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Slovenia v Slovakia : UEFA Nations League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 23rd Mar, 17:00 BST, Stozice Stadium, Ljubljana

Slovakia, led by manager Francesco Calzona, visit Matjaž Kek and his Slovenia side at the Stozice Stadium on Sunday evening in the UEFA Nations League. Statistics for our tip of are shown below, including head-to-head history. Changing the market with the tabs changes all statistics and the odds, so be sure to have a browse to find the best bet for you.


Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

Neither Slovenia or Slovakia are in the sort of form that would leave us feeling confident in tipping a match winner, so we've opted for over 1.5 goals. The stats tell us that both have form in this market, both individually and when facing one another head-to-head. We're predicting there's a 76% chance of two goals or more.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Slovenia are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 42% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.30.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Slovenia
42%
-2.30
Draw
25%
-3.40
Slovakia
32%
-3.10
Draw 1-1
12%
-6.00
Slovenia 1-0
10%
-6.50
Slovenia 2-1
9%
-8.50
Slovakia 1-0
8%
-7.50
Slovakia 2-1
8%
-10.00
Slovenia 2-0
7%
-9.00
Draw 0-0
7%
-7.50
Draw 2-2
6%
-15.00
Slovakia 2-0
5%
-12.00
Slovenia 3-1
4%
-17.00
Slovenia 3-0
4%
-17.00
Slovakia 3-1
3%
-21.00
Slovenia 3-2
3%
-26.00
Slovakia 3-2
2%
-29.00
Slovakia 3-0
2%
-23.00
Over 2.5 Goals
51%
-2.20
Under 2.5 Goals
49%
-1.62
Home 1st Goal
50%
--
Away 1st Goal
46%
--
No 1st Goal
4%
--
BTTS - Yes
55%
-2.00
BTTS - No
45%
-1.75
BTTS - Home Win
20%
-5.00
BTTS - Draw
19%
-4.60
BTTS - Away Win
16%
-6.00
Home/draw
68%
-1.36
Away/draw
58%
-1.60
Home/away
75%
-1.30
Over 1.5 Goals
76%
-1.40
Under 1.5 Goals
24%
-2.75
Over 3.5 Goals
29%
-4.00
Under 3.5 Goals
71%
-1.22
Over 4.5 Goals
14%
-8.00
Under 4.5 Goals
86%
-1.06
Over 5.5 Goals
6%
-17.00
Under 5.5 Goals
94%
-1.01
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
-1.07
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
-7.50
Home DNB
60%
-1.62
Away DNB
50%
-2.15
Slovenia win to nil
22%
--
Slovakia win to nil
16%
--
Slovenia / Slovenia
22%
-3.50
Slovenia / Slovakia
3%
-26.00
Slovenia / Draw
6%
-13.00
Draw / Slovenia
15%
-5.25
Draw / Slovakia
12%
-6.50
Draw / Draw
17%
-4.50
Slovakia / Slovenia
4%
-21.00
Slovakia / Slovakia
16%
-4.80
Slovakia / Draw
6%
-13.00
Win / draw / win form
Slovenia
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
10
Draw
7
L
3
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
8
Draw
9
L
3
Slovakia
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
11
D
4
Lost
5
Goals: Scored
35
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
11
Draw
5
L
4
Goal Statistics

Goals have been difficult to come by for Slovakia of late. It has been 8 UEFA Nations League matches since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.3 suggests they'll have problems ending that run on Sunday evening against Slovenia.

Slovenia Slovakia
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.5
goals
1.3
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 77% probability that Slovenia will score 1 or more goals
0
29%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 65% probability that Slovakia will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
=0
Slovenia’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+9
Slovakia’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.7
average goals scored
1.5
average goals scored
1.1
conceded
1.0
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
UEFA Nations League - 2024/2024 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/288856/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Slovenia
PG (predicted goals)
Slovakia
1.5
1.3
Attack rating
SVN
SVK
19%
better
view stats
Games scored16
18
Failed to score4
2
Scored first11
12
Goals scored24
35
Avg. goals scored1.2
1.8
Avg. shots per game7
10
Avg. shots per goal6
6
Conversion rate for16
17
Avg. XG for1
1.4
KickOff rating
+19%
Defence rating
3%
better
SVN
SVK
view stats
Games conceded11
11
Clean sheets9
9
Conceded first6
7
Goals conceded18
18
Avg. goals conceded0.9
0.9
Avg. shots/game conceded9
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded10
9
Conversion rate against10%
11%
Avg. XG against1.5
1.3
KickOff rating
+3%

The line-ups for the UEFA Nations League match between Slovenia v Slovakia will show here when available.

Slovenia UEFA Nations League squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
73171418
J OblakJ IlicicJ IlicicJ Kurtic
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Kurtic MID8614
18
-
J Oblak GLK73
1
-
J Ilicic MID691714
13
-
P Stojanovic DEF64210
15
-
J Bijol DEF6012
10
-
A Sporar FWD601210
6
-
A Cerin MID4154
7
-
B Sesko FWD40166
-
S Lovric MID3944
3
-
J Balkovec DEF381
3
-
Žan Karničnik DEF3523
2
-
J Mlakar FWD2742
1
-
T Elsnik MID2611
2
-
E Janza DEF2032
5
-
D Brekalo DEF191
3
-
V Drkusic DEF18
1
-
Z Vipotnik FWD182
1
-
Z Celar FWD172
2
-
D Petrovic  MID6
1
-
K Bajrić DEF5
-
M Vidovsek GLK2
-
A Zeljkovic MID2
-
I Vekic GLK1
-
M Ratnik DEF1
-
S Sešlar MID1
-
Slovakia UEFA Nations League squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
727715
M SkriniarR BozenikD HanckoM Skriniar
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Skriniar DEF7533
15
-
S Lobotka MID6345
1
-
P Hrosovsky MID541
6
-
D Hancko DEF4857
3
-
R Bozenik FWD4874
6
-
M Dúbravka GLK47
5
-
N Gyomber DEF441
11
-
T Suslov MID3843
5
-
M Bero MID3614
5
-
L Satka DEF331
3
-
L Bénes MID3024
1
-
I Schranz  FWD296
4
-
D Strelec FWD2873
-
D Vavro DEF2611
7
-
M Rodak GLK24
3
-
D Duris FWD182
1
-
A Obert DEF11
1
-
Ľubomír Tupta FWD111
-
D Greif GLK5
-
T Rigo MID41
-
C Herc MID4
1
-
L. Sauer FWD4
1
-
S Kozlovsky DEF1
-
I Mesík DEF1
-