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Marseille v Lens : Ligue 1 match betting preview, prediction and odds

Stade Vélodrome, Marseille

Sunday night at the Stade Vélodrome, and it’s a Ligue 1 clash between Marseille and Lens. Jean-Louis Gasset and Franck Haise will be doing all they can to claim victory. Team form, head to head (H2H) stats, predictions and odds are all published below. Helping our users place smart bets is what we do best. We've backed under 3.5 goals, but why not take a look and see if there's another bet you prefer?

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Marseille's next match is v Atalanta at 20:00 on Thursday 9th May
Lens's next match is v Rennes at 20:00 on Sunday 12th May
The last French Ligue 1 meeting between Marseille and Lens was on Sunday 28th April 2024
French Ligue 1
April 28th 2024
Marseille 2
1 Lens
 
P. Aubameyang 1'77' W. Saïd
P. Gueye 85'
 
MAR
LEN
Shots On
6
5
Shots Off
4
9
Corners
3
11
Possession
43%
57%
Fouls
7
9
Yellow/red cards
2/0
2/0
 
MarseilleLens
 
P. López Sabata
S. Gigot
L. Balerdi Rossa
M. Murillo Bermudez (J. Junior Onana Onana 72')
U. Garcia Lopes
J. Clauss (L. Tomaz de Lima 79')
A. Harit (G. Kondogbia 65')
P. Gueyefootball icon
J. Veretout
P. Aubameyangfootball icon
I. Ndiaye (I. Sarr 65')
B. Samba
K. Danso
F. Medina
(A. Sishuba 76') D. Machado Mena
M. Haïdara
(W. Saïd 62') N. El Aynaoui
P. Frankowski
(R. Aguilar 81') N. Mendy
(D. Pereira da Costa 62') A. Fulgini
(A. Diouf 76') S. Wahi
F. Sotoca
Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

There's 75% chance of Marseille and Lens a maximum of 3 goals combined during this Ligue 1 match according to our predictive algorithm and, with no strong favourite in the win draw win market, we think that's where the smart money should go. Our calculations are made based on 20-game form, historical head-to-head (H2H) stats and the view of the betting market, and you can go with it at a best price of 1.33.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Marseille are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 42% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.50.
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Marseille
42%
6/5
5%
23/20
Draw
26%
13/5
6%
5/2
3%
Lens
31%
11/5
6%
9/4
4%
Draw 1-1
13%
6/1
8%
11/2
Marseille 1-0
11%
8/1
29%
8/1
13%
Lens 1-0
9%
10/1
16%
11/1
9%
Marseille 2-1
9%
8/115/2
Draw 0-0
8%
11/1
33%
12/1
18%
Marseille 2-0
7%
10/1
16%
10/1
Lens 2-1
7%
10/1
8%
10/1
8%
Lens 2-0
5%
16/118/1
Draw 2-2
5%
12/1
13%
11/1
8%
Marseille 3-1
4%
16/1
11%
16/1
Marseille 3-0
4%
20/1
11%
20/1
Lens 3-1
3%
22/1
21%
25/1
10%
Marseille 3-2
2%
22/1
21%
22/1
12%
Lens 3-0
2%
33/1
17%
40/1
11%
Lens 3-2
2%
28/1
29%
28/1
15%
Over 2.5 Goals
48%
4/5
14%
8/11
7%
Under 2.5 Goals
52%
1/1
16%
1/1
8%
Home 1st Goal
50%
4/64/5
Away 1st Goal
46%
5/4
10%
5/4
4%
No 1st Goal
5%
11/1
33%
12/1
18%
BTTS - Yes
52%
4/6
13%
3/5
6%
BTTS - No
48%
11/10
10%
6/5
7%
BTTS - Home Win
19%
3/1
16%
14/5
5%
BTTS - Draw
19%
10/3
9%
16/5
BTTS - Away Win
14%
9/2
21%
9/2
8%
Home/draw
69%
4/11
5%
1/3
Away/draw
58%
4/6
2%
7/10
Home/away
74%
2/7
1%
3/10
2%
Over 1.5 Goals
73%
1/4
8%
2/9
5%
Under 1.5 Goals
27%
3/1
25%
14/5
12%
Over 3.5 Goals
26%
2/1
25%
9/5
13%
Under 3.5 Goals
74%
2/5
12%
2/5
5%
Over 4.5 Goals
12%
9/2
31%
17/4
13%
Under 4.5 Goals
88%
1/7
6%
1/7
3%
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
10/1
35%
10/1
15%
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
1/20
3%
1/20
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
1/20
2%
1/22
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
10/1
22%
11/1
20%
Home DNB
61%
4/7
5%
4/7
3%
Away DNB
50%
5/4
10%
13/10
3%
Marseille win to nil
23%
3/1
14%
3/1
7%
Lens win to nil
17%
5/1
9%
11/2
8%
Marseille / Marseille
24%
5/213/5
Marseille / Lens
3%
28/1
15%
33/1
17%
Marseille / Draw
6%
12/1
13%
14/1
Draw / Marseille
15%
9/2
10%
21/5
4%
Draw / Lens
11%
6/1
7%
6/1
7%
Draw / Draw
16%
9/2
10%
9/2
10%
Lens / Marseille
3%
22/1
12%
25/1
Lens / Lens
16%
4/1
9%
19/4
4%
Lens / Draw
6%
14/114/1
bet365
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Win / draw / win Ligue 1 table

Marseille have played 30 matches so far this season and are in 8th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

13 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 8 games, drawn 3 and won 2. Marseille have conceded 21 goals, scored 11, failed to score in 7 matches and kept 3 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Marseille have played 15 games at home, winning 8, drawing 6 and losing 1 fixture. They have scored 26 goals, conceded 11 goals, kept 7 clean sheets and failed to score 3 times in home league games.

Lens lay in 6th place on 46 points in the Ligue 1 league table having played 30 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 20 games against teams below them in the table, winning 12, drawing 6 and losing 2 games. They have scored 30 goals and kept 12 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Lens have conceded 10 goals and have failed to score in 4 matches.

Away league performance

Lens have played 15 away games, winning 5, drawing 4 and losing 6 games. They have scored an average of 1.1 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.1 goals per away game.

Marseille
Won
Draw
Lost
Scores
Lens
HOME AWAY TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY
l
 
0-2A
l
 
4-0A
 PSG31201014770 
l
 
0-2A
l
 
3-1A
d
 
2-2A
l
 
3-2F
 Monaco3218772061 
l
 
2-3A
l
 
3-0A
w
 
2-0F
l
 
1-0A
 Brest3216971657 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
3-2F
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
3-1A
 Lille32151071755 
d
 
1-1A
l
 
2-1A
d
 
2-2A
l
 
1-0A
 Nice3114981151 
l
 
1-3A
l
 
2-0A
w
 
2-1F
l
 
1-0A
 Lens Away3214711849 
-
-
w
 
3-0F
l
 
1-0A
 Lyon3214513-847 
w
 
3-2A
w
 
0-3F
w
 
2-0F
l
 
2-0A
 Rennes3212911845 
d
 
1-1F
May 12
-
-
 Marseille Home3111119944 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
2-1A
w
 
4-1A
d
 
1-1A
 Montpellier32101111-340 
May 19
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
2-2F
 Toulouse32101012-340 
w
 
2-1A
w
 
0-2F
w
 
2-1A
May 15
 Reims3111713-740 
w
 
2-0F
d
 
1-1A
d
 
1-1F
d
 
1-1A
 Strasbourg329914-1236 
w
 
3-1F
w
 
0-1F
w
 
2-0F
d
 
1-1F
 Nantes329617-2033 
w
 
4-0F
w
 
0-1F
w
 
3-0F
May 19
 Le Havre3271114-932 
d
 
1-1F
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
1-1F
d
 
2-2F
 Metz328519-2029 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
2-1F
May 12
w
 
2-4F
 Lorient326818-2626 
w
 
2-0F
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
2-1F
w
 
1-5F
 Clermont3251017-2825 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-3F
Win / draw / win form
Marseille 9TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
36
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
11
Draw
7
L
2
see results
HOME FORM
Marseille2 - 2Nice
Marseille0 - 2PSG
Marseille2 - 0Nantes
Marseille4 - 1Montpellier
Marseille1 - 1Metz
Marseille2 - 2Monaco
Marseille1 - 1Strasbourg
Marseille2 - 1Clermont
Marseille3 - 0Lyon
Marseille2 - 0Rennes
Marseille0 - 0Lille
Marseille3 - 0Le Havre
Marseille0 - 0Toulouse
Marseille2 - 0Brest
Marseille2 - 1Reims
Marseille1 - 2Brest
Marseille3 - 1Angers
Marseille2 - 1Auxerre
Marseille3 - 1Troyes
Marseille1 - 1Montpellier
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
7
Draw
7
Lost
6
see results
OVERALL FORM
HMarseille2 - 2Nice
AMarseille2 - 2Toulouse
AMarseille1 - 3Lille
HMarseille0 - 2PSG
AMarseille0 - 2Rennes
HMarseille2 - 0Nantes
AMarseille5 - 1Clermont
HMarseille4 - 1Montpellier
AMarseille0 - 1Brest
HMarseille1 - 1Metz
AMarseille0 - 1Lyon
HMarseille2 - 2Monaco
HMarseille1 - 1Strasbourg
AMarseille1 - 1Montpellier
HMarseille2 - 1Clermont
AMarseille4 - 2Lorient
HMarseille3 - 0Lyon
HMarseille2 - 0Rennes
AMarseille1 - 1Strasbourg
AMarseille0 - 1Lens
Lens 6TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
9
D
4
Lost
7
see results
AWAY FORM
Metz2 - 1Lens
Lille2 - 1Lens
Lyon0 - 3Lens
Reims1 - 1Lens
Nantes0 - 1Lens
Toulouse0 - 2Lens
Nice2 - 0Lens
Montpellier0 - 0Lens
Clermont0 - 3Lens
Lorient0 - 0Lens
Le Havre0 - 0Lens
Strasbourg0 - 1Lens
Monaco3 - 0Lens
PSG3 - 1Lens
Brest3 - 2Lens
Auxerre1 - 3Lens
Lorient1 - 3Lens
Toulouse0 - 1Lens
PSG3 - 1Lens
Rennes0 - 1Lens
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
10
D
4
Lost
6
see results
OVERALL FORM
HLens1 - 0Clermont
ALens1 - 2Metz
HLens1 - 1Le Havre
ALens1 - 2Lille
HLens1 - 3Nice
HLens1 - 0Brest
ALens3 - 0Lyon
HLens2 - 3Monaco
ALens1 - 1Reims
HLens3 - 1Strasbourg
ALens1 - 0Nantes
ALens2 - 0Toulouse
HLens0 - 2PSG
ALens0 - 2Nice
HLens2 - 0Reims
ALens0 - 0Montpellier
HLens3 - 2Lyon
ALens3 - 0Clermont
HLens1 - 0Marseille
ALens0 - 0Lorient
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
Lens have beaten Marseille in 3 consecutive league meetings
League games at Marseille since 2014
Marseille
Lens
Goals: Scored
4
6
Games: Scored
2 / 4
4 / 4
Clean sheets
0 / 4
2 / 4
MAR
1
LEN
3
see results
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Marseille
0 - 1Lens
2 - 3Lens
0 - 1Lens
Marseille2 - 1
All league games since 2014
Marseille
Lens
Goals: Scored
13
11
Games: Scored
6 / 9
7 / 9
Clean sheets
2 / 9
3 / 9
MAR
3
D
1
LEN
5
see results
FIXTURE HISTORY
Lens1 - 0
Lens2 - 1
0 - 1Lens
0 - 2Marseille
2 - 3Lens
Draw2 - 2Draw
0 - 1Lens
0 - 4Marseille
Marseille2 - 1
Goal Statistics

Goals have been an issue for Lens of late. It has been 6 Ligue 1 games since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.2 suggests they'll struggle to end that run on Sunday night against Marseille.

Marseille 9th Lens 6th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.4
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
25%
1
34%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 59% probability that Marseille will score no more than 1 goal
0
31%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 67% probability that Lens will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+1
Marseille’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-3
Lens’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.8
average goals scored
1.3
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
1.1
conceded
 
Statistics Ligue 1 - 2023/2024 Season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/262986/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Marseille
PG (predicted goals)
Lens
1.4
1.2
Attack rating
0%
better
MAR
LEN
view stats
Games scored22
25
Failed to score9
7
Scored first15
16
Goals scored47
42
Avg. goals scored1.5
1.3
Avg. shots per game11
11
Avg. shots per goal7
8
Conversion rate14%
12%
KickOff rating
0%
Defence rating
MAR
LEN
17%
better
view stats
Games conceded24
18
Clean sheets7
14
Conceded first14
13
Goals conceded38
34
Avg. goals conceded1.2
1.1
Avg. shots/game conceded8
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
8
Conversion rate15%
13%
KickOff rating
+17%

Marseille v Lens Ligue 1 lLine ups will show here when available.

Marseille Ligue 1 squad statistics 2023/2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
271177
P LópezP AubameyangP AubameyangS Gigot 
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
P López GLK27
1
-
L Balerdi DEF222
4
-
S Gigot  DEF182
6
1
M Murillo DEF1021
1
-
J Clauss  MID2322
2
1
A Harit  MID2512
5
-
P Gueye MID9
-
J Veretout MID2312
4
-
U Garcia MID8
-
I Ndiaye FWD2432
1
P Aubameyang FWD28117
3
-
Subs
R Blanco GLK2
-
A Ounahi MID192
2
-
J Onana MID8
1
-
G Kondogbia MID20
2
-
S Sparagna MID
-
R. Daou MID
-
L Henrique FWD91
-
J Correa FWD11
3
-
I Sarr FWD2034
1
-
Lens Ligue 1 squad statistics 2023/2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
297510
B SambaE WahiF SotocaF Medina
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
B Samba GLK29
3
-
M Haidara DEF15
1
-
K Danso DEF271
5
-
F Medina DEF2613
10
-
P Frankowski MID2532
4
-
N Mendy MID11
2
-
N Aynaoui MID2312
1
-
D Machado MID143
3
-
F Sotoca MID2765
3
1
A Fulgini MID242
1
-
E Wahi FWD2372
7
-
Subs
J Leca GLK
-
R Aguilar DEF2113
3
-
J Chávez DEF8
1
-
A Thomasson MID2611
2
1
A. Sishuba MID5
-
D Costa MID2032
2
-
A Diouf MID241
2
-
W Saïd  FWD2361
1
-
M Guilavogui FWD202
1
-