Wales's team badge Montenegro's team badge

Wales v Montenegro : UEFA Nations League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Mon 14th Oct, 19:45 BST, Principality Stadium, Caerdydd

the Principality Stadium plays host on Monday evening, as Craig Bellamy's Wales welcome Robert Prosinečki's Montenegro in the UEFA Nations League. Quite simply, we want you to win betting on this game. To this end, statistics for seventeen major betting market have been published below, with head-to-head history and particularly important form streaks highlighted. The best odds are also given.

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

It's our view that there's not a clear favourite to win this match, but does appear clear is that the odds suggest it'll have no more than 3 goals. Our statistical analysis says the same. Wales and Montenegro have served up a host of under 3.5 goal games lately, and key performance stats point towards an extension of that record. We have confidence in predicting under 3.5 goals on Monday evening, and the bookmakers have it priced at 1.25.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Wales
60%
4/73/5
3%
Draw
23%
31/103/1
3%
Montenegro
17%
9/219/4
12%
Wales 1-0
13%
5/19/2
5%
Wales 2-0
12%
11/211/2
8%
Draw 1-1
11%
7/16/1
Wales 2-1
10%
15/213/2
6%
Draw 0-0
8%
17/215/2
13%
Wales 3-0
7%
10/19/1
5%
Montenegro 1-0
6%
11/110/1
Wales 3-1
6%
14/111/1
Montenegro 2-1
4%
16/114/1
12%
Draw 2-2
4%
20/116/1
Wales 4-0
3%
22/116/1
Montenegro 2-0
3%
28/120/1
9%
Wales 4-1
2%
28/120/1
Wales 3-2
2%
28/122/1
12%
Montenegro 3-1
1%
40/133/1
17%
Over 2.5 Goals
47%
21/201/1
5%
Under 2.5 Goals
53%
3/48/11
5%
Home 1st Goal
57%
2/5-
Away 1st Goal
38%
12/5-
No 1st Goal
5%
17/2-
BTTS - Yes
46%
11/1011/10
7%
BTTS - No
54%
4/64/6
6%
BTTS - Home Win
23%
3/111/4
6%
BTTS - Draw
16%
5/19/2
4%
BTTS - Away Win
7%
11/19/1
17%
Home/draw
83%
1/72/15
2%
Away/draw
40%
13/1013/10
4%
Home/away
77%
2/91/4
Over 1.5 Goals
73%
1/31/3
2%
Under 1.5 Goals
27%
9/421/10
8%
Over 3.5 Goals
26%
11/45/2
8%
Under 3.5 Goals
74%
1/41/4
2%
Over 4.5 Goals
12%
7/16/1
7%
Under 4.5 Goals
88%
1/121/12
1%
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
16/112/1
13%
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
1/401/66
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
1/161/16
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
17/215/2
13%
Home DNB
76%
2/91/5
3%
Away DNB
33%
3/13/1
13%
Wales win to nil
37%
11/8-
Montenegro win to nil
10%
8/1-
Wales / Wales
33%
6/47/5
1%
Wales / Montenegro
2%
40/133/1
17%
Wales / Draw
5%
14/114/1
Draw / Wales
20%
3/13/1
3%
Draw / Montenegro
8%
10/19/1
9%
Draw / Draw
15%
9/217/4
5%
Montenegro / Wales
4%
22/118/1
10%
Montenegro / Montenegro
9%
9/115/2
11%
Montenegro / Draw
5%
16/114/1
bet365
Match Predictor Pro
Your ultimate betting assistant
Try it now
Win / draw / win form
5
Montenegro have lost 5 consecutive games
5
Montenegro have not won in 5 consecutive games
Wales
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
7
Draw
8
Lost
5
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Wales0 - 0Turkey
Wales0 - 0Poland
Wales4 - 1Finland
Wales1 - 1Turkey
Wales2 - 1Croatia
Wales4 - 0Gibraltar
Wales0 - 0South Korea
Wales2 - 4Armenia
Wales1 - 0Latvia
Wales0 - 3England
Wales0 - 2Iran
Wales0 - 1Poland
Wales1 - 1Belgium
Wales1 - 2Netherlands
Wales1 - 0Ukraine
Wales1 - 1Czech Rep
Wales2 - 1Austria
Wales1 - 1Belgium
Wales5 - 1Belarus
Wales0 - 0Estonia
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
6
Draw
9
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AWales2 - 2Iceland
AWales2 - 1Montenegro
HWales0 - 0Turkey
AWales0 - 4Slovakia
AWales0 - 0Gibraltar
HWales0 - 0Poland
HWales4 - 1Finland
HWales1 - 1Turkey
AWales1 - 1Armenia
HWales2 - 1Croatia
HWales4 - 0Gibraltar
AWales2 - 0Latvia
HWales0 - 0South Korea
AWales0 - 2Turkey
HWales2 - 4Armenia
HWales1 - 0Latvia
AWales1 - 1Croatia
HWales0 - 3England
HWales0 - 2Iran
AWales1 - 1USA
Montenegro
20 league games
Away
Overall
5
Goals: Scored
18
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
10 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
10 / 20
Won
6
D
4
Lost
10
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Turkey1 - 0Montenegro
Iceland2 - 0Montenegro
Belgium2 - 0Montenegro
Belarus0 - 2Montenegro
Hungary3 - 1Montenegro
Serbia3 - 1Montenegro
Lithuania2 - 2Montenegro
Bulgaria0 - 1Montenegro
Bosnia1 - 0Montenegro
Romania0 - 3Montenegro
Finland2 - 0Montenegro
Armenia1 - 0Montenegro
Norway2 - 0Montenegro
Gibraltar0 - 3Montenegro
Netherlands4 - 0Montenegro
Turkey2 - 2Montenegro
Bosnia0 - 0Montenegro
Latvia1 - 2Montenegro
Azerbaijan0 - 0Montenegro
Luxembourg0 - 1Montenegro
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
7
D
2
Lost
11
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AMontenegro0 - 1Turkey
HMontenegro1 - 2Wales
AMontenegro0 - 2Iceland
HMontenegro1 - 3Georgia
AMontenegro0 - 2Belgium
HMontenegro1 - 0Macedonia
AMontenegro2 - 0Belarus
AMontenegro1 - 3Hungary
HMontenegro2 - 0Lithuania
AMontenegro1 - 3Serbia
HMontenegro3 - 2Lebanon
HMontenegro2 - 1Bulgaria
AMontenegro2 - 2Lithuania
HMontenegro1 - 4Czech Rep
HMontenegro0 - 0Hungary
HMontenegro0 - 2Serbia
AMontenegro1 - 0Bulgaria
HMontenegro0 - 2Finland
AMontenegro0 - 1Bosnia
AMontenegro3 - 0Romania
bet365
bet365
Goal Statistics

Wales's fans will be hoping for goals on Monday evening, not least because Montenegro have conceded in each of their last 5 UEFA Nations League matches. A PG of 1.8 for C. Bellamy's side suggests that run should continue.

A truly dreadful PG of just 0.8 should cause concerns for Montenegro fans, as should a 6 UEFA Nations League games run in which they have failed to score more than 1 goal.

Wales Montenegro
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.8
goals
0.8
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
17%
1
30%
2
27%
3
16%
4+
10%
There is a 83% probability that Wales will score 1 or more goals
0
44%
1
36%
2
15%
3
4+
There is a 80% probability of Montenegro scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
=0
Wales’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
=0
Montenegro’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.3
average goals scored
0.9
average goals scored
1.0
conceded
1.3
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings past 20 games
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/275038/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Wales
PG (predicted goals)
Montenegro
1.8
0.8
Attack rating
1%
better
WAL
MNE
view stats
Games scored12
13
Failed to score8
7
Scored first9
8
Goals scored23
21
Avg. goals scored1.2
1.1
Avg. shots per game10
9
Avg. shots per goal9
9
Conversion rate for11
11
Avg. XG for1.6
1.4
KickOff rating
+1%
Defence rating
16%
better
WAL
MNE
view stats
Games conceded13
14
Clean sheets7
6
Conceded first7
11
Goals conceded24
30
Avg. goals conceded1.2
1.5
Avg. shots/game conceded9
11
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
7
Conversion rate against13%
14%
Avg. XG against1.4
0.9
KickOff rating
+16%

The line-ups for the UEFA Nations League match between Wales v Montenegro will show here when available.

Wales UEFA Nations League squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
81161115
B DaviesA RamseyH WilsonK Moore
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
B Davies DEF8724
10
-
A Ramsey MID64169
9
1
C Roberts DEF5832
7
-
H Wilson FWD571011
9
1
E Ampadu MID541
13
1
J Rodon DEF47
3
-
C Mepham DEF471
12
-
K Moore FWD46132
14
1
D Ward GLK41
2
-
N Williams DEF4144
6
1
B Johnson FWD3143
4
-
J James MID14
7
-
R Matondo FWD121
1
-
S Thomas FWD11
1
-
B Cabango DEF10
-
R Colwill MID91
-
J Sheehan MID7
2
-
M Harris FWD6
-
A Davies GLK5
-
O Cooper MID4
-
L Cullen FWD4
-
L. Koumas FWD4
-
K Darlow GLK1
-
Montenegro UEFA Nations League squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
58241617
S Savic S Jovetic S Jovetic M Vesovic
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
S Jovetic  FWD592416
5
-
S Savic  DEF5871
15
-
S Mugoša FWD58152
5
-
V Jovovic FWD585
7
-
M Vesovic DEF5222
17
-
M Jankovic MID5016
9
1
M Mijatovic GLK40
1
-
I Vujacic DEF351
12
-
N Kosovic MID3414
3
-
M Bakić MID28
10
-
M Osmajic FWD2621
5
-
D Petkovic GLK24
-
M Vukcevic DEF2411
3
-
N Krstovic FWD2132
4
-
V Savicevic MID202
2
-
D Camaj FWD1824
2
-
A Vukcevic DEF121
-
D Bakic FWD10
1
-
E Kuč MID83
3
-
S Rubezic DEF71
2
-
M Brnović MID5
3
-
M Drešković DEF3
-
I Nikić GLK1
-
V Bubanja MID1
-
D. Škrijelj MID1
-