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Brescia v Spezia : Serie B match betting preview, prediction and odds

Mario Rigamonti, Brescia

Spezia are away from home on Saturday afternoon, as manager Luca D'Angelo takes his side to visit Brescia and Rolando Maran at the Mario Rigamonti in the Serie B. We want you to make a smart bet on this match, so we've sifted through our 20+ year database and pulled out the stats that matter the most. Head to head (H2H) and recent form are included, and these are used to generate our predictions. Odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers are there to ensure you get the best price.

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Brescia's next match is v Bari 1908 at 19:30 on Friday 10th May
Spezia's next match is v Venezia at 19:30 on Friday 10th May

The last Italian Serie B meeting between Brescia and Spezia was on Saturday 27th April 2024

Italian Serie B

April 27th 2024

Brescia 0	0 Spezia

	BSC SPE
Shots On	1 2
Shots Off	10 4
Corners	5 5
Possession	58% 42%
Fouls	19 19
Yellow/red cards	1/0 2/0

Brescia	Spezia

L. Lezzerini A. Cistana D. Adorni L. Dickmann A. Jallow N. Galazzi (M. Ferro 77') B. Bjarnason (M. Bertagnoli 46') D. Bisoli T. van de Looi (F. Paghera 65') M. Besaggio (M. Huard 65') F. Bianchi	J. Zoet D. Nikolaou P. Hristov A. Matějů (A. Reca 71') L. Vignali Á. Nagy S. Esposito (R. Kouda 56') F. Bandinelli (F. Jagiełło 84') G. Di Serio (D. Verde 56') D. Falcinelli (F. Esposito 83') S. Elia

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

There's 77% chance of Brescia and Spezia no more than 3 goals combined during this Serie B fixture according to our predictive algorithm and, without a strong favourite in the WDW market, we think that's where the smart money should go. Calculations are made based on 20-game form, historical head-to-head (H2H) statistics and the view of the betting market, and you can back it at 1.20.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Brescia are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 49% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.55.

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Brescia 49%	19/10 16%	13/8 7%
Draw 26%	21/10 3%	15/8
Spezia 25%	13/8 13%	8/5 5%
Brescia 1-0 12%	7/1 14%	6/1
Draw 1-1 12%	5/1	19/4
Brescia 2-0 9%	12/1 18%	10/1 10%
Brescia 2-1 9%	10/1 10%	17/2 6%
Draw 0-0 8%	13/2 7%	11/2 7%
Spezia 1-0 8%	13/2 6%	6/1 7%
Spezia 2-1 6%	9/1 17%	8/1 5%
Brescia 3-0 5%	28/1 26%	20/1 11%
Brescia 3-1 5%	25/1 13%	16/1
Draw 2-2 5%	14/1 12%	11/1
Spezia 2-0 4%	11/1 8%	10/1 8%
Brescia 3-2 2%	40/1	22/1
Spezia 3-1 2%	22/1 21%	16/1 11%
Brescia 4-0 2%	66/1 31%	40/1 21%
Brescia 4-1 2%	50/1	33/1
Over 2.5 Goals 46%	5/4 4%	-
Under 2.5 Goals 54%	8/13 3%	-
Home 1st Goal 52%	6/5 20%	-
Away 1st Goal 42%	10/11 17%	-
No 1st Goal 5%	13/2 7%	-
BTTS - Yes 49%	19/20 3%	10/11
BTTS - No 51%	4/5 3%	4/5 2%
BTTS - Home Win 20%	11/2 8%	9/2 5%
BTTS - Draw 18%	10/3 4%	16/5
BTTS - Away Win 11%	5/1 14%	9/2 4%
Home/draw 75%	4/9 6%	4/9 3%
Away/draw 51%	2/5 7%	4/9 4%
Home/away 74%	4/11	4/11
Over 1.5 Goals 71%	2/5 3%	-
Under 1.5 Goals 29%	7/4 5%	-
Over 3.5 Goals 24%	3/1 11%	-
Under 3.5 Goals 76%	2/9 3%	-
Over 4.5 Goals 11%	9/1 9%	-
Under 4.5 Goals 89%	1/16 1%	-
Over 5.5 Goals 4%	20/1 9%	-
Under 5.5 Goals 96%	1/66	-
Over 0.5 Goals 92%	1/12 2%	-
Under 0.5 Goals 8%	13/2 7%	-
Home DNB 67%	10/11 10%	17/20 7%
Away DNB 43%	4/5 10%	5/6 9%
Brescia win to nil 29%	7/2 20%	-
Spezia win to nil 14%	3/1 11%	-
Brescia / Brescia 18%	15/4 10%	17/5 10%
Brescia / Spezia 3%	28/1 15%	22/1
Brescia / Draw 6%	14/1	11/1
Draw / Brescia 14%	5/1 9%	5/1 9%
Draw / Spezia 14%	5/1 8%	19/4 4%
Draw / Draw 18%	7/2 4%	3/1 5%
Spezia / Brescia 3%	28/1	22/1
Spezia / Spezia 19%	10/3 13%	10/3 6%
Spezia / Draw 6%	14/1	11/1

Win / draw / win Serie B table

Brescia have played 34 matches so far this season and lay in 7th place in the Serie B league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 22 games against teams below in the table, having won 8, drawn 11 and lost 3 matches. They have kept 7 clean sheets and have failed to score in 4 fixtures. Brescia have outscored their opponents by 38 goals to 31 goals.

Home League Performance

Brescia have played 17 games at home winning 6, drawing 7 and losing 4 games. They have scored 20 goals, kept 6 clean sheets and conceded 16 goals at home.

Spezia are in 17th position in the Serie B on 36 points having played 34 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

7 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 30 goals and kept 3 clean sheets. They have scored 16 goals in total and failed to score in 8 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

28 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 11 games, drawn 13 and won 4. Spezia have conceded 40 goals, scored 24, failed to score in 14 fixtures and have kept 7 clean sheets.

Brescia

Won

Draw

Lost

Scores

Spezia

HOME	AWAY	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY
l 0-2A	l 2-1F	Parma	37	21	12	4	31	75	l 0-1A	l 2-0A
w 2-0F	l 1-0A	Como 1907	37	21	9	7	18	72	l 0-1A	l 4-0A
d 0-00-0	l 2-0A	Venezia	37	21	7	9	24	70	May 10	l 1-0A
l 0-3A	l 1-0A	Cremonese	37	18	10	9	15	64	l 0-1A	l 3-0A
d 1-1A	w 2-3A	Catanzaro	37	17	9	11	11	60	d 1-1A	l 3-0A
w 4-2F	l 1-0A	Palermo	37	14	11	12	8	53	w 1-0F	d 2-2F
w 3-1F	d 1-1A	Sampdoria	37	15	9	13	1	52	d 0-00-0	l 2-1A
-	-	Brescia Home	37	12	15	10	6	51	d 0-00-0	d 0-00-0
d 1-1A	d 1-1A	Sudtirol	37	12	11	14	-1	47	w 2-1F	d 3-3F
w 1-0F	w 1-2A	Cosenza	37	11	13	13	5	46	d 0-00-0	d 2-2A
w 3-1F	d 1-1A	Pisa	37	11	13	13	-2	46	d 0-00-0	w 2-3F
w 2-0F	l 3-2F	Cittadella	37	11	13	13	-4	46	w 4-2A	l 4-1A
d 0-00-0	d 1-1A	Reggiana	37	10	16	11	-7	46	l 1-2A	d 0-00-0
l 0-1A	w 1-2F	Modena	37	9	17	11	-7	44	d 1-1A	d 0-00-0
d 0-00-0	d 0-00-0	Spezia Away	37	8	17	12	-14	41	-	-
d 0-00-0	w 0-1F	Ternana	37	10	10	17	-8	40	d 2-2A	d 1-1A
d 1-1A	d 1-1A	Ascoli	37	8	14	15	-5	38	w 2-1F	w 1-2F
l 1-2F	May 10	Bari 1908	37	7	17	13	-13	38	w 1-0F	d 1-1F
d 1-1A	d 2-2F	Feralpisalo	37	8	9	20	-20	33	l 0-2A	w 1-2F
w 4-1F	w 0-2F	Lecco	37	6	8	23	-38	26	d 1-1F	d 0-00-0

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Draw

HOME FORM
Brescia	0 - 0	Ternana
Brescia	3 - 1	Pisa
Brescia	1 - 1	Catanzaro
Brescia	4 - 2	Palermo
Brescia	0 - 0	Reggiana
Brescia	2 - 0	Cittadella
Brescia	1 - 1	Sudtirol
Brescia	0 - 2	Parma
Brescia	2 - 0	Como 1907
Brescia	3 - 1	Sampdoria
Brescia	0 - 3	Cremonese
Brescia	1 - 2	Bari 1908
Brescia	0 - 1	Modena
Brescia	1 - 1	Feralpisalo
Brescia	1 - 1	Ascoli
Brescia	0 - 0	Venezia
Brescia	1 - 0	Cosenza
Brescia	1 - 1	Cosenza
Brescia	1 - 1	Pisa
Brescia	2 - 1	Cosenza

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM
H	Brescia	0 - 0	Ternana
A	Brescia	0 - 2	Venezia
H	Brescia	3 - 1	Pisa
A	Brescia	2 - 1	Cosenza
H	Brescia	1 - 1	Catanzaro
A	Brescia	1 - 2	Parma
H	Brescia	4 - 2	Palermo
A	Brescia	1 - 1	Ascoli
H	Brescia	0 - 0	Reggiana
A	Brescia	1 - 1	Sampdoria
A	Brescia	0 - 1	Como 1907
H	Brescia	2 - 0	Cittadella
A	Brescia	0 - 1	Cremonese
H	Brescia	1 - 1	Sudtirol
A	Brescia	2 - 1	Modena
H	Brescia	0 - 2	Parma
A	Brescia	3 - 2	Catanzaro
H	Brescia	2 - 0	Como 1907
A	Brescia	1 - 1	Reggiana
H	Brescia	3 - 1	Sampdoria

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

10 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

10 / 20

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM
Parma	2 - 0	Spezia
Reggiana	0 - 0	Spezia
Bari 1908	1 - 1	Spezia
Modena	0 - 0	Spezia
Ternana	1 - 1	Spezia
Pisa	2 - 3	Spezia
Como 1907	4 - 0	Spezia
Cittadella	4 - 1	Spezia
Ascoli	1 - 2	Spezia
Sampdoria	2 - 1	Spezia
Lecco	0 - 0	Spezia
Cremonese	3 - 0	Spezia
Palermo	2 - 2	Spezia
Feralpisalo	1 - 2	Spezia
Venezia	1 - 0	Spezia
Catanzaro	3 - 0	Spezia
Sudtirol	3 - 3	Spezia
Roma	2 - 1	Spezia
Lecce	0 - 0	Spezia
Cremonese	2 - 0	Spezia

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

12 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

8 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM
H	Spezia	0 - 0	Sampdoria
A	Spezia	0 - 2	Parma
H	Spezia	1 - 1	Lecco
H	Spezia	2 - 1	Ascoli
A	Spezia	0 - 0	Reggiana
H	Spezia	2 - 1	Sudtirol
A	Spezia	1 - 1	Bari 1908
H	Spezia	0 - 2	Feralpisalo
A	Spezia	0 - 0	Modena
H	Spezia	4 - 2	Cittadella
A	Spezia	1 - 1	Ternana
H	Spezia	1 - 1	Catanzaro
A	Spezia	3 - 2	Pisa
H	Spezia	0 - 1	Cremonese
A	Spezia	0 - 4	Como 1907
H	Spezia	1 - 1	Modena
A	Spezia	1 - 4	Cittadella
H	Spezia	1 - 0	Bari 1908
A	Spezia	2 - 1	Ascoli
H	Spezia	0 - 1	Parma

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Brescia have drawn with Spezia in 4 consecutive home league meetings

Spezia have not lost to Brescia in 5 consecutive away league meetings

Brescia

Spezia

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

4 / 5

5 / 5

Clean sheets

0 / 5

1 / 5

SPE

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Brescia
Draw	4 - 4	Draw
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
	0 - 1	Spezia

Brescia

Spezia

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

8 / 11

9 / 11

Clean sheets

2 / 11

3 / 11

BSC

SPE

FIXTURE HISTORY
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Draw	4 - 4	Draw
Spezia	3 - 2
	0 - 1	Brescia
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Spezia	2 - 0
Spezia	2 - 1
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Spezia	4 - 1
	0 - 1	Spezia

Goal Statistics

	Brescia 8th	Spezia 15th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.5 goals	1.0 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 22% 1 33% 2 25% 3 13% 4+ There is a 78% probability that Brescia will score 1 or more goals	0 37% 1 37% 2 18% 3 4+ There is a 74% probability of Spezia scoring 1 goal or less

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-1 Brescia’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	-24 Spezia have scored 24% fewer goals when away than predicted
	1.2 average goals scored	0.9 average goals scored
	1.0 conceded	1.7 conceded

Statistics Serie B - 2023/2024 Season

20%

better

BSC

SPE

view stats

Games scored	25		20
Failed to score	12		17
Scored first	14		11
Goals scored	44		34
Avg. goals scored	1.2		0.9
Avg. shots per game	9		10
Avg. shots per goal	8		11
Conversion rate	13%		9%
KickOff rating		+20%

better

BSC

SPE

view stats

Games conceded	27		27
Clean sheets	10		10
Conceded first	18		18
Goals conceded	38		48
Avg. goals conceded	1		1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded	9		10
Avg. shots/goal conceded	9		8
Conversion rate	11%		13%
KickOff rating		+8%

Brescia v Spezia Serie B lLine ups will show here when available.

Brescia Serie B squad statistics 2023/2024

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
34	10	7	9
L Dickmann	G Moncini	N Galazzi	F Paghera

Line-up	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
L Lezzerini GLK	24			1 -
L Dickmann DEF	35	1	3	8 -
A Cistana DEF	22		1	8 -
D Adorni DEF	24	1		5 -
A Jallow DEF	24	2	1	4 -
D Bisoli MID	31	4	4	7 -
T Looi MID	29			6 -
M Besaggio MID	20			3 -
N Galazzi MID	32	3	7	6 -
B Bjarnason MID	36	5		3 -
F Bianchi FWD	37	4	1	1 -
Subs
M. Avella GLK	5			-
M Huard DEF	18			3 -
M Mangraviti DEF	27		1	1 -
R. Cartano DEF				-
A Papetti DEF	31		2	3 -
F Paghera MID	24	1	1	9 -
M Fares MID	16			5 -
R. Fogliata MID	12		1	1 -
M Bertagnoli MID	26	1		6 -
G Moncini FWD	34	10	1	2 -
M. Ferro FWD	9			1 -

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
10	26	7	9
G Moncini	G Moncini	N Galazzi	D Bisoli

Line-up	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
B Bjarnason MID	5	9		3
D Bisoli MID	4	11	4	9
F Bianchi FWD	4	19	1	3
N Galazzi MID	3	11	7	4
A Jallow DEF	2	5	1	1
L Dickmann DEF	1	6	3	3
D Adorni DEF	1	3
A Cistana DEF			1	3
T Looi MID		7
M Besaggio MID		1		1
Subs
G Moncini FWD	10	26	1	3
M Bertagnoli MID	1	7		2
F Paghera MID	1	3	1	1
M Huard DEF		1		1
M Mangraviti DEF		4	1
A Papetti DEF		1	2	2
M Fares MID		1
R. Fogliata MID			1	1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1272	71	209
D Bisoli	D Bisoli	D Bisoli

Line-up	passes	tackles	duels won
D Bisoli MID	1272	71	209
A Cistana DEF	1159	28	92
L Dickmann DEF	1154	58	139
D Adorni DEF	1006	30	94
T Looi MID	874	27	67
A Jallow DEF	716	32	83
N Galazzi MID	674	23	94
L Lezzerini GLK	644	1	10
B Bjarnason MID	526	16	83
F Bianchi FWD	473	19	94
M Besaggio MID	362	35	79
Subs
A Papetti DEF	1206	51	136
M Mangraviti DEF	1101	16	84
F Paghera MID	770	41	69
M Bertagnoli MID	524	42	88
G Moncini FWD	346	4	104
M Fares MID	257	11	27
M Huard DEF	245	13	42
R. Fogliata MID	157	17	32
M. Avella GLK	116		1
M. Ferro FWD	43	2	9

Spezia Serie B squad statistics 2023/2024

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
34	7	5	11
D Nikolaou	D Verde	S Esposito	D Nikolaou

Line-up	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
J Zoet GLK	24			-
A Mateju DEF	16	1		4 -
P Hristov DEF	18	3		3 -
D Nikolaou DEF	34		1	10 1
S Elia MID	31	1	1	5 -
S Esposito MID	36	1	5	8 -
Ádám Nagy MID	15			3 -
L Vignali MID	16	2	1	3 -
F Bandinelli MID	32		1	5 -
G Serio FWD	9	3		1 -
D Falcinelli FWD	14		2	2 -
Subs
P Zovko GLK				-
P Wisniewski DEF				-
G Tanco DEF	5			1 -
A Reca DEF	13	3		2 -
I Gelashvili DEF	9	1		2 -
N Bertola DEF	15	1	1	5 -
F Jagiełło MID	13	1	1	-
P Candelari MID	8			1 -
R. Kouda MID	26	2	2	8 -
D Verde FWD	29	7		3 -
F. Esposito FWD	37	2		4 -
L Moro FWD	26	4		3 -

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
7	30	5	8
D Verde	D Verde	S Esposito	S Esposito

Line-up	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
P Hristov DEF	3	5
G Serio FWD	3	4
L Vignali MID	2	4	1	1
A Mateju DEF	1	4
S Elia MID	1	5	1	2
S Esposito MID	1	12	5	8
D Nikolaou DEF		1	1
F Bandinelli MID		8	1	2
D Falcinelli FWD		8	2	1
Subs
D Verde FWD	7	30		4
L Moro FWD	4	7		1
A Reca DEF	3	7		2
R. Kouda MID	2	14	2	2
F. Esposito FWD	2	13		2
I Gelashvili DEF	1	1
N Bertola DEF	1	3	1	1
F Jagiełło MID	1	2	1	2
G Tanco DEF		1
P Candelari MID		3

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
2198	66	238
S Esposito	S Esposito	S Esposito

Line-up	passes	tackles	duels won
S Esposito MID	2198	66	238
D Nikolaou DEF	1646	48	139
F Bandinelli MID	942	41	128
P Hristov DEF	732	13	93
A Mateju DEF	660	29	81
S Elia MID	631	59	149
J Zoet GLK	601		8
Ádám Nagy MID	497	22	42
L Vignali MID	288	16	36
D Falcinelli FWD	168	9	60
G Serio FWD	76	3	37
Subs
D Verde FWD	799	4	63
N Bertola DEF	510	23	44
R. Kouda MID	417	21	108
F. Esposito FWD	411	10	137
A Reca DEF	309	17	50
F Jagiełło MID	291	10	27
I Gelashvili DEF	206	7	17
L Moro FWD	189	9	68
G Tanco DEF	64	8	12
P Candelari MID	42	5	17