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Leeds United v Southampton : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 26th May, 15:00 BST, Wembley Stadium, London

It's a long trek for Russell Martin's Southampton side on Sunday afternoon, as they make their way to the Wembley Stadium for a Championship showdown with Daniel Farke's Leeds United. The predictions shown are based on in-depth statistical analysis of each side, across seventeen of the biggest betting markets. Data shown and the odds change with each market, and head-to-head stats are included across them all.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We've made over 1.5 goals our best tip on this one, meaning that the teams will score 2 goals or more between them during 90 minutes. Both Leeds and Southampton's current form stats suggest things will go that way, while their head-to-head (H2H) record also supports the bet. The bookies make it the most probable outcome in this market too, available at 1.25.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Leeds are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 51% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.38.

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Leeds 51%	2.30 8%	2.38
Draw 24%	3.25	3.40 3%
Southampton 24%	3.10 13%	2.90 4%
Draw 1-1 12%	6.50	6.00 8%
Leeds 1-0 11%	8.50 11%	7.50 6%
Leeds 2-1 10%	9.50 5%	8.50
Leeds 2-0 9%	12.00 8%	10.00
Southampton 1-0 7%	10.00	8.50
Draw 0-0 7%	11.00	9.00 5%
Southampton 2-1 6%	11.00	9.50 6%
Leeds 3-1 5%	19.00	15.00
Draw 2-2 5%	13.00 8%	12.00
Leeds 3-0 5%	21.00 9%	17.00
Southampton 2-0 4%	15.00	12.00
Leeds 3-2 3%	26.00	21.00 11%
Leeds 4-1 2%	41.00	29.00
Southampton 3-1 2%	23.00 10%	17.00
Leeds 4-0 2%	41.00 20%	34.00
Over 2.5 Goals 51%	1.91 6%	-
Under 2.5 Goals 49%	1.91 5%	-
Home 1st Goal 53%	1.73 4%	-
Away 1st Goal 43%	2.25 7%	-
No 1st Goal 4%	11.00	-
BTTS - Yes 53%	1.67 3%	1.73 2%
BTTS - No 47%	2.10 5%	2.00 2%
BTTS - Home Win 23%	4.50 5%	4.33
BTTS - Draw 18%	4.33	4.33
BTTS - Away Win 12%	6.00 20%	5.25 5%
Home/draw 76%	1.36 3%	1.40
Away/draw 49%	1.57 5%	1.57
Home/away 76%	1.33	1.30 1%
Over 1.5 Goals 76%	1.29 3%	-
Under 1.5 Goals 24%	3.75 6%	-
Over 3.5 Goals 29%	3.20 7%	-
Under 3.5 Goals 71%	1.36 3%	-
Over 4.5 Goals 14%	6.00 9%	-
Under 4.5 Goals 86%	1.12 2%	-
Over 5.5 Goals 6%	13.00 18%	-
Under 5.5 Goals 94%	1.04 1%	-
Over 0.5 Goals 93%	1.05	-
Under 0.5 Goals 7%	11.00	-
Home DNB 68%	1.62 6%	1.70
Away DNB 41%	2.20 10%	2.05 3%
Leeds win to nil 28%	4.00 11%	-
Southampton win to nil 12%	5.50	-
Leeds / Leeds 22%	3.75 6%	3.60 3%
Leeds / Southampton 3%	29.00 12%	23.00 10%
Leeds / Draw 6%	13.00	12.00
Draw / Leeds 14%	5.50 8%	5.50
Draw / Southampton 12%	7.00 8%	6.50
Draw / Draw 16%	5.00 9%	4.80 4%
Southampton / Leeds 3%	26.00	21.00 11%
Southampton / Southampton 17%	5.00 11%	4.50 4%
Southampton / Draw 6%	13.00	12.00

Win / draw / win Championship table

Leeds have played 46 matches so far this season and lay in 3rd place in the Championship league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 44 games against teams below in the table, having won 24, drawn 10 and lost 10 matches. They have kept 19 clean sheets and have failed to score in 10 fixtures. They have been outscored by their opponents by 87 goals to 81 goals.

Home League Performance

Leeds have played 24 games at home winning 17, drawing 5 and losing 2 games. They have scored 49 goals, kept 11 clean sheets and conceded 16 goals at home.

Southampton are in 4th position in the Championship on 87 points having played 46 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

6 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 34 goals and kept 7 clean sheets. They have scored 33 goals in total and failed to score in 4 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

6 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 4 games, drawn 0 and won 2. Southampton have conceded 15 goals, scored 8, failed to score in 2 fixtures and have kept no clean sheets.

Leeds

Won

Draw

Lost

Scores

Southampton

HOME	AWAY	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY
w 3-1A	w 0-1F	Leicester	46	31	4	11	48	97	l 1-4A	l 5-0A
w 4-0F	w 3-4A	Ipswich	46	28	12	6	35	96	l 0-1A	l 3-2A
-	-	Leeds Home	46	27	9	10	38	90	w 3-1F	w 1-2F
l 1-2A	l 3-1A	Southampton A	46	26	9	11	24	87	-	-
d 1-1A	l 1-0A	West Brom	46	21	12	13	23	75	w 2-1F	w 0-2F
w 1-0F	w 2-3A	Norwich	46	21	10	15	15	73	d 4-4A	d 1-1F
w 3-1F	d 0-00-0	Hull	46	19	13	14	8	70	l 1-2A	w 1-2F
w 3-2A	w 3-4A	M'Boro	46	20	9	17	9	69	d 1-1F	l 2-1F
d 1-1F	l 2-1A	Coventry	46	17	13	16	11	64	w 2-1F	d 1-1A
w 2-1A	l 2-1A	Preston	46	18	9	19	-11	63	w 3-0F	d 2-2F
w 2-1F	w 0-1F	Bristol C	46	17	11	18	2	62	w 1-0F	l 3-1A
d 2-2A	w 0-3F	Cardiff	46	19	5	22	-17	62	w 2-0F	l 2-1F
w 2-0F	w 0-3F	Millwall	46	16	11	19	-10	59	l 1-2A	w 0-1F
w 3-1A	w 0-4F	Swansea	46	15	12	19	-6	57	w 5-0F	w 1-3F
w 3-0F	d 2-2A	Watford	46	13	17	16	0	56	w 3-2F	d 1-1F
d 0-00-0	l 1-0A	Sunderland	46	16	8	22	-2	56	w 4-2F	l 5-0A
w 1-0F	l 1-0A	Stoke	46	15	11	20	-11	56	l 0-1A	w 0-1F
w 1-0F	l 4-0A	QPR	46	15	11	20	-11	56	w 2-1F	w 0-1F
l 0-1A	w 0-2F	Blackburn	46	14	11	21	-14	53	w 4-0F	d 0-00-0
d 0-00-0	w 0-2F	Sheff Wed	46	15	8	23	-24	53	w 4-0F	w 1-2F
w 2-1F	w 0-2F	Plymouth	46	13	12	21	-11	51	w 2-1F	w 1-2F
w 3-0F	l 1-0A	Birmingham	46	13	11	22	-15	50	w 3-1F	w 3-4A
w 4-1F	d 1-1A	Huddersfield	46	9	18	19	-29	45	w 5-3A	d 1-1F
w 3-0F	d 1-1F	Rotherham	46	5	12	29	-52	27	d 1-1F	w 0-2F

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

18 / 20

Conceded

11 / 20

Clean sheets

9 / 20

Failed to score

2 / 20

Won

HOME FORM
Leeds	4 - 0	Norwich
Leeds	1 - 2	Southampton
Leeds	0 - 1	Blackburn
Leeds	0 - 0	Sunderland
Leeds	3 - 1	Hull
Leeds	2 - 0	Millwall
Leeds	1 - 0	Stoke
Leeds	3 - 1	Leicester
Leeds	3 - 0	Rotherham
Leeds	1 - 0	Norwich
Leeds	2 - 1	Preston
Leeds	3 - 0	Birmingham
Leeds	4 - 0	Ipswich
Leeds	1 - 1	Coventry
Leeds	3 - 2	M'Boro
Leeds	3 - 1	Swansea
Leeds	2 - 1	Plymouth
Leeds	4 - 1	Huddersfield
Leeds	2 - 1	Bristol C
Leeds	1 - 0	QPR

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

9 / 20

Clean sheets

11 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

OVERALL FORM
H	Leeds	4 - 0	Norwich
A	Leeds	0 - 0	Norwich
H	Leeds	1 - 2	Southampton
A	Leeds	0 - 4	QPR
A	Leeds	4 - 3	M'Boro
H	Leeds	0 - 1	Blackburn
H	Leeds	0 - 0	Sunderland
A	Leeds	1 - 2	Coventry
H	Leeds	3 - 1	Hull
A	Leeds	2 - 2	Watford
H	Leeds	2 - 0	Millwall
A	Leeds	2 - 0	Sheff Wed
H	Leeds	1 - 0	Stoke
A	Leeds	1 - 1	Huddersfield
H	Leeds	3 - 1	Leicester
A	Leeds	2 - 0	Plymouth
A	Leeds	4 - 0	Swansea
H	Leeds	3 - 0	Rotherham
A	Leeds	1 - 0	Bristol C
H	Leeds	1 - 0	Norwich

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

17 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

3 / 20

Won

Draw

AWAY FORM
West Brom	0 - 0	Southampton
Leeds	1 - 2	Southampton
Leicester	5 - 0	Southampton
Cardiff	2 - 1	Southampton
Blackburn	0 - 0	Southampton
Ipswich	3 - 2	Southampton
Birmingham	3 - 4	Southampton
West Brom	0 - 2	Southampton
Bristol C	3 - 1	Southampton
Rotherham	0 - 2	Southampton
Swansea	1 - 3	Southampton
Norwich	1 - 1	Southampton
QPR	0 - 1	Southampton
Coventry	1 - 1	Southampton
Watford	1 - 1	Southampton
Huddersfield	1 - 1	Southampton
Millwall	0 - 1	Southampton
Preston	2 - 2	Southampton
Hull	1 - 2	Southampton
Stoke	0 - 1	Southampton

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM
H	Southampton	3 - 1	West Brom
A	Southampton	0 - 0	West Brom
A	Southampton	2 - 1	Leeds
H	Southampton	0 - 1	Stoke
A	Southampton	0 - 5	Leicester
A	Southampton	1 - 2	Cardiff
H	Southampton	3 - 0	Preston
H	Southampton	3 - 2	Watford
H	Southampton	2 - 1	Coventry
A	Southampton	0 - 0	Blackburn
A	Southampton	2 - 3	Ipswich
H	Southampton	1 - 1	M'Boro
H	Southampton	4 - 2	Sunderland
A	Southampton	4 - 3	Birmingham
H	Southampton	1 - 2	Millwall
H	Southampton	1 - 2	Hull
A	Southampton	2 - 0	West Brom
A	Southampton	1 - 3	Bristol C
H	Southampton	5 - 3	Huddersfield
A	Southampton	2 - 0	Rotherham

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Leeds

Southampton

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

13 / 20

8 / 20

Clean sheets

12 / 20

7 / 20

LEE

SOU

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Leeds
	1 - 2	Southampton
Leeds	1 - 0
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Leeds	3 - 0
	0 - 1	Southampton
Leeds	1 - 0
	0 - 3	Southampton
Leeds	2 - 1
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Leeds	2 - 0
Leeds	2 - 0
Leeds	1 - 0
Leeds	3 - 0
	0 - 1	Southampton
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Leeds	1 - 0
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Leeds	2 - 1

Leeds

Southampton

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

28 / 40

22 / 40

Clean sheets

18 / 40

12 / 40

LEE

SOU

FIXTURE HISTORY
	1 - 2	Southampton
Southampton	3 - 1
Leeds	1 - 0
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Southampton	1 - 0
	0 - 2	Leeds
Leeds	3 - 0
	0 - 1	Southampton
Southampton	3 - 1
Southampton	1 - 0
Leeds	1 - 0
Southampton	1 - 0
	0 - 3	Southampton
	3 - 4	Leeds
Leeds	2 - 1
Southampton	2 - 1
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Southampton	3 - 2
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
	0 - 1	Leeds
Leeds	2 - 0
Leeds	2 - 0
Southampton	1 - 0
Leeds	1 - 0
	0 - 3	Leeds
Southampton	3 - 0
Leeds	3 - 0
	0 - 1	Southampton
	0 - 2	Leeds
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
	0 - 2	Leeds
Leeds	1 - 0
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
	1 - 3	Leeds
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
	0 - 2	Leeds
Leeds	2 - 1
Draw	1 - 1	Draw

Goal Statistics

	Leeds 3rd	Southampton 4th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.7 goals	1.1 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 19% 1 32% 2 26% 3 15% 4+ 9% There is a 81% probability that Leeds will score 1 or more goals	0 35% 1 37% 2 20% 3 4+ There is a 72% probability that Southampton will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	+10 Leeds’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	-2 Southampton’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	2.2 average goals scored	1.4 average goals scored
	0.7 conceded	1.3 conceded

Statistics Championship - 2023/2024 Season

LEE

SOU

14%

better

view stats

Games scored	38		42
Failed to score	10		6
Scored first	23		33
Goals scored	85		90
Avg. goals scored	1.8		1.9
Avg. shots per game	10		11
Avg. shots per goal	6		6
Conversion rate	17%		17%
KickOff rating		+14%

16%

better

LEE

SOU

view stats

Games conceded	27		35
Clean sheets	21		13
Conceded first	21		13
Goals conceded	43		64
Avg. goals conceded	0.9		1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded	6		8
Avg. shots/goal conceded	7		6
Conversion rate	14%		17%
KickOff rating		+16%

Leeds v Southampton Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

Leeds Championship squad statistics 2023/2024

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
48	20	16	9
E Ampadu	C Summerville	G Rutter	E Ampadu

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
E Ampadu MID	48		1	9 -
G Rutter FWD	47	7	16	7 -
I Meslier GLK	46			4 1
A Gray MID	46	1	2	2 -
J Rodon DEF	45			6 -
C Summerville FWD	45	20	9	7 -
J Piroe FWD	44	14	3	2 -
D James FWD	42	13	7	4 -
G Kamara MID	39		3	3 -
W Gnonto FWD	38	8	3	5 -
S Byram DEF	34	2	1	3 -
P Bamford FWD	33	8	1	2 -
J Anthony FWD	33	1		-
I Gruev MID	31	1	1	8 -
J Firpo DEF	28		8	6 -
P Struijk DEF	23	3		1 -
M Joseph FWD	21	1		1 -
L Cooper DEF	16	1		-
C Roberts DEF	13	1	1	1 -
J Shackleton DEF	11		1	2 -
J Gelhardt FWD	10			1 -
C Cresswell DEF	5			-
K Darlow GLK	2			-
K Klaesson GLK	1			-
D Gyabi MID	1			-
S Perkins FWD	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
20	54	16	23
C Summerville	C Summerville	G Rutter	G Rutter

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
C Summerville FWD	20	54	9	23
J Piroe FWD	14	36	3	5
D James FWD	13	33	7	13
W Gnonto FWD	8	19	3	7
P Bamford FWD	8	24	1	1
G Rutter FWD	7	40	16	23
P Struijk DEF	3	5
S Byram DEF	2	5	1	1
L Cooper DEF	1	2
M Joseph FWD	1	3
J Anthony FWD	1	7
I Gruev MID	1	2	1	3
C Roberts DEF	1	4	1	1
A Gray MID	1	3	2	3
J Gelhardt FWD		1
E Ampadu MID		6	1	6
J Shackleton DEF			1	1
J Firpo DEF		3	8	12
G Kamara MID		2	3	3
J Rodon DEF		3

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
3437	97	367
E Ampadu	A Gray	G Rutter

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
E Ampadu MID	3437	76	188
J Rodon DEF	3288	51	212
G Kamara MID	2093	40	124
P Struijk DEF	1853	31	91
I Meslier GLK	1764	1	20
A Gray MID	1666	97	191
C Summerville FWD	1521	60	253
I Gruev MID	1254	57	93
J Firpo DEF	1170	64	144
S Byram DEF	1024	63	147
G Rutter FWD	1012	68	367
J Piroe FWD	813	28	78
D James FWD	754	34	131
W Gnonto FWD	721	36	127
L Cooper DEF	704	10	47
J Shackleton DEF	375	16	30
P Bamford FWD	316	17	67
J Anthony FWD	279	16	41
C Roberts DEF	209	5	10
C Cresswell DEF	127	3	16
M Joseph FWD	68	3	15
J Gelhardt FWD	56	2	9
K Darlow GLK	54
K Klaesson GLK	29

Southampton Championship squad statistics 2023/2024

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
46	23	13	12
A Armstrong	A Armstrong	A Armstrong	J Bednarek

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
A Armstrong FWD	48	23	13	5 -
K Walker-Peters DEF	45	3	3	4 -
W Smallbone MID	45	7	3	8 -
J Bednarek DEF	44	2		12 -
G Bazunu GLK	42			1 -
T Harwood-Bellis DEF	42	2	3	4 -
S Armstrong MID	42	5	7	6 -
R Fraser FWD	41	6	2	5 -
C Adams FWD	40	15	4	4 -
R Manning DEF	39		2	9 -
J Aribo MID	37	4	1	5 -
F Downes MID	35	2	3	10 -
S Charles MID	33			6 -
S Edozie MID	32	6	3	2 -
S Mara FWD	29	3	2	1 -
J Stephens DEF	25		1	6 -
K Sulemana FWD	25		3	4 1
J Bree DEF	19		1	1
D Brooks FWD	19	2	6	2 -
J Rothwell MID	17	4		2 -
A McCarthy GLK	7			-
R Stewart FWD	4			-
S. Amo-Ameyaw FWD	3			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
23	66	13	13
A Armstrong	A Armstrong	A Armstrong	A Armstrong

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
A Armstrong FWD	23	66	13	13
C Adams FWD	15	31	4	8
W Smallbone MID	7	18	3	12
R Fraser FWD	6	18	2	7
S Edozie MID	6	8	3	1
S Armstrong MID	5	23	7	11
J Rothwell MID	4	6		1
J Aribo MID	4	7	1	6
K Walker-Peters DEF	3	11	3	10
S Mara FWD	3	10	2	3
D Brooks FWD	2	10	6	9
F Downes MID	2	4	3	9
T Harwood-Bellis DEF	2	7	3	9
J Bednarek DEF	2	8		1
S Charles MID		2
R Manning DEF		5	2	1
J Stephens DEF		3	1	1
K Sulemana FWD		8	3	3
J Bree DEF		2	1	1
R Stewart FWD		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
4087	73	263
J Bednarek	K Walker-Peters	K Walker-Peters

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
J Bednarek DEF	4087	38	131
T Harwood-Bellis DEF	3850	35	129
K Walker-Peters DEF	2937	73	263
R Manning DEF	2571	58	151
F Downes MID	2231	61	155
W Smallbone MID	2163	56	90
S Armstrong MID	1784	35	112
G Bazunu GLK	1702	4	22
J Stephens DEF	1602	31	63
S Charles MID	1252	35	86
A Armstrong FWD	1137	27	107
J Aribo MID	1041	47	122
J Bree DEF	791	19	53
R Fraser FWD	721	18	63
C Adams FWD	654	19	100
D Brooks FWD	473	15	54
S Edozie MID	456	31	122
K Sulemana FWD	372	13	88
J Rothwell MID	278	5	13
A McCarthy GLK	184		2
S Mara FWD	151	13	58
S. Amo-Ameyaw FWD	32	3	7
R Stewart FWD	18	1	9

English Championship match betting previews, predictions and odds

Leeds v Southampton

Sun 26th May, 15:00

Leeds United v Southampton : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Leeds have played 46 matches so far this season and lay in 3rd place in the Championship league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

Home League Performance

Southampton are in 4th position in the Championship on 87 points having played 46 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

Performance against teams above them in the league

Leeds v Southampton Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

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