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Spain v Denmark : UEFA Nations League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 12th Oct, 19:45 BST, Estadio de La Condomina, Murcia

Luis De la Fuente Castillo and Morten Wieghorst pit their wits in the UEFA Nations League on Saturday evening, as Spain face Denmark at the Estadio de La Condomina. We want you to make a winning bet on this match, so every statistics you could realistically need to make a smart selection is published below. Flip between 17 betting markets or take our top tip. We have predictions, head to head (H2H) analysis and the best odds for each one.

Best Tip: Spain to win

Having examined the bookies' odds and collated stats regarding both teams ahead of this UEFA Nations League game, a bet on win / draw / win for Spain to win on home turf is what we would suggest. We predict they will have too much for Denmark, and head-to-head (H2H) records show they have the pedigree to do so. It could be a tighter than we expect, but Spain to win is the bet come Saturday evening.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Spain
65%
1/2
10%
4/9
6%
Draw
21%
31/10
14%
16/5
16%
Denmark
14%
13/2
12%
11/2
24%
Spain 1-0
12%
11/2
13%
5/1
8%
Spain 2-0
12%
11/2
7%
11/2
8%
Draw 1-1
10%
13/2
17%
13/2
12%
Spain 2-1
10%
15/213/2
Spain 3-0
8%
9/1
11%
8/1
13%
Spain 3-1
7%
12/1
18%
10/1
10%
Draw 0-0
6%
9/1
23%
17/2
21%
Denmark 1-0
5%
16/1
19%
12/1
13%
Spain 4-0
4%
18/1
27%
14/1
25%
Draw 2-2
4%
18/114/1
12%
Denmark 2-1
4%
20/1
9%
16/1
11%
Spain 4-1
3%
22/1
21%
16/1
13%
Spain 3-2
3%
28/1
12%
20/1
11%
Denmark 2-0
2%
33/1
17%
25/1
10%
Spain 5-0
2%
40/1
41%
25/1
24%
Over 2.5 Goals
53%
17/20
12%
4/5
9%
Under 2.5 Goals
47%
19/20
11%
10/11
11%
Home 1st Goal
59%
1/3
6%
-
Away 1st Goal
37%
11/4
6%
-
No 1st Goal
4%
9/1
23%
-
BTTS - Yes
48%
1/1
5%
19/20
3%
BTTS - No
52%
8/11
4%
8/11
1%
BTTS - Home Win
27%
5/2
17%
23/10
10%
BTTS - Draw
15%
9/2
8%
9/2
8%
BTTS - Away Win
7%
12/1
13%
10/1
15%
Home/draw
86%
1/10
2%
1/9
4%
Away/draw
35%
6/4
17%
8/5
16%
Home/away
79%
2/9
3%
2/9
4%
Over 1.5 Goals
77%
1/4
4%
1/4
2%
Under 1.5 Goals
23%
11/4
13%
12/5
15%
Over 3.5 Goals
31%
9/4
24%
19/10
12%
Under 3.5 Goals
69%
1/3
8%
7/20
6%
Over 4.5 Goals
15%
11/2
33%
17/4
14%
Under 4.5 Goals
85%
1/9
5%
1/8
4%
Over 5.5 Goals
7%
12/1
30%
17/2
12%
Under 5.5 Goals
93%
1/25
2%
1/33
3%
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1/20
1%
1/33
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
10/1
15%
8/1
25%
Home DNB
80%
1/7
3%
2/13
5%
Away DNB
29%
9/2
15%
19/5
20%
Spain win to nil
38%
11/8
6%
-
Denmark win to nil
8%
10/1
27%
-
Spain / Spain
36%
13/10
15%
6/5
13%
Spain / Denmark
2%
40/133/1
17%
Spain / Draw
5%
14/1
12%
14/1
12%
Draw / Spain
20%
3/13/1
3%
Draw / Denmark
6%
12/1
24%
11/1
20%
Draw / Draw
14%
5/1
14%
19/4
12%
Denmark / Spain
4%
20/1
11%
18/1
12%
Denmark / Denmark
8%
10/1
15%
17/2
21%
Denmark / Draw
5%
16/1
11%
14/1
12%
bet365
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win form
12
Spain have not lost in 12 consecutive games
Spain
20 league games
Home
Overall
12
Goals: Scored
57
Conceded
14
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
14
D
4
L
2
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Spain2 - 1England
Spain2 - 1France
Spain1 - 1Germany
Spain4 - 1Georgia
Spain1 - 0Italy
Spain3 - 0Croatia
Spain5 - 1N Ireland
Spain5 - 0Andorra
Spain3 - 3Brazil
Spain0 - 1Colombia
Spain3 - 1Georgia
Spain2 - 0Scotland
Spain6 - 0Cyprus
Spain3 - 0Norway
Spain1 - 1Germany
Spain7 - 0Costa Rica
Spain1 - 2Switzerland
Spain2 - 0Czech Rep
Spain1 - 1Portugal
Spain5 - 0Iceland
Goals: Scored
53
Conceded
15
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
15
D
3
L
2
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ASpain4 - 1Switzerland
ASpain0 - 0Serbia
HSpain2 - 1England
HSpain2 - 1France
HSpain1 - 1Germany
HSpain4 - 1Georgia
ASpain1 - 0Albania
HSpain1 - 0Italy
HSpain3 - 0Croatia
HSpain5 - 1N Ireland
HSpain5 - 0Andorra
HSpain3 - 3Brazil
HSpain0 - 1Colombia
HSpain3 - 1Georgia
ASpain3 - 1Cyprus
ASpain1 - 0Norway
HSpain2 - 0Scotland
HSpain6 - 0Cyprus
ASpain7 - 1Georgia
ASpain0 - 2Scotland
Denmark
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
9
D
2
Lost
9
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Germany2 - 0Denmark
Slovenia1 - 1Denmark
N Ireland2 - 0Denmark
San Marino1 - 2Denmark
Finland0 - 1Denmark
Slovenia1 - 1Denmark
Kazakhstan3 - 2Denmark
Australia1 - 0Denmark
France2 - 1Denmark
Croatia2 - 1Denmark
Austria1 - 2Denmark
France1 - 2Denmark
Netherlands4 - 2Denmark
Scotland2 - 0Denmark
Moldova0 - 4Denmark
Faroes 0 - 1Denmark
England2 - 1Denmark
Czech Rep1 - 2Denmark
Wales0 - 4Denmark
Russia1 - 4Denmark
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
12
Draw
5
L
3
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HDenmark2 - 0Serbia
HDenmark2 - 0Switzerland
ADenmark0 - 2Germany
HDenmark0 - 0Serbia
HDenmark1 - 1England
ADenmark1 - 1Slovenia
HDenmark3 - 1Norway
HDenmark2 - 1Sweden
HDenmark2 - 0Faroes
HDenmark0 - 0Switzerland
ADenmark0 - 2N Ireland
HDenmark2 - 1Slovenia
ADenmark2 - 1San Marino
HDenmark3 - 1Kazakhstan
ADenmark1 - 0Finland
HDenmark4 - 0San Marino
ADenmark1 - 1Slovenia
HDenmark1 - 0N Ireland
ADenmark2 - 3Kazakhstan
HDenmark3 - 1Finland
bet365
bet365
Goal Statistics

A PG of 2.0 is fairly strong for Spain in their meeting with Denmark, as is their run of scoring 1 goal or more in 18 consecutive UEFA Nations League outings.

Spain Denmark
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.0
goals
0.8
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
14%
1
27%
2
27%
3
18%
4+
14%
There is a 86% probability that Spain will score 1 or more goals
0
44%
1
36%
2
15%
3
4+
There is a 80% probability of Denmark scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+40
Spain have scored 40% more goals at home than predicted
-16
Denmark have scored 16% fewer goals when away than predicted
2.9
average goals scored
1.6
average goals scored
0.7
conceded
1.4
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings past 20 games
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/275021/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Spain
PG (predicted goals)
Denmark
2
0.8
Attack rating
20%
better
ESP
DEN
view stats
Games scored17
16
Failed to score3
4
Scored first14
14
Goals scored53
32
Avg. goals scored2.7
1.6
Avg. shots per game14
11
Avg. shots per goal5
7
Conversion rate for19
15
Avg. XG for1.7
1.2
KickOff rating
+20%
Defence rating
3%
better
ESP
DEN
view stats
Games conceded12
12
Clean sheets8
8
Conceded first5
4
Goals conceded15
16
Avg. goals conceded0.8
0.8
Avg. shots/game conceded6
6
Avg. shots/goal conceded9
7
Conversion rate against12%
14%
Avg. XG against1.2
1
KickOff rating
+3%

The line-ups for the UEFA Nations League match between Spain v Denmark will show here when available.

Spain UEFA Nations League squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
6036912
Álvaro MorataÁlvaro MorataD OlmoD Carvajal
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Álvaro Morata FWD79367
7
-
Rodri MID5742
11
-
D Carvajal DEF5117
12
-
F Torres FWD47215
3
-
U Simón GLK46
2
-
D Olmo MID40119
3
-
M Oyarzabal FWD38125
1
-
A Laporte DEF371
6
-
F Ruiz MID3169
4
-
M Merino MID2823
2
-
Pedri MID2622
-
N Williams FWD2247
-
R Normand DEF191
6
1
L Yamal FWD1638
2
-
Joselu FWD1564
-
M Zubimendi MID12
1
-
M Cucurella  DEF111
-
D Raya GLK8
-
A Grimaldo DEF81
-
D Vivian DEF5
1
-
Álex Baena FWD51
-
A Pérez FWD311
1
-
F. Lopez Marin MID21
-
Álex Remiro GLK1
-
Denmark UEFA Nations League squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
10434198
K SchmeichelC EriksenC EriksenP Höjbjerg
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
C Eriksen MID1073419
3
-
K Schmeichel GLK104
6
-
Y Poulsen FWD841410
7
-
P Höjbjerg MID81119
8
-
K Dolberg FWD50112
1
-
J Vestergaard DEF4431
3
-
J Andersen DEF383
7
-
A Olsen FWD3488
-
J Wind FWD3387
3
-
C Nörgaard MID3011
6
-
M Damsgaard FWD2949
1
-
R Kristensen DEF22
2
-
A Bah DEF1711
-
V Kristiansen DEF143
1
-
V Nelsson DEF13
1
-
M Hjulmand MID1211
4
-
A Grönbaek MID21
1
-
P. Chinazaekpere Dorgu FWD21
-
G Isaksen FWD2
-
M Frendrup MID1
-