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Chapecoense v Paysandu : Serie B match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 17th Aug, 20:00 BST, Arena Condá, Chapecó

Gilmar Dal Pozzo's Chapecoense side will have home backing in the Serie B on Sunday night, as Claudinei dos Santos Oliveira's Paysandu visit the Arena Condá. Below you'll find predictions for seventeen major betting markets, supporting statistics including head-to-heads, and odds from leading bookmakers. All is accessible via the tabs below.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We are making over 1.5 goals our top tip on this fixture, meaning that the teams will score at least two goals between them during 90 minutes. Both Chapecoense and Paysandu's latest form stats suggest it's likely, while their head-to-head (H2H) record is pointing in the same direction too. The bookies make it the most probable outcome in this market too, available at 1.44.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Chapecoense are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 49% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.85.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Chapecoense 49%	-	17/20
Draw 25%	-	2/1
Paysandu 26%	-	3/1
Draw 1-1 12%	-	5/1
Chapecoense 1-0 11%	-	17/4
Chapecoense 2-1 9%	-	15/2
Chapecoense 2-0 9%	-	13/2
Paysandu 1-0 7%	-	7/1
Paysandu 2-1 7%	-	12/1
Draw 0-0 7%	-	5/1
Draw 2-2 5%	-	16/1
Chapecoense 3-1 5%	-	14/1
Chapecoense 3-0 5%	-	12/1
Paysandu 2-0 4%	-	14/1
Chapecoense 3-2 3%	-	25/1
Paysandu 3-1 2%	-	28/1
Chapecoense 4-1 2%	-	28/1
Paysandu 3-2 2%	-	33/1
Over 2.5 Goals 51%	-	29/20
Under 2.5 Goals 49%	-	4/9
Home 1st Goal 52%	-	7/10
Away 1st Goal 44%	-	7/4
No 1st Goal 4%	-	5/1
BTTS - Yes 54%	-	5/4
BTTS - No 46%	-	4/7
BTTS - Home Win 23%	-	4/1
BTTS - Draw 18%	-	4/1
BTTS - Away Win 13%	-	8/1
Home/draw 74%	-	2/9
Away/draw 51%	-	5/6
Home/away 75%	-	1/3
Over 1.5 Goals 76%	-	10/21
Under 1.5 Goals 24%	-	11/8
Over 3.5 Goals 29%	-	7/2
Under 3.5 Goals 71%	-	1/7
Over 4.5 Goals 14%	-	8/1
Under 4.5 Goals 86%	-	1/33
Over 5.5 Goals 6%	-	16/1
Under 5.5 Goals 94%	-	1/1000
Over 0.5 Goals 93%	-	1/11
Under 0.5 Goals 7%	-	19/4
Home DNB 66%	-	7/20
Away DNB 44%	-	19/10
Chapecoense win to nil 26%	-	-
Paysandu win to nil 13%	-	-
Chapecoense / Chapecoense 25%	-	21/10
Chapecoense / Paysandu 2%	-	33/1
Chapecoense / Draw 6%	-	12/1
Draw / Chapecoense 17%	-	7/2
Draw / Paysandu 10%	-	7/1
Draw / Draw 19%	-	3/1
Paysandu / Chapecoense 3%	-	22/1
Paysandu / Paysandu 12%	-	11/2
Paysandu / Draw 6%	-	12/1

Win / draw / win form

Chapecoense have not lost in 7 consecutive league games

Paysandu have not lost in 5 consecutive away league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Chapecoense	3 - 2	CRB
Chapecoense	4 - 2	Volta Redonda
Chapecoense	1 - 1	Remo
Chapecoense	1 - 2	Goias
Chapecoense	2 - 1	Ferroviaria
Chapecoense	4 - 0	Amazonas
Chapecoense	2 - 1	Cuiaba
Chapecoense	2 - 1	Criciuma
Chapecoense	1 - 0	Athletic Club
Chapecoense	1 - 2	Cortiba
Chapecoense	2 - 1	Cortiba
Chapecoense	0 - 2	Novorizontin
Chapecoense	0 - 4	Goias
Chapecoense	3 - 2	Santos
Chapecoense	2 - 0	Amazonas
Chapecoense	1 - 0	Avai
Chapecoense	2 - 1	Ceara
Chapecoense	1 - 1	Botafogo
Chapecoense	0 - 0	CRB
Chapecoense	0 - 4	Guarani

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Chapecoense	0 - 0	Cortiba
H	Chapecoense	3 - 2	CRB
A	Chapecoense	0 - 0	Atletico Go
H	Chapecoense	4 - 2	Volta Redonda
A	Chapecoense	1 - 0	America
H	Chapecoense	1 - 1	Remo
A	Chapecoense	2 - 1	Operario
H	Chapecoense	1 - 2	Goias
A	Chapecoense	0 - 1	Botafogo
H	Chapecoense	2 - 1	Ferroviaria
A	Chapecoense	0 - 1	Novorizontin
H	Chapecoense	4 - 0	Amazonas
A	Chapecoense	1 - 2	Avai
H	Chapecoense	2 - 1	Cuiaba
A	Chapecoense	1 - 1	Athletico PR
H	Chapecoense	2 - 1	Criciuma
A	Chapecoense	0 - 1	Vila Nova
H	Chapecoense	1 - 0	Athletic Club
A	Chapecoense	2 - 0	Paysandu
H	Chapecoense	1 - 2	Cortiba

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Athletico PR	1 - 1	Paysandu
Amazonas	1 - 1	Paysandu
Cortiba	2 - 5	Paysandu
Avai	0 - 0	Paysandu
Remo	0 - 1	Paysandu
Cuiaba	1 - 0	Paysandu
Novorizontin	3 - 1	Paysandu
America	2 - 2	Paysandu
Volta Redonda	1 - 0	Paysandu
Operario	0 - 0	Paysandu
Vila Nova	1 - 0	Paysandu
Novorizontin	1 - 1	Paysandu
Ponte Preta	1 - 2	Paysandu
Ceara	2 - 1	Paysandu
Operario	1 - 1	Paysandu
CRB	3 - 2	Paysandu
America	2 - 0	Paysandu
Goias	1 - 1	Paysandu
Avai	1 - 0	Paysandu
Botafogo	1 - 1	Paysandu

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

11 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

9 / 20

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Paysandu	0 - 1	Vila Nova
A	Paysandu	1 - 1	Athletico PR
H	Paysandu	1 - 1	Athletic Club
A	Paysandu	1 - 1	Amazonas
A	Paysandu	5 - 2	Cortiba
H	Paysandu	2 - 2	Atletico Go
A	Paysandu	0 - 0	Avai
H	Paysandu	2 - 1	Ferroviaria
A	Paysandu	1 - 0	Remo
H	Paysandu	1 - 0	Botafogo
A	Paysandu	0 - 1	Cuiaba
H	Paysandu	0 - 1	Criciuma
A	Paysandu	1 - 3	Novorizontin
H	Paysandu	0 - 0	Goias
A	Paysandu	2 - 2	America
A	Paysandu	0 - 1	Volta Redonda
H	Paysandu	1 - 1	CRB
A	Paysandu	0 - 0	Operario
H	Paysandu	0 - 2	Chapecoense
A	Paysandu	0 - 1	Vila Nova

Goal Statistics

Chapecoense's fans will be hoping for goals on Sunday night, not least because Paysandu have conceded in each of their last 5 Serie B outings. A PG of 1.6 for Gilmar Dal Pozzo's side suggests that run should continue.

	Chapecoense 4th	Paysandu 19th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.6 goals	1.1 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 20% 1 32% 2 26% 3 14% 4+ 8% There is a 80% probability that Chapecoense will score 1 or more goals	0 33% 1 37% 2 20% 3 4+ There is a 70% probability that Paysandu will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	+20 Chapecoense have scored 20% more goals at home than predicted	+15 Paysandu have scored 15% more goals when away than predicted
	1.6 average goals scored	1.0 average goals scored
	1.4 conceded	1.3 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Serie B - 2025/2025 season

40%

better

CHP

PAY

view stats

Games scored	12		8
Failed to score	4		8
Scored first	9		4
Goals scored	20		11
Avg. goals scored	1		0.5
Avg. shots per game	8		7
Avg. shots per goal	8		14
Conversion rate for	12		7
Avg. XG for	0		0
KickOff rating		+40%

better

CHP

PAY

view stats

Games conceded	13		11
Clean sheets	3		5
Conceded first	7		9
Goals conceded	16		17
Avg. goals conceded	0.8		0.8
Avg. shots/game conceded	9		8
Avg. shots/goal conceded	12		10
Conversion rate against	8%		10%
Avg. XG against	0		0
KickOff rating		0%

Chapecoense v Paysandu Serie B lLine ups will show here when available.

Chapecoense Serie B squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
21	6	8	7
W Clar	M Maílton	G Augusto	J Paulo

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
W Clar DEF	21	3		1 -
Rafael MID	21	4	1	1 -
I. de Vargas da Rosa FWD	21	4	1	2 -
B Matias MID	20			3 1
L Vieira GLK	19			1 -
M Maílton DEF	19	6	5	4 -
J Paulo DEF	18	1		7 -
Marcinho FWD	18	3	3	2 -
G Augusto MID	17	1	8	4 -
B Leonardo DEF	16			2 -
E Domachowski DEF	15			1 -
V Becker DEF	14			3 1
J Jiménez MID	14		1	1 -
Marcinho MID	12		1	2 -
N Pessoa FWD	10	3		2 -
E. Souza da Cruz DEF	8			2 -
P Victor MID	7			2 -
Perotti FWD	6			2 -
G Inocêncio DEF	5			-
Getulio FWD	5			-
Mancha DEF	4			1 -
Bressan DEF	3			-
M. Silva Lacorte MID	3			-
E Person MID	3			-
R Santos GLK	2			-
Jhonnathan DEF	2			-
R. Hartmann Ricoldi FWD	2			-
T. Jaguaribe Bedinelli FWD	2			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
6	12	8	6
M Maílton	Marcinho	G Augusto	G Augusto

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
M Maílton DEF	6	11	5	5
Rafael MID	4	8	1	1
I. de Vargas da Rosa FWD	4	8	1	2
W Clar DEF	3	7		5
Marcinho FWD	3	12	3	3
N Pessoa FWD	3	8		1
J Paulo DEF	1	4
G Augusto MID	1	9	8	6
B Matias MID		3
B Leonardo DEF		2
E Domachowski DEF		2		1
V Becker DEF				1
J Jiménez MID		1	1
Marcinho MID		1	1	1
Perotti FWD		1
G Inocêncio DEF		1
Getulio FWD		4
E Person MID				1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
823	31	98
J Paulo	B Matias	M Maílton

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
J Paulo DEF	823	16	82
B Matias MID	807	31	66
B Leonardo DEF	675	14	52
W Clar DEF	658	21	80
E Domachowski DEF	573	11	38
G Augusto MID	569	18	58
L Vieira GLK	513	1	16
Rafael MID	488	21	38
V Becker DEF	481	12	58
M Maílton DEF	464	22	98
Marcinho FWD	372	16	65
J Jiménez MID	178	12	23
Marcinho MID	146	6	20
I. de Vargas da Rosa FWD	145	10	32
N Pessoa FWD	95	8	34
E Person MID	73	3	8
R Santos GLK	72
P Victor MID	55	6	15
G Inocêncio DEF	37	1	6
M. Silva Lacorte MID	26	3	3
Perotti FWD	22	2	10
Getulio FWD	19	6	12
Bressan DEF	17	1	5
Mancha DEF	15		2
E. Souza da Cruz DEF	13	1	4
T. Jaguaribe Bedinelli FWD	9		2
R. Hartmann Ricoldi FWD	8		2
Jhonnathan DEF	7		1

Paysandu Serie B squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
15	5	4	11
Reverson	Diogo	Reverson	L Vilela

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
Reverson DEF	19	1	4	1 -
J Benítez FWD	17	1		1 -
L Freitas DEF	16			3 -
Marlon FWD	16	2		4 -
M Vargas MID	14		1	4 -
L Vilela MID	14	2		10 1
Bryan DEF	13			2 -
J Novillo DEF	13			1
G Mesquita GLK	12			-
E Edílson DEF	12		1	-
R Martínez MID	12			-
A Lima MID	12	1		4 -
Marcelinho FWD	11	1		-
Rossi FWD	11	1	2	2 -
M Nogueira GLK	10			1 -
Thalisson DEF	9		1	3 -
P Calmon DEF	9			-
Denner MID	9		1	1 -
Diogo FWD	9	5		1 -
M Garcez FWD	9	2	2	-
Ronaldo MID	8		1	2 -
A Leite MID	8	1		3 -
M Antônio DEF	7			1 -
Y Quintana DEF	7			1 -
V Faria FWD	7			2 -
D Vieira MID	6			1 -
W. Rosas Nogueira Junior MID	3			1 -
P Delvalle FWD	3			-
T Heleno DEF	2			-
J Espinoza MID	2			-
Petterson FWD	2			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
5	12	4	4
Diogo	M Garcez	Reverson	M Vargas

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
Diogo FWD	5	6		1
Marlon FWD	2	5		3
L Vilela MID	2	5		1
M Garcez FWD	2	12	2	1
Reverson DEF	1	3	4	2
J Benítez FWD	1	10
A Lima MID	1	3
Marcelinho FWD	1	5
Rossi FWD	1	7	2	2
A Leite MID	1	1
L Freitas DEF		1
M Vargas MID		6	1	4
Bryan DEF		1
J Novillo DEF		1
E Edílson DEF		1	1
Thalisson DEF		2	1	1
Denner MID		2	1	2
Ronaldo MID		2	1
M Antônio DEF		1
V Faria FWD		1
D Vieira MID		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
513	27	68
Reverson	L Vilela	M Vargas

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
Reverson DEF	513	26	60
L Freitas DEF	504	19	52
M Vargas MID	363	13	68
L Vilela MID	330	27	56
J Novillo DEF	312	7	34
Bryan DEF	288	24	55
Rossi FWD	284	9	47
P Calmon DEF	278	14	28
G Mesquita GLK	276		11
A Lima MID	275	18	41
Thalisson DEF	255	18	47
E Edílson DEF	232	13	35
R Martínez MID	229	10	20
M Nogueira GLK	225		8
Y Quintana DEF	209	6	22
Marlon FWD	202	15	53
J Benítez FWD	179	9	61
Denner MID	158	7	25
Ronaldo MID	158	10	36
M Antônio DEF	158	4	31
A Leite MID	149	19	39
D Vieira MID	143	4	17
M Garcez FWD	141	9	68
Diogo FWD	128	4	52
Marcelinho FWD	98	7	19
V Faria FWD	41	4	21
W. Rosas Nogueira Junior MID	21	1	6
T Heleno DEF	20	1	2
J Espinoza MID	19
P Delvalle FWD	18	2	7
Petterson FWD	16		4