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Bournemouth v Brighton and Hove Albion : Premier League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Vitality Stadium, Bournemouth

Roberto De Zerbi guides his Brighton and Hove Albion side to the Vitality Stadium in the English Premier League on Sunday afternoon, with Andoni Iraola's Bournemouth the opponent. All stats, including an in-depth look at the form of both sides and head to head (H2H) history, will update as you explore each of the betting markets using the tabs below. Odds from leading bookmakers and, of course, our algorithmic predictions will too.

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Bournemouth's next match is v Brentford at 15:00 on Saturday 11th May
Brighton and Hove Albion's next match is v A Villa at 14:00 on Sunday 5th May
The last English Premier League meeting between Bournemouth and Brighton was on Sunday 28th April 2024
English Premier League
April 28th 2024
Bournemouth 3
0 Brighton
 
M. Senesi 13'
E. Ünal 52'
J. Kluivert 87'
 
BOU
BHA
Shots On
6
2
Shots Off
4
6
Corners
8
2
Possession
30%
70%
Fouls
14
10
Yellow/red cards
2/0
2/0
 
BournemouthBrighton
 
M. Travers
A. Smith
M. Senesifootball icon (J. Hill 90')
L. Kelly
A. Scott (M. Aarons 77')
L. Cook
J. Kluivertfootball icon (D. Sadi 90')
A. Semenyo
Dango Ouattara
E. Ünalfootball icon (R. Christie 67')
D. Solanke
B. Verbruggen
L. Dunk
(J. Veltman 74') O. Offiah
(A. Webster 74') I. dos Santos de Paulo
V. Barco
B. Gilmour
P. Groß
F. Buonanotte
(J. Enciso 66') S. Adingra
(C. Noom Quomah 88') J. Junqueira de Jesus
(D. Tackie Mensah Welbeck 46') M. O’Mahony
Best Tip: Both teams to score

Bournemouth should have reason to feel positive ahead of this match and, funnily enough, so might Brighton. The bookmakers don't think there's much between them and neither do we – there's no obvious winner in this fixture. So we look to the both teams to score market, where the signs are pointing in one direction. The form stats, past head-to-head (H2H) records and bookies odds below are all pointing towards both sides scoring, and that's the bet we'd recommend you go with.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Bournemouth are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 47% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.25.
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral Betfred 888Sport
Bournemouth
47%
10/11
27%
10/11
15%
--
Draw
23%
16/5
27%
29/10
5%
--
Brighton
30%
5/2
34%
5/2
21%
--
Draw 1-1
11%
17/2
27%
15/2
6%
--
Bournemouth 2-1
9%
9/1
17%
15/2
6%
--
Bournemouth 1-0
8%
14/112/1--
Brighton 2-1
7%
14/1
25%
11/1
9%
--
Bournemouth 2-0
7%
14/1
21%
12/1
13%
--
Draw 2-2
6%
11/1
9%
10/1--
Brighton 1-0
6%
20/1
40%
18/1
27%
--
Bournemouth 3-1
5%
14/1
29%
12/1
13%
--
Draw 0-0
5%
22/1
35%
22/1
10%
--
Brighton 2-0
4%
25/1
37%
25/1
37%
--
Bournemouth 3-0
4%
20/1
28%
18/1
27%
--
Bournemouth 3-2
4%
18/1
17%
16/1--
Brighton 3-1
3%
25/1
24%
25/1
37%
--
Brighton 3-2
3%
25/1
13%
22/1
10%
--
Bournemouth 4-1
2%
25/1
37%
25/1
24%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
59%
2/5
7%
2/5
3%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
41%
2/1
15%
9/5
8%
--
Home 1st Goal
52%
4/7
18%
7/10
7%
--
Away 1st Goal
46%
13/10
20%
13/10
10%
--
No 1st Goal
3%
22/1
35%
22/1
10%
--
BTTS - Yes
61%
2/5
3%
2/5--
BTTS - No
39%
7/4
5%
15/8
3%
--
BTTS - Home Win
25%
15/8
28%
19/10
15%
--
BTTS - Draw
19%
10/3
15%
16/5
5%
--
BTTS - Away Win
17%
4/1
25%
19/5
14%
--
Home/draw
70%
2/7
10%
2/7
8%
--
Away/draw
53%
5/6
27%
17/20
14%
--
Home/away
77%
2/9
8%
2/9
2%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
81%
1/9
3%
1/9
2%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
19%
11/2
18%
5/1
9%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
37%
1/1
9%
1/1
5%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
63%
4/5
8%
3/4
5%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
20%
12/5
15%
11/5
9%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
80%
1/3
6%
3/10
1%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
9%
9/2
21%
19/4
12%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
91%
1/7
4%
1/8
1%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1/501/40--
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
18/1
12%
20/1
11%
--
Home DNB
63%
4/9
21%
1/2
10%
--
Away DNB
46%
13/8
43%
6/4
19%
--
Bournemouth win to nil
22%
7/2
25%
18/5
12%
--
Brighton win to nil
13%
8/1
50%
8/1
29%
--
Bournemouth / Bournemouth
27%
21/10
28%
21/10
16%
--
Bournemouth / Brighton
3%
25/1
13%
28/1
12%
--
Bournemouth / Draw
6%
14/1
15%
12/1--
Draw / Bournemouth
15%
5/1
14%
21/5
10%
--
Draw / Brighton
10%
8/1
29%
15/2
21%
--
Draw / Draw
12%
13/2
25%
6/1
8%
--
Brighton / Bournemouth
4%
18/1
17%
18/1
10%
--
Brighton / Brighton
15%
9/2
27%
5/1
25%
--
Brighton / Draw
6%
14/114/1
15%
--
bet365
Win / draw / win Premier League table

Bournemouth have played 34 matches so far this season and lay in 11th place in the Premier League league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 16 games against teams below in the table, having won 9, drawn 3 and lost 4 matches. They have kept 4 clean sheets and have failed to score in 1 fixture. They have been outscored by their opponents by 52 goals to 49 goals.

Home League Performance

Bournemouth have played 17 games at home winning 6, drawing 6 and losing 5 games. They have scored 23 goals, kept 4 clean sheets and conceded 26 goals at home.

Brighton are in 12th position in the Premier League on 44 points having played 33 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

8 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 31 goals and kept 3 clean sheets. They have scored 24 goals in total and failed to score in 5 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

17 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 9 games, drawn 3 and won 5. Brighton have conceded 35 goals, scored 26, failed to score in 5 fixtures and have kept 2 clean sheets.

Bournemouth
Won
Draw
Lost
Scores
Brighton
HOME AWAY TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY
l
 
0-4A
l
 
3-0A
 Arsenal3626556083 
l
 
0-3A
l
 
2-0A
l
 
0-1A
l
 
6-1A
 Man City3525735482 
l
 
0-4A
l
 
2-1A
l
 
0-4A
l
 
3-1F
 Liverpool3522944175 
d
 
2-2F
l
 
2-1F
d
 
2-2F
l
 
3-1F
 A Villa3520782167 
May 5
l
 
6-1A
l
 
0-2A
l
 
3-1A
 Spurs34186101360 
w
 
4-2F
l
 
2-1F
w
 
2-0F
d
 
2-2F
 Newcastle35175132256 
w
 
3-1F
May 11
d
 
2-2F
w
 
0-3F
 Man Utd3416612154 
May 19
w
 
1-3F
d
 
0-00-0
May 19
 Chelsea3414911651 
May 15
l
 
3-2A
d
 
1-1A
d
 
1-1F
 West Ham35131012-949 
l
 
1-3A
d
 
0-00-0
-
-
 Bournemouth H3613914-1148 
w
 
3-1A
l
 
3-0A
l
 
1-2F
w
 
0-1F
 Wolves3613716-1146 
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
1-4F
w
 
3-0F
l
 
3-1A
 Fulham3612816-444 
d
 
1-1F
l
 
3-0A
w
 
3-0F
l
 
3-1F
 Brighton Away34111112-544 
-
-
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-2F
 C Palace35101015-1240 
w
 
4-1F
d
 
1-1A
w
 
2-1F
l
 
3-0A
 Everton3612915-1137 
d
 
1-1A
d
 
1-1A
May 11
d
 
2-2A
 Brentford369918-836 
w
 
2-1A
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
1-1F
w
 
2-3A
 Nottm Forest368919-1829 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
2-3A
w
 
4-3A
l
 
2-1F
 Luton366822-2926 
w
 
4-1F
l
 
4-0A
w
 
2-1A
w
 
0-2F
 Burnley365922-3524 
d
 
1-1A
d
 
1-1A
d
 
2-2A
w
 
1-3F
 Sheff Utd363726-6516 
d
 
1-1F
w
 
0-5F
Win / draw / win form
Bournemouth 10TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
7
Draw
6
Lost
7
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
9
Draw
5
Lost
6
Brighton 13TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
37
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
5
Draw
5
Lost
10
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
5
Draw
7
Lost
8
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
Brighton have beaten Bournemouth in 3 consecutive league meetings
League games at Bournemouth since 2007
Bournemouth
Brighton
Goals: Scored
13
9
Games: Scored
7 / 9
6 / 9
Clean sheets
3 / 9
2 / 9
BOU
6
D
1
BHA
2
All league games since 2006
Bournemouth
Brighton
Goals: Scored
29
24
Games: Scored
15 / 19
14 / 19
Clean sheets
5 / 19
4 / 19
BOU
8
D
5
BHA
6
Goal Statistics

Bournemouth have been reliable in attack of late, finding the net in 9 consecutive English Premier League games. Their PG of 1.7 against Brighton and Hove Albion on Sunday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

Goals have been difficult to come by for Brighton and Hove Albion of late. It has been 8 English Premier League matches since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.3 suggests they'll have problems ending that run on Sunday afternoon against Bournemouth.

Bournemouth 10th Brighton 13th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.7
goals
1.3
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
18%
1
31%
2
27%
3
15%
4+
10%
There is a 82% probability that Bournemouth will score 1 or more goals
0
26%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 74% probability that Brighton will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-4
Bournemouth’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-3
Brighton’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.4
average goals scored
1.5
average goals scored
1.6
conceded
1.9
conceded
 
Statistics Premier League - 2023/2024 Season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/258891/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Bournemouth
PG (predicted goals)
Brighton
1.7
1.3
Attack rating
9%
better
BOU
BHA
view stats
Games scored29
25
Failed to score7
9
Scored first20
13
Goals scored52
52
Avg. goals scored1.4
1.5
Avg. shots per game10
11
Avg. shots per goal7
7
Conversion rate14%
14%
KickOff rating
+9%
Defence rating
11%
better
BOU
BHA
view stats
Games conceded27
29
Clean sheets9
5
Conceded first15
18
Goals conceded63
57
Avg. goals conceded1.8
1.7
Avg. shots/game conceded10
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
5
Conversion rate17%
19%
KickOff rating
+11%

Bournemouth v Brighton Premier League lLine ups will show here when available.

Bournemouth Premier League squad statistics 2023/2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
321749
D SolankeD SolankeM SenesiM Senesi
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Travers GLK
-
A Smith DEF232
4
-
L Kelly DEF181
2
-
M Senesi DEF2534
9
-
D Ouattara DEF2411
2
-
L Cook MID273
5
1
A Scott MID1711
2
-
J Kluivert MID2661
4
-
E Ünal  MID1011
-
A Semenyo MID2772
5
-
D Solanke FWD32173
3
-
Subs
C McKenna GLK
-
Neto  GLK30
5
-
M Aarons DEF161
1
-
M Kinsey-Wellings DEF
-
J Hill DEF3
-
D Sadi MID
-
R Christie MID314
5
-
M Dacosta FWD
-
Brighton Premier League squad statistics 2023/2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
288107
L DunkJ Pedro P GroßL Dunk
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
B Verbruggen GLK17
2
-
O Offiah DEF
-
L Dunk DEF2831
6
1
Igor DEF18
4
-
V Barco DEF1
-
P Groß MID30410
5
-
B Gilmour MID251
5
1
S Adingra MID2561
2
-
F Buonanotte MID2331
7
-
J Pedro  MID2682
2
-
M O’Mahony MID1
1
-
Subs
J Steele GLK15
-
A Webster DEF10
2
-
J Veltman DEF231
3
-
A Lallana MID231
2
-
J Moder MID13
2
-
C Quomah MID21
6
-
J Enciso FWD72
1
-
D Welbeck FWD2341
3
-
A Fati FWD172
2
-