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Real Madrid v Athletic Bilbao : La Liga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Santiago Bernabéu, Madrid

Home advantage makes a difference in the La Liga, and Carlo Ancelotti’s Real Madrid will have the joy of it on Sunday night. Ernesto Valverde Tejedor’s Athletic Bilbao are their opponents at the Santiago Bernabéu. We have custom-designed statistics for all of the main betting markets, from both teams to score to double chance, including form and historical head-to-head data. Predictions are calculated from these, and the odds come straight from leading bookmakers.

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Real Madrid's next match is v Bayern at 20:00 on Tuesday 30th April
Athletic Bilbao's next match is v A.Madrid at 20:00 on Saturday 27th April
The last Spanish La Liga meeting between Real Madrid and A.Bilbao was on Sunday 31st March 2024
Spanish La Liga
March 31st 2024
Real Madrid 2
0 A.Bilbao
 
R. Silva de Goes 8'
R. Silva de Goes 73'
 
RMD
ATH
Shots On
4
3
Shots Off
3
3
Corners
4
7
Possession
58%
42%
Fouls
9
13
Yellow/red cards
2/0
1/0
 
Real MadridA.Bilbao
 
A. Lunin
D. Carvajal Ramos (É. Gabriel Militão 90')
F. Mendy
A. Rüdiger
J. Fernández Iglesias
A. Tchouaméni
B. Abdelkader Diaz (J. Sanmartín Mato 72')
T. Kroos (E. Camavinga 81')
J. Bellingham
F. Valverde Dipetta (L. Vázquez Iglesias 81')
R. Silva de Goesfootball iconfootball icon (L. Modrić 81')
J. Agirrezabala
Í. Lekue Martínez
A. Paredes Casamichana
(D. Vivian Moreno 25') Y. Álvarez López
(I. Ruiz de Galarreta Etxeberria 57') B. Prados Díaz
(Y. Berchiche Izeta 58') Ó. de Marcos Arana
(I. Muniain Goñi 76') O. Sancet Tirapu
M. Vesga Arruti
(M. Ares Djalo 57') G. Guruzeta Rodríguez
I. Williams Arthuer
A. Berenguer Remiro
Best Tip: Real Madrid to win

We're predicting Real Madrid will come out on top after 90 minutes on Sunday in the win / draw / win market. The recent form stats and historical head-to-head (H2H) data below all suggest that they are more than capable of getting the job done and, as favourites with the bookmakers, the odds back that up too. There could be wild scenes among the home fans when that final whistle blows at Santiago Bernabéu.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Real Madrid are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 61% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.57.
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral Betfred 888Sport
Real Madrid
61%
4/7
5%
3/5
5%
4/7
3%
4/7
Draw
23%
10/3
3%
3/1
5%
3/1
5%
3/1
5%
A.Bilbao
16%
19/4
4%
19/4
4%
5/123/5
4%
Real Madrid 1-0
13%
13/213/26/16/1
7%
Real Madrid 2-0
12%
13/213/27/1
7%
13/2
6%
Draw 1-1
11%
7/113/2
6%
7/113/2
6%
Real Madrid 2-1
10%
15/27/17/17/1
Draw 0-0
7%
12/1
8%
12/112/1
8%
12/1
13%
Real Madrid 3-0
7%
10/111/1
9%
11/1
9%
21/2
4%
A.Bilbao 1-0
6%
14/1
12%
16/116/114/1
6%
Real Madrid 3-1
6%
11/111/111/112/1
4%
A.Bilbao 2-1
4%
16/1
11%
16/116/116/1
6%
Draw 2-2
4%
16/114/114/115/1
7%
Real Madrid 4-0
3%
20/1
11%
22/122/1
10%
20/1
Real Madrid 4-1
3%
22/1
10%
25/1
13%
22/122/1
A.Bilbao 2-0
2%
28/1
15%
33/1
17%
28/1
15%
25/1
Real Madrid 3-2
2%
22/122/122/122/1
10%
A.Bilbao 3-1
1%
40/150/1
9%
40/135/1
Over 2.5 Goals
49%
8/113/4
3%
8/114/5
6%
Under 2.5 Goals
51%
43/401/1
2%
EvsEvens
7%
Home 1st Goal
57%
4/11
2%
1/2
4%
4/9-
Away 1st Goal
38%
11/5
6%
21/102/1-
No 1st Goal
5%
12/1
8%
12/111/1-
BTTS - Yes
46%
4/5
6%
4/5
3%
4/5
2%
17/20
5%
BTTS - No
54%
19/20
2%
19/2010/11
4%
10/11
5%
BTTS - Home Win
24%
9/49/4
5%
11/5
2%
-
BTTS - Draw
15%
9/24/14/1-
BTTS - Away Win
7%
9/1
9%
17/2
5%
17/2
5%
-
Home/draw
84%
1/7
2%
1/7
2%
1/71/7
1%
Away/draw
39%
13/10
8%
27/20
4%
11/811/8
Home/away
77%
1/5
2%
1/4
2%
2/96/25
1%
Over 1.5 Goals
74%
2/92/91/46/25
2%
Under 1.5 Goals
26%
10/314/5
5%
11/43/1
7%
Over 3.5 Goals
27%
7/49/5
4%
7/4
8%
41/20
9%
Under 3.5 Goals
73%
4/92/52/5
3%
4/11
4%
Over 4.5 Goals
12%
4/117/4
5%
4/1
9%
24/5
7%
Under 4.5 Goals
88%
1/61/7
1%
1/7
1%
1/8
2%
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
10/110/1
10%
9/112/1
18%
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
1/201/20
1%
1/251/40
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
1/251/22
1%
1/251/40
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
12/1
8%
11/1
8%
9/112/1
7%
Home DNB
77%
2/9
3%
2/9
2%
1/52/9
1%
Away DNB
32%
3/1
11%
3/1
8%
10/33/1
3%
Real Madrid win to nil
37%
13/8
5%
7/4
2%
8/5
4%
-
A.Bilbao win to nil
9%
9/1
9%
10/19/1
9%
-
Real Madrid / Real Madrid
35%
7/5
4%
31/20
4%
11/811/8
Real Madrid / A.Bilbao
2%
40/155/150/150/1
11%
Real Madrid / Draw
5%
14/116/114/114/1
Draw / Real Madrid
19%
10/316/510/318/5
1%
Draw / A.Bilbao
7%
10/1
8%
11/112/121/2
Draw / Draw
14%
11/25/111/2
8%
21/4
4%
A.Bilbao / Real Madrid
4%
20/122/120/122/1
10%
A.Bilbao / A.Bilbao
9%
17/2
5%
9/1
9%
8/1
5%
8/1
6%
A.Bilbao / Draw
5%
16/116/114/1
12%
16/1
bet365
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Win / draw / win La Liga table

Real Madrid have played 29 matches so far this season and lay in 1st place in the La Liga league table. Real Madrid are unbeaten at home after 14 games and have kept 8 clean sheets in those matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 29 games against teams below in the table, having won 22, drawn 6 and lost 1 match. They have kept 14 clean sheets and have failed to score in 1 fixture. Real Madrid have outscored their opponents by 64 goals to 50 goals.

Home League Performance

Real Madrid have played 14 games at home winning 12, drawing 2 and losing 0 games. They have scored 35 goals, kept 8 clean sheets and conceded 7 goals at home.

A.Bilbao are in 4th position in the La Liga on 56 points having played 29 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

4 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 12 goals and kept 7 clean sheets. They have scored 14 goals in total and failed to score in 6 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

5 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 2 games, drawn 2 and won 1. A.Bilbao have conceded 6 goals, scored 4, failed to score in 3 fixtures and have kept 1 clean sheet.

Real Madrid
Won
Draw
Lost
Scores
A.Bilbao
HOME AWAY TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY
-
-
 Real Madrid H3326614984 
l
 
0-2A
l
 
2-0A
w
 
3-2A
w
 
1-2A
 Barcelona3221742770 
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
1-0A
w
 
4-0F
w
 
0-3F
 Girona3221562768 
w
 
3-2F
d
 
1-1A
d
 
1-1F
l
 
3-1A
 A.Madrid3219492161 
w
 
2-0F
Apr 27
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-2F
 A.Bilbao Away32161062258 
-
-
w
 
2-1A
w
 
0-1F
 R.Sociedad33131281151 
w
 
2-1F
l
 
3-0A
May 26
d
 
1-1F
 Real Betis3212128248 
w
 
4-2A
l
 
3-1A
w
 
5-1F
d
 
2-2A
 Valencia3213811147 
d
 
2-2F
l
 
1-0A
w
 
4-1F
May 19
 Villarreal3211912-442 
d
 
1-1F
w
 
2-3F
w
 
2-1A
w
 
0-2F
 Getafe3291310-640 
d
 
2-2F
May 3
w
 
4-0F
w
 
2-4F
 Osasuna3211615-939 
May 11
w
 
0-2F
w
 
1-0F
d
 
1-1A
 Sevilla3291013-437 
May 19
w
 
0-2F
w
 
2-0F
w
 
1-2A
 Las Palmas3210715-937 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-2F
May 14
w
 
0-1F
 Alaves329815-1035 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-2F
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
1-1F
 R.Vallecano3271312-1234 
w
 
4-0F
May 26
w
 
4-0F
w
 
0-1F
 Celta3271015-1031 
w
 
4-3A
May 15
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-1F
 Mallorca3261313-1231 
w
 
4-0F
d
 
0-00-0
May 4
w
 
0-3F
 Cadiz3241315-2325 
w
 
3-0F
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
2-0F
May 11
 Granada323920-2818 
d
 
1-1A
d
 
1-1F
w
 
3-2A
w
 
1-3A
 Almeria3211120-3314 
w
 
3-0F
d
 
0-00-0
Win / draw / win form
Real Madrid 1ST
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
47
Conceded
14
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
16
D
3
L
1
see results
HOME FORM
Real Madrid4 - 0Celta
Real Madrid1 - 0Sevilla
Real Madrid4 - 0Girona
Real Madrid1 - 1A.Madrid
Real Madrid3 - 2Almeria
Real Madrid1 - 0Mallorca
Real Madrid4 - 1Villarreal
Real Madrid2 - 0Granada
Real Madrid5 - 1Valencia
Real Madrid0 - 0R.Vallecano
Real Madrid4 - 0Osasuna
Real Madrid2 - 0Las Palmas
Real Madrid2 - 1R.Sociedad
Real Madrid2 - 1Getafe
Real Madrid1 - 1A.Bilbao
Real Madrid2 - 1R.Vallecano
Real Madrid1 - 0Getafe
Real Madrid4 - 2Almeria
Real Madrid2 - 0Celta
Real Madrid2 - 3Villarreal
Goals: Scored
44
Conceded
14
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
14
Draw
6
see results
OVERALL FORM
AReal Madrid4 - 2Osasuna
HReal Madrid4 - 0Celta
AReal Madrid2 - 2Valencia
HReal Madrid1 - 0Sevilla
AReal Madrid1 - 1R.Vallecano
HReal Madrid4 - 0Girona
HReal Madrid1 - 1A.Madrid
AReal Madrid2 - 0Getafe
AReal Madrid2 - 1Las Palmas
HReal Madrid3 - 2Almeria
HReal Madrid1 - 0Mallorca
AReal Madrid1 - 0Alaves
HReal Madrid4 - 1Villarreal
AReal Madrid1 - 1Real Betis
HReal Madrid2 - 0Granada
AReal Madrid3 - 0Cadiz
HReal Madrid5 - 1Valencia
HReal Madrid0 - 0R.Vallecano
AReal Madrid2 - 1Barcelona
AReal Madrid1 - 1Sevilla
A.Bilbao 5TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
7
Draw
7
Lost
6
see results
AWAY FORM
Las Palmas0 - 2A.Bilbao
Real Betis3 - 1A.Bilbao
Almeria0 - 0A.Bilbao
Cadiz0 - 0A.Bilbao
Valencia1 - 0A.Bilbao
Sevilla0 - 2A.Bilbao
Granada1 - 1A.Bilbao
Girona1 - 1A.Bilbao
Villarreal2 - 3A.Bilbao
Barcelona1 - 0A.Bilbao
R.Sociedad3 - 0A.Bilbao
Alaves0 - 2A.Bilbao
Mallorca0 - 0A.Bilbao
Osasuna0 - 2A.Bilbao
Real Madrid1 - 1A.Bilbao
Osasuna2 - 0A.Bilbao
Villarreal5 - 1A.Bilbao
Mallorca1 - 1A.Bilbao
Almeria1 - 2A.Bilbao
Espanyol1 - 2A.Bilbao
Goals: Scored
34
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
11
Draw
6
L
3
see results
OVERALL FORM
HA.Bilbao2 - 0Alaves
AA.Bilbao2 - 0Las Palmas
HA.Bilbao0 - 0Barcelona
AA.Bilbao1 - 3Real Betis
HA.Bilbao3 - 2Girona
AA.Bilbao0 - 0Almeria
HA.Bilbao4 - 0Mallorca
AA.Bilbao0 - 0Cadiz
AA.Bilbao0 - 1Valencia
HA.Bilbao2 - 1R.Sociedad
AA.Bilbao2 - 0Sevilla
HA.Bilbao1 - 0Las Palmas
HA.Bilbao2 - 0A.Madrid
AA.Bilbao1 - 1Granada
HA.Bilbao4 - 0R.Vallecano
AA.Bilbao1 - 1Girona
HA.Bilbao4 - 3Celta
AA.Bilbao3 - 2Villarreal
HA.Bilbao2 - 2Valencia
AA.Bilbao0 - 1Barcelona
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
17
Real Madrid have not lost to A.Bilbao in 17 consecutive league meetings
League games at Real Madrid since 2014
Real Madrid
A.Bilbao
Goals: Scored
20
6
Games: Scored
8 / 9
5 / 9
Clean sheets
4 / 9
1 / 9
RMD
6
D
3
see results
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Real Madrid
Draw1 - 1Draw
Real Madrid1 - 0
Real Madrid3 - 1
Draw0 - 0Draw
Real Madrid3 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Real Madrid2 - 1
Real Madrid4 - 2
Real Madrid5 - 0
All league games since 2014
Real Madrid
A.Bilbao
Goals: Scored
33
11
Games: Scored
16 / 19
10 / 19
Clean sheets
9 / 19
3 / 19
RMD
13
D
5
ATH
1
see results
FIXTURE HISTORY
0 - 2Real Madrid
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 2Real Madrid
1 - 2Real Madrid
Real Madrid1 - 0
0 - 1Real Madrid
Real Madrid3 - 1
0 - 1Real Madrid
Draw0 - 0Draw
Real Madrid3 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
1 - 2Real Madrid
Real Madrid2 - 1
Real Madrid4 - 2
1 - 2Real Madrid
A.Bilbao1 - 0
Real Madrid5 - 0
Goal Statistics

Real Madrid have been steady in attack of late, finding the net in 17 consecutive La Liga matches. Their PG of 1.8 against Athletic Bilbao on Sunday suggests that run is likely to continue.

Real Madrid 1st A.Bilbao 5th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.8
goals
0.8
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
16%
1
30%
2
27%
3
16%
4+
11%
There is a 84% probability that Real Madrid will score 1 or more goals
0
44%
1
36%
2
15%
3
4+
There is a 80% probability of A.Bilbao scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+10
Real Madrid’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-15
A.Bilbao have scored 15% fewer goals when away than predicted
2.4
average goals scored
1.1
average goals scored
0.7
conceded
1.2
conceded
 
Statistics La Liga - 2023/2023 Season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/261524/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Real Madrid
PG (predicted goals)
A.Bilbao
1.8
0.8
Attack rating
26%
better
RMD
ATH
view stats
Games scored32
23
Failed to score1
9
Scored first22
18
Goals scored71
52
Avg. goals scored2.2
1.6
Avg. shots per game12
10
Avg. shots per goal6
6
Conversion rate18%
17%
KickOff rating
+26%
Defence rating
15%
better
RMD
ATH
view stats
Games conceded16
17
Clean sheets17
15
Conceded first10
10
Goals conceded22
30
Avg. goals conceded0.7
0.9
Avg. shots/game conceded7
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded11
8
Conversion rate9%
13%
KickOff rating
+15%

Real Madrid v A.Bilbao La Liga lLine ups will show here when available.

Real Madrid La Liga squad statistics 2023
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
291677
F ValverdeJ BellinghamT KroosA Rüdiger
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Lunin GLK19
2
-
D Carvajal DEF2442
3
-
A Rüdiger DEF271
7
-
N Fernández DEF23
2
2
F Mendy DEF21
5
-
A Tchouameni MID2531
6
-
T Kroos MID2917
3
-
F Valverde MID3117
2
-
J Bellingham MID24164
5
1
B Díaz FWD2653
-
Rodrygo FWD30105
2
-
Subs
K Arrizabalaga GLK12
1
-
F. González Pérez GLK
-
F García DEF204
1
-
Éder Militão DEF3
-
L Modric MID2624
1
-
E Camavinga MID241
7
-
L Vázquez MID2413
-
D Ceballos MID141
1
-
A Güler MID51
-
Joselu FWD2982
1
-
A.Bilbao La Liga squad statistics 2023
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
301356
U SimónG GuruzetaO SancetD Vivian
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Agirrezabala GLK1
-
Óscar de Marcos DEF2414
4
-
Y Álvarez DEF131
1
-
A Paredes DEF291
5
-
I Lekue DEF213
4
-
M Vesga MID2331
2
-
B Prados MID21
1
-
I Williams MID2893
4
-
O Sancet MID2845
2
1
Álex Berenguer MID2862
4
-
G Guruzeta FWD30134
2
-
Subs
U Simón GLK30
2
-
D Vivian DEF28
6
-
Y Berchiche DEF2331
4
-
I Albéniz DEF6
2
-
I Galarreta MID2411
5
-
U Gómez MID202
1
-
A Herrera MID182
2
-
R García MID13
4
-
D García MID141
4
-
A Villalibre FWD1411
-
M Adu FWD10
2
-
I Muniain FWD171
1
-