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Villarreal v Atletico de Madrid : La Liga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Estadio de la Cerámica, Castellón

the Estadio de la Cerámica is the stage on Monday night, as Marcelino Toral's Villarreal host Diego Simeone's Atletico de Madrid in the La Liga. Analysing both teams' last 20 La Liga matches, as well as baseline data within the competition and the betting market, to generate our match predictions. All the stats, including head to heads (H2H), are shown below, alongside odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers.

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Villarreal's next match is v R.Vallecano at 17:30 on Sunday 28th April
Atletico de Madrid's next match is v A.Bilbao at 20:00 on Saturday 27th April
The last Spanish La Liga meeting between Villarreal and A.Madrid was on Monday 1st April 2024
Spanish La Liga
April 1st 2024
Villarreal 1
2 A.Madrid
 
A. Sørloth 50'9' A. Witsel
87' S. Ñíguez
 
VIL
ATM
Shots On
2
8
Shots Off
9
5
Corners
3
3
Possession
52%
48%
Fouls
15
22
Yellow/red cards
3/0
3/0
 
VillarrealA.Madrid
 
F. Jörgensen
Y. Mosquera
A. Mandi
R. Albiol Tortajada (A. Pedraza Sag 81')
J. Cuenca Barreno
D. Parejo Muñoz
F. Coquelin (A. Rodríguez 65')
E. Capoue (S. Comesaña Veiga 65')
A. Sørlothfootball icon
G. Ganchinho Guedes (J. Morales Nogales 71')
G. Moreno Balaguero (B. Traoré 81')
J. Oblak
J. Giménez de Vargas
R. Mandava
(C. Azpilicueta Tanco 66') football iconA. Witsel
(S. Ñíguez 84') Pablo Barrios Rivas
M. Llorente Moreno
J. Resurrección Merodio
S. Dias Lino
(S. Savić 46') R. Riquelme Reche
(Á. Morata Martín 66') M. Depay
(Á. Correa 66') A. Griezmann
Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

Neither Villarreal or A.Madrid are in a rich vein of form that would have us feeling confident enough to tip a match winner, so we're going with over 1.5 goals. The statistics tell us that both have a proven record in this market, both individually and when going head-to-head. We're predicting there's a 79% chance of 2 goals or more.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Villarreal are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 41% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 3.05.
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral Betfred 888Sport
Villarreal
41%
12/5
6%
12/5
13%
11/5
2%
41/20
2%
Draw
25%
13/55/25/2
7%
13/5
4%
A.Madrid
34%
21/20
2%
11/106/5
5%
5/4
4%
Draw 1-1
12%
6/16/1
7%
6/1
7%
23/4
4%
Villarreal 2-1
9%
11/110/110/110/1
Villarreal 1-0
8%
11/1
8%
11/1
8%
11/1
20%
11/1
14%
A.Madrid 2-1
8%
8/115/2
6%
15/28/1
A.Madrid 1-0
8%
8/1
18%
17/2
14%
17/2
5%
9/1
13%
Villarreal 2-0
6%
18/118/116/1
11%
16/1
11%
Draw 2-2
6%
12/1
18%
11/1
9%
11/1
9%
21/2
5%
Draw 0-0
6%
12/1
24%
12/1
24%
12/1
13%
13/1
18%
A.Madrid 2-0
5%
10/1
8%
10/1
15%
11/123/2
4%
Villarreal 3-1
4%
22/125/1
13%
22/1
10%
20/1
5%
A.Madrid 3-1
4%
14/114/114/115/1
7%
Villarreal 3-0
3%
33/145/1
12%
33/129/1
Villarreal 3-2
3%
28/1
12%
28/1
26%
25/1
13%
22/1
10%
A.Madrid 3-2
3%
22/1
10%
20/1
11%
20/1
24%
20/1
11%
A.Madrid 3-0
2%
18/1
10%
20/1
9%
20/1
11%
19/1
5%
Over 2.5 Goals
55%
7/10
8%
4/6
9%
4/6
9%
4/6
7%
Under 2.5 Goals
45%
11/10
11%
11/10
11%
11/10
12%
6/5
8%
Home 1st Goal
50%
13/10
2%
13/10
5%
23/20-
Away 1st Goal
47%
8/13
3%
3/4
3%
4/5
4%
-
No 1st Goal
3%
12/1
24%
12/1
24%
11/1
20%
-
BTTS - Yes
58%
8/13
8%
4/7
5%
4/7
5%
4/7
5%
BTTS - No
42%
6/5
12%
13/10
10%
5/4
10%
13/10
7%
BTTS - Home Win
21%
9/2
10%
9/2
15%
4/1-
BTTS - Draw
19%
7/2
4%
16/516/5-
BTTS - Away Win
18%
11/4
4%
13/5
3%
11/4
10%
-
Home/draw
66%
8/11
2%
8/11
7%
4/6
3%
13/20
3%
Away/draw
59%
3/10
4%
3/104/11
2%
4/11
Home/away
75%
2/73/10
7%
3/10
1%
3/10
2%
Over 1.5 Goals
78%
2/9
4%
2/9
4%
2/9
4%
1/5
3%
Under 1.5 Goals
22%
10/3
13%
3/1
16%
3/1
11%
17/5
15%
Over 3.5 Goals
33%
7/4
10%
33/20
13%
13/8
11%
33/20
10%
Under 3.5 Goals
67%
4/9
6%
4/9
6%
4/9
6%
4/9
6%
Over 4.5 Goals
17%
4/1
15%
19/5
20%
7/2
13%
4/1
17%
Under 4.5 Goals
83%
1/6
4%
1/6
4%
1/6
4%
2/13
4%
Over 5.5 Goals
7%
9/1
25%
9/1
25%
8/1
20%
9/1
18%
Under 5.5 Goals
93%
1/16
2%
1/16
2%
1/20
2%
1/20
2%
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1/25
2%
1/28
1%
-1/50
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
12/1
24%
12/1
13%
-12/1
19%
Home DNB
58%
11/8
6%
11/8
8%
5/4
5%
5/4
2%
Away DNB
51%
8/15
3%
8/15
6%
4/7
3%
13/20
2%
Villarreal win to nil
20%
11/2
7%
6/111/2
7%
-
A.Madrid win to nil
16%
3/1
8%
3/1
13%
16/5-
Villarreal / Villarreal
17%
9/2
10%
5/1
14%
4/1
9%
19/5
Villarreal / A.Madrid
4%
20/122/122/1
10%
24/1
19%
Villarreal / Draw
6%
14/1
15%
14/1
15%
12/112/1
Draw / Villarreal
12%
13/213/2
7%
7/1
6%
13/2
Draw / A.Madrid
15%
9/221/5
5%
9/25/1
Draw / Draw
14%
5/19/2
8%
5/124/5
9%
A.Madrid / Villarreal
3%
28/1
12%
33/1
17%
28/128/1
12%
A.Madrid / A.Madrid
24%
9/4
4%
12/5
6%
12/5
5%
49/20
3%
A.Madrid / Draw
6%
12/114/1
15%
12/112/1
bet365
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Win / draw / win La Liga table

Villarreal have played 29 matches so far this season and are in 10th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

13 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 8 games, drawn zero and won 5. Villarreal have conceded 31 goals, scored 25, failed to score in 1 match and kept 1 clean sheet.

Home league performance

Villarreal have played 15 games at home, winning 5, drawing 4 and losing 6 fixtures. They have scored 25 goals, conceded 24 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and failed to score 2 times in home league games.

A.Madrid lay in 5th place on 55 points in the La Liga league table having played 29 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 23 games against teams below them in the table, winning 16, drawing 3 and losing 4 games. They have scored 47 goals and kept 9 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. A.Madrid have conceded 22 goals and have failed to score in 4 matches.

Away league performance

A.Madrid have played 14 away games, winning 4, drawing 3 and losing 7 games. They have scored an average of 1.4 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.3 goals per away game.

Villarreal
Won
Draw
Lost
Scores
A.Madrid
HOME AWAY TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY
May 19
l
 
4-1A
 Real Madrid3326614984 
w
 
3-1F
d
 
1-1A
l
 
3-4A
w
 
3-5F
 Barcelona3221742770 
l
 
0-3A
l
 
1-0A
l
 
1-2F
May 14
 Girona3221562768 
w
 
3-1A
l
 
4-3A
l
 
1-2A
l
 
3-1F
 A.Madrid Away3219492161 
-
-
l
 
2-3A
d
 
1-1A
 A.Bilbao32161062258 
Apr 27
l
 
2-0A
l
 
0-3A
w
 
1-3F
 R.Sociedad33131281151 
w
 
2-1F
May 26
l
 
1-2A
w
 
2-3A
 Real Betis3212128248 
w
 
2-1F
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
1-0F
l
 
3-1A
 Valencia3213811147 
w
 
2-0F
l
 
3-0A
-
-
 Villarreal Home3211912-442 
w
 
3-1A
w
 
1-2F
d
 
1-1A
d
 
0-00-0
 Getafe3291310-640 
d
 
3-3F
May 15
w
 
3-1F
May 26
 Osasuna3211615-939 
May 19
w
 
0-2F
May 11
d
 
1-1A
 Sevilla3291013-437 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
1-0A
l
 
1-2A
l
 
3-0A
 Las Palmas3210715-937 
w
 
5-0F
l
 
2-1A
d
 
1-1A
d
 
1-1A
 Alaves329815-1035 
w
 
2-1F
l
 
2-0A
Apr 28
d
 
1-1F
 R.Vallecano3271312-1234 
w
 
2-1F
w
 
0-7F
w
 
3-2F
May 5
 Celta3271015-1031 
May 12
w
 
0-3F
d
 
1-1F
w
 
0-1F
 Mallorca3261313-1231 
w
 
1-0F
May 4
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
3-1F
 Cadiz3241315-2325 
w
 
3-2A
l
 
2-0A
w
 
5-1F
w
 
2-3F
 Granada323920-2818 
w
 
3-1F
w
 
0-1F
w
 
2-1A
w
 
1-2F
 Almeria3211120-3314 
w
 
2-1F
d
 
2-2F
Win / draw / win form
Villarreal 9TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
41
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
9
Draw
5
Lost
6
see results
HOME FORM
Villarreal1 - 0Valencia
Villarreal5 - 1Granada
Villarreal1 - 1Getafe
Villarreal0 - 0Cadiz
Villarreal1 - 1Mallorca
Villarreal3 - 2Celta
Villarreal0 - 3R.Sociedad
Villarreal3 - 1Osasuna
Villarreal2 - 3A.Bilbao
Villarreal1 - 1Alaves
Villarreal1 - 2Las Palmas
Villarreal1 - 2Girona
Villarreal2 - 1Almeria
Villarreal3 - 4Barcelona
Villarreal1 - 2Real Betis
Villarreal2 - 2A.Madrid
Villarreal2 - 0Cadiz
Villarreal5 - 1A.Bilbao
Villarreal3 - 1Celta
Villarreal4 - 2Espanyol
Goals: Scored
36
Conceded
36
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
8
Draw
6
Lost
6
see results
OVERALL FORM
HVillarreal1 - 0Valencia
AVillarreal3 - 2Real Betis
HVillarreal5 - 1Granada
AVillarreal3 - 1R.Sociedad
HVillarreal1 - 1Getafe
AVillarreal1 - 1Alaves
HVillarreal0 - 0Cadiz
AVillarreal5 - 3Barcelona
HVillarreal1 - 1Mallorca
AVillarreal0 - 3Las Palmas
AVillarreal1 - 3Valencia
HVillarreal3 - 2Celta
AVillarreal1 - 4Real Madrid
HVillarreal0 - 3R.Sociedad
AVillarreal1 - 1Sevilla
HVillarreal3 - 1Osasuna
AVillarreal1 - 3A.Madrid
HVillarreal2 - 3A.Bilbao
AVillarreal3 - 2Granada
HVillarreal1 - 1Alaves
A.Madrid 4TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
6
Draw
5
Lost
9
see results
AWAY FORM
Cadiz2 - 0A.Madrid
Almeria2 - 2A.Madrid
Sevilla1 - 0A.Madrid
Real Madrid1 - 1A.Madrid
Granada0 - 1A.Madrid
Girona4 - 3A.Madrid
A.Bilbao2 - 0A.Madrid
Barcelona1 - 0A.Madrid
Las Palmas2 - 1A.Madrid
Celta0 - 3A.Madrid
Osasuna0 - 2A.Madrid
Valencia3 - 0A.Madrid
R.Vallecano0 - 7A.Madrid
Real Betis0 - 0A.Madrid
Villarreal2 - 2A.Madrid
Espanyol3 - 3A.Madrid
Elche1 - 0A.Madrid
Valladolid2 - 5A.Madrid
Barcelona1 - 0A.Madrid
R.Vallecano1 - 2A.Madrid
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
10
D
3
Lost
7
see results
OVERALL FORM
HA.Madrid0 - 3Barcelona
AA.Madrid0 - 2Cadiz
HA.Madrid2 - 1Real Betis
AA.Madrid2 - 2Almeria
HA.Madrid5 - 0Las Palmas
AA.Madrid0 - 1Sevilla
AA.Madrid1 - 1Real Madrid
HA.Madrid2 - 1R.Vallecano
HA.Madrid2 - 0Valencia
AA.Madrid1 - 0Granada
AA.Madrid3 - 4Girona
HA.Madrid1 - 0Sevilla
HA.Madrid3 - 3Getafe
AA.Madrid0 - 2A.Bilbao
HA.Madrid2 - 1Almeria
AA.Madrid0 - 1Barcelona
HA.Madrid1 - 0Mallorca
HA.Madrid3 - 1Villarreal
AA.Madrid1 - 2Las Palmas
HA.Madrid2 - 1Alaves
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
5
A.Madrid have not lost to Villarreal in 5 consecutive away league meetings
League games at Villarreal since 2015
Villarreal
A.Madrid
Goals: Scored
11
9
Games: Scored
6 / 9
6 / 9
Clean sheets
3 / 9
3 / 9
VIL
3
D
4
ATM
2
see results
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Villarreal
Draw2 - 2Draw
Draw2 - 2Draw
0 - 2A.Madrid
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Villarreal2 - 1
Villarreal3 - 0
Villarreal1 - 0
0 - 1A.Madrid
All league games since 2014
Villarreal
A.Madrid
Goals: Scored
20
20
Games: Scored
13 / 19
11 / 19
Clean sheets
8 / 19
6 / 19
VIL
6
D
8
ATM
5
see results
FIXTURE HISTORY
A.Madrid3 - 1
Draw2 - 2Draw
0 - 2Villarreal
Draw2 - 2Draw
Draw2 - 2Draw
0 - 2A.Madrid
Draw0 - 0Draw
A.Madrid3 - 1
Draw0 - 0Draw
A.Madrid2 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Villarreal2 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 1Villarreal
Villarreal3 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
Villarreal1 - 0
0 - 1A.Madrid
0 - 1Villarreal
Goal Statistics

Villarreal have been steady in front of goal of late, scoring in 6 consecutive La Liga matches. Their PG of 1.5 against Atletico de Madrid on Monday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

Villarreal 9th A.Madrid 4th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.5
goals
1.4
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
22%
1
33%
2
25%
3
13%
4+
There is a 78% probability that Villarreal will score 1 or more goals
0
26%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 61% probability that A.Madrid will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+26
Villarreal have scored 26% more goals at home than predicted
+10
A.Madrid’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.1
average goals scored
1.6
average goals scored
1.5
conceded
1.4
conceded
 
Statistics La Liga - 2023/2023 Season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/261518/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Villarreal
PG (predicted goals)
A.Madrid
1.5
1.4
Attack rating
5%
better
VIL
ATM
view stats
Games scored28
24
Failed to score4
8
Scored first14
18
Goals scored51
59
Avg. goals scored1.6
1.8
Avg. shots per game9
10
Avg. shots per goal5
6
Conversion rate18%
18%
KickOff rating
+5%
Defence rating
VIL
ATM
25%
better
view stats
Games conceded28
23
Clean sheets4
9
Conceded first16
13
Goals conceded55
38
Avg. goals conceded1.7
1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded12
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
8
Conversion rate15%
13%
KickOff rating
+25%

Villarreal v A.Madrid La Liga lLine ups will show here when available.

Villarreal La Liga squad statistics 2023
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
3014910
F JörgensenA SörlothÁlex BaenaÁlex Baena
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
F Jörgensen GLK30
3
-
Y Mosquera DEF9
3
-
Albiol DEF231
5
-
A Mandi DEF141
3
-
J Cuenca DEF233
6
-
Étienne Capoue MID2811
8
-
D Parejo MID2634
4
-
F Coquelin MID12
2
-
G Moreno FWD28104
-
A Sörloth FWD27146
3
-
G Guedes FWD1022
-
Subs
I Álvarez GLK
-
C Romero DEF7
1
-
S Comesaña MID222
7
-
Álex Baena MID2829
9
1
A Pedraza MID1612
4
1
M Trigueros MID11
-
B Traoré FWD6
1
-
I Akhomach FWD2412
3
-
J Morales FWD236
-
A.Madrid La Liga squad statistics 2023
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
311468
J OblakÁlvaro MorataA GriezmannS Ñíguez
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Oblak GLK31
1
-
M Llorente DEF3163
5
-
A Witsel DEF302
3
-
J Giménez DEF17
4
-
R Mandava DEF1011
1
-
R Riquelme DEF2725
1
-
P Barrios MID191
5
-
Koke MID283
4
-
S Lino MID2732
1
-
A Griezmann FWD27136
4
-
M Depay FWD2051
2
-
Subs
H Moldovan GLK
-
A Gomis GLK
-
S Savic  DEF19
5
-
C Azpilicueta DEF182
3
-
G Paulista DEF4
-
S Ñíguez MID3015
8
-
A Vermeeren MID3
1
-
Álvaro Morata FWD28142
3
-
Ángel Correa FWD2582
2
-