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Sao Paulo v Palmeiras : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo, São Paulo

Thiago Carpini Barbosa and Abel Fernando Moreira Ferreira meet in the Serie A on Tuesday morning, as Sao Paulo face Palmeiras at the Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo. This preview has odds for seventeen different markets, alongside bespoke data that updates as you go through them. Our predictions are based on 20-game form, so all stats are shown for each side's last 20 too. Home vs away and overall records can be explored, while there's also head-to-head history a little further down the page.

This match has now expired. Kickoff has all of the best football predictions for you to choose from, for all Serie A Predictions. Kickoff constantly updates all 17 football betting markets to analyse and predict football scores – whether you choose football accumulator tips, both teams to score (BTTS tips), correct score, or if you are looking for free football tips – then make sure to sign up to Kickoff.co.uk today.

Sao Paulo's next match is v Corinthians at 20:00 on Sunday 2nd June
Palmeiras's next match is v A Mineiro at 22:30 on Sunday 2nd June

The last Brazillian Serie A meeting between Sao Paulo and Palmeiras was on Tuesday 30th April 2024

Brazillian Serie A

April 30th 2024

Sao Paulo 0	0 Palmeiras

	SAO PAL
Shots On	1 3
Shots Off	8 3
Corners	6 4
Possession	53% 47%
Fouls	12 17
Yellow/red cards	4/0 3/0

Sao Paulo	Palmeiras

R. Monteiro D. Costa Barbosa A. Franco I. de Souza Welington (M. Araújo Villar 55') R. Arboleda Escobar A. de Freitas Castro D. Bobadilla A. Oliveira Silva (A. dos Santos Ferreira 61') L. da Rocha Neves (J. Rodríguez Rubio 85') J. Calleri	W. Pereira da Silva (M. Rocha de Oliveira 73') M. Rocha Aquino G. Gómez Portillo M. Cerqueira Paim (V. Barbosa da Silva 73') J. Piquerez Moreira R. Rios R. Cavalcante Veiga A. Moreno (R. da Silva Barbosa 66') E. Moreira de Sousa (L. Lira dos Santos 66') E. Almeida de Oliveira Gonçalves (L. Vinicius Marques 55') J. López

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

A tight, highly tactical defensive battle could be in store as Sao Paulo and Palmeiras go head-to-head, with almost nothing between the players in terms of who might win. The statistics don't supply any conclusive evidence in that regard, but they are pointing strongly towards there being 2 goals or fewer in the game. That prediction is available at best priced odds of 1.50 with the bookmakers, so we make under 2.5 goals our tip of the day on this one.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Sao Paulo are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 38% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 3.00.

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Sao Paulo 38%	13/8 9%	6/4 7%
Draw 29%	19/10 3%	9/5 3%
Palmeiras 33%	2/1 15%	9/5 14%
Draw 1-1 13%	5/1	19/4
Sao Paulo 1-0 13%	11/2 19%	5/1 14%
Palmeiras 1-0 12%	6/1	11/2
Draw 0-0 11%	5/1 14%	19/4 18%
Sao Paulo 2-1 8%	10/1	17/2
Sao Paulo 2-0 7%	10/1 15%	9/1 9%
Palmeiras 2-1 7%	11/1 20%	9/1 11%
Palmeiras 2-0 6%	12/1 8%	10/1 10%
Draw 2-2 4%	18/1 27%	14/1 15%
Sao Paulo 3-1 3%	25/1	18/1
Sao Paulo 3-0 3%	25/1 10%	18/1 10%
Palmeiras 3-1 3%	28/1 26%	20/1 24%
Palmeiras 3-0 2%	28/1 12%	20/1 11%
Sao Paulo 3-2 2%	40/1	25/1
Palmeiras 3-2 1%	40/1 21%	28/1 26%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%	17/10 17%	-
Under 2.5 Goals 62%	4/9 10%	-
Home 1st Goal 48%	10/11 15%	-
Away 1st Goal 45%	13/10 20%	-
No 1st Goal 7%	5/1 14%	-
BTTS - Yes 45%	11/10 8%	11/10 8%
BTTS - No 55%	4/6 7%	13/20 8%
BTTS - Home Win 14%	6/1 8%	5/1 4%
BTTS - Draw 18%	15/4 10%	7/2 4%
BTTS - Away Win 13%	13/2 25%	11/2 24%
Home/draw 67%	4/11 9%	2/5 5%
Away/draw 62%	4/9 3%	10/21 6%
Home/away 71%	2/5 3%	2/5 3%
Over 1.5 Goals 65%	8/15 6%	-
Under 1.5 Goals 35%	6/4 9%	-
Over 3.5 Goals 19%	4/1 11%	-
Under 3.5 Goals 81%	1/6 3%	-
Over 4.5 Goals 8%	12/1 30%	-
Under 4.5 Goals 92%	1/25 2%	-
Over 5.5 Goals 3%	25/1 24%	-
Under 5.5 Goals 97%	1/80	-
Over 0.5 Goals 89%	1/9 1%	-
Under 0.5 Goals 11%	11/2 7%	-
Home DNB 58%	4/5 10%	3/4 10%
Away DNB 53%	10/11 10%	19/20 11%
Sao Paulo win to nil 24%	11/4 17%	-
Palmeiras win to nil 21%	10/3 8%	-
Sao Paulo / Sao Paulo 19%	7/2 5%	16/5 7%
Sao Paulo / Palmeiras 3%	33/1 17%	25/1 13%
Sao Paulo / Draw 6%	14/1	12/1 8%
Draw / Sao Paulo 14%	9/2 8%	9/2 8%
Draw / Palmeiras 13%	5/1 9%	5/1 9%
Draw / Draw 20%	3/1 8%	14/5 10%
Palmeiras / Sao Paulo 3%	33/1	25/1 13%
Palmeiras / Palmeiras 16%	4/1 15%	18/5 10%
Palmeiras / Draw 6%	14/1	12/1 8%

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

10 / 20

Clean sheets

10 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

HOME FORM
Sao Paulo	1 - 2	Fortaleza
Sao Paulo	1 - 0	Flamengo
Sao Paulo	0 - 0	Cuiaba
Sao Paulo	1 - 0	Bragantino
Sao Paulo	1 - 0	Cruzeiro
Sao Paulo	3 - 0	Gremio
Sao Paulo	2 - 1	Corinthians
Sao Paulo	2 - 1	Cortiba
Sao Paulo	1 - 2	Fortaleza
Sao Paulo	0 - 0	Botafogo
Sao Paulo	0 - 2	A Mineiro
Sao Paulo	0 - 0	Bahia
Sao Paulo	4 - 1	Santos
Sao Paulo	1 - 0	Fluminese
Sao Paulo	2 - 1	Athletico PR
Sao Paulo	0 - 2	Palmeiras
Sao Paulo	2 - 1	Goias
Sao Paulo	4 - 2	Vasco d Gama
Sao Paulo	2 - 0	Internacional
Sao Paulo	3 - 0	America

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

11 / 20

Clean sheets

9 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM
A	Sao Paulo	3 - 0	Atletico Go
A	Sao Paulo	1 - 2	Flamengo
H	Sao Paulo	1 - 2	Fortaleza
H	Sao Paulo	1 - 0	Flamengo
A	Sao Paulo	1 - 2	A Mineiro
A	Sao Paulo	1 - 0	Bahia
H	Sao Paulo	0 - 0	Cuiaba
A	Sao Paulo	0 - 1	Fluminese
A	Sao Paulo	0 - 0	Santos
H	Sao Paulo	1 - 0	Bragantino
H	Sao Paulo	1 - 0	Cruzeiro
A	Sao Paulo	1 - 1	Athletico PR
A	Sao Paulo	0 - 5	Palmeiras
H	Sao Paulo	3 - 0	Gremio
A	Sao Paulo	0 - 2	Goias
A	Sao Paulo	0 - 0	Vasco d Gama
H	Sao Paulo	2 - 1	Corinthians
H	Sao Paulo	2 - 1	Cortiba
H	Sao Paulo	1 - 2	Fortaleza
A	Sao Paulo	1 - 2	Internacional

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

12 / 20

Clean sheets

8 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM
Vitoria	0 - 1	Palmeiras
Cruzeiro	1 - 1	Palmeiras
Fortaleza	2 - 2	Palmeiras
Flamengo	3 - 0	Palmeiras
Botafogo	3 - 4	Palmeiras
Cortiba	0 - 2	Palmeiras
Bragantino	2 - 1	Palmeiras
Gremio	1 - 0	Palmeiras
Corinthians	0 - 0	Palmeiras
Cuiaba	0 - 2	Palmeiras
Fluminese	2 - 1	Palmeiras
America	1 - 4	Palmeiras
Internacional	0 - 0	Palmeiras
Athletico PR	2 - 2	Palmeiras
Bahia	1 - 0	Palmeiras
Sao Paulo	0 - 2	Palmeiras
A Mineiro	1 - 1	Palmeiras
Santos	0 - 0	Palmeiras
Goias	0 - 5	Palmeiras
Vasco d Gama	2 - 2	Palmeiras

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

9 / 20

Clean sheets

11 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM
H	Palmeiras	0 - 0	Flamengo
H	Palmeiras	0 - 1	Internacional
A	Palmeiras	1 - 0	Vitoria
A	Palmeiras	1 - 1	Cruzeiro
H	Palmeiras	1 - 0	Fluminese
H	Palmeiras	4 - 0	America
A	Palmeiras	2 - 2	Fortaleza
H	Palmeiras	3 - 0	Internacional
A	Palmeiras	0 - 3	Flamengo
H	Palmeiras	1 - 0	Athletico PR
A	Palmeiras	4 - 3	Botafogo
H	Palmeiras	1 - 0	Bahia
H	Palmeiras	5 - 0	Sao Paulo
A	Palmeiras	2 - 0	Cortiba
H	Palmeiras	0 - 2	A Mineiro
H	Palmeiras	1 - 2	Santos
A	Palmeiras	1 - 2	Bragantino
A	Palmeiras	0 - 1	Gremio
H	Palmeiras	1 - 0	Goias
A	Palmeiras	0 - 0	Corinthians

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Palmeiras have not lost to Sao Paulo in 6 consecutive away league meetings

Palmeiras have kept a clean sheet in 3 consecutive league meetings with Sao Paulo

Sao Paulo

Palmeiras

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

3 / 6

5 / 6

Clean sheets

1 / 6

3 / 6

PAL

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Sao Paulo
	0 - 2	Palmeiras
	1 - 2	Palmeiras
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
	0 - 2	Palmeiras

Sao Paulo

Palmeiras

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

6 / 12

8 / 12

Clean sheets

4 / 12

6 / 12

SAO

PAL

FIXTURE HISTORY
Palmeiras	5 - 0
	0 - 2	Palmeiras
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
	1 - 2	Palmeiras
	0 - 2	Sao Paulo
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
	0 - 2	Sao Paulo
Palmeiras	3 - 0
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
	0 - 2	Palmeiras
Palmeiras	3 - 1

Goal Statistics

Palmeiras's defensive record is very strong, Abel Fernando Moreira Ferreira's men having conceded 1 or less in 6 consecutive Serie A matches. An average PG rating of 1.2 for Sao Paulo makes sense in this context.

	Sao Paulo 5th	Palmeiras 9th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.2 goals	1.1 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 31% 1 36% 2 21% 3 8% 4+ There is a 67% probability that Sao Paulo will score no more than 1 goal	0 34% 1 37% 2 20% 3 4+ There is a 71% probability that Palmeiras will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	=0 Sao Paulo’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	+17 Palmeiras have scored 17% more goals when away than predicted
	1.5 average goals scored	1.5 average goals scored
	0.8 conceded	1.1 conceded

Statistics Serie A - 2024/2024 Season

49%

better

SAO

PAL

view stats

Games scored	5		2
Failed to score	1		4
Scored first	2		2
Goals scored	10		3
Avg. goals scored	1.7		0.5
Avg. shots per game	11		12
Avg. shots per goal	7		23
Conversion rate	15%		4%
KickOff rating		+49%

SAO

PAL

41%

better

view stats

Games conceded	4		2
Clean sheets	2		4
Conceded first	3		2
Goals conceded	6		3
Avg. goals conceded	1		0.5
Avg. shots/game conceded	6		7
Avg. shots/goal conceded	6		15
Conversion rate	17%		7%
KickOff rating		+41%

Sao Paulo v Palmeiras Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Sao Paulo Serie A squad statistics 2024

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
6	3	1	4
Rafael	Luciano	I Vinícius	Luciano

Line-up	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
Rafael GLK	6			-
D Costa DEF	5			1 -
R Arboleda DEF	6	1		-
A Franco DEF	4			1 -
I Vinícius MID	6		1	3 -
Alisson MID	6		1	1 -
D Bobadilla MID	4	1		1 -
Welington MID	4			-
Luciano MID	6	3		4 -
A Silva MID	6	1	1	-
J Calleri FWD	5	1		1 -
Subs
Jandrei GLK				-
J Moreira DEF				-
N Ferraresi DEF	3	1		-
Patryck DEF	1			-
R Nestor MID	4		1	2 -
M Araújo MID	5		1	3 -
L Gustavo MID				-
J Rodríguez MID	2			-
G Galoppo MID	4			2 -
Ferreira FWD	4	2		-
Juan FWD	2		1	-
Erick FWD	4		1	1 -

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
3	6	1	3
Luciano	Luciano	I Vinícius	D Bobadilla

Line-up	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
Luciano MID	3	6		3
D Bobadilla MID	1	1		3
R Arboleda DEF	1	3		1
A Silva MID	1	1	1	1
J Calleri FWD	1	2
I Vinícius MID			1	2
Alisson MID		3	1	2
Subs
Ferreira FWD	2	3
N Ferraresi DEF	1	1
R Nestor MID		3	1	1
M Araújo MID		1	1	1
G Galoppo MID		4		1
Juan FWD		1	1	1
Erick FWD			1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
433	12	35
R Arboleda	Alisson	Alisson

Line-up	passes	tackles	duels won
R Arboleda DEF	433	7	26
Alisson MID	385	12	35
D Costa DEF	359	6	27
I Vinícius MID	272	10	31
A Franco DEF	234	9	18
Luciano MID	186	7	27
Rafael GLK	134		1
D Bobadilla MID	102	10	11
Welington MID	96	9	19
J Calleri FWD	75	2	30
A Silva MID	68	1	16
Subs
N Ferraresi DEF	139	3	8
M Araújo MID	128	2	23
R Nestor MID	94	3	8
G Galoppo MID	66	2	10
Ferreira FWD	46	1	5
Erick FWD	42	4	10
J Rodríguez MID	39
Patryck DEF	38	1	3
Juan FWD	8		3

Palmeiras Serie A squad statistics 2024

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
6	1	1	3
Weverton	R Ríos	L Santos	Endrick

Line-up	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
Weverton GLK	6			1 -
M Rocha DEF	5			-
G Portillo DEF	5			1 -
Murilo DEF	5			2 -
J Piquerez DEF	5			-
R Ríos MID	6	1		1 -
A Moreno MID	4			1 -
Endrick MID	6			3 -
R Veiga MID	5			-
E. Almeida de Oliveira Gonçalves MID	5	1		-
J López FWD	4			3 -
Subs
M Lomba GLK				-
Luan DEF	3			-
Mayke DEF	5			3 -
Vanderlan DEF	2			-
G García DEF				-
C Paulista MID				-
Romulo MID	3			-
G Menino MID	5			2 -
L Santos MID	4		1	-
Fabinho MID	2			-
Rony FWD	6		1	-
L Lázaro FWD	6	1		-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
1	4	1	3
R Ríos	Rony	L Santos	J Piquerez

Line-up	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
R Ríos MID	1	1
E. Almeida de Oliveira Gonçalves MID	1	3		1
G Portillo DEF		2		1
Murilo DEF		1
J Piquerez DEF		2		3
A Moreno MID		1
Endrick MID		2		1
R Veiga MID		3
J López FWD		1
Subs
L Lázaro FWD	1	3
Mayke DEF				1
L Santos MID			1	2
Rony FWD		4	1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
219	10	33
G Portillo	Murilo	Endrick

Line-up	passes	tackles	duels won
G Portillo DEF	219	8	24
Murilo DEF	204	10	31
J Piquerez DEF	202	8	24
A Moreno MID	176	7	12
Weverton GLK	175		1
R Veiga MID	127	5	14
M Rocha DEF	126	4	9
R Ríos MID	105	9	21
Endrick MID	93	6	33
E. Almeida de Oliveira Gonçalves MID	72	4	16
J López FWD	45	1	13
Subs
G Menino MID	163	9	21
Mayke DEF	143	8	16
Luan DEF	86	2	10
L Lázaro FWD	82		13
L Santos MID	54	1	12
Rony FWD	39	5	17
Fabinho MID	27	1	3
Romulo MID	24	3	4
Vanderlan DEF	19	3	4