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Albirex Niigata v Tokyo : J-League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Denka Big Swan Stadium, Niigata

Saturday morning sees Rikizo Matsuhashi’s Albirex Niigata and Peter Cklamovski’s Tokyo go head to head in a J-League clash at the Denka Big Swan Stadium. Statistics drive the algorithmic predictions below for all the markets, and changing between them shows bespoke analysis, including head-to-head, form and unique league tables. Odds from leading bookmakers are also provided. Hit the tabs below to find out more.

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Albirex Niigata's next match is v Urawa Reds at 06:00 on Saturday 11th May
Tokyo's next match is v Kashiwa at 09:00 on Saturday 11th May

The last Japanese J-League meeting between Albirex and Tokyo was on Saturday 27th April 2024

Japanese J-League

April 27th 2024

Albirex 1	3 Tokyo

F. Hayakawa 90'	39' T. Nakagawa
	49' K. Shirai
	62' D. Queiroz de Oliveira

	ALB TOK
Shots On	4 6
Shots Off	6 3
Corners	6 2
Possession	64% 36%
Fouls	10 12
Yellow/red cards	3/0

Albirex	Tokyo

R. Kojima K. Chiba (S. Ota 63') F. Hayakawa M. Fitzgerald Y. Takagi (M. Hasegawa 73') S. Fujiwara E. Matsuda (T. Hasegawa 73') E. Miyamoto H. Akiyama Y. Komi (H. Inamura 63') K. Taniguchi (Y. Ono 63')	G. Hatano (R. Nozawa 81') K. Bangunagande H. de Souza Trevisan K. Doi K. Shirai (D. Queiroz de Oliveira 19') T. Terayama (Y. Nagatomo 68') K. Tawaratsumida K. Koizumi S. Anzai (R. Harakawa 81') T. Ko (R. Sato 68') T. Nakagawa

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

It's our view that there's not a clear favourite to win this match, but does appear clear is that the odds suggest it'll have 3 goals or less. Our statistical analysis draws the same conclusion. Albirex and Tokyo have served up a host of under 3.5 goal games of late, and key performance stats point towards an extension of that record. We feel confident predicting under 3.5 goals on Saturday morning, and the bookies have it priced at 1.25.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Albirex are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 40% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.25.

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Albirex 40%	11/8 3%	23/20 2%
Draw 26%	23/10 2%	21/10 3%
Tokyo 34%	21/10	2/1
Draw 1-1 13%	5/1	5/1
Albirex 1-0 10%	13/2	11/2
Tokyo 1-0 9%	8/1	7/1
Albirex 2-1 9%	17/2	15/2
Tokyo 2-1 8%	10/1	9/1
Draw 0-0 7%	8/1	13/2
Albirex 2-0 7%	10/1	8/1
Tokyo 2-0 6%	14/1	12/1
Draw 2-2 5%	14/1	12/1
Albirex 3-1 4%	20/1 11%	14/1
Albirex 3-0 3%	20/1	14/1
Tokyo 3-1 3%	25/1	18/1 10%
Albirex 3-2 2%	28/1	20/1
Tokyo 3-0 2%	33/1	22/1
Tokyo 3-2 2%	33/1	25/1
Over 2.5 Goals 48%	11/10 2%	-
Under 2.5 Goals 52%	7/10 3%	-
Home 1st Goal 49%	4/5 4%	-
Away 1st Goal 46%	13/10	-
No 1st Goal 5%	8/1	-
BTTS - Yes 53%	10/11 6%	17/20 3%
BTTS - No 47%	10/11 2%	5/6 2%
BTTS - Home Win 18%	4/1	18/5
BTTS - Draw 19%	7/2	17/5 4%
BTTS - Away Win 16%	11/2	5/1 8%
Home/draw 66%	4/11	7/20 2%
Away/draw 60%	8/15 3%	8/13 2%
Home/away 74%	1/3	1/3 2%
Over 1.5 Goals 73%	4/11 2%	-
Under 1.5 Goals 27%	2/1 8%	-
Over 3.5 Goals 26%	11/4	-
Under 3.5 Goals 74%	1/4	-
Over 4.5 Goals 12%	7/1	-
Under 4.5 Goals 88%	1/12	-
Over 5.5 Goals 5%	18/1 12%	-
Under 5.5 Goals 95%	1/50	-
Over 0.5 Goals 93%	1/14	-
Under 0.5 Goals 7%	8/1	-
Home DNB 59%	4/6 3%	3/5 2%
Away DNB 52%	11/10 5%	6/5 2%
Albirex win to nil 22%	11/4	-
Tokyo win to nil 18%	4/1	-
Albirex / Albirex 21%	3/1 7%	13/5 3%
Albirex / Tokyo 3%	28/1	25/1
Albirex / Draw 6%	14/1	11/1 8%
Draw / Albirex 15%	9/2	4/1
Draw / Tokyo 12%	11/2	11/2
Draw / Draw 17%	15/4 5%	7/2 2%
Tokyo / Albirex 3%	25/1	20/1
Tokyo / Tokyo 16%	4/1	4/1
Tokyo / Draw 6%	14/1	12/1

Win / draw / win J-League table

Albirex have played 9 matches so far this season and are in 11th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

4 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 2 games, drawn 1 and won 1. Albirex have conceded 3 goals, scored 2, failed to score in 2 matches and kept 1 clean sheet.

Home league performance

Albirex have played 4 games at home, winning 1, drawing 2 and losing 1 fixture. They have scored 3 goals, conceded 3 goals, kept 1 clean sheet and failed to score 1 time in home league games.

Tokyo lay in 10th place on 12 points in the J-League league table having played 9 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 4 games against teams below them in the table, winning 2, drawing 1 and losing 1 game. They have scored 7 goals and kept 0 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Tokyo have conceded 7 goals and have failed to score in 1 match.

Away league performance

Tokyo have played 4 away games, winning 1, drawing 2 and losing 1 game. They have scored an average of 1.8 goals per away game and conceded an average 2 goals per away game.

Albirex

Won

Draw

Lost

Scores

Tokyo

HOME	AWAY	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY
Aug 25	Jun 1	Machida	12	8	1	3	8	25	l 1-2A	Nov 9
Sep 21	l 3-2A	Vissel Kobe	12	7	2	3	10	23	l 1-2F	Oct 19
Oct 5	Jun 16	Kashima	12	7	1	4	4	22	w 2-0F	Jul 20
l 1-3A	Jul 13	Tokyo Away	12	6	3	3	4	21	-	-
l 0-1A	Jul 20	Cerezo	12	5	5	2	5	20	Dec 8	d 2-2A
d 1-1A	Jun 26	Hiroshima	12	4	7	1	8	19	d 1-1A	Aug 31
w 1-0F	Aug 31	Nagoya	12	6	1	5	-1	19	Sep 14	May 15
Nov 30	l 1-0A	Gamba Osaka	12	5	3	4	0	18	May 26	Aug 7
May 11	Dec 8	Urawa Reds	12	5	2	5	0	17	w 2-1A	Sep 21
Nov 3	d 2-2A	Tokyo Verdy	12	3	7	2	2	16	Aug 17	d 2-2A
May 15	Oct 19	Yokohama FM	11	4	4	3	2	16	May 19	Sep 28
May 25	Aug 17	Avispa	12	3	7	2	0	16	Jun 30	w 1-3F
Aug 7	l 2-0A	Jubilo Iwata	12	4	2	6	1	14	Jun 16	Nov 30
d 1-1A	Nov 9	Kashiwa	11	3	5	3	-2	14	May 11	Jul 6
Jun 22	Sep 28	Kawasaki	12	3	4	5	1	13	Aug 11	l 3-0A
-	-	Albirex Home	12	3	4	5	-4	13	Jul 13	w 1-3F
Sep 14	May 19	Shonan	12	2	4	6	-7	10	Nov 3	Jun 22
Aug 12	w 0-1F	Kyoto Sanga	12	2	3	7	-9	9	w 2-1F	Aug 24
Jul 6	w 1-2A	Sagan Tosu	12	2	2	8	-10	8	Oct 5	May 31
d 1-1A	Jun 29	Sapporo	12	1	5	6	-12	8	Jun 26	w 1-2A

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

HOME FORM
Albirex	1 - 1	Sapporo
Albirex	0 - 1	Cerezo
Albirex	1 - 1	Kashiwa
Albirex	1 - 0	Nagoya
Albirex	1 - 0	Cerezo
Albirex	0 - 0	Tokyo
Albirex	1 - 1	Sagan Tosu
Albirex	3 - 1	Yokohama
Albirex	1 - 1	Urawa Reds
Albirex	2 - 2	Shonan
Albirex	0 - 1	Vissel Kobe
Albirex	2 - 0	Hiroshima
Albirex	1 - 3	Kyoto Sanga
Albirex	1 - 3	Gamba Osaka
Albirex	2 - 1	Yokohama FM
Albirex	0 - 0	Kashiwa
Albirex	0 - 2	Kashima
Albirex	3 - 2	Avispa
Albirex	1 - 3	Nagoya
Albirex	1 - 0	Kawasaki

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Draw

OVERALL FORM
A	Albirex	1 - 0	Kyoto Sanga
H	Albirex	1 - 1	Sapporo
H	Albirex	0 - 1	Cerezo
A	Albirex	0 - 2	Jubilo Iwata
H	Albirex	1 - 1	Kashiwa
A	Albirex	2 - 2	Tokyo Verdy
H	Albirex	1 - 0	Nagoya
A	Albirex	0 - 1	Gamba Osaka
A	Albirex	2 - 1	Sagan Tosu
H	Albirex	1 - 0	Cerezo
A	Albirex	0 - 0	Yokohama FM
H	Albirex	0 - 0	Tokyo
A	Albirex	1 - 0	Kyoto Sanga
H	Albirex	1 - 1	Sagan Tosu
A	Albirex	3 - 2	Kawasaki
H	Albirex	3 - 1	Yokohama
A	Albirex	1 - 1	Gamba Osaka
H	Albirex	1 - 1	Urawa Reds
A	Albirex	0 - 2	Kashima
A	Albirex	1 - 0	Avispa

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

11 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

9 / 20

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM
Tokyo Verdy	2 - 2	Tokyo
Kawasaki	3 - 0	Tokyo
Avispa	1 - 3	Tokyo
Cerezo	2 - 2	Tokyo
Shonan	0 - 1	Tokyo
Albirex	0 - 0	Tokyo
Yokohama	1 - 0	Tokyo
Kawasaki	1 - 0	Tokyo
Yokohama FM	2 - 1	Tokyo
Cerezo	0 - 1	Tokyo
Urawa Reds	0 - 0	Tokyo
Gamba Osaka	3 - 1	Tokyo
Vissel Kobe	3 - 2	Tokyo
Kashima	1 - 1	Tokyo
Sapporo	5 - 1	Tokyo
Avispa	1 - 0	Tokyo
Hiroshima	1 - 2	Tokyo
Sagan Tosu	1 - 0	Tokyo
Nagoya	0 - 0	Tokyo
Kyoto Sanga	2 - 0	Tokyo

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM
H	Tokyo	1 - 2	Machida
A	Tokyo	2 - 2	Tokyo Verdy
H	Tokyo	2 - 0	Kashima
H	Tokyo	2 - 1	Urawa Reds
A	Tokyo	0 - 3	Kawasaki
A	Tokyo	3 - 1	Avispa
H	Tokyo	1 - 2	Vissel Kobe
H	Tokyo	1 - 1	Hiroshima
A	Tokyo	2 - 2	Cerezo
A	Tokyo	1 - 0	Shonan
H	Tokyo	1 - 3	Sapporo
A	Tokyo	0 - 0	Albirex
H	Tokyo	1 - 2	Hiroshima
A	Tokyo	0 - 1	Yokohama
H	Tokyo	3 - 0	Gamba Osaka
H	Tokyo	3 - 2	Sagan Tosu
A	Tokyo	0 - 1	Kawasaki
H	Tokyo	1 - 2	Avispa
H	Tokyo	2 - 2	Vissel Kobe
A	Tokyo	1 - 2	Yokohama FM

Goal Statistics

Goals have been difficult to come by for Albirex Niigata of late. It has been 5 J-League games since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.4 suggests they'll have problems ending that run on Saturday morning against Tokyo.

	Albirex 16th	Tokyo 4th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.4 goals	1.2 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 25% 1 35% 2 24% 3 11% 4+ There is a 60% probability that Albirex will score no more than 1 goal	0 29% 1 36% 2 22% 3 9% 4+ There is a 65% probability that Tokyo will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-23 Albirex have scored 23% fewer goals at home than predicted	-23 Tokyo have scored 23% fewer goals when away than predicted
	1.1 average goals scored	0.9 average goals scored
	1.2 conceded	1.5 conceded

Statistics J-League - 2024/2024 Season

ALB

TOK

38%

better

view stats

Games scored	9		11
Failed to score	3		1
Scored first	2		5
Goals scored	12		21
Avg. goals scored	1		1.8
Avg. shots per game	9		8
Avg. shots per goal	9		5
Conversion rate	11%		21%
KickOff rating		+38%

better

ALB

TOK

view stats

Games conceded	10		11
Clean sheets	2		1
Conceded first	10		7
Goals conceded	16		17
Avg. goals conceded	1.3		1.4
Avg. shots/game conceded	10		11
Avg. shots/goal conceded	8		8
Conversion rate	13%		13%
KickOff rating		+6%

Albirex v Tokyo J-League lLine ups will show here when available.

Albirex J-League squad statistics 2024

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
12	3	3	3
R Kojima	K Taniguchi	Y Takagi	F Hayakawa

Line-up	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
R Kojima GLK	12			-
S Fujiwara DEF	11	1	1	1 -
M Fitzgerald DEF	10		1	1 -
K Chiba DEF	3	1		1 -
F Hayakawa DEF	8	1		2 1
E Miyamoto MID	9		1	2 -
H Akiyama MID	12	1	1	-
E Matsuda MID	9			-
Y Takagi MID	10	1	3	1 -
Y Komi MID	10		1	1 -
K Taniguchi FWD	10	3		-
Subs
K Abe GLK				-
T Hasegawa DEF	3			-
H Inamura DEF	1			-
M Hasegawa MID	11	1	1	-
Y Shimada MID	5			1 -
Y Ono MID	4			-
S Ota FWD	7			2 -

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
3	5	3	2
K Taniguchi	Y Komi	Y Takagi	E Matsuda

Line-up	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
K Taniguchi FWD	3	4
S Fujiwara DEF	1	2	1
K Chiba DEF	1	2
F Hayakawa DEF	1	3
H Akiyama MID	1	2	1
Y Takagi MID	1	2	3	1
M Fitzgerald DEF			1	1
E Miyamoto MID		3	1	1
E Matsuda MID		4		2
Y Komi MID		5	1	2
Subs
M Hasegawa MID	1	4	1	2
T Hasegawa DEF		1
Y Shimada MID		1
S Ota FWD		1		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1093	30	67
H Akiyama	S Fujiwara	S Fujiwara

Line-up	passes	tackles	duels won
H Akiyama MID	1093	18	47
M Fitzgerald DEF	809	12	38
E Miyamoto MID	533	13	45
S Fujiwara DEF	531	30	67
R Kojima GLK	484		5
F Hayakawa DEF	282	7	31
E Matsuda MID	262	7	22
Y Komi MID	228	5	19
Y Takagi MID	226	7	29
K Chiba DEF	193	1	11
K Taniguchi FWD	139	5	18
Subs
M Hasegawa MID	280	2	26
Y Shimada MID	246	3	12
S Ota FWD	120	5	9
Y Ono MID	87	1	13
T Hasegawa DEF	57	1	5
H Inamura DEF	34	1	1

Tokyo J-League squad statistics 2024

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
12	3	3	4
K Bangnagande	D Oliveira	T Nakagawa	K Koizumi

Line-up	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
G Hatano GLK	10			1
K Shirai DEF	7	1	2	1 -
K Doi DEF	7			1 -
H Trevisan DEF	9			1 1
K Bangnagande DEF	12	2	2	-
T Ko MID	9		1	-
T Terayama MID	1			-
K Koizumi MID	12	1	1	4 -
S Anzai FWD	8		1	2 -
T Nakagawa FWD	12	2	3	-
K Tawaratsumida FWD	11	1	2	-
Subs
T Kodama GLK				-
M Morishige DEF	6			1 -
Y Nagatomo DEF	10	1		1 -
R Sato MID	2			-
R Harakawa MID	9	1		-
D Oliveira FWD	7	3		-
L Nozawa FWD	3			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
3	6	3	3
D Oliveira	T Nakagawa	T Nakagawa	T Nakagawa

Line-up	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
K Bangnagande DEF	2	2	2	2
T Nakagawa FWD	2	6	3	3
K Shirai DEF	1	3	2	2
K Koizumi MID	1	1	1	1
K Tawaratsumida FWD	1	2	2	3
H Trevisan DEF		2		2
T Ko MID		2	1	1
S Anzai FWD		1	1	1
Subs
D Oliveira FWD	3	6
Y Nagatomo DEF	1	1		1
R Harakawa MID	1	1
L Nozawa FWD		2

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
514	24	80
H Trevisan	T Ko	H Trevisan

Line-up	passes	tackles	duels won
H Trevisan DEF	514	21	80
T Ko MID	467	24	43
K Koizumi MID	458	18	37
K Bangnagande DEF	392	23	68
G Hatano GLK	316		12
K Doi DEF	308	4	15
T Nakagawa FWD	214	5	32
K Shirai DEF	166	7	24
K Tawaratsumida FWD	135	8	32
S Anzai FWD	122	11	32
T Terayama MID	8	1	1
Subs
M Morishige DEF	261	10	34
Y Nagatomo DEF	175	10	18
D Oliveira FWD	113	1	38
R Harakawa MID	98	8	13
R Sato MID	11	3	3
L Nozawa FWD	6		2