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Republic of Ireland v Bulgaria : UEFA Nations League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 23rd Mar, 19:45 BST, Aviva Stadium, Dublin

Ilian Dimov Iliev takes his Bulgaria troops to the Aviva Stadium in the UEFA Nations League on Sunday evening, with Heimir Hallgrímsson's Republic of Ireland their rivals. The predictions shown are based on complex statistical analysis of both teams, across 17 of the biggest markets. The data and the odds change with each market, and head-to-head statistics are included for all.


Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals
In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Ireland are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 57% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.65.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Ireland
57%
-13/20
Draw
23%
-16/5
Bulgaria
20%
-19/5
Ireland 1-0
11%
-17/4
Draw 1-1
11%
-13/2
Ireland 2-0
10%
-11/2
Ireland 2-1
10%
-7/1
Ireland 3-0
6%
-9/1
Ireland 3-1
6%
-12/1
Draw 0-0
6%
-8/1
Bulgaria 1-0
6%
-17/2
Bulgaria 2-1
5%
-12/1
Draw 2-2
5%
-16/1
Ireland 3-2
3%
-22/1
Bulgaria 2-0
3%
-16/1
Ireland 4-0
3%
-18/1
Ireland 4-1
3%
-22/1
Bulgaria 3-1
2%
-28/1
Over 2.5 Goals
53%
-11/10
Under 2.5 Goals
47%
-4/6
Home 1st Goal
55%
--
Away 1st Goal
41%
--
No 1st Goal
4%
--
BTTS - Yes
52%
-6/5
BTTS - No
48%
-8/13
BTTS - Home Win
26%
-3/1
BTTS - Draw
17%
-19/4
BTTS - Away Win
10%
-17/2
Home/draw
80%
-2/11
Away/draw
43%
-6/5
Home/away
77%
-2/9
Over 1.5 Goals
77%
-4/11
Under 1.5 Goals
23%
-19/10
Over 3.5 Goals
31%
-29/10
Under 3.5 Goals
69%
-2/9
Over 4.5 Goals
15%
-13/2
Under 4.5 Goals
85%
-1/14
Over 5.5 Goals
7%
-14/1
Under 5.5 Goals
93%
-1/100
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
-1/20
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
-8/1
Home DNB
73%
-1/4
Away DNB
36%
-5/2
Ireland win to nil
32%
--
Bulgaria win to nil
10%
--
Ireland / Ireland
32%
-29/20
Ireland / Bulgaria
2%
-33/1
Ireland / Draw
5%
-14/1
Draw / Ireland
18%
-10/3
Draw / Bulgaria
8%
-17/2
Draw / Draw
14%
-9/2
Bulgaria / Ireland
4%
-18/1
Bulgaria / Bulgaria
11%
-6/1
Bulgaria / Draw
5%
-14/1
Match Predictor Pro
Your ultimate betting assistant
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Win / draw / win form
Ireland
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
8
Draw
5
Lost
7
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Ireland1 - 0Finland
Ireland0 - 2Greece
Ireland0 - 2England
Ireland2 - 1Hungary
Ireland0 - 1Switzerland
Ireland0 - 0Belgium
Ireland1 - 1New Zealand
Ireland0 - 2Greece
Ireland1 - 2Netherlands
Ireland3 - 0Gibraltar
Ireland0 - 1France
Ireland3 - 2Latvia
Ireland3 - 2Armenia
Ireland3 - 0Scotland
Ireland0 - 1Ukraine
Ireland1 - 0Lithuania
Ireland2 - 2Belgium
Ireland0 - 0Portugal
Ireland4 - 0Qatar
Ireland1 - 1Serbia
Goals: Scored
17
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
9 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
11 / 20
Won
6
D
2
Lost
12
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AIreland2 - 1Bulgaria
AIreland0 - 5England
HIreland1 - 0Finland
AIreland0 - 2Greece
AIreland2 - 1Finland
HIreland0 - 2Greece
HIreland0 - 2England
AIreland0 - 3Portugal
HIreland2 - 1Hungary
HIreland0 - 1Switzerland
HIreland0 - 0Belgium
HIreland1 - 1New Zealand
AIreland0 - 1Netherlands
AIreland4 - 0Gibraltar
HIreland0 - 2Greece
HIreland1 - 2Netherlands
AIreland0 - 2France
HIreland3 - 0Gibraltar
AIreland1 - 2Greece
HIreland0 - 1France
Bulgaria
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
14
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
W
3
Draw
9
Lost
8
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Luxembourg0 - 1Bulgaria
N Ireland5 - 0Bulgaria
Belarus0 - 0Bulgaria
Slovenia1 - 1Bulgaria
Romania0 - 0Bulgaria
Azerbaijan1 - 1Bulgaria
Tanzania0 - 1Bulgaria
Serbia2 - 2Bulgaria
Albania2 - 0Bulgaria
Montenegro2 - 1Bulgaria
Lithuania1 - 1Bulgaria
Hungary3 - 0Bulgaria
Macedonia0 - 1Bulgaria
Georgia0 - 0Bulgaria
Gibraltar1 - 1Bulgaria
Croatia2 - 1Bulgaria
Qatar2 - 1Bulgaria
Switzerland4 - 0Bulgaria
Ukraine1 - 1Bulgaria
Lithuania3 - 1Bulgaria
Goals: Scored
14
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
W
3
Draw
10
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HBulgaria1 - 2Ireland
HBulgaria1 - 1Belarus
ABulgaria1 - 0Luxembourg
ABulgaria0 - 5N Ireland
HBulgaria0 - 0Luxembourg
HBulgaria1 - 0N Ireland
ABulgaria0 - 0Belarus
ABulgaria1 - 1Slovenia
ABulgaria0 - 0Romania
ABulgaria1 - 1Azerbaijan
ABulgaria1 - 0Tanzania
ABulgaria2 - 2Serbia
HBulgaria2 - 2Hungary
ABulgaria0 - 2Albania
HBulgaria0 - 2Lithuania
ABulgaria1 - 2Montenegro
HBulgaria0 - 1Iran
HBulgaria1 - 1Serbia
ABulgaria1 - 1Lithuania
ABulgaria0 - 3Hungary
Goal Statistics

Goals have been a problem for Bulgaria of late. It has been 10 UEFA Nations League matches since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.0 suggests they'll have problems ending that run on Sunday evening against Republic of Ireland.

Ireland Bulgaria
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.8
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
16%
1
29%
2
27%
3
16%
4+
11%
There is a 84% probability that Ireland will score 1 or more goals
0
38%
1
37%
2
18%
3
4+
There is a 75% probability of Bulgaria scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
=0
Ireland’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
=0
Bulgaria’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.3
average goals scored
0.7
average goals scored
1.0
conceded
1.5
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
UEFA Nations League - 2024/2024 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/288861/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Ireland
PG (predicted goals)
Bulgaria
1.8
1
Attack rating
ROI
BUL
4%
better
view stats
Games scored9
12
Failed to score11
8
Scored first6
8
Goals scored17
14
Avg. goals scored0.9
0.7
Avg. shots per game8
7
Avg. shots per goal9
10
Conversion rate for11
10
Avg. XG for1
0.7
KickOff rating
+4%
Defence rating
ROI
BUL
15%
better
view stats
Games conceded16
14
Clean sheets4
6
Conceded first13
9
Goals conceded29
26
Avg. goals conceded1.5
1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded9
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
7
Conversion rate against16%
15%
Avg. XG against1.7
1
KickOff rating
+15%

The line-ups for the UEFA Nations League match between Ireland v Bulgaria will show here when available.

Ireland UEFA Nations League squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
41549
M DohertyT ParrottJ CullenJ Knight
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Doherty DEF4931
3
1
J Cullen MID394
5
-
J Knight MID3613
9
-
D O'Shea DEF331
2
-
C O'Dowda MID3211
1
-
J Molumby MID29
9
-
N Collins DEF2721
1
-
T Parrott FWD2753
-
C Kelleher GLK21
-
E Ferguson FWD1941
-
M Johnston FWD1521
1
-
R Manning DEF14
1
-
S Szmodics FWD10
1
-
L Scales DEF91
2
-
F Ebosele DEF71
-
F Azaz MID61
1
-
M Travers GLK4
-
J O'Brien DEF4
1
-
K McAteer FWD4
-
A Moran MID2
-
T Cannon FWD2
-
M McGuinness DEF1
-
Bulgaria UEFA Nations League squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
481589
K DespodovK DespodovK DespodovK Despodov
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
K Despodov FWD56158
9
-
G Milanov MID4026
8
-
V Antov DEF321
9
-
F Krastev MID2313
3
-
V Popov DEF21
1
-
M Minchev FWD21
1
-
R Kirilov FWD2022
2
-
P Hristov DEF19
3
-
P Iliev GLK18
1
-
G Rusev FWD181
2
-
A Petkov DEF16
3
-
Z Atanasov DEF13
3
-
M Petkov FWD1331
3
-
I Iliev MID12
1
-
A Kraev MID111
3
-
A Kolev FWD112
3
-
D Mitov GLK10
-
S Petrov DEF9
-
S Vutsov  GLK6
-
F Nürnberger MID6
3
-
S Ivanov FWD6
-
L Petkov FWD6
2
-
H Petrov DEF5
-
V Panayotov MID51
2
-
A Ahmedov FWD3
1
-
N Minkov MID1
1
-