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Spain v Netherlands : UEFA Nations League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 23rd Mar, 19:45 BST, Mestalla, Valencia

Spain and Netherlands meet at the Mestalla on Sunday evening, with both Luis De la Fuente Castillo and Ronald Koeman hoping for success in the UEFA Nations League. We want you to make a winning bet on this match, so every statistics you could possibly need to make a sound selection is laid out below. Go between seventeen markets or take our top tip. We have predictions, head-to-head analysis and odds for it all.


Best Tip: Over 2.5 goals

As Luis De la Fuente Castillo readies his troops ahead of kick-off, we're predicting a combined total of over 3 goals scored during the game. Statistics imply both clubs are strong in attack, an encouraging sign for the neutrals. In the absense of a strong favourite to win the fixture, we think the best tip as they go head-to-head is over 2.5 goals.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Spain are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 58% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.65.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Spain
58%
-1.65
Draw
21%
-4.20
Netherlands
21%
-4.80
Spain 2-1
10%
-7.50
Draw 1-1
10%
-7.50
Spain 2-0
8%
-7.50
Spain 1-0
8%
-7.00
Spain 3-1
7%
-11.00
Spain 3-0
6%
-11.00
Draw 2-2
6%
-13.00
Netherlands 2-1
6%
-13.00
Netherlands 1-0
5%
-12.00
Draw 0-0
4%
-11.00
Spain 3-2
4%
-19.00
Spain 4-1
3%
-19.00
Spain 4-0
3%
-19.00
Netherlands 2-0
3%
-19.00
Netherlands 3-2
2%
-29.00
Over 2.5 Goals
63%
-1.73
Under 2.5 Goals
37%
-2.00
Home 1st Goal
55%
--
Away 1st Goal
43%
--
No 1st Goal
2%
--
BTTS - Yes
60%
-1.80
BTTS - No
40%
-1.95
BTTS - Home Win
31%
-3.30
BTTS - Draw
17%
-5.00
BTTS - Away Win
12%
-7.50
Home/draw
79%
-1.18
Away/draw
42%
-2.20
Home/away
79%
-1.22
Over 1.5 Goals
83%
-1.25
Under 1.5 Goals
17%
-3.75
Over 3.5 Goals
40%
-2.80
Under 3.5 Goals
60%
-1.40
Over 4.5 Goals
22%
-5.00
Under 4.5 Goals
78%
-1.14
Over 5.5 Goals
11%
-10.00
Under 5.5 Goals
89%
-1.04
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
-1.03
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
-11.00
Home DNB
73%
-1.25
Away DNB
36%
-3.50
Spain win to nil
27%
--
Netherlands win to nil
9%
--
Spain / Spain
31%
-2.45
Spain / Netherlands
3%
-29.00
Spain / Draw
6%
-13.00
Draw / Spain
18%
-4.40
Draw / Netherlands
8%
-9.50
Draw / Draw
13%
-6.00
Netherlands / Spain
5%
-17.00
Netherlands / Netherlands
11%
-7.00
Netherlands / Draw
6%
-13.00
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win form
Spain
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
56
Conceded
15
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
15
D
3
L
2
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Spain3 - 2Switzerland
Spain3 - 0Serbia
Spain1 - 0Denmark
Spain2 - 1England
Spain2 - 1France
Spain1 - 1Germany
Spain4 - 1Georgia
Spain1 - 0Italy
Spain3 - 0Croatia
Spain5 - 1N Ireland
Spain5 - 0Andorra
Spain3 - 3Brazil
Spain0 - 1Colombia
Spain3 - 1Georgia
Spain2 - 0Scotland
Spain6 - 0Cyprus
Spain3 - 0Norway
Spain1 - 1Germany
Spain7 - 0Costa Rica
Spain1 - 2Switzerland
Goals: Scored
48
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
15
D
4
L
1
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ASpain2 - 2Netherlands
HSpain3 - 2Switzerland
ASpain2 - 1Denmark
HSpain3 - 0Serbia
HSpain1 - 0Denmark
ASpain4 - 1Switzerland
ASpain0 - 0Serbia
HSpain2 - 1England
HSpain2 - 1France
HSpain1 - 1Germany
HSpain4 - 1Georgia
ASpain1 - 0Albania
HSpain1 - 0Italy
HSpain3 - 0Croatia
HSpain5 - 1N Ireland
HSpain5 - 0Andorra
HSpain3 - 3Brazil
HSpain0 - 1Colombia
HSpain3 - 1Georgia
ASpain3 - 1Cyprus
Netherlands
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
43
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
12
D
4
L
4
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Bosnia1 - 1Netherlands
Germany1 - 0Netherlands
Hungary1 - 1Netherlands
Romania0 - 3Netherlands
Poland1 - 2Netherlands
Germany2 - 1Netherlands
Gibraltar0 - 6Netherlands
Greece0 - 1Netherlands
Ireland1 - 2Netherlands
France4 - 0Netherlands
Senegal0 - 2Netherlands
Poland0 - 2Netherlands
Wales1 - 2Netherlands
Belgium1 - 4Netherlands
Montenegro2 - 2Netherlands
Latvia0 - 1Netherlands
Norway1 - 1Netherlands
Macedonia0 - 3Netherlands
Gibraltar0 - 7Netherlands
Turkey4 - 2Netherlands
Goals: Scored
46
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
11
Draw
5
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HNetherlands2 - 2Spain
ANetherlands1 - 1Bosnia
HNetherlands4 - 0Hungary
ANetherlands0 - 1Germany
ANetherlands1 - 1Hungary
HNetherlands2 - 2Germany
HNetherlands5 - 2Bosnia
HNetherlands1 - 2England
HNetherlands2 - 1Turkey
ANetherlands3 - 0Romania
HNetherlands2 - 3Austria
HNetherlands0 - 0France
ANetherlands2 - 1Poland
HNetherlands4 - 0Iceland
HNetherlands4 - 0Canada
ANetherlands1 - 2Germany
HNetherlands4 - 0Scotland
ANetherlands6 - 0Gibraltar
HNetherlands1 - 0Ireland
ANetherlands1 - 0Greece
Goal Statistics

Spain's forwards have been excellent of late, scoring 2 goals or more in 3 consecutive UEFA Nations League outings. A PG of 2.1 suggests that run should continue on Sunday evening.

Spain Netherlands
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.1
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
13%
1
26%
2
27%
3
19%
4+
15%
There is a 61% probability that Spain will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
31%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 67% probability that Netherlands will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+31
Spain have scored 31% more goals at home than predicted
-6
Netherlands’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.8
average goals scored
2.2
average goals scored
0.8
conceded
1.0
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
UEFA Nations League - 2024/2024 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/288852/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Spain
PG (predicted goals)
Netherlands
2.1
1.2
Attack rating
1%
better
ESP
NED
view stats
Games scored18
18
Failed to score2
2
Scored first15
13
Goals scored48
46
Avg. goals scored2.4
2.3
Avg. shots per game14
11
Avg. shots per goal6
5
Conversion rate for17
20
Avg. XG for1.9
1.6
KickOff rating
+1%
Defence rating
0%
better
ESP
NED
view stats
Games conceded13
11
Clean sheets7
9
Conceded first4
6
Goals conceded17
18
Avg. goals conceded0.9
0.9
Avg. shots/game conceded7
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
8
Conversion rate against12%
12%
Avg. XG against1
1.2
KickOff rating
0%

The line-ups for the UEFA Nations League match between Spain v Netherlands will show here when available.

Spain UEFA Nations League squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
6437108
Álvaro MorataÁlvaro MorataD OlmoÁlvaro Morata
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Álvaro Morata FWD84377
8
-
D Olmo MID421110
3
-
A Laporte DEF402
6
-
F Ruiz MID36610
4
-
M Merino MID3233
2
-
Pedri MID3123
-
N Williams FWD2559
-
M Cucurella  DEF141
-
Y Pino MID1432
3
-
D Raya GLK11
1
-
A Grimaldo DEF101
-
D Vivian DEF8
1
-
P Porro DEF71
1
-
P. Cubarsí Paredes DEF61
-
A Pérez FWD522
2
-
B Gil FWD511
-
R Sánchez GLK3
-
Álex Remiro GLK2
-
Óscar Mingueza DEF2
-
M Torras MID2
-
B Zaragoza FWD21
1
-
A Paredes DEF1
-
P Barrios MID1
-
S. Omorodion Aghehowa FWD1
-
Netherlands UEFA Nations League squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
62151410
S VrijC GakpoD DumfriesD Dumfries
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
S Vrij DEF6943
4
-
D Dumfries DEF63914
10
-
M Ligt DEF4923
4
2
W Weghorst FWD42142
5
-
D Malen FWD4197
2
-
C Gakpo FWD37156
3
-
T Koopmeiners MID2432
3
-
T Reijnders MID2142
1
-
B Verbruggen GLK19
-
J Timber DEF181
2
-
R Gravenberch MID1811
1
-
M Wieffer MID1311
2
-
N Lang FWD1222
1
-
J Frimpong MID1112
-
M Flekken GLK8
-
B Brobbey FWD711
-
J Hato DEF61
1
J Zirkzee FWD611
-
Q Timber MID5
-
J Kluivert MID41
-
J Hecke DEF3
-
D Rensch DEF21
-