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Luton Town v Brentford : Premier League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Kenilworth Road, Luton

Thomas Frank leads his Brentford charges to the Kenilworth Road in the English Premier League on Saturday afternoon, with Rob Edwards's Luton Town their challengers. It's our aim to give you everything you need to make a smart bet on this encounter, so we've sifted through our 20+ year database and dug out the statistics that are most significant. Head to head (H2H) and recent form are included, and the KickOff predictions are produced from them. The best odds are there to ensure you get the best price.

This match has now expired. Kickoff has all of the best football predictions for you to choose from, for all Premier League Predictions. Kickoff constantly updates all 17 football betting markets to analyse and predict football scores – whether you choose football accumulator tips, both teams to score (BTTS tips), correct score, or if you are looking for free football tips – then make sure to sign up to Kickoff.co.uk today.

Luton Town's next match is v Everton at 20:00 on Friday 3rd May
Brentford's next match is v Fulham at 15:00 on Saturday 4th May

The last English Premier League meeting between Luton and Brentford was on Saturday 20th April 2024

English Premier League

April 20th 2024

Luton 1	5 Brentford

L. Berry 90'	24' Y. Wissa
	45' Y. Wissa
	62' E. Pinnock
	64' K. Lewis-Potter
	86' K. Schade

	LUT BRE
Shots On	3 9
Shots Off	1 10
Corners	4 9
Possession	52% 48%
Fouls	13 9
Yellow/red cards	1/0 2/0

Luton	Brentford

T. Kaminski I. Kabore (F. Onyedinma 35') T. Mengi R. Burke (L. Berry 46') G. Osho A. Sambi Lokonga (D. Hashioka 71') J. Clark (P. Ruddock Mpanzu 81') T. Chong (A. Townsend 71') R. Barkley A. Doughty C. Morris	M. Flekken E. Pinnock N. Collins (M. Roerslev Rasmussen 76') K. Vassbakk Ajer S. Reguilón Rodríguez V. Janelt (Y. Yarmoliuk 82') M. Jensen B. Mbeumo (N. Maupay 82') Y. Wissa (K. Schade 71') K. Lewis-Potter (C. Nørgaard 71') M. Damsgaard

Best Tip: Both teams to score

Analysing all relevant statistics, including historical head-to-head (H2H) data, we predict this tie will deliver both happiness and sadness to both home and away supporters. We predict both Luton and Brentford to find the back of the net during the 90 mins, but the ultimate winner of the game seems less clear. Bookmaker's odds also point towards a both teams to score bet, and that looks a wise bet to us.

The odds for on a BTTS – no outcome for this fixture have been drifting, meaning that there's little belief in that outcome as kick-off approaches. It's not a stat that guarantees success for our prediction, but it's a good sign.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Luton are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 43% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 3.00.

Predictions	Bet365	Coral	Betfred	888Sport
Luton 43%	9/5 7%	9/5 3%	15/8 4%	2/1 7%
Draw 23%	13/5 3%	5/2 3%	13/5 3%	11/4
Brentford 35%	11/8 6%	7/5 4%	13/10	5/4 5%
Draw 1-1 10%	7/1 7%	6/1 7%	13/2 7%	6/1
Luton 2-1 9%	10/1 8%	9/1	9/1	19/2 5%
Brentford 2-1 8%	9/1	8/1	8/1	8/1 5%
Draw 2-2 7%	14/1 15%	11/1 9%	10/1	10/1
Luton 1-0 6%	11/1 8%	10/1 15%	12/1 8%	13/1 8%
Brentford 1-0 5%	10/1	9/1 17%	10/1 10%	11/1
Luton 2-0 5%	16/1 11%	16/1 11%	16/1	17/1 6%
Luton 3-1 5%	22/1	20/1	18/1 10%	19/1 5%
Brentford 2-0 4%	14/1 15%	12/1 13%	12/1	13/1
Brentford 3-1 4%	18/1	16/1	14/1 12%	14/1 6%
Luton 3-2 4%	28/1	22/1 10%	20/1 9%	20/1 5%
Brentford 3-2 4%	25/1	22/1 21%	16/1 19%	18/1
Draw 0-0 3%	12/1	14/1 12%	14/1 15%	16/1
Luton 3-0 3%	33/1	33/1	33/1	25/1
Brentford 3-0 2%	25/1 13%	25/1	22/1	20/1
Over 2.5 Goals 66%	8/11 5%	4/6 9%	8/15 8%	11/20 1%
Under 2.5 Goals 34%	11/10 5%	11/10 12%	11/8 13%	29/20 1%
Home 1st Goal 50%	11/10 5%	11/10	21/20 2%	-
Away 1st Goal 48%	8/11	10/11 2%	4/5 2%	-
No 1st Goal 2%	12/1	14/1 12%	14/1 25%	-
BTTS - Yes 66%	8/13 3%	8/15 6%	4/9 6%	12/25 1%
BTTS - No 34%	6/5 2%	11/8 8%	13/8 11%	31/20 2%
BTTS - Home Win 26%	15/4 5%	7/2 4%	10/3 6%	-
BTTS - Draw 19%	7/2 4%	3/1	3/1	-
BTTS - Away Win 21%	10/3 8%	3/1 11%	5/2 7%	-
Home/draw 65%	8/15 6%	4/7 2%	8/13 1%	4/6 4%
Away/draw 57%	2/5 3%	4/9 3%	2/5	2/5 3%
Home/away 77%	2/7	2/7	2/7 1%	7/25
Over 1.5 Goals 85%	2/9	1/5 3%	1/6 4%	1/7
Under 1.5 Goals 15%	10/3	16/5 13%	7/2 13%	17/4 1%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%	7/4 5%	8/5 13%	11/8 10%	11/8
Under 3.5 Goals 56%	4/9 4%	4/9 8%	8/15 6%	4/7
Over 4.5 Goals 25%	4/1	15/4 22%	3/1 11%	16/5 1%
Under 4.5 Goals 75%	1/6	1/6 4%	2/9 4%	11/50
Over 5.5 Goals 13%	9/1	17/2 27%	13/2 17%	7/1 6%
Under 5.5 Goals 87%	1/16	1/16 2%	1/14 2%	1/14 1%
Over 0.5 Goals 97%	1/25	1/28 1%	-	1/100
Under 0.5 Goals 3%	12/1	12/1 24%	-	15/1 6%
Home DNB 58%	1/1 9%	1/1 2%	11/10	6/5 6%
Away DNB 51%	8/11 7%	8/11 2%	4/6	4/6 5%
Luton win to nil 17%	9/2 8%	19/4 12%	11/2 8%	-
Brentford win to nil 13%	7/2 4%	19/5 4%	18/5 2%	-
Luton / Luton 18%	15/4 5%	19/5	18/5	18/5 7%
Luton / Brentford 4%	25/1 13%	25/1 13%	20/1 9%	20/1 9%
Luton / Draw 6%	14/1	12/1	12/1	23/2 4%
Draw / Luton 12%	6/1	11/2 7%	13/2	13/2 7%
Draw / Brentford 14%	5/1	19/4	5/1	21/4 4%
Draw / Draw 13%	5/1	9/2 8%	11/2 8%	27/5
Brentford / Luton 3%	28/1	28/1 12%	25/1 10%	25/1
Brentford / Brentford 23%	3/1 7%	3/1 3%	5/2 3%	49/20 5%
Brentford / Draw 6%	14/1	12/1	12/1	12/1

Win / draw / win Premier League table

Luton have played 33 matches so far this season and are in 18th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

29 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 18 games, drawn 6 and won 5. Luton have conceded 62 goals, scored 40, failed to score in 5 matches and kept 2 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Luton have played 16 games at home, winning 4, drawing 3 and losing 9 fixtures. They have scored 24 goals, conceded 27 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and failed to score 1 time in home league games.

Brentford lay in 15th place on 32 points in the Premier League league table having played 33 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 8 games against teams below them in the table, winning 4, drawing 1 and losing 3 games. They have scored 14 goals and kept 2 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Brentford have conceded 10 goals and have failed to score in 1 match.

Away league performance

Brentford have played 16 away games, winning 3, drawing 2 and losing 11 games. They have scored an average of 1.3 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.8 goals per away game.

Luton

Won

Draw

Lost

Scores

Brentford

HOME	AWAY	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY
l 3-4A	l 2-0A	Arsenal	35	25	5	5	57	80	l 0-1A	l 2-1A
l 1-2F	l 5-1A	Man City	34	24	7	3	50	79	l 1-3F	l 1-0A
d 1-1F	l 4-1F	Liverpool	35	22	9	4	41	75	l 1-4A	l 3-0A
l 2-3A	l 3-1A	A Villa	35	20	7	8	21	67	l 1-2F	d 3-3A
l 0-1A	l 2-1F	Spurs	33	18	6	9	15	60	d 2-2A	l 3-2F
l 1-2A	l 1-0A	Man Utd	34	16	6	12	1	54	d 1-1F	l 2-1F
w 1-0F	d 4-4A	Newcastle	34	16	5	13	19	53	May 19	l 1-0A
l 1-2A	May 11	West Ham	35	13	10	12	-9	49	w 3-2F	l 4-2A
l 2-3A	l 3-0A	Chelsea	33	13	9	11	4	48	d 2-2A	w 0-2F
w 2-1A	l 4-3F	Bournemouth	35	13	9	13	-8	48	d 2-2F	May 11
d 1-1A	l 2-1A	Wolves	35	13	7	15	-7	46	l 1-4A	w 0-2F
w 4-0F	l 4-1A	Brighton	34	11	11	12	-5	44	d 0-00-0	l 2-1F
May 19	l 1-0A	Fulham	35	12	7	16	-4	43	May 4	w 0-3F
w 2-1F	d 1-1A	C Palace	35	10	10	15	-12	40	d 1-1F	l 3-1F
May 3	w 1-2F	Everton	35	12	8	15	-11	36	l 1-3A	l 1-0A
l 1-5A	l 3-1A	Brentford Away	35	9	8	18	-8	35	-	-
d 1-1A	d 2-2A	Nottm Forest	35	7	9	19	-20	26	w 3-2A	d 1-1F
-	-	Luton Home	35	6	7	22	-29	25	w 3-1F	w 1-5F
l 1-2A	d 1-1A	Burnley	35	5	9	21	-32	24	w 3-0F	l 2-1A
l 1-3A	w 2-3F	Sheff Utd	35	3	7	25	-63	16	w 2-0F	l 1-0A

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

18 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

2 / 20

Won

Lost

HOME FORM
Luton	2 - 1	Bournemouth
Luton	1 - 1	Nottm Forest
Luton	2 - 3	A Villa
Luton	1 - 2	Man Utd
Luton	1 - 3	Sheff Utd
Luton	4 - 0	Brighton
Luton	2 - 3	Chelsea
Luton	1 - 0	Newcastle
Luton	1 - 2	Man City
Luton	3 - 4	Arsenal
Luton	2 - 1	C Palace
Luton	1 - 1	Liverpool
Luton	0 - 1	Spurs
Luton	1 - 2	Burnley
Luton	1 - 1	Wolves
Luton	1 - 2	West Ham
Luton	2 - 0	Sunderland
Luton	0 - 0	Hull
Luton	2 - 1	M'Boro
Luton	3 - 1	Blackpool

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

19 / 20

Conceded

18 / 20

Clean sheets

2 / 20

Failed to score

1 / 20

Lost

OVERALL FORM
A	Luton	1 - 5	Man City
H	Luton	2 - 1	Bournemouth
A	Luton	0 - 2	Arsenal
A	Luton	1 - 2	Spurs
H	Luton	1 - 1	Nottm Forest
A	Luton	3 - 4	Bournemouth
A	Luton	1 - 1	C Palace
H	Luton	2 - 3	A Villa
A	Luton	1 - 4	Liverpool
H	Luton	1 - 2	Man Utd
H	Luton	1 - 3	Sheff Utd
A	Luton	4 - 4	Newcastle
H	Luton	4 - 0	Brighton
A	Luton	1 - 1	Burnley
H	Luton	2 - 3	Chelsea
A	Luton	3 - 2	Sheff Utd
H	Luton	1 - 0	Newcastle
H	Luton	1 - 2	Man City
H	Luton	3 - 4	Arsenal
A	Luton	1 - 3	Brentford

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Lost

AWAY FORM
A Villa	3 - 3	Brentford
Burnley	2 - 1	Brentford
Arsenal	2 - 1	Brentford
West Ham	4 - 2	Brentford
Man City	1 - 0	Brentford
Wolves	0 - 2	Brentford
Spurs	3 - 2	Brentford
C Palace	3 - 1	Brentford
Sheff Utd	1 - 0	Brentford
Brighton	2 - 1	Brentford
Liverpool	3 - 0	Brentford
Chelsea	0 - 2	Brentford
Man Utd	2 - 1	Brentford
Nottm Forest	1 - 1	Brentford
Newcastle	1 - 0	Brentford
Fulham	0 - 3	Brentford
Spurs	1 - 3	Brentford
Liverpool	1 - 0	Brentford
Chelsea	0 - 2	Brentford
Wolves	2 - 0	Brentford

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

17 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

3 / 20

Lost

OVERALL FORM
H	Brentford	2 - 0	Sheff Utd
A	Brentford	3 - 3	A Villa
H	Brentford	0 - 0	Brighton
H	Brentford	1 - 1	Man Utd
A	Brentford	1 - 2	Burnley
A	Brentford	1 - 2	Arsenal
H	Brentford	2 - 2	Chelsea
A	Brentford	2 - 4	West Ham
A	Brentford	0 - 1	Man City
H	Brentford	1 - 4	Liverpool
A	Brentford	2 - 0	Wolves
H	Brentford	1 - 3	Man City
A	Brentford	2 - 3	Spurs
H	Brentford	3 - 2	Nottm Forest
A	Brentford	1 - 3	C Palace
H	Brentford	1 - 4	Wolves
H	Brentford	1 - 2	A Villa
A	Brentford	0 - 1	Sheff Utd
A	Brentford	1 - 2	Brighton
H	Brentford	3 - 1	Luton

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Brentford have beaten Luton in 3 consecutive league meetings

Luton

Brentford

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

2 / 4

4 / 4

Clean sheets

0 / 4

2 / 4

LUT

BRE

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Luton
	0 - 3	Brentford
Luton	2 - 1
	0 - 1	Brentford
Luton	4 - 2

Luton

Brentford

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

3 / 9

9 / 9

Clean sheets

0 / 9

6 / 9

LUT

BRE

FIXTURE HISTORY
Brentford	3 - 1
Brentford	1 - 0
	0 - 3	Brentford
Luton	2 - 1
Brentford	7 - 0
Brentford	2 - 0
	0 - 1	Brentford
Luton	4 - 2
Brentford	2 - 0

Goal Statistics

Brentford's fans will be hoping for goals on Saturday afternoon, not least because Luton Town have conceded in each of their last 12 English Premier League games. A PG of 1.6 for Thomas Frank's side suggests that run should continue.

	Luton 18th	Brentford 16th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.8 goals	1.6 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 17% 1 30% 2 27% 3 16% 4+ 11% There is a 83% probability that Luton will score 1 or more goals	0 20% 1 32% 2 26% 3 14% 4+ 8% There is a 80% probability that Brentford will score 1 or more goals

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	+10 Luton’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	+6 Brentford’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	1.6 average goals scored	1.3 average goals scored
	1.5 conceded	1.6 conceded

Statistics Premier League - 2023/2024 Season

LUT

BRE

better

view stats

Games scored	30		28
Failed to score	5		7
Scored first	10		17
Goals scored	48		52
Avg. goals scored	1.4		1.5
Avg. shots per game	8		10
Avg. shots per goal	6		6
Conversion rate	18%		16%
KickOff rating		+3%

LUT

BRE

22%

better

view stats

Games conceded	33		29
Clean sheets	2		6
Conceded first	25		17
Goals conceded	77		60
Avg. goals conceded	2.2		1.7
Avg. shots/game conceded	13		11
Avg. shots/goal conceded	6		6
Conversion rate	17%		16%
KickOff rating		+22%

Luton v Brentford Premier League lLine ups will show here when available.

Luton Premier League squad statistics 2023/2024

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
33	9	7	7
T Kaminski	C Morris	A Doughty	I Kaboré

Line-up	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
T Kaminski GLK	33			3 -
R Burke DEF	18		3	4 -
T Mengi DEF	25	1		3 -
G Osho DEF	16	2		3 -
I Kaboré MID	23		2	7 -
A Lokonga MID	12		2	2 -
R Barkley MID	28	5	4	5 -
A Doughty MID	32	1	7	3 -
J Clark MID	19	1	1	3 -
T Chong MID	28	4		3 -
C Morris FWD	33	9	4	2 -
Subs
J Shea GLK				-
T Krul GLK				-
D Hashioka DEF	7			-
J Johnson DEF	1			-
A Townsend MID	24	1	3	1 -
F Onyedinma MID	4			1 -
L Berry MID	13	1	1	1 -
P Mpanzu MID	25			1 -
C Woodrow FWD	20	1	1	2 -

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
9	25	7	8
C Morris	C Morris	A Doughty	A Doughty

Line-up	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
C Morris FWD	9	25	4	5
R Barkley MID	5	17	4	6
T Chong MID	4	7
G Osho DEF	2	2
T Mengi DEF	1	3
A Doughty MID	1	5	7	8
J Clark MID	1	3	1	1
R Burke DEF		4	3	3
I Kaboré MID		1	2	5
A Lokonga MID		1	2	1
Subs
L Berry MID	1	1	1
A Townsend MID	1	7	3	2
C Woodrow FWD	1	3	1	2
F Onyedinma MID		2
P Mpanzu MID		1		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1197	50	179
R Barkley	I Kaboré	C Morris

Line-up	passes	tackles	duels won
R Barkley MID	1197	43	177
T Kaminski GLK	1153	2	7
A Doughty MID	909	50	106
T Mengi DEF	765	46	102
C Morris FWD	607	9	179
I Kaboré MID	529	50	114
R Burke DEF	527	28	78
G Osho DEF	517	31	65
A Lokonga MID	469	18	56
J Clark MID	384	24	66
T Chong MID	379	28	102
Subs
A Townsend MID	338	20	48
P Mpanzu MID	323	11	45
D Hashioka DEF	175	6	19
C Woodrow FWD	109	13	25
L Berry MID	61	5	18
F Onyedinma MID	45	6	14
J Johnson DEF	2

Brentford Premier League squad statistics 2023/2024

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
32	8	4	8
M Flekken	B Mbeumo	M Jensen	V Janelt

Line-up	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
M Flekken GLK	32		1	3 -
K Ajer DEF	24	2	1	5 -
N Collins DEF	28	1	1	3 -
E Pinnock DEF	24	1		-
S Reguilón DEF	11		3	2 1
M Damsgaard MID	18		2	1 -
V Janelt MID	33		2	8 -
M Jensen MID	28	3	4	3 -
K Lewis-Potter MID	26	2	1	-
B Mbeumo FWD	20	8	3	1 -
Y Wissa FWD	29	8	1	6 -
Subs
T Strakosha GLK	2			-
M Roerslev DEF	29	1	2	1 -
Zanka DEF	13	1		4 -
C Nörgaard MID	26	2	1	8 -
K Schade MID	6	1	1	-
F Onyeka MID	25	1	2	8 -
Y Yarmoliuk MID	22			2 -
N Maupay FWD	27	6	3	7 -
S Ghoddos FWD	18	1		5 -

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
8	22	4	8
B Mbeumo	Y Wissa	M Jensen	M Jensen

Line-up	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
Y Wissa FWD	8	22	1	5
B Mbeumo FWD	8	18	3	3
M Jensen MID	3	7	4	8
K Ajer DEF	2	3	1	5
K Lewis-Potter MID	2	15	1	3
N Collins DEF	1	2	1	3
E Pinnock DEF	1	3		1
M Flekken GLK			1	1
S Reguilón DEF		2	3	3
M Damsgaard MID		3	2	4
V Janelt MID		6	2	4
Subs
N Maupay FWD	6	16	3	5
C Nörgaard MID	2	7	1	4
M Roerslev DEF	1	1	2	2
Zanka DEF	1	2		2
K Schade MID	1	2	1	2
F Onyeka MID	1	9	2	2
S Ghoddos FWD	1	2		2
Y Yarmoliuk MID		4

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1234	73	145
M Flekken	C Nörgaard	C Nörgaard

Line-up	passes	tackles	duels won
M Flekken GLK	1234	1	17
N Collins DEF	1223	32	124
E Pinnock DEF	1169	33	141
V Janelt MID	1118	58	116
M Jensen MID	836	50	87
K Ajer DEF	618	35	103
B Mbeumo FWD	493	14	80
Y Wissa FWD	376	24	123
K Lewis-Potter MID	293	17	60
M Damsgaard MID	265	19	41
S Reguilón DEF	219	28	51
Subs
C Nörgaard MID	1219	73	145
M Roerslev DEF	531	40	77
Zanka DEF	445	15	46
F Onyeka MID	363	35	87
N Maupay FWD	358	10	57
S Ghoddos FWD	350	26	40
Y Yarmoliuk MID	239	15	43
K Schade MID	67	3	20
T Strakosha GLK	66		1