves Dias
N. Mendes
J. Dalot Teixeirafootball iconfootball icon
G. Inácio (A. Tavares Silva 77')
B. Silva
B. Fernandes
V. Machado Ferreira (P. Pereira Gonçalves 90')
R. Conceição Leão (D. Ćaleta-Car 46')
C. Ronaldofootball icon (D. Jota 87')
P. Lomba Neto (J. Gonçalves Neves 46')
D. Livaković
J. Gvardiol
B. Sosa
(N. Cabral Semedo 46') M. Pongracic
J. Šutalo
(I. Matanovic 61') M. Baturina
M. Kovačić
(L. Sučić 67') M. Pašalić
(I. Perišić 77') K. Jakić
(P. Sučić 77') L. Modrić
A. Kramarić
Best Tip: Portugal to win

We think there's an outright winner in this game, and it's Portugal. Their latest form stats show their ability at home, and historical head-to-head (H2H) data proves they've got a track record against Croatia too. The odds point towards Roberto Martínez Montoliú's side coming out on top in the win / draw / win market, and that's what we're predicting for Thursday evening too.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Portugal are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 62% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.55.
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Portugal
62%
-11/20
1%
Draw
20%
-16/5
5%
Croatia
18%
-19/4
Portugal 2-1
10%
-13/2
Portugal 2-0
10%
-11/2
Draw 1-1
9%
-13/2
7%
Portugal 1-0
9%
-5/1
Portugal 3-1
7%
-10/1
Portugal 3-0
7%
-17/2
5%
Draw 2-2
5%
-14/1
Croatia 2-1
5%
-14/1
Croatia 1-0
5%
-11/1
Draw 0-0
4%
-17/2
6%
Portugal 4-1
4%
-18/1
Portugal 4-0
4%
-16/1
Portugal 3-2
4%
-20/1
Croatia 2-0
2%
-22/1
10%
Portugal 4-2
2%
-33/1
Over 2.5 Goals
60%
-5/6
4%
Under 2.5 Goals
40%
-10/11
4%
BTTS - Yes
56%
-19/20
3%
BTTS - No
44%
-4/5
3%
BTTS - Home Win
31%
-12/5
3%
BTTS - Draw
16%
-17/4
BTTS - Away Win
10%
-9/1
Home/draw
82%
-2/15
Away/draw
38%
-7/5
1%
Home/away
80%
-2/9
2%
Over 1.5 Goals
82%
-2/7
1%
Under 1.5 Goals
18%
-12/5
3%
Over 3.5 Goals
38%
-2/1
6%
Under 3.5 Goals
62%
-1/3
2%
Over 4.5 Goals
21%
-19/4
4%
Under 4.5 Goals
79%
-1/8
1%
Over 5.5 Goals
10%
-10/1
8%
Under 5.5 Goals
90%
-1/33
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
-1/25
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
-17/2
6%
Home DNB
76%
-2/11
2%
Away DNB
32%
-16/5
Portugal / Portugal
34%
-13/10
3%
Portugal / Croatia
2%
-33/1
Portugal / Draw
5%
-14/1
Draw / Portugal
19%
-3/1
Draw / Croatia
7%
-10/1
10%
Draw / Draw
14%
-9/2
5%
Croatia / Portugal
4%
-18/1
Croatia / Croatia
9%
-15/2
Croatia / Draw
5%
-14/1
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Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win form
4
Croatia have won 4 consecutive european games
5
Croatia have not lost in 5 consecutive european games
Portugal
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
58
Conceded
14
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
9 / 20
Clean sheets
11 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
16
D
2
L
2
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Portugal0 - 0France
Portugal0 - 0Slovenia
Portugal2 - 1Czech Rep
Portugal3 - 0Ireland
Portugal1 - 2Croatia
Portugal4 - 2Finland
Portugal5 - 2Sweden
Portugal2 - 0Iceland
Portugal3 - 2Slovakia
Portugal9 - 0Luxembourg
Portugal3 - 0Bosnia
Portugal4 - 0Liechtenstein
Portugal6 - 1Switzerland
Portugal2 - 0Uruguay
Portugal3 - 2Ghana
Portugal0 - 1Spain
Portugal2 - 0Czech Rep
Portugal4 - 0Switzerland
Portugal2 - 0Macedonia
Portugal3 - 1Turkey
Goals: Scored
54
Conceded
13
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
7 / 20
Clean sheets
13 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
15
D
2
L
3
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HPortugal0 - 0France
HPortugal0 - 0Slovenia
APortugal0 - 2Georgia
APortugal3 - 0Turkey
HPortugal2 - 1Czech Rep
HPortugal3 - 0Ireland
HPortugal1 - 2Croatia
HPortugal4 - 2Finland
APortugal0 - 2Slovenia
HPortugal5 - 2Sweden
HPortugal2 - 0Iceland
APortugal2 - 0Liechtenstein
APortugal5 - 0Bosnia
HPortugal3 - 2Slovakia
HPortugal9 - 0Luxembourg
APortugal1 - 0Slovakia
APortugal1 - 0Iceland
HPortugal3 - 0Bosnia
APortugal6 - 0Luxembourg
HPortugal4 - 0Liechtenstein
Croatia
20 league games
Away
Overall
4
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
11
D
4
Lost
5
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Spain3 - 0Croatia
Portugal1 - 2Croatia
Egypt2 - 4Croatia
Tunisia0 - 0Croatia
Latvia0 - 2Croatia
Wales2 - 1Croatia
Armenia0 - 1Croatia
Turkey0 - 2Croatia
Argentina3 - 0Croatia
Japan1 - 1Croatia
Morocco0 - 0Croatia
Austria1 - 3Croatia
France0 - 1Croatia
Denmark0 - 1Croatia
Malta1 - 7Croatia
Cyprus0 - 3Croatia
Slovakia0 - 1Croatia
Russia0 - 0Croatia
England1 - 0Croatia
Belgium1 - 0Croatia
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
9
Draw
7
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HCroatia1 - 1Italy
HCroatia2 - 2Albania
ACroatia0 - 3Spain
ACroatia2 - 1Portugal
HCroatia3 - 0Macedonia
ACroatia4 - 2Egypt
ACroatia0 - 0Tunisia
HCroatia1 - 0Armenia
ACroatia2 - 0Latvia
ACroatia1 - 2Wales
HCroatia0 - 1Turkey
ACroatia1 - 0Armenia
HCroatia5 - 0Latvia
ACroatia2 - 0Turkey
HCroatia1 - 1Wales
HCroatia2 - 1Morocco
ACroatia0 - 3Argentina
HCroatia0 - 0Brazil
ACroatia1 - 1Japan
HCroatia0 - 0Belgium
bet365
bet365
Goal Statistics

Portugal's defensive record is very strong, R. Martínez Montoliú's men having conceded 1 or less in 6 consecutive UEFA Nations League outings. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.0 for Croatia makes sense in this context.

Portugal Croatia
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.1
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
12%
1
26%
2
27%
3
19%
4+
16%
There is a 62% probability that Portugal will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
36%
1
37%
2
19%
3
4+
There is a 73% probability that Croatia will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+26
Portugal have scored 26% more goals at home than predicted
=0
Croatia’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.9
average goals scored
1.5
average goals scored
0.7
conceded
0.8
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings past 20 games
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/274948/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Portugal
PG (predicted goals)
Croatia
2.1
1
Attack rating
32%
better
POR
CRO
view stats
Games scored16
14
Failed to score4
6
Scored first14
10
Goals scored54
28
Avg. goals scored2.7
1.4
Avg. shots per game14
12
Avg. shots per goal5
9
Conversion rate for20
12
Avg. XG for1.9
2.6
KickOff rating
+32%
Defence rating
24%
better
POR
CRO
view stats
Games conceded7
11
Clean sheets13
9
Conceded first4
8
Goals conceded13
18
Avg. goals conceded0.7
0.9
Avg. shots/game conceded6
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded9
9
Conversion rate against11%
11%
Avg. XG against1
1.8
KickOff rating
+24%

The line-ups for the UEFA Nations League match between Portugal v Croatia will show here when available.

Portugal UEFA Nations League squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
2221
D CostaC RonaldoN Mendes B Fernandes
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Costa GLK2
-
D Dalot DEF21
-
R Dias DEF2
-
G Inácio DEF1
-
N Mendes  DEF22
-
B Silva MID2
-
Vitinha MID1
-
B Fernandes MID211
1
-
P Neto FWD2
-
C Ronaldo FWD22
-
R Leão FWD21
-
Subs
J Sá GLK
-
R Silva GLK
-
N Semedo DEF1
1
-
A Silva DEF2
-
J Palhinha MID1
-
P Gonçalves MID1
-
R Veiga MID
-
J Neves MID2
-
R Neves MID1
1
-
J Félix FWD1
-
F Trincão FWD
-
D Jota  FWD2
-
Croatia UEFA Nations League squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
2102
D LivakovicL ModricB Petkovic
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Livakovic GLK2
-
J Sutalo DEF2
-
M Pongracic  DEF1
-
J Gvardiol DEF2
-
K Jakic MID1
-
L Modric MID21
1
-
M Kovacic MID2
1
-
M Baturina MID1
-
B Sosa MID2
-
M Pasalic MID2
-
A Kramaric FWD2
-
Subs
D Kotarski GLK
-
N Labrovic GLK
-
D Caleta-Car DEF1
-
P Sučić MID2
1
-
L Ivanusec MID
-
M Pjaca MID1
1
-
L Sučić MID2
-
N Moro MID
-
I Perisic MID2
-
B Petkovic FWD1
2
-
I Matanovic FWD2
-
A Budimir FWD1
1
-
International UEFA Nations League match betting previews, predictions and odds