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Milan v Inter Milan : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Giuseppe Meazza, Milano

Stefano Pioli and Simone Inzaghi clash in the Serie A on Monday evening, as Milan face Inter Milan at the Giuseppe Meazza. In this preview you'll find odds from leading bookmakers for the 17 biggest betting markets plus predictions, stats and head to head (H2H) data for these two clubs. You can access it all using the tabs below.

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Milan's next match is v Genoa at 17:00 on Sunday 5th May
Inter Milan's next match is v Sassuolo at 19:45 on Saturday 4th May
The last Italian Serie A meeting between Milan and Inter was on Monday 22nd April 2024
Italian Serie A
April 22nd 2024
Milan 1
2 Inter
 
F. Tomori 80'18' F. Acerbi
49' M. Thuram
 
ACM
INT
Shots On
6
3
Shots Off
6
6
Corners
5
3
Possession
52%
48%
Fouls
19
10
Yellow/red cards
3/2
2/1
 
MilanInter
 
M. Maignan
D. Calabria
T. Hernández
M. Gabbia
F. Tomorifootball icon
Y. Musah (N. Okafor 77')
T. Reijnders (O. Giroud 52')
R. Loftus-Cheek (S. Chukwueze 68')
Y. Adli (I. Bennacer 68')
C. Pulisic
R. Conceição Leão
Y. Sommer
(D. Dumfries 84') M. Darmian
(C. Zopalato Neves 78') F. Dimarco
B. Pavard
football iconF. Acerbi
(S. de Vrij 88') A. Bastoni
(K. Asllani 84') H. Çalhanoğlu
H. Mkhitaryan
(D. Frattesi 77') N. Barella
L. Martínez
football iconM. Thuram
Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

The stats suggest we don't have an obvious winner in this fixture, but good reason to think Milan and Inter will score at least a couple of goals between them. We've seen goals when they've gone head-to-head in the past, and neither Stefano Pioli or Simone Inzaghi has subjected their supporters to too many 0-0s recently either. The bookmakers are predicting over 1.5 goals too, with best odds of 1.25 equating to roughly a 77% probability.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 44% chance of Inter coming away with a win.
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral Betfred 888Sport
Milan
31%
11/4
25%
27/10
16%
11/5
7%
-
Draw
25%
12/55/2
3%
12/5-
Inter
44%
1/1
15%
1/1
11%
5/4
5%
-
Draw 1-1
12%
11/211/211/2-
Inter 1-0
10%
15/27/1
6%
15/2
6%
-
Inter 2-1
9%
8/1
5%
15/2
6%
15/2
6%
-
Milan 1-0
8%
11/1
20%
11/1
9%
10/1
10%
-
Inter 2-0
7%
9/1
17%
9/1
17%
10/1
8%
-
Milan 2-1
7%
12/1
18%
11/1
9%
10/1
10%
-
Draw 0-0
6%
10/1
10%
11/110/1-
Draw 2-2
6%
12/112/112/1
8%
-
Milan 2-0
5%
18/1
27%
20/1
24%
16/1
13%
-
Inter 3-1
5%
14/1
21%
14/1
12%
16/1-
Inter 3-0
4%
18/1
10%
18/1
17%
20/1
9%
-
Milan 3-1
3%
28/1
26%
28/1
26%
22/1-
Inter 3-2
3%
22/1
12%
22/1
12%
22/1-
Milan 3-2
2%
33/1
17%
33/1
17%
28/1
12%
-
Milan 3-0
2%
40/1
21%
50/1
24%
33/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
52%
4/5
3%
4/54/5-
Under 2.5 Goals
48%
1/1
3%
10/1110/11-
Home 1st Goal
45%
7/5
6%
29/20
9%
6/5
5%
-
Away 1st Goal
51%
8/13
3%
8/11
7%
4/5
2%
-
No 1st Goal
4%
10/1
10%
11/110/1-
BTTS - Yes
56%
4/6
2%
4/6
3%
4/6
3%
-
BTTS - No
44%
11/10
2%
11/10
2%
11/10
5%
-
BTTS - Home Win
15%
11/2
8%
5/1
15%
9/2
10%
-
BTTS - Draw
19%
10/313/4
1%
16/5
5%
-
BTTS - Away Win
22%
3/1
11%
11/4
6%
3/1
5%
-
Home/draw
56%
4/5
8%
4/5
8%
4/6
6%
-
Away/draw
69%
1/4
5%
2/7
5%
1/3
5%
-
Home/away
75%
3/103/10
2%
3/10
2%
-
Over 1.5 Goals
76%
1/4
3%
1/41/4-
Under 1.5 Goals
24%
3/1
7%
13/511/4-
Over 3.5 Goals
30%
11/5
12%
2/12/1-
Under 3.5 Goals
70%
4/11
5%
4/114/11-
Over 4.5 Goals
15%
9/2
8%
19/49/2-
Under 4.5 Goals
85%
1/7
2%
1/81/8-
Over 5.5 Goals
6%
10/1
15%
11/1--
Under 5.5 Goals
94%
1/20
1%
1/22--
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1/20
1%
1/221/25-
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
10/1
10%
10/19/1-
Home DNB
48%
13/8
25%
13/8
19%
5/4
7%
-
Away DNB
62%
4/9
14%
4/9
10%
4/7
6%
-
Milan win to nil
15%
6/1
27%
6/1
13%
5/1
9%
-
Inter win to nil
23%
11/4
6%
13/5
13%
3/1
5%
-
Milan / Milan
14%
9/2
16%
11/2
24%
4/1
9%
-
Milan / Inter
3%
22/1
12%
25/125/1-
Milan / Draw
6%
14/114/112/1-
Draw / Milan
11%
13/2
15%
7/1
14%
7/1
14%
-
Draw / Inter
17%
4/1
9%
19/5
9%
9/2
8%
-
Draw / Draw
15%
9/2
10%
17/49/2-
Inter / Milan
2%
28/140/1
21%
33/1
17%
-
Inter / Inter
25%
9/4
13%
23/10
11%
5/2
7%
-
Inter / Draw
6%
12/114/112/1-
bet365
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Win / draw / win Serie A table

Milan have played 32 matches so far this season and are in 2nd position in the league. Milan have a shocking record against teams above them in the league, they have lost all 1 matches and failed to score in 0 of those games.

Performance against teams above them in the league

1 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 1 game, drawn zero and won zero. Milan have conceded 5 goals, scored 1, scored in every game and kept no clean sheets.

Home league performance

Milan have played 15 games at home, winning 11, drawing 2 and losing 2 fixtures. They have scored 26 goals, conceded 8 goals, kept 8 clean sheets and failed to score 2 times in home league games.

Inter lay in 1st place on 83 points in the Serie A league table having played 32 matches. Inter are unbeaten away after 15 games and have kept 9 clean sheets in those matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 32 games against teams below them in the table, winning 26, drawing 5 and losing 1 game. They have scored 77 goals and kept 19 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Inter have conceded 17 goals and scored in every game.

Away league performance

Inter have played 15 away games, winning 13, drawing 2 and losing 0 games. They have scored an average of 2.4 goals per away game and conceded an average 0.5 goals per away game.

Milan
Won
Draw
Lost
Scores
Inter
HOME AWAY TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY
l
 
1-2A
l
 
5-1A
 Inter Away3428516389 
-
-
-
-
 Milan Home3421762570 
w
 
5-1F
w
 
1-2F
l
 
0-1A
d
 
0-00-0
 Juventus34181152165 
w
 
1-0F
d
 
1-1A
d
 
2-2A
w
 
0-2F
 Bologna34171252263 
d
 
2-2F
w
 
0-1F
w
 
3-1F
w
 
1-2F
 Roma3417892059 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
2-4F
d
 
1-1F
l
 
3-2A
 Atalanta33176102457 
w
 
4-0F
w
 
1-2F
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-1F
 Lazio3417413855 
May 19
w
 
0-2F
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-2F
 Fiorentina33148111350 
w
 
4-0F
w
 
0-1F
w
 
1-0F
d
 
2-2F
 Napoli34131110950 
d
 
1-1F
w
 
0-3F
w
 
4-1F
May 19
 Torino34111310046 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-3F
w
 
3-0F
l
 
4-2A
 Monza34111112-844 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
1-5F
May 5
w
 
0-1F
 Genoa34101212-242 
w
 
2-1F
d
 
1-1F
w
 
3-0F
d
 
2-2F
 Lecce3481214-1836 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-4F
May 11
w
 
1-3A
 Cagliari3471116-2332 
d
 
2-2F
w
 
0-2F
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-3F
 Verona3471017-1431 
w
 
2-1F
May 26
w
 
3-1F
w
 
2-3F
 Frosinone3471017-2031 
w
 
2-0F
May 10
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-3F
 Empoli348719-2431 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-1F
l
 
0-1A
w
 
2-3F
 Udinese3441713-1929 
w
 
4-0F
w
 
1-2A
w
 
1-0F
d
 
3-3A
 Sassuolo346820-3026 
l
 
1-2F
May 4
May 26
d
 
2-2F
 Salernitana342923-4715 
w
 
4-0F
w
 
0-4F
Win / draw / win form
Milan 2ND
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
39
Conceded
11
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
15
D
3
L
2
see results
HOME FORM
Milan3 - 0Lecce
Milan1 - 0Empoli
Milan1 - 1Atalanta
Milan1 - 0Napoli
Milan2 - 2Bologna
Milan3 - 1Roma
Milan1 - 0Sassuolo
Milan3 - 0Monza
Milan3 - 1Frosinone
Milan1 - 0Fiorentina
Milan0 - 1Udinese
Milan0 - 1Juventus
Milan2 - 0Lazio
Milan1 - 0Verona
Milan4 - 1Torino
Milan3 - 1Verona
Milan5 - 1Sampdoria
Milan2 - 0Lazio
Milan1 - 1Cremonese
Milan2 - 0Lecce
Goals: Scored
43
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
14
D
4
L
2
see results
OVERALL FORM
AMilan3 - 3Sassuolo
HMilan3 - 0Lecce
AMilan2 - 1Fiorentina
AMilan3 - 1Verona
HMilan1 - 0Empoli
AMilan1 - 0Lazio
HMilan1 - 1Atalanta
AMilan2 - 4Monza
HMilan1 - 0Napoli
AMilan3 - 2Frosinone
HMilan2 - 2Bologna
AMilan3 - 2Udinese
HMilan3 - 1Roma
AMilan3 - 0Empoli
HMilan1 - 0Sassuolo
AMilan2 - 2Salernitana
HMilan3 - 0Monza
AMilan2 - 3Atalanta
HMilan3 - 1Frosinone
HMilan1 - 0Fiorentina
Inter 1ST
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
49
Conceded
10
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
7 / 20
Clean sheets
13 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
17
D
2
L
1
see results
AWAY FORM
Udinese1 - 2Inter
Bologna0 - 1Inter
Lecce0 - 4Inter
Roma2 - 4Inter
Fiorentina0 - 1Inter
Monza1 - 5Inter
Genoa1 - 1Inter
Lazio0 - 2Inter
Napoli0 - 3Inter
Juventus1 - 1Inter
Atalanta1 - 2Inter
Torino0 - 3Inter
Salernitana0 - 4Inter
Empoli0 - 1Inter
Cagliari0 - 2Inter
Torino0 - 1Inter
Napoli3 - 1Inter
Roma0 - 2Inter
Verona0 - 6Inter
Empoli0 - 3Inter
Goals: Scored
48
Conceded
11
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
9 / 20
Clean sheets
11 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
16
D
4
see results
OVERALL FORM
HInter2 - 2Cagliari
AInter2 - 1Udinese
HInter2 - 0Empoli
HInter1 - 1Napoli
AInter1 - 0Bologna
HInter2 - 1Genoa
HInter4 - 0Atalanta
AInter4 - 0Lecce
HInter4 - 0Salernitana
AInter4 - 2Roma
HInter1 - 0Juventus
AInter1 - 0Fiorentina
AInter5 - 1Monza
HInter2 - 1Verona
AInter1 - 1Genoa
HInter2 - 0Lecce
AInter2 - 0Lazio
HInter4 - 0Udinese
AInter3 - 0Napoli
AInter1 - 1Juventus
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Milan since 2014
Milan
Inter
Goals: Scored
12
14
Games: Scored
6 / 9
7 / 9
Clean sheets
2 / 9
3 / 9
ACM
2
D
4
INT
3
see results
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Milan
Milan3 - 2
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 3Inter
0 - 2Inter
2 - 3Inter
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw2 - 2Draw
Milan3 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
All league games since 2014
Milan
Inter
Goals: Scored
23
33
Games: Scored
12 / 19
16 / 19
Clean sheets
3 / 19
7 / 19
ACM
4
D
6
INT
9
see results
FIXTURE HISTORY
Inter5 - 1
Inter1 - 0
Milan3 - 2
1 - 2Milan
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 3Inter
1 - 2Milan
Inter4 - 2
0 - 2Inter
2 - 3Inter
Inter1 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
Inter3 - 2
Draw2 - 2Draw
Draw2 - 2Draw
Milan3 - 0
Inter1 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Goal Statistics

Inter Milan have been reliable in attack of late, finding the net in 40 consecutive Serie A games. Their PG of 1.5 against Milan on Monday suggests that run is likely to continue.

Milan 2nd Inter 1st
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.2
goals
1.5
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
29%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 65% probability that Milan will score no more than 1 goal
0
21%
1
33%
2
25%
3
13%
4+
There is a 79% probability that Inter will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+13
Milan have scored 13% more goals at home than predicted
+53
Inter have scored 53% more goals when away than predicted
2.0
average goals scored
2.5
average goals scored
0.6
conceded
0.5
conceded
 
Statistics Serie A - 2023/2024 Season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/264609/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Milan
PG (predicted goals)
Inter
1.2
1.5
Attack rating
ACM
INT
27%
better
view stats
Games scored31
34
Failed to score3
0
Scored first24
32
Goals scored64
81
Avg. goals scored1.9
2.4
Avg. shots per game11
12
Avg. shots per goal6
5
Conversion rate18%
20%
KickOff rating
+27%
Defence rating
ACM
INT
44%
better
view stats
Games conceded21
14
Clean sheets13
20
Conceded first9
2
Goals conceded39
18
Avg. goals conceded1.1
0.5
Avg. shots/game conceded9
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
14
Conversion rate12%
7%
KickOff rating
+44%

Milan v Inter Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Milan Serie A squad statistics 2023/2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
2813810
M Maignan O GiroudR LeãoT Hernández
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Maignan  GLK281
1
1
D Calabria DEF273
4
-
M Gabbia DEF1311
3
-
F Tomori DEF213
5
-
T Hernández DEF2853
10
-
T Reijnders MID3023
7
-
Y Adli MID2012
3
-
Y Musah MID262
4
-
R Loftus-Cheek MID2761
5
-
C Pulisic MID30106
2
-
R Leão FWD2878
5
-
Subs
M Sportiello GLK3
-
L Nava GLK
-
M Caldara DEF
-
A Florenzi  DEF262
5
-
F Terracciano MID2
1
-
I Bennacer MID131
1
-
L Jović  FWD2161
2
1
N Okafor FWD2361
1
-
S Chukwueze FWD2012
1
-
O Giroud FWD29138
1
1
Inter Serie A squad statistics 2023/2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
312375
H MkhitaryanL MartínezH MkhitaryanB Pavard
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Y Sommer GLK30
1
-
B Pavard DEF191
5
-
F Acerbi DEF2621
1
-
A Bastoni DEF2413
5
-
M Darmian MID2921
2
-
N Barella  MID3123
5
-
H Calhanoglu  MID28113
5
-
H Mkhitaryan MID3227
4
-
F Dimarco MID2656
-
M Thuram FWD30117
3
-
L Martínez FWD28232
4
-
Subs
R Gennaro GLK
-
E Audero GLK2
-
C Augusto DEF313
1
-
Y Bisseck DEF142
-
D Dumfries DEF2735
2
-
S Vrij DEF211
-
J Cuadrado MID72
1
-
D Klaassen MID11
1
-
D Frattesi MID2651
1
-
T Buchanan MID5
-
K Asllani MID1812
1
-
S Sensi  MID3
-
M Arnautovic  FWD2323
-
A Sánchez FWD1924
-