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Northampton Town v Exeter City : League One match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sixfields Stadium, Northampton

Jon Brady welcomes Gary Caldwell to the Sixfields Stadium on Saturday afternoon, as their Northampton Town and Exeter City teams clash in the League One. We've analysed both teams' last 20 League One matches, as well as trends within the competition and the market, to generate our percentage predictions. All the stats, including head to heads (H2H), are shown below, alongside odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers.

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The last English League One meeting between Northampton and Exeter was on Saturday 20th April 2024

English League One

April 20th 2024

Northampton 1	2 Exeter

J. Guthrie 73'	20' L. Harris
	83' W. Aimson

	NHT EXE
Shots On	8 3
Shots Off	3 2
Corners	10 2
Possession	57% 43%
Fouls	9 7
Yellow/red cards	1/0 0/1

Northampton	Exeter

L. Burge J. Guthrie S. Sherring A. McGowan (A. Odimayo 71') A. Koiki J. Sowerby (W. Hondermarck 84') S. McWilliams (S. Hoskins 64') M. Leonard L. Appere (T. Springett 71') M. Pinnock K. Bowie	V. Sinisalo Z. Jules W. Aimson (C. Diabate 46') J. Fitzwater (B. Purrington 58') D. Rankine (C. Watts 81') L. Harris I. Niskanen R. Woods (H. Kite 81') T. Carroll (R. Cole 65') J. Richards M. Alli

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

It's our view that there's not a clear favourite to claim victory here, but does appear clear is that the odds are pointing towards it'll have no more than 3 goals. Our statistical analysis draws the same conclusion. Northampton and Exeter have served up plenty of under 3.5 goal games recently, and key performance statistics point towards an extension of that record. We're confidently predicting under 3.5 goals on Saturday afternoon, and the bookies have it priced at 1.33.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Northampton are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 37% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.55.

Predictions	Bet365	Coral	Betfred	888Sport
Northampton 37%	31/20 11%	8/5 4%	6/4	-
Draw 27%	12/5 6%	9/4 4%	12/5	-
Exeter 36%	9/5 3%	9/5 4%	9/5	-
Draw 1-1 13%	11/2 7%	5/1	11/2	-
Northampton 1-0 10%	7/1 11%	13/2	15/2	-
Exeter 1-0 10%	15/2 15%	7/1	8/1	-
Draw 0-0 8%	17/2 21%	7/1 6%	10/1	-
Northampton 2-1 8%	9/1 5%	8/1	8/1	-
Exeter 2-1 8%	10/1	17/2 6%	9/1	-
Northampton 2-0 7%	11/1	10/1	12/1	-
Exeter 2-0 6%	12/1 13%	11/1 9%	14/1	-
Draw 2-2 5%	14/1 15%	11/1	12/1	-
Northampton 3-1 3%	20/1 24%	16/1	18/1	-
Exeter 3-1 3%	22/1 10%	16/1	20/1 9%	-
Northampton 3-0 3%	22/1 10%	18/1	25/1	-
Exeter 3-0 3%	28/1	20/1	28/1	-
Northampton 3-2 2%	28/1 12%	22/1 10%	25/1	-
Exeter 3-2 2%	33/1 17%	22/1	28/1	-
Over 2.5 Goals 45%	43/40 16%	-	10/11	-
Under 2.5 Goals 55%	8/11 14%	-	4/5	-
Home 1st Goal 48%	5/6 6%	-	19/20 2%	-
Away 1st Goal 47%	11/10 5%	-	21/20	-
No 1st Goal 5%	17/2 21%	-	9/1	-
BTTS - Yes 51%	4/5 8%	4/5 3%	8/11	-
BTTS - No 49%	19/20 7%	10/11 2%	Evs	-
BTTS - Home Win 16%	4/1 15%	19/5	18/5	-
BTTS - Draw 19%	7/2	16/5 3%	16/5	-
BTTS - Away Win 16%	9/2	17/4 5%	4/1	-
Home/draw 64%	2/5	4/9	2/5	-
Away/draw 63%	1/2 4%	1/2	8/15	-
Home/away 73%	3/10 1%	1/3 2%	1/3	-
Over 1.5 Goals 71%	1/3 6%	-	2/7	-
Under 1.5 Goals 29%	9/4 13%	-	5/2	-
Over 3.5 Goals 24%	11/4 25%	-	5/2	-
Under 3.5 Goals 76%	1/4 8%	-	2/7	-
Over 4.5 Goals 11%	7/1 33%	-	11/2	-
Under 4.5 Goals 89%	1/12 4%	-	1/10	-
Over 5.5 Goals 4%	16/1 31%	-	-	-
Under 5.5 Goals 96%	1/40 2%	-	-	-
Over 0.5 Goals 92%	1/16 2%	-	1/20	-
Under 0.5 Goals 8%	9/1 17%	-	8/1	-
Home DNB 56%	4/5 8%	3/4 3%	8/11	-
Away DNB 55%	10/11 9%	19/20 2%	Evs	-
Northampton win to nil 21%	10/3	-	10/3 3%	-
Exeter win to nil 20%	7/2 18%	-	4/1	-
Northampton / Northampton 19%	3/1 7%	3/1	3/1	-
Northampton / Exeter 3%	28/1 12%	22/1 10%	28/1	-
Northampton / Draw 6%	14/1 15%	11/1	12/1	-
Draw / Northampton 18%	5/1	0/1	5/1	-
Draw / Exeter 12%	11/2	5/1	11/2 7%	-
Draw / Draw 16%	4/1 9%	7/2 6%	4/1	-
Exeter / Northampton 3%	28/1 26%	20/1	25/1	-
Exeter / Exeter 17%	7/2 5%	17/5 5%	18/5	-
Exeter / Draw 6%	14/1 15%	11/1	12/1	-

Win / draw / win League One table

Northampton have played 44 matches so far this season and lay in 11th place in the League One league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 25 games against teams below in the table, having won 12, drawn 4 and lost 9 matches. They have kept 8 clean sheets and have failed to score in 7 fixtures. Northampton have outscored their opponents by 55 goals to 43 goals.

Home League Performance

Northampton have played 22 games at home winning 11, drawing 5 and losing 6 games. They have scored 30 goals, kept 7 clean sheets and conceded 21 goals at home.

Exeter are in 13th position in the League One on 58 points having played 44 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

11 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 38 goals and kept 5 clean sheets. They have scored 27 goals in total and failed to score in 8 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

22 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 11 games, drawn 6 and won 5. Exeter have conceded 34 goals, scored 17, failed to score in 11 fixtures and have kept 5 clean sheets.

Northampton

Won

Draw

Lost

Scores

Exeter

HOME	AWAY	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY
l 0-3A	l 4-1A	Portsmouth	46	28	13	5	37	97	d 0-00-0	l 1-0A
w 1-0F	l 4-0A	Derby	46	28	8	10	41	92	l 0-3A	l 2-0A
d 1-1F	l 2-1A	Bolton	46	25	12	9	35	87	d 2-2A	l 7-0A
w 1-0F	l 5-1F	Peterborough	46	25	9	12	28	84	w 2-1A	l 2-1A
w 2-1F	d 2-2A	Oxford Utd	46	22	11	13	23	77	l 1-2A	l 3-0A
l 1-2A	d 1-1A	Barnsley	46	21	13	12	18	76	l 0-1A	w 1-2F
d 2-2A	w 1-2F	Lincoln	46	20	14	12	25	74	d 1-1A	l 1-0A
l 0-1A	w 1-2F	Blackpool	46	21	10	15	17	73	d 0-00-0	l 2-0A
l 0-1A	l 3-0A	Stevenage	46	19	14	13	11	71	w 1-0F	d 1-1A
l 0-1A	l 2-0A	Wycombe	46	17	14	15	5	65	w 1-0F	w 0-3F
d 2-2A	l 4-3A	L Orient	46	18	11	17	-2	65	l 1-2F	d 2-2A
d 1-1F	l 2-1F	Wigan	46	20	10	16	7	62	l 0-2A	w 1-2F
l 1-2A	w 0-2F	Exeter Away	46	17	10	19	-15	61	-	-
-	-	Northampton H	46	17	9	20	-9	60	l 0-2A	w 1-2F
w 3-1F	l 2-1A	Bristol R	46	16	9	21	-16	57	l 0-1A	w 0-1F
d 1-1A	w 2-3F	Charlton	46	11	20	15	-1	53	d 1-1F	l 4-1F
w 3-1F	l 1-0A	Reading	46	16	11	19	-2	53	w 2-1F	l 3-2A
w 2-1F	d 1-1A	Cambridge	46	12	12	22	-22	48	d 0-00-0	l 2-0A
l 0-2A	l 1-0A	Shrewsbury	46	13	9	24	-32	48	d 0-00-0	w 0-3F
w 2-0F	w 0-2F	Burton	46	12	10	24	-28	46	w 1-0F	w 0-1F
w 1-0F	w 0-1F	Cheltenham	46	12	8	26	-24	44	w 1-0F	w 1-2A
w 3-0F	l 2-0A	Fleetwood	46	10	13	23	-23	43	d 1-1F	l 3-0A
w 2-0F	l 1-0A	Port Vale	46	10	11	25	-33	41	l 0-1A	w 2-4A
w 2-0F	d 2-2F	Carlisle	46	7	9	30	-40	30	w 2-1F	w 0-2F

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Lost

HOME FORM
Northampton	2 - 0	Carlisle
Northampton	2 - 0	Port Vale
Northampton	1 - 0	Derby
Northampton	0 - 1	Blackpool
Northampton	1 - 1	Charlton
Northampton	3 - 1	Bristol R
Northampton	1 - 1	Bolton
Northampton	0 - 2	Shrewsbury
Northampton	1 - 1	Wigan
Northampton	1 - 0	Cheltenham
Northampton	2 - 1	Oxford Utd
Northampton	3 - 0	Fleetwood
Northampton	0 - 3	Portsmouth
Northampton	2 - 1	Cambridge
Northampton	2 - 0	Burton
Northampton	2 - 2	L Orient
Northampton	3 - 1	Reading
Northampton	1 - 2	Barnsley
Northampton	0 - 1	Wycombe
Northampton	1 - 0	Peterborough

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM
A	Northampton	0 - 2	Fleetwood
H	Northampton	2 - 0	Carlisle
H	Northampton	2 - 0	Port Vale
A	Northampton	0 - 1	Reading
H	Northampton	1 - 0	Derby
A	Northampton	0 - 2	Wycombe
H	Northampton	0 - 1	Blackpool
A	Northampton	1 - 1	Cambridge
A	Northampton	1 - 5	Peterborough
H	Northampton	1 - 1	Charlton
A	Northampton	2 - 0	Burton
A	Northampton	2 - 2	Oxford Utd
H	Northampton	3 - 1	Bristol R
A	Northampton	3 - 4	L Orient
H	Northampton	1 - 1	Bolton
A	Northampton	1 - 4	Portsmouth
H	Northampton	0 - 2	Shrewsbury
A	Northampton	3 - 2	Charlton
H	Northampton	1 - 1	Wigan
H	Northampton	1 - 0	Cheltenham

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Won

Lost

AWAY FORM
Port Vale	2 - 4	Exeter
L Orient	2 - 2	Exeter
Cheltenham	1 - 2	Exeter
Shrewsbury	0 - 3	Exeter
Peterborough	2 - 1	Exeter
Lincoln	1 - 0	Exeter
Wigan	1 - 2	Exeter
Barnsley	1 - 2	Exeter
Bristol R	0 - 1	Exeter
Blackpool	2 - 0	Exeter
Reading	3 - 2	Exeter
Cambridge	2 - 0	Exeter
Stevenage	1 - 1	Exeter
Bolton	7 - 0	Exeter
Fleetwood	3 - 0	Exeter
Derby	2 - 0	Exeter
Charlton	4 - 1	Exeter
Oxford Utd	3 - 0	Exeter
Burton	0 - 1	Exeter
Carlisle	0 - 2	Exeter

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM
A	Exeter	4 - 2	Port Vale
A	Exeter	2 - 2	L Orient
H	Exeter	1 - 0	Stevenage
A	Exeter	2 - 1	Cheltenham
H	Exeter	1 - 1	Charlton
H	Exeter	1 - 0	Burton
A	Exeter	3 - 0	Shrewsbury
H	Exeter	2 - 2	Bolton
A	Exeter	1 - 2	Peterborough
H	Exeter	1 - 1	Fleetwood
A	Exeter	0 - 1	Lincoln
H	Exeter	0 - 3	Derby
A	Exeter	2 - 1	Wigan
H	Exeter	2 - 1	Peterborough
H	Exeter	0 - 1	Bristol R
A	Exeter	2 - 1	Barnsley
A	Exeter	1 - 0	Bristol R
H	Exeter	0 - 0	Cambridge
A	Exeter	0 - 2	Blackpool
H	Exeter	2 - 1	Carlisle

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Northampton have not lost to Exeter in 5 consecutive league meetings

Northampton

Exeter

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

7 / 7

3 / 7

Clean sheets

4 / 7

0 / 7

NHT

EXE

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Northampton
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Northampton	2 - 0
Northampton	2 - 1
Northampton	3 - 0
Northampton	1 - 0
	1 - 2	Exeter
Northampton	3 - 0

Northampton

Exeter

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

14 / 16

7 / 16

Clean sheets

9 / 16

2 / 16

NHT

EXE

FIXTURE HISTORY
	0 - 2	Northampton
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
	1 - 2	Northampton
	0 - 4	Northampton
Northampton	2 - 0
Exeter	3 - 2
Northampton	2 - 1
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Northampton	3 - 0
	0 - 2	Northampton
Northampton	1 - 0
	0 - 1	Northampton
	1 - 2	Exeter
Exeter	3 - 0
Northampton	3 - 0

Goal Statistics

	Northampton 14th	Exeter 13th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.3 goals	1.2 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 29% 1 36% 2 22% 3 9% 4+ There is a 65% probability that Northampton will score no more than 1 goal	0 29% 1 36% 2 22% 3 9% 4+ There is a 65% probability that Exeter will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	+11 Northampton have scored 11% more goals at home than predicted	+13 Exeter have scored 13% more goals when away than predicted
	1.4 average goals scored	1.2 average goals scored
	0.9 conceded	1.9 conceded

Statistics League One - 2023/2024 Season

20%

better

NHT

EXE

view stats

Games scored	34		28
Failed to score	12		18
Scored first	22		18
Goals scored	57		46
Avg. goals scored	1.2		1
Avg. shots per game	8		8
Avg. shots per goal	6		8
Conversion rate	16%		12%
KickOff rating		+20%

NHT

EXE

better

view stats

Games conceded	36		33
Clean sheets	10		13
Conceded first	24		24
Goals conceded	66		61
Avg. goals conceded	1.4		1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded	9		10
Avg. shots/goal conceded	6		7
Conversion rate	16%		14%
KickOff rating		+8%

Northampton v Exeter League One lLine ups will show here when available.

Northampton League One squad statistics 2023/2024

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
44	15	7	11
M Leonard	S Hoskins	M Pinnock	K Bowie

Line-up	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
L Burge GLK	18			2 -
A McGowan DEF	26		1	2 -
S Sherring DEF	35		4	1 -
J Guthrie DEF	34	3	1	4 -
A Koiki DEF	10	1		-
S McWilliams MID	34	2	2	4 -
J Sowerby MID	28		1	5 -
K Bowie MID	42	9	5	10 1
M Leonard MID	44	5	6	3 -
M Pinnock MID	43	7	7	5 -
L Appéré FWD	35	5	2	1 -
Subs
J Dadge GLK				-
J Willis DEF	26			1 -
A Odimayo DEF	27			6 -
B Fox MID	19			-
W Hondermarck MID	28	1	1	3 -
S Hoskins FWD	37	15	3	6 -
T Springett FWD	12	1		-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
15	39	7	10
S Hoskins	S Hoskins	M Pinnock	M Leonard

Line-up	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
K Bowie MID	9	23	5	4
M Pinnock MID	7	24	7	8
M Leonard MID	5	19	6	10
L Appéré FWD	5	14	2	2
J Guthrie DEF	3	8	1
S McWilliams MID	2	3	2	1
A Koiki DEF	1	2
L Burge GLK				1
A McGowan DEF		1	1	1
S Sherring DEF		5	4	3
J Sowerby MID		1	1
Subs
S Hoskins FWD	15	39	3	5
W Hondermarck MID	1	3	1
T Springett FWD	1	4
A Odimayo DEF				1
B Fox MID		2		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
2757	111	231
M Leonard	M Leonard	M Leonard

Line-up	passes	tackles	duels won
M Leonard MID	2757	111	231
S Sherring DEF	1727	44	186
J Guthrie DEF	1387	43	200
M Pinnock MID	1284	54	136
J Sowerby MID	1141	18	36
S McWilliams MID	966	55	133
K Bowie MID	725	53	218
A McGowan DEF	715	23	120
L Burge GLK	510	1	7
L Appéré FWD	293	9	59
A Koiki DEF	78	4	14
Subs
A Odimayo DEF	772	37	78
J Willis DEF	751	14	93
S Hoskins FWD	733	36	103
B Fox MID	437	25	55
W Hondermarck MID	419	30	66
T Springett FWD	92	4	17

Exeter League One squad statistics 2023/2024

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
43	7	4	12
V Sinisalo	R Cole	I Niskanen	R Cole

Line-up	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
V Sinisalo GLK	43			3 -
J Fitzwater DEF	3			-
W Aimson DEF	34	3		3 1
Z Jules DEF	38	2		6 1
D Rankine MID	31	1	1	2 -
R Woods MID	13		1	1 -
T Carroll MID	40	2	2	7 -
I Niskanen MID	31		4	4 -
J. Richards FWD	4		2	-
M Alli FWD	8	2		1 -
L Harris FWD	19	3	2	5 -
Subs
S MacDonald GLK				-
C Diabaté DEF	27			4 -
B Purrington DEF	11	1	1	3 -
P Borges MID	3		1	1 -
R Cole MID	37	7	3	12 -
H Kite MID	18			-
C Watts MID	7	1		4 -

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
7	26	4	10
R Cole	R Cole	I Niskanen	R Cole

Line-up	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
L Harris FWD	3	6	2	1
W Aimson DEF	3	5		1
Z Jules DEF	2	6
T Carroll MID	2	5	2	2
M Alli FWD	2	4
D Rankine MID	1	7	1	3
R Woods MID		1	1	1
I Niskanen MID		5	4	5
J. Richards FWD			2
Subs
R Cole MID	7	26	3	10
B Purrington DEF	1	3	1
C Watts MID	1	2
C Diabaté DEF		1
P Borges MID			1
H Kite MID		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
2140	61	246
T Carroll	I Niskanen	W Aimson

Line-up	passes	tackles	duels won
T Carroll MID	2140	45	90
W Aimson DEF	1980	53	246
Z Jules DEF	1462	60	215
V Sinisalo GLK	1418	1	24
I Niskanen MID	756	61	114
R Woods MID	553	12	29
L Harris FWD	535	30	82
D Rankine MID	419	21	78
J Fitzwater DEF	105	3	6
M Alli FWD	65	2	19
J. Richards FWD	59	1	12
Subs
R Cole MID	1216	32	82
C Diabaté DEF	1047	18	91
H Kite MID	362	16	43
B Purrington DEF	272	9	32
C Watts MID	108	4	11
P Borges MID	8		3

English League One match betting previews, predictions and odds

Barnsley v Bolton

Fri 3rd May, 19:30

Oxford Utd v Peterborough

Sat 4th May, 19:45

Northampton Town v Exeter City : League One match betting preview, prediction and odds

Northampton have played 44 matches so far this season and lay in 11th place in the League One league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

Home League Performance

Exeter are in 13th position in the League One on 58 points having played 44 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

Performance against teams above them in the league

Northampton v Exeter League One lLine ups will show here when available.

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