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Alaves v Real Sociedad : La Liga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Mendizorroza, Vitoria-Gasteiz

the Mendizorroza crowd welcome Real Sociedad's fans on Sunday evening, as Luis Garcia's Alaves take on Imanol Alguacil's charges in the La Liga. All of the key stats for the tie, including head to heads (H2Hs), predictions and the best odds across 17 markets are covered in this betting preview. It's all brought together specifically to help you make a well informed, intelligent bet.

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Alaves's next match is v Celta at 17:30 on Saturday 27th April
The last Spanish La Liga meeting between Alaves and R.Sociedad was on Sunday 31st March 2024
Spanish La Liga
March 31st 2024
Alaves 0
1 R.Sociedad
 
59' J. Pacheco Dozagarat
 
ALV
RSO
Shots On
3
Shots Off
3
6
Corners
3
8
Possession
41%
59%
Fouls
8
18
Yellow/red cards
2/0
2/0
 
AlavesR.Sociedad
 
A. Sivera Salvá
J. López Carballo
A. Gorosabel Espinosa
R. Marín Zamora
A. Abqar
A. Blanco Conde
A. Guevara Lajo (C. Benavídez Protesoni 66')
J. Guridi Aldalur (J. Panichelli 66')
L. Rioja González (A. Rebbach 75')
C. Vicente Robles (G. Simeone 75')
S. Omorodion Aghehowa (E. García Martínez 75')
A. Remiro Gargallo
J. Galán Gil
football iconJ. Pacheco Dozagarat
H. Traoré
I. Zubeldía Elorza
(B. Turrientes Imaz 83') A. Zakharyan
M. Zubimendi Ibáñez
M. Merino Zazón
(S. Becker 44') T. Kubo
(K. Tierney 69') M. Oyarzabal Ugarte
(A. Valente Silva 69') A. Barrenetxea Muguruza
Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

We are expecting a close-fought game here and, as such, our prediction is under 2.5 goals. For those unfamiliar with that term, this simply means that 2 goals or less will be scored in total as Alaves and R.Sociedad go head-to-head. Good performances all round will be required to deliver us a winner, but we have faith in both sides to deliver just that. The statistics and the odds below suggest it's a sound bet too.

As we get closer to the start of the game, it's always interesting to note shifts in the bookmaker's odds. On this occasion, the odds are shortening for 2 goals or less and drifting for over 2.5 goals. We're in agreement with the bookies and the betting public – defences really should be expected to come out on top in this affair.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 43% chance of R.Sociedad coming away with a win.
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral Betfred 888Sport
Alaves
28%
3/1
33%
13/5
16%
11/4
30%
29/10
32%
Draw
29%
2/119/1015/839/20
R.Sociedad
43%
23/20
14%
13/10
8%
5/4
18%
6/5
17%
R.Sociedad 1-0
14%
9/2
8%
19/4
12%
9/2
21%
24/5
17%
Draw 1-1
13%
5/15/15/124/5
Draw 0-0
11%
5/1
8%
5/1
8%
5/1
8%
11/2
7%
Alaves 1-0
11%
7/1
14%
13/2
7%
7/1
14%
7/1
14%
R.Sociedad 2-0
9%
15/2
23%
17/2
14%
17/2
21%
8/1
22%
R.Sociedad 2-1
8%
9/1
9%
9/19/1
9%
19/2
5%
Alaves 2-1
6%
14/1
25%
12/1
8%
12/1
18%
13/1
22%
Alaves 2-0
5%
16/1
31%
16/1
13%
16/1
31%
17/1
38%
Draw 2-2
4%
20/1
11%
20/1
11%
18/1
12%
18/1
19%
R.Sociedad 3-0
4%
18/1
27%
22/1
21%
20/1
28%
18/1
24%
R.Sociedad 3-1
3%
20/1
19%
25/122/1
12%
20/1
16%
Alaves 3-1
2%
40/1
41%
40/1
21%
40/1
41%
35/1
38%
R.Sociedad 3-2
2%
40/145/140/140/1
14%
Alaves 3-0
2%
40/1
21%
50/1
24%
50/1
50%
35/1
24%
Alaves 3-2
1%
50/1
24%
60/1
20%
50/1
24%
50/1
42%
Over 2.5 Goals
38%
17/10
4%
17/10
4%
7/4
10%
7/4
8%
Under 2.5 Goals
62%
4/9
3%
2/5
3%
2/5
7%
4/9
3%
Home 1st Goal
43%
7/4
16%
6/4
9%
6/4
16%
-
Away 1st Goal
50%
8/11
9%
10/11
5%
5/6
11%
-
No 1st Goal
7%
5/1
8%
5/1
8%
5/1
8%
-
BTTS - Yes
44%
6/5
5%
6/5
5%
6/5
10%
6/5
7%
BTTS - No
56%
8/13
3%
8/13
3%
8/13
6%
8/13
6%
BTTS - Home Win
11%
9/1
33%
15/2
21%
8/1
38%
-
BTTS - Draw
18%
15/418/5
5%
18/5
6%
-
BTTS - Away Win
16%
5/1
8%
24/5
3%
5/1
8%
-
Home/draw
57%
4/6
11%
3/5
7%
4/6
16%
4/6
13%
Away/draw
72%
2/9
10%
2/7
3%
1/4
11%
27/100
10%
Home/away
71%
4/112/52/52/5
Over 1.5 Goals
65%
4/7
3%
4/7
3%
4/7
5%
8/15
3%
Under 1.5 Goals
35%
11/8
5%
13/10
4%
5/4
10%
29/20
6%
Over 3.5 Goals
18%
9/2
10%
9/2
10%
9/2
22%
24/5
14%
Under 3.5 Goals
82%
1/7
3%
2/15
2%
1/8
3%
1/8
3%
Over 4.5 Goals
7%
12/1
18%
12/1
8%
10/1
10%
13/1
22%
Under 4.5 Goals
93%
1/25
1%
1/25
1%
1/33
1%
1/50
1%
Over 5.5 Goals
3%
25/133/1-35/1
Under 5.5 Goals
97%
1/1501/100-1.00
Over 0.5 Goals
89%
1/8
1%
1/8
1%
1/8
2%
1/10
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
11%
5/1
8%
5/1
8%
9/2
8%
11/2
7%
Home DNB
48%
13/8
31%
13/10
12%
6/4
31%
8/5
30%
Away DNB
63%
4/9
17%
4/7
8%
1/2
17%
1/2
18%
Alaves win to nil
18%
9/2
27%
4/1
11%
4/1
19%
-
R.Sociedad win to nil
27%
2/1
20%
9/4
12%
21/10
23%
-
Alaves / Alaves
13%
11/2
30%
11/2
18%
11/2
41%
11/2
33%
Alaves / R.Sociedad
2%
33/140/133/135/1
Alaves / Draw
5%
16/1
13%
16/1
13%
14/114/1
7%
Draw / Alaves
11%
13/2
15%
6/1
8%
7/1
23%
13/2
15%
Draw / R.Sociedad
17%
4/1
9%
4/1
5%
4/1
17%
4/1
16%
Draw / Draw
21%
3/129/10
3%
11/4
6%
3/1
2%
R.Sociedad / Alaves
2%
40/1
21%
50/1
11%
50/1
50%
50/1
24%
R.Sociedad / R.Sociedad
23%
13/5
17%
3/1
9%
13/5
20%
13/5
18%
R.Sociedad / Draw
6%
14/116/1
13%
14/113/1
bet365
Win / draw / win La Liga table

Alaves have played 29 matches so far this season and are in 13th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

17 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 11 games, drawn 5 and won 1. Alaves have conceded 24 goals, scored 8, failed to score in 9 matches and kept 2 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Alaves have played 14 games at home, winning 6, drawing 3 and losing 5 fixtures. They have scored 15 goals, conceded 16 goals, kept 4 clean sheets and failed to score 4 times in home league games.

R.Sociedad lay in 6th place on 46 points in the La Liga league table having played 29 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 22 games against teams below them in the table, winning 11, drawing 8 and losing 3 games. They have scored 35 goals and kept 9 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. R.Sociedad have conceded 23 goals and have failed to score in 5 matches.

Away league performance

R.Sociedad have played 15 away games, winning 6, drawing 5 and losing 4 games. They have scored an average of 1.4 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.1 goals per away game.

Alaves
Won
Draw
Lost
Scores
R.Sociedad
HOME AWAY TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY
l
 
0-1A
May 14
 Real Madrid3326614984 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
2-1F
l
 
1-3A
l
 
2-1F
 Barcelona3221742770 
l
 
0-1A
May 13
May 10
l
 
3-0A
 Girona3221562768 
d
 
1-1F
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
2-0F
l
 
2-1A
 A.Madrid3219492161 
May 26
l
 
2-1A
l
 
0-2A
l
 
2-0A
 A.Bilbao32161062258 
w
 
3-0F
l
 
2-1A
l
 
0-1A
d
 
1-1F
 R.Sociedad Away33131281151 
-
-
d
 
1-1A
d
 
0-00-0
 Real Betis3212128248 
d
 
0-00-0
May 19
w
 
1-0F
May 5
 Valencia3213811147 
May 16
w
 
0-1F
d
 
1-1F
d
 
1-1F
 Villarreal3211912-442 
l
 
1-3A
w
 
0-3F
May 19
l
 
1-0A
 Getafe3291310-640 
w
 
4-3F
d
 
1-1F
l
 
0-2A
l
 
1-0A
 Osasuna3211615-939 
l
 
0-1A
d
 
1-1A
w
 
4-3F
w
 
2-3F
 Sevilla3291013-437 
w
 
2-1F
l
 
3-2A
l
 
0-1A
May 26
 Las Palmas3210715-937 
May 4
d
 
0-00-0
-
-
 Alaves Home329815-1035 
d
 
1-1A
w
 
0-1F
w
 
1-0F
l
 
2-0A
 R.Vallecano3271312-1234 
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
2-2A
Apr 27
d
 
1-1A
 Celta3271015-1031 
d
 
1-1F
w
 
0-1F
d
 
1-1F
d
 
0-00-0
 Mallorca3261313-1231 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-2A
w
 
1-0F
l
 
1-0A
 Cadiz3241315-2325 
w
 
2-0F
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
3-1F
l
 
2-0A
 Granada323920-2818 
w
 
5-3F
w
 
2-3A
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-3F
 Almeria3211120-3314 
d
 
2-2A
w
 
1-3F
Win / draw / win form
Alaves 14TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
9
Draw
6
Lost
5
Goals: Scored
19
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
6
Draw
6
Lost
8
R.Sociedad 6TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
8
Draw
6
Lost
6
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
8
Draw
7
Lost
5
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
5
R.Sociedad have not lost to Alaves in 5 consecutive league meetings
League games at Alaves since 2017
Alaves
R.Sociedad
Goals: Scored
4
4
Games: Scored
3 / 6
3 / 6
Clean sheets
3 / 6
3 / 6
ALV
2
D
2
RSO
2
All league games since 2016
Alaves
R.Sociedad
Goals: Scored
7
18
Games: Scored
6 / 13
9 / 13
Clean sheets
4 / 13
7 / 13
ALV
3
D
3
RSO
7
Goal Statistics

Goals have been a problem for Alaves of late. It has been 7 La Liga games since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.0 suggests they'll struggle to end that run on Sunday evening against Real Sociedad.

Alaves 14th R.Sociedad 6th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.0
goals
1.3
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
38%
1
37%
2
18%
3
4+
There is a 75% probability of Alaves scoring 1 goal or less
0
29%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 65% probability that R.Sociedad will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-17
Alaves have scored 17% fewer goals at home than predicted
+11
R.Sociedad have scored 11% more goals when away than predicted
1.1
average goals scored
1.3
average goals scored
1.0
conceded
1.1
conceded
 
Statistics La Liga - 2023/2023 Season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/261523/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Alaves
PG (predicted goals)
R.Sociedad
1
1.3
Attack rating
ALV
RSO
26%
better
view stats
Games scored18
25
Failed to score14
8
Scored first14
15
Goals scored28
46
Avg. goals scored0.9
1.4
Avg. shots per game9
9
Avg. shots per goal10
7
Conversion rate10%
15%
KickOff rating
+26%
Defence rating
ALV
RSO
10%
better
view stats
Games conceded24
21
Clean sheets8
12
Conceded first16
13
Goals conceded38
35
Avg. goals conceded1.2
1.1
Avg. shots/game conceded9
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
7
Conversion rate13%
15%
KickOff rating
+10%

Alaves v R.Sociedad La Liga lLine ups will show here when available.

Alaves La Liga squad statistics 2023
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
31849
A SiveraS. Omorodion AghehowaJ GuridiA Abqar
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Sivera GLK31
2
-
A Gorosabel DEF301
6
-
A Abqar DEF21
9
-
R Marín DEF28
4
-
J López DEF263
2
-
A Blanco MID281
2
1
A Guevara MID301
7
-
C Vicente MID122
1
-
J Guridi MID294
1
-
L Rioja MID3144
3
-
S. Omorodion Aghehowa FWD2981
4
-
Subs
J Owono GLK
-
Álex Sola  DEF242
2
-
R Duarte DEF232
5
-
N Tenaglia DEF191
3
-
C Benavídez MID2411
3
-
I Hagi  MID181
2
-
G Simeone FWD8
-
A Rebbach FWD211
1
-
J Panichelli FWD3
-
K García FWD283
4
-
X Alkain FWD9
1
-
R.Sociedad La Liga squad statistics 2023
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
309311
Álex RemiroM OyarzabalM MerinoI Zubeldia
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Álex Remiro GLK30
2
1
H Traoré DEF262
6
-
I Zubeldia DEF292
10
1
J Pacheco DEF1711
6
-
J Galán DEF101
2
-
A Zakharyan MID2212
1
-
M Zubimendi MID3041
5
-
M Merino MID2643
8
-
T Kubo FWD2473
2
-
M Oyarzabal FWD2692
2
-
A Barrenetxea FWD2231
1
-
Subs
U Marrero GLK2
-
G Ayesa GLK
-
K Tierney DEF152
1
-
U González DEF4
1
-
J Aramburu DEF6
1
-
A Elustondo DEF92
1
-
Olasagasti MID12
2
-
B Turrientes  MID221
3
-
J Argoitia MID5
-
S Becker FWD811
-
U Sadiq  FWD2531
4
-
A Silva FWD152
1
-