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Toulouse v Montpellier : Ligue 1 match betting preview, prediction and odds

Stadium Municipal, Toulouse, Toulouse

It's an away trip for Michel Der Zakarian's Montpellier side on Friday evening, as they make their way to the Stadium Municipal, Toulouse for a Ligue 1 showdown with Carles Martínez Novell's Toulouse. Below you'll find predictions for all the biggest betting markets, supporting statistics including head-to-heads, and the best odds. All is accessible via the tabs below.

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The last French Ligue 1 meeting between Toulouse and Montpellier was on Friday 3rd May 2024
French Ligue 1
May 3rd 2024
Toulouse 1
2 Montpellier
 
T. Dallinga 34'27' T. Savanier
81' K. Fayad
 
TOU
MTP
Shots On
5
3
Shots Off
5
1
Corners
8
Possession
63%
37%
Fouls
17
14
Yellow/red cards
2/1
4/1
 
ToulouseMontpellier
 
G. Restes
R. Nicolaisen
L. Costa
M. Desler (W. Kamanzi 62')
M. Diarra (G. Suazo Urbina 70')
V. Sierro (S. Spierings 81')
Y. Gboho
N. Schmidt
C. Cásseres Yepes (I. Cissoko 81')
T. Dallingafootball icon
Z. Aboukhlal (W. Shavy 62')
D. Bertaud
(M. Sagnan 90') B. Kouyate
I. Sylla
S. Hefti
B. Omeragic
C. Jullien
J. Chotard
football iconT. Savanier
(J. Ferri 68') L. Leroy
(Y. Karamoh 53') M. Al Tamari
(K. Fayad 68') A. Adams
Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

Neither Toulouse or Montpellier are in a rich vein of form that would leave us feeling confident in tipping a match winner, so we've opted for over 1.5 goals. The statistics show that both have form in this market, both individually and when going head-to-head. We're predicting there's a 76% chance of 2 goals or more.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Toulouse are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 44% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.15.
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Toulouse
44%
1/1
5%
1/1
5%
Draw
25%
14/5
9%
13/5
3%
Montpellier
31%
5/2
6%
5/2
6%
Draw 1-1
12%
13/2
7%
6/1
Toulouse 1-0
9%
9/1
5%
9/1
5%
Toulouse 2-1
9%
8/115/2
Montpellier 1-0
8%
12/112/1
Montpellier 2-1
7%
11/111/1
9%
Toulouse 2-0
7%
10/111/1
Draw 0-0
6%
14/1
15%
14/1
Draw 2-2
6%
11/111/1
Montpellier 2-0
5%
20/1
11%
20/1
11%
Toulouse 3-1
5%
14/114/1
Toulouse 3-0
4%
18/118/1
10%
Montpellier 3-1
3%
22/125/1
Toulouse 3-2
3%
20/118/1
10%
Montpellier 3-2
2%
25/1
10%
25/1
Montpellier 3-0
2%
40/1
21%
45/1
12%
Over 2.5 Goals
53%
8/13
6%
3/5
4%
Under 2.5 Goals
47%
13/10
10%
5/4
7%
Home 1st Goal
50%
8/13
3%
8/11
1%
Away 1st Goal
46%
11/8
3%
13/10
No 1st Goal
4%
14/1
15%
14/1
BTTS - Yes
56%
4/71/2
4%
BTTS - No
44%
5/47/5
4%
BTTS - Home Win
22%
5/2
7%
12/5
6%
BTTS - Draw
19%
7/2
4%
16/5
BTTS - Away Win
16%
9/217/4
Home/draw
69%
2/7
3%
2/7
1%
Away/draw
56%
4/5
6%
3/4
3%
Home/away
75%
1/4
3%
2/7
Over 1.5 Goals
77%
1/5
2%
2/11
2%
Under 1.5 Goals
23%
7/2
4%
7/2
7%
Over 3.5 Goals
31%
13/8
5%
29/20
6%
Under 3.5 Goals
69%
1/2
4%
1/2
4%
Over 4.5 Goals
15%
7/2
10%
10/3
9%
Under 4.5 Goals
85%
1/5
3%
1/5
3%
Over 5.5 Goals
7%
8/1
10%
15/2
11%
Under 5.5 Goals
93%
1/14
1%
1/14
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1/33
1%
1/28
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
14/1
15%
14/1
15%
Home DNB
61%
1/2
2%
1/2
4%
Away DNB
49%
6/4
5%
6/4
9%
Toulouse win to nil
22%
3/116/5
Montpellier win to nil
15%
6/1
8%
13/2
7%
Toulouse / Toulouse
26%
11/5
6%
23/10
6%
Toulouse / Montpellier
3%
25/133/1
Toulouse / Draw
6%
12/114/1
Draw / Toulouse
16%
9/221/5
Draw / Montpellier
11%
7/1
7%
7/1
7%
Draw / Draw
13%
5/15/1
4%
Montpellier / Toulouse
4%
20/122/1
Montpellier / Montpellier
15%
9/25/1
3%
Montpellier / Draw
6%
12/114/1
bet365
Win / draw / win Ligue 1 table

Toulouse have played 31 matches so far this season and lay in 10th place in the Ligue 1 league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 15 games against teams below in the table, having won 6, drawn 4 and lost 5 matches. They have kept 4 clean sheets and have failed to score in 4 fixtures. They have been outscored by their opponents by 39 goals to 38 goals.

Home League Performance

Toulouse have played 15 games at home winning 3, drawing 7 and losing 5 games. They have scored 20 goals, kept 3 clean sheets and conceded 20 goals at home.

Montpellier are in 12th position in the Ligue 1 on 37 points having played 31 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

7 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 22 goals and kept 3 clean sheets. They have scored 19 goals in total and failed to score in 5 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

19 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 10 games, drawn 5 and won 4. Montpellier have conceded 32 goals, scored 19, failed to score in 8 fixtures and have kept 5 clean sheets.

Toulouse
Won
Draw
Lost
Scores
Montpellier
HOME AWAY TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY
d
 
1-1A
w
 
1-3A
 PSG34221024876 
l
 
2-6A
l
 
3-0A
l
 
1-2F
w
 
1-2F
 Monaco3420772667 
l
 
0-2A
l
 
2-0A
l
 
0-3A
d
 
1-1F
 Brest34171071961 
l
 
1-3A
l
 
2-0A
w
 
3-1A
d
 
1-1A
 Lille34161171859 
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
1-0A
w
 
2-1A
l
 
1-0A
 Nice34151091155 
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
1-2F
l
 
2-3A
l
 
3-0A
 Lyon3416513-653 
l
 
1-2F
w
 
1-4F
l
 
0-2A
l
 
2-1F
 Lens3414911851 
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
2-2A
d
 
2-2A
d
 
0-00-0
 Marseille341311101150 
d
 
1-1F
l
 
4-1F
d
 
1-1A
w
 
2-3F
 Reims3413813-547 
l
 
1-3A
w
 
1-2F
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
1-2A
 Rennes34121012746 
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
2-1A
-
-
 Toulouse Home34111013-443 
w
 
3-0F
w
 
1-2F
l
 
1-2A
l
 
3-0A
 Montpellier A34101212-541 
-
-
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
2-0A
 Strasbourg3410915-1239 
d
 
2-2A
d
 
2-2F
l
 
1-2A
w
 
1-2A
 Nantes349619-2533 
d
 
1-1F
l
 
2-0A
l
 
1-2F
l
 
1-0A
 Le Havre3471116-1132 
d
 
2-2A
w
 
0-2F
d
 
1-1F
w
 
1-2A
 Lorient347819-2329 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-3F
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-1F
 Metz348521-2329 
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-1F
d
 
2-2F
w
 
0-3F
 Clermont3451019-3425 
d
 
1-1A
d
 
1-1A
Win / draw / win form
Toulouse 11TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
W
3
Draw
9
Lost
8
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
8
Draw
5
Lost
7
Montpellier 12TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
34
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
9
D
2
Lost
9
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
6
Draw
7
Lost
7
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Toulouse since 2013
Toulouse
Montpellier
Goals: Scored
9
7
Games: Scored
6 / 7
4 / 7
Clean sheets
3 / 7
1 / 7
TOU
4
D
2
MTP
1
All league games since 2013
Toulouse
Montpellier
Goals: Scored
15
24
Games: Scored
11 / 16
12 / 16
Clean sheets
4 / 16
5 / 16
TOU
6
D
2
MTP
8
Goal Statistics
Toulouse 11th Montpellier 12th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.5
goals
1.3
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
21%
1
33%
2
25%
3
13%
4+
There is a 79% probability that Toulouse will score 1 or more goals
0
28%
1
36%
2
23%
3
9%
4+
There is a 64% probability that Montpellier will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-20
Toulouse have scored 20% fewer goals at home than predicted
+31
Montpellier have scored 31% more goals when away than predicted
1.1
average goals scored
1.7
average goals scored
1.3
conceded
1.5
conceded
 
Statistics Ligue 1 - 2023/2024 Season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/262988/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Toulouse
PG (predicted goals)
Montpellier
1.5
1.3
Attack rating
TOU
MTP
3%
better
view stats
Games scored24
24
Failed to score10
10
Scored first11
15
Goals scored42
43
Avg. goals scored1.2
1.3
Avg. shots per game8
10
Avg. shots per goal7
8
Conversion rate15%
13%
KickOff rating
+3%
Defence rating
TOU
MTP
12%
better
view stats
Games conceded28
24
Clean sheets6
10
Conceded first20
15
Goals conceded46
48
Avg. goals conceded1.4
1.4
Avg. shots/game conceded10
12
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
8
Conversion rate14%
12%
KickOff rating
+12%

Toulouse v Montpellier Ligue 1 lLine ups will show here when available.

Toulouse Ligue 1 squad statistics 2023/2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
341448
G. RestesT DallingaG SuazoV Sierro
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
G. Restes GLK34
3
-
M Desler DEF241
2
-
L Costa DEF3111
6
-
R Nicolaisen DEF332
5
-
M Diarra DEF2212
5
-
C Yepes MID3213
1
-
V Sierro MID3063
8
-
N Schmidt MID2211
4
-
Z Aboukhlal FWD143
2
-
T Dallinga FWD33142
6
-
Y Gboho FWD1632
1
-
Subs
Álex Domínguez GLK
-
G Suazo DEF314
5
-
K Keben DEF8
1
-
W Kamanzi DEF243
1
-
S Spierings MID221
5
-
A Dönnum MID271
8
-
C Gelabert MID1612
1
-
S Babicka FWD121
-
I Cissoko FWD1111
1
-
Montpellier Ligue 1 squad statistics 2023/2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
32979
T SavanierT SavanierT SavanierT Savanier
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Bertaud GLK4
-
S Hefti DEF111
1
-
K Kouyaté DEF222
5
1
C Jullien DEF201
5
-
I Sylla DEF1912
3
-
L Leroy MID201
5
-
B Omeragic MID28
4
-
J Chotard MID313
5
-
T Savanier MID3297
8
1
M Tamari FWD2852
-
A Adams FWD3281
2
-
Subs
B Dizdarević GLK
-
T Sainte-Luce  DEF6
1
-
E Mbiayi DEF17
2
-
F Sacko DEF191
-
M Sagnan DEF132
5
-
K Fayad MID2331
3
-
J Ferri MID3011
6
-
S Delaye FWD9
1
-
Y Karamoh FWD121
1
-
French Ligue 1 match betting previews, predictions and odds