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Alaves v Atletico de Madrid : La Liga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Mendizorroza, Vitoria-Gasteiz

Diego Simeone is aiming for a vital away win in the La Liga on Sunday evening, as he takes his Atletico de Madrid side to the Mendizorroza to visit Alaves and Luis Garcia. Our aim is to give you all the tools you need to make a smart, well-informed bet on this tie, so we've searched our expansive database and pulled out the stats that are most significant. Head to head (H2H) and recent form are included, and it all goes into our algorithmic predictions. Odds are there to make sure you get the best return.

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Alaves's next match is v Valencia at 17:30 on Sunday 5th May
Atletico de Madrid's next match is v Mallorca at 20:00 on Saturday 4th May
The last Spanish La Liga meeting between Alaves and A.Madrid was on Sunday 21st April 2024
Spanish La Liga
April 21st 2024
Alaves 2
0 A.Madrid
 
C. Benavídez Protesoni 15'
L. Rioja González 90'
 
ALV
ATM
Shots On
3
4
Shots Off
3
5
Corners
1
11
Possession
31%
69%
Fouls
20
13
Yellow/red cards
5/0
3/0
 
AlavesA.Madrid
 
A. Sivera Salvá
A. Abqar
N. Tenaglia
J. López Carballo
R. Marín Zamora
A. Gorosabel Espinosa (L. Rioja González 88')
A. Blanco Conde
J. Guridi Aldalur (A. Guevara Lajo 70')
C. Benavídez Protesonifootball icon
G. Simeone (C. Vicente Robles 79')
E. García Martínez (J. Panichelli 79')
J. Oblak
(M. Hermoso Canseco 80') N. Molina Lucero
J. Giménez de Vargas
(M. Benítez 81') S. Savić
(R. Mandava 57') C. Azpilicueta Tanco
J. Resurrección Merodio
(S. Ñíguez 46') R. de Paul
(R. Riquelme Reche 67') Pablo Barrios Rivas
Á. Correa
S. Dias Lino
A. Griezmann
Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

Fans may not be thrilled to read this, but we don't predict a thriller here. The stats suggest Alaves and A.Madrid both struggle to score on a consistent basis, and the odds suggest it's likely there's fewer than 2 goals in total as they go head-to-head. We think they're probably right and, in the absence of obvious outright winners to back, under 2.5 goals looks like a smart bet.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 36% chance of A.Madrid coming away with a win.
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral Betfred 888Sport
Alaves
35%
15/4
32%
4/1
35%
5/2
7%
14/5
Draw
29%
13/5
6%
12/5
3%
23/10
3%
12/5
A.Madrid
36%
4/5
12%
4/5
12%
23/20
8%
Evens
Draw 1-1
13%
6/1
8%
11/211/221/4
A.Madrid 1-0
12%
5/1
14%
9/2
21%
6/16/1
Alaves 1-0
12%
9/110/1
10%
9/1
9%
19/2
Draw 0-0
10%
7/1
11%
7/1
11%
8/117/2
A.Madrid 2-1
8%
8/18/18/1
6%
8/1
Alaves 2-1
7%
14/1
15%
16/1
31%
11/1
8%
23/2
A.Madrid 2-0
7%
13/2
21%
13/2
21%
9/1
5%
8/1
Alaves 2-0
6%
20/1
11%
25/1
37%
16/1
11%
17/1
Draw 2-2
4%
18/1
27%
18/1
27%
14/115/1
A.Madrid 3-1
3%
16/116/116/116/1
Alaves 3-1
3%
40/1
41%
55/1
65%
28/129/1
A.Madrid 3-0
3%
12/1
24%
14/1
21%
18/1
12%
16/1
Alaves 3-0
2%
50/1
24%
90/1
78%
40/135/1
A.Madrid 3-2
2%
33/1
17%
40/1
41%
28/1
12%
25/1
Alaves 3-2
2%
50/1
24%
66/1
63%
33/1
17%
35/1
Over 2.5 Goals
40%
13/10
10%
13/10
12%
Evs11/10
Under 2.5 Goals
60%
8/13
6%
4/7
8%
8/118/11
Home 1st Goal
46%
2/1
20%
2/1
20%
11/8
1%
-
Away 1st Goal
47%
1/2
7%
3/5
9%
8/11
2%
-
No 1st Goal
7%
7/1
11%
7/1
11%
15/2
6%
-
BTTS - Yes
46%
21/20
7%
11/10
15%
4/5
2%
22/25
BTTS - No
54%
7/10
11%
4/6
11%
10/11
4%
17/20
BTTS - Home Win
14%
9/1
33%
10/1
57%
11/2
7%
-
BTTS - Draw
18%
4/1
11%
4/1
15%
10/3
4%
-
BTTS - Away Win
14%
7/217/5
2%
10/3
3%
-
Home/draw
64%
19/20
13%
1/1
14%
7/10
6%
4/5
Away/draw
65%
2/11
9%
2/11
6%
3/10
4%
7/25
Home/away
71%
2/7
1%
1/31/333/100
Over 1.5 Goals
66%
4/9
8%
2/5
5%
4/11
2%
1/3
Under 1.5 Goals
34%
7/4
19%
17/10
10%
2/1
8%
9/4
Over 3.5 Goals
20%
10/3
15%
13/4
18%
11/4
7%
14/5
Under 3.5 Goals
80%
2/9
5%
1/5
4%
1/4
3%
1/4
Over 4.5 Goals
8%
8/1
29%
17/2
27%
6/17/1
Under 4.5 Goals
92%
1/14
3%
1/16
2%
1/121/14
Over 5.5 Goals
3%
18/1
27%
22/1
35%
-18/1
Under 5.5 Goals
97%
1/50
1%
1/40-1.00
Over 0.5 Goals
90%
1/12
1%
1/12
1%
1/161/18
Under 0.5 Goals
10%
7/1
11%
13/2
17%
7/117/2
Home DNB
55%
12/5
30%
12/5
36%
6/4
5%
17/10
Away DNB
56%
3/10
10%
3/10
13%
1/2
4%
4/9
Alaves win to nil
21%
6/1
17%
13/2
25%
5/1
8%
-
A.Madrid win to nil
22%
13/8
23%
13/8
23%
12/5
6%
-
Alaves / Alaves
12%
7/1
33%
17/2
46%
9/2
8%
21/4
Alaves / A.Madrid
3%
25/128/125/128/1
Alaves / Draw
5%
16/1
13%
16/1
13%
14/114/1
Draw / Alaves
10%
8/1
20%
9/1
33%
7/1
11%
7/1
Draw / A.Madrid
18%
7/2
10%
16/5
13%
4/117/4
Draw / Draw
18%
15/4
5%
18/5
3%
4/14/1
A.Madrid / Alaves
2%
40/1
21%
60/1
33%
33/1
17%
40/1
A.Madrid / A.Madrid
27%
15/8
11%
2/1
14%
12/5
10%
11/5
A.Madrid / Draw
6%
14/116/1
13%
14/113/1
bet365
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Win / draw / win La Liga table

Alaves have played 31 matches so far this season and are in 15th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

22 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 13 games, drawn 5 and won 4. Alaves have conceded 32 goals, scored 16, failed to score in 11 matches and kept 3 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Alaves have played 15 games at home, winning 6, drawing 3 and losing 6 fixtures. They have scored 15 goals, conceded 17 goals, kept 4 clean sheets and failed to score 5 times in home league games.

A.Madrid lay in 4th place on 61 points in the La Liga league table having played 31 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 25 games against teams below them in the table, winning 17, drawing 3 and losing 5 games. They have scored 49 goals and kept 9 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. A.Madrid have conceded 25 goals and have failed to score in 5 matches.

Away league performance

A.Madrid have played 15 away games, winning 5, drawing 3 and losing 7 games. They have scored an average of 1.5 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.3 goals per away game.

Alaves
Won
Draw
Lost
Scores
A.Madrid
HOME AWAY TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY
l
 
0-1A
May 14
 Real Madrid3326614984 
w
 
3-1F
d
 
1-1A
l
 
1-3A
l
 
2-1F
 Barcelona3322742973 
l
 
0-3A
l
 
1-0A
May 10
l
 
3-0A
 Girona3322562971 
w
 
3-1A
l
 
4-3A
w
 
2-0F
l
 
2-1A
 A.Madrid Away3320492364 
-
-
l
 
0-2A
l
 
2-0A
 A.Bilbao33161072058 
w
 
3-1F
l
 
2-0A
l
 
0-1A
d
 
1-1F
 R.Sociedad33131281151 
w
 
2-1F
May 26
d
 
1-1A
d
 
0-00-0
 Real Betis3312138249 
w
 
2-1F
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
1-0F
May 5
 Valencia3313812-147 
w
 
2-0F
l
 
3-0A
d
 
1-1F
d
 
1-1F
 Villarreal3312912-145 
w
 
3-1A
w
 
1-2F
May 19
l
 
1-0A
 Getafe33101310-443 
d
 
3-3F
May 15
l
 
0-2A
l
 
1-0A
 Osasuna3311616-1239 
May 19
w
 
0-2F
-
-
 Alaves Home3310815-738 
w
 
2-1F
l
 
2-0A
w
 
4-3F
w
 
2-3F
 Sevilla3391113-438 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
1-0A
l
 
0-1A
May 26
 Las Palmas3310716-1137 
w
 
5-0F
l
 
2-1A
w
 
1-0F
l
 
2-0A
 R.Vallecano3371313-1534 
w
 
2-1F
w
 
0-7F
d
 
1-1F
d
 
0-00-0
 Mallorca3361413-1232 
w
 
1-0F
May 4
w
 
3-0F
d
 
1-1A
 Celta3371016-1331 
May 12
w
 
0-3F
w
 
1-0F
l
 
1-0A
 Cadiz3341415-2326 
w
 
3-2A
l
 
2-0A
w
 
3-1F
l
 
2-0A
 Granada334920-2521 
w
 
3-1F
w
 
0-1F
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-3F
 Almeria3311121-3514 
w
 
2-1F
d
 
2-2F
Win / draw / win form
Alaves 12TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
9
Draw
5
Lost
6
see results
HOME FORM
Alaves0 - 1R.Sociedad
Alaves1 - 0R.Vallecano
Alaves1 - 1Mallorca
Alaves1 - 1Villarreal
Alaves1 - 3Barcelona
Alaves1 - 0Cadiz
Alaves0 - 1Real Madrid
Alaves0 - 1Las Palmas
Alaves3 - 1Granada
Alaves1 - 0Almeria
Alaves1 - 1Real Betis
Alaves0 - 2Osasuna
Alaves0 - 2A.Bilbao
Alaves1 - 0Valencia
Alaves4 - 3Sevilla
Alaves0 - 0Levante
Alaves2 - 0Eibar
Alaves2 - 1Malaga
Alaves1 - 1Granada
Alaves2 - 1Leganes
Goals: Scored
17
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
Won
6
Draw
5
Lost
9
see results
OVERALL FORM
AAlaves0 - 2Granada
HAlaves0 - 1R.Sociedad
AAlaves0 - 2A.Bilbao
HAlaves1 - 0R.Vallecano
AAlaves0 - 1Osasuna
HAlaves1 - 1Mallorca
AAlaves0 - 0Real Betis
HAlaves1 - 1Villarreal
HAlaves1 - 3Barcelona
AAlaves3 - 0Almeria
HAlaves1 - 0Cadiz
AAlaves3 - 2Sevilla
AAlaves1 - 1R.Sociedad
HAlaves0 - 1Real Madrid
AAlaves0 - 3Girona
HAlaves0 - 1Las Palmas
AAlaves0 - 0Mallorca
HAlaves3 - 1Granada
AAlaves1 - 2Barcelona
HAlaves1 - 0Almeria
A.Madrid 4TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
6
Draw
5
Lost
9
see results
AWAY FORM
Villarreal1 - 2A.Madrid
Cadiz2 - 0A.Madrid
Almeria2 - 2A.Madrid
Sevilla1 - 0A.Madrid
Real Madrid1 - 1A.Madrid
Granada0 - 1A.Madrid
Girona4 - 3A.Madrid
A.Bilbao2 - 0A.Madrid
Barcelona1 - 0A.Madrid
Las Palmas2 - 1A.Madrid
Celta0 - 3A.Madrid
Osasuna0 - 2A.Madrid
Valencia3 - 0A.Madrid
R.Vallecano0 - 7A.Madrid
Real Betis0 - 0A.Madrid
Villarreal2 - 2A.Madrid
Espanyol3 - 3A.Madrid
Elche1 - 0A.Madrid
Valladolid2 - 5A.Madrid
Barcelona1 - 0A.Madrid
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
11
D
3
Lost
6
see results
OVERALL FORM
HA.Madrid3 - 1Girona
AA.Madrid2 - 1Villarreal
HA.Madrid0 - 3Barcelona
AA.Madrid0 - 2Cadiz
HA.Madrid2 - 1Real Betis
AA.Madrid2 - 2Almeria
HA.Madrid5 - 0Las Palmas
AA.Madrid0 - 1Sevilla
AA.Madrid1 - 1Real Madrid
HA.Madrid2 - 1R.Vallecano
HA.Madrid2 - 0Valencia
AA.Madrid1 - 0Granada
AA.Madrid3 - 4Girona
HA.Madrid1 - 0Sevilla
HA.Madrid3 - 3Getafe
AA.Madrid0 - 2A.Bilbao
HA.Madrid2 - 1Almeria
AA.Madrid0 - 1Barcelona
HA.Madrid1 - 0Mallorca
HA.Madrid3 - 1Villarreal
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Alaves since 2017
Alaves
A.Madrid
Goals: Scored
3
8
Games: Scored
3 / 6
4 / 6
Clean sheets
2 / 6
3 / 6
ALV
1
D
2
ATM
3
see results
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Alaves
Alaves1 - 0
1 - 2A.Madrid
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 4A.Madrid
0 - 1A.Madrid
Draw0 - 0Draw
All league games since 2016
Alaves
A.Madrid
Goals: Scored
7
22
Games: Scored
7 / 13
11 / 13
Clean sheets
2 / 13
6 / 13
ALV
1
D
3
ATM
9
see results
FIXTURE HISTORY
A.Madrid2 - 1
A.Madrid4 - 1
Alaves1 - 0
A.Madrid1 - 0
1 - 2A.Madrid
A.Madrid2 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 4A.Madrid
A.Madrid3 - 0
0 - 1A.Madrid
A.Madrid1 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Goal Statistics

Goals have been difficult to come by for Alaves of late. It has been 9 La Liga matches since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.1 suggests they'll struggle to end that run on Sunday evening against Atletico de Madrid.

Alaves 12th A.Madrid 4th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.1
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
32%
1
37%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 69% probability that Alaves will score no more than 1 goal
0
32%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 68% probability that A.Madrid will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-16
Alaves have scored 16% fewer goals at home than predicted
+10
A.Madrid’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.1
average goals scored
1.6
average goals scored
1.0
conceded
1.4
conceded
 
Statistics La Liga - 2023/2023 Season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/261542/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Alaves
PG (predicted goals)
A.Madrid
1.1
1.2
Attack rating
ALV
ATM
35%
better
view stats
Games scored19
25
Failed to score14
8
Scored first15
19
Goals scored31
62
Avg. goals scored0.9
1.9
Avg. shots per game9
10
Avg. shots per goal10
5
Conversion rate10%
19%
KickOff rating
+35%
Defence rating
ALV
ATM
2%
better
view stats
Games conceded24
24
Clean sheets9
9
Conceded first16
13
Goals conceded38
39
Avg. goals conceded1.2
1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded9
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
8
Conversion rate13%
13%
KickOff rating
+2%

Alaves v A.Madrid La Liga lLine ups will show here when available.

Alaves La Liga squad statistics 2023
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
31849
A SiveraS. Omorodion AghehowaJ GuridiA Abqar
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Sivera GLK31
2
-
N Tenaglia DEF191
3
-
A Abqar DEF21
9
-
R Marín DEF28
4
-
J López DEF263
2
-
C Benavídez MID2411
3
-
A Blanco MID281
2
1
A Gorosabel MID301
6
-
J Guridi MID294
1
-
G Simeone MID8
-
K García FWD283
4
-
Subs
J Owono GLK
-
Álex Sola  DEF242
2
-
E Ortiz DEF
-
A Guevara MID301
7
-
I Hagi  MID181
2
-
L Rioja FWD3144
3
-
S. Omorodion Aghehowa FWD2981
4
-
X Alkain FWD9
1
-
A Rebbach FWD211
1
-
C Vicente FWD122
1
-
J Panichelli FWD3
-
A.Madrid La Liga squad statistics 2023
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
311368
J OblakA GriezmannA GriezmannS Ñíguez
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Oblak GLK31
1
-
S Savic  DEF19
5
-
J Giménez DEF17
4
-
C Azpilicueta DEF182
3
-
N Molina MID2723
4
1
R Paul MID2714
5
-
Koke MID283
4
-
P Barrios MID191
5
-
S Lino MID2732
1
-
A Griezmann FWD27136
4
-
Ángel Correa FWD2582
2
-
Subs
A Gomis GLK
-
H Moldovan GLK
-
M Hermoso DEF241
7
-
R Mandava DEF1011
1
-
G Paulista DEF4
-
S Ñíguez MID3015
8
-
R Riquelme MID2725
1
-
A Vermeeren MID3
1
-
A Witsel MID302
3
-
S Jebari FWD1
-
A Raihani FWD
-