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Southampton v Stoke City : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

St. Mary's Stadium, Southampton

We’ve Championship action to enjoy on Saturday afternoon, as Russell Martin and his Southampton side host Steven Schumacher’s Stoke City at the St. Mary's Stadium. We've got predictions, tips, and odds from leading bookmakers and head-to-head statistics across every major market, so there really is only one place to get ready for this Championship clash.

This match has now expired. Kickoff has all of the best football predictions for you to choose from, for all Championship Predictions. Kickoff constantly updates all 17 football betting markets to analyse and predict football scores – whether you choose football accumulator tips, both teams to score (BTTS tips), correct score, or if you are looking for free football tips – then make sure to sign up to Kickoff.co.uk today.

Southampton's next match is v West Brom at 14:15 on Sunday 12th May

The last English Championship meeting between Southampton and Stoke was on Saturday 27th April 2024

English Championship

April 27th 2024

Southampton 0	1 Stoke

	36' T. Campbell

	SOU STK
Shots On	3 8
Shots Off	6 3
Corners	8 7
Possession	65% 35%
Fouls	5 12
Yellow/red cards	2/0 1/0

Southampton	Stoke

A. McCarthy J. Stephens T. Harwood-Bellis (J. Bednarek 46') J. Bree K. Walker-Peters S. Charles (J. Aribo 46') S. Edozie (A. Armstrong 79') W. Smallbone S. Mara (C. Adams 63') R. Fraser D. Brooks (F. Downes 63')	D. Iversen L. McNally K. Hoever (W. Burger 73') E. Stevens B. Wilmot J. Thompson (A. Cunha Vidigal 84') J. Bae (L. Baker 83') L. Cundle J. Laurent (N. Ennis 69') T. Campbell (J. Tchamadeu 83') M. Manhoef

Best Tip: Over 2.5 goals

Our prediction for Saturday's match is over 2.5 goals, meaning that we expect Southampton and Stoke to score 3 goals or more combined during the regulation 90 minutes. 2 goals or fewer would mean the time doesn't win but, with stats below suggesting both teams have goals in them, we think there's good reason to feel confident.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Southampton are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 56% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.75.

Predictions	Bet365	Coral	Betfred	888Sport
Southampton 56%	8/11 20%	8/11 17%	-	-
Draw 21%	7/2 14%	16/5 13%	-	-
Stoke 23%	3/1 27%	16/5 30%	-	-
Southampton 2-1 10%	15/2	13/2	-	-
Draw 1-1 9%	8/1 10%	7/1 6%	-	-
Southampton 2-0 8%	10/1 38%	9/1 25%	-	-
Southampton 1-0 7%	10/1 29%	17/2 12%	-	-
Southampton 3-1 7%	11/1 9%	9/1 5%	-	-
Draw 2-2 6%	12/1 32%	10/1 15%	-	-
Stoke 2-1 6%	12/1 24%	11/1 20%	-	-
Southampton 3-0 5%	14/1 50%	12/1 30%	-	-
Stoke 1-0 5%	16/1	14/1	-	-
Southampton 3-2 4%	18/1 10%	12/1 13%	-	-
Draw 0-0 4%	20/1 11%	14/1	-	-
Southampton 4-1 3%	20/1 11%	16/1 13%	-	-
Stoke 2-0 3%	25/1 24%	18/1 27%	-	-
Southampton 4-0 3%	25/1 37%	18/1 27%	-	-
Stoke 3-2 3%	25/1 37%	20/1 28%	-	-
Over 2.5 Goals 64%	1/2 4%	-	-	-
Under 2.5 Goals 36%	13/8 10%	-	-	-
Home 1st Goal 54%	1/2 13%	-	-	-
Away 1st Goal 44%	8/5 20%	-	-	-
No 1st Goal 2%	20/1 11%	-	-	-
BTTS - Yes 63%	1/2 13%	10/21 10%	-	-
BTTS - No 37%	6/4 25%	6/4 16%	-	-
BTTS - Home Win 31%	15/8	9/5 7%	-	-
BTTS - Draw 18%	4/1 23%	18/5 16%	-	-
BTTS - Away Win 14%	5/1 33%	19/4 32%	-	-
Home/draw 77%	2/9 7%	2/9 9%	-	-
Away/draw 44%	21/20 22%	21/20 22%	-	-
Home/away 79%	2/11 1%	2/9 3%	-	-
Over 1.5 Goals 84%	1/7 3%	-	-	-
Under 1.5 Goals 16%	9/2 10%	-	-	-
Over 3.5 Goals 42%	6/5 8%	-	-	-
Under 3.5 Goals 58%	4/6 6%	-	-	-
Over 4.5 Goals 24%	11/4 13%	-	-	-
Under 4.5 Goals 76%	2/7 6%	-	-	-
Over 5.5 Goals 12%	6/1 13%	-	-	-
Under 5.5 Goals 88%	1/10 2%	-	-	-
Over 0.5 Goals 96%	1/50	-	-	-
Under 0.5 Goals 4%	18/1	-	-	-
Home DNB 71%	4/11 13%	1/3 14%	-	-
Away DNB 38%	2/1 31%	21/10 31%	-	-
Southampton win to nil 25%	11/4 43%	-	-	-
Stoke win to nil 9%	8/1 18%	-	-	-
Southampton / Southampton 30%	13/8 19%	8/5 21%	-	-
Southampton / Stoke 3%	28/1 29%	22/1 21%	-	-
Southampton / Draw 6%	12/1 13%	11/1 20%	-	-
Draw / Southampton 16%	4/1 15%	19/5 14%	-	-
Draw / Stoke 9%	17/2 27%	8/1 18%	-	-
Draw / Draw 12%	6/1 7%	11/2 7%	-	-
Stoke / Southampton 5%	16/1	14/1	-	-
Stoke / Stoke 13%	11/2 35%	5/1 29%	-	-
Stoke / Draw 6%	14/1 12%	12/1 13%	-	-

Win / draw / win Championship table

Southampton have played 44 matches so far this season and lay in 4th place in the Championship league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 39 games against teams below in the table, having won 24, drawn 9 and lost 6 matches. They have kept 12 clean sheets and have failed to score in 2 fixtures. Southampton have outscored their opponents by 85 goals to 44 goals.

Home League Performance

Southampton have played 22 games at home winning 15, drawing 3 and losing 4 games. They have scored 54 goals, kept 6 clean sheets and conceded 28 goals at home.

Stoke are in 18th position in the Championship on 50 points having played 44 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

11 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 33 goals and kept 4 clean sheets. They have scored 24 goals in total and failed to score in 7 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

32 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 15 games, drawn 8 and won 9. Stoke have conceded 43 goals, scored 26, failed to score in 15 fixtures and have kept 10 clean sheets.

Southampton

Won

Draw

Lost

Scores

Stoke

HOME	AWAY	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY
l 1-4A	l 5-0A	Leicester	46	31	4	11	48	97	l 0-5A	l 2-0A
l 0-1A	l 3-2A	Ipswich	46	28	12	6	35	96	d 0-00-0	l 2-0A
w 3-1F	w 1-2F	Leeds	46	27	9	10	38	90	w 1-0F	l 1-0A
-	-	Southampton H	46	26	9	11	24	87	l 0-1A	w 0-1F
w 2-1F	w 0-2F	West Brom	46	21	12	13	23	75	d 2-2A	d 1-1F
d 4-4A	d 1-1F	Norwich	46	21	10	15	15	73	l 0-3A	l 1-0A
l 1-2A	w 1-2F	Hull	46	19	13	14	8	70	l 1-3A	w 0-2F
d 1-1F	l 2-1F	M'Boro	46	20	9	17	9	69	w 2-0F	w 0-2F
w 2-1F	d 1-1A	Coventry	46	17	13	16	11	64	l 0-1A	d 0-00-0
w 3-0F	d 2-2F	Preston	46	18	9	19	-11	63	l 0-2A	w 1-2F
w 1-0F	l 3-1A	Bristol C	46	17	11	18	2	62	w 4-0F	w 2-3A
w 2-0F	l 2-1F	Cardiff	46	19	5	22	-17	62	d 0-00-0	l 2-1A
l 1-2A	w 0-1F	Millwall	46	16	11	19	-10	59	d 0-00-0	l 1-0A
w 5-0F	w 1-3F	Swansea	46	15	12	19	-6	57	d 1-1F	l 3-0A
w 3-2F	d 1-1F	Watford	46	13	17	16	0	56	w 1-0F	d 1-1A
w 4-2F	l 5-0A	Sunderland	46	16	8	22	-2	56	w 2-1F	l 3-1A
l 0-1A	w 0-1F	Stoke Away	46	15	11	20	-11	56	-	-
w 2-1F	w 0-1F	QPR	46	15	11	20	-11	56	w 1-0F	l 4-2A
w 4-0F	d 0-00-0	Blackburn	46	14	11	21	-14	53	l 0-3A	l 3-1A
w 4-0F	w 1-2F	Sheff Wed	46	15	8	23	-24	53	l 0-1A	d 1-1A
w 2-1F	w 1-2F	Plymouth	46	13	12	21	-11	51	w 3-0F	l 2-1F
w 3-1F	w 3-4A	Birmingham	46	13	11	22	-15	50	l 1-2A	w 1-3F
w 5-3A	d 1-1F	Huddersfield	46	9	18	19	-29	45	d 1-1A	d 2-2A
d 1-1F	w 0-2F	Rotherham	46	5	12	29	-52	27	w 4-1F	w 0-1F

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

19 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

1 / 20

Won

HOME FORM
Southampton	3 - 0	Preston
Southampton	3 - 2	Watford
Southampton	2 - 1	Coventry
Southampton	1 - 1	M'Boro
Southampton	4 - 2	Sunderland
Southampton	1 - 2	Millwall
Southampton	1 - 2	Hull
Southampton	5 - 3	Huddersfield
Southampton	4 - 0	Sheff Wed
Southampton	2 - 1	Plymouth
Southampton	5 - 0	Swansea
Southampton	4 - 0	Blackburn
Southampton	2 - 0	Cardiff
Southampton	1 - 0	Bristol C
Southampton	2 - 1	West Brom
Southampton	3 - 1	Birmingham
Southampton	1 - 1	Rotherham
Southampton	3 - 1	Leeds
Southampton	0 - 1	Ipswich
Southampton	1 - 4	Leicester

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

18 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

2 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM
A	Southampton	0 - 5	Leicester
A	Southampton	1 - 2	Cardiff
H	Southampton	3 - 0	Preston
H	Southampton	3 - 2	Watford
H	Southampton	2 - 1	Coventry
A	Southampton	0 - 0	Blackburn
A	Southampton	2 - 3	Ipswich
H	Southampton	1 - 1	M'Boro
H	Southampton	4 - 2	Sunderland
A	Southampton	4 - 3	Birmingham
H	Southampton	1 - 2	Millwall
H	Southampton	1 - 2	Hull
A	Southampton	2 - 0	West Brom
A	Southampton	1 - 3	Bristol C
H	Southampton	5 - 3	Huddersfield
A	Southampton	2 - 0	Rotherham
A	Southampton	3 - 1	Swansea
H	Southampton	4 - 0	Sheff Wed
A	Southampton	1 - 1	Norwich
H	Southampton	2 - 1	Plymouth

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM
Sheff Wed	1 - 1	Stoke
Swansea	3 - 0	Stoke
Hull	0 - 2	Stoke
Preston	1 - 2	Stoke
Leeds	1 - 0	Stoke
Cardiff	2 - 1	Stoke
Blackburn	3 - 1	Stoke
Sunderland	3 - 1	Stoke
Rotherham	0 - 1	Stoke
Watford	1 - 1	Stoke
Birmingham	1 - 3	Stoke
West Brom	1 - 1	Stoke
Plymouth	2 - 1	Stoke
QPR	4 - 2	Stoke
Coventry	0 - 0	Stoke
M'Boro	0 - 2	Stoke
Leicester	2 - 0	Stoke
Bristol C	2 - 3	Stoke
Huddersfield	2 - 2	Stoke
Norwich	1 - 0	Stoke

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM
H	Stoke	3 - 0	Plymouth
A	Stoke	1 - 1	Sheff Wed
A	Stoke	0 - 3	Swansea
H	Stoke	2 - 2	West Brom
H	Stoke	1 - 1	Huddersfield
A	Stoke	2 - 0	Hull
H	Stoke	0 - 3	Norwich
A	Stoke	2 - 1	Preston
A	Stoke	0 - 1	Leeds
H	Stoke	2 - 0	M'Boro
A	Stoke	1 - 2	Cardiff
H	Stoke	0 - 1	Coventry
H	Stoke	1 - 0	QPR
A	Stoke	1 - 3	Blackburn
H	Stoke	0 - 5	Leicester
A	Stoke	1 - 3	Sunderland
H	Stoke	1 - 2	Birmingham
A	Stoke	1 - 0	Rotherham
H	Stoke	0 - 0	Ipswich
A	Stoke	1 - 1	Watford

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Stoke have kept a clean sheet in 3 consecutive away league meetings with Southampton

Southampton

Stoke

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

6 / 9

5 / 9

Clean sheets

4 / 9

3 / 9

SOU

STK

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Southampton
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
	0 - 1	Stoke
	0 - 1	Stoke
Southampton	1 - 0
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Southampton	3 - 2
Southampton	1 - 0
Southampton	2 - 0

Southampton

Stoke

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

15 / 19

13 / 19

Clean sheets

6 / 19

4 / 19

SOU

STK

FIXTURE HISTORY
	0 - 1	Southampton
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Stoke	2 - 1
	0 - 1	Stoke
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
	1 - 2	Southampton
	0 - 1	Stoke
Stoke	2 - 1
Southampton	1 - 0
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Draw	3 - 3	Draw
Stoke	3 - 2
Southampton	3 - 2
Stoke	2 - 1
Southampton	1 - 0
	1 - 2	Southampton
Southampton	2 - 0

Goal Statistics

	Southampton 4th	Stoke 17th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	2.1 goals	1.3 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 13% 1 26% 2 27% 3 19% 4+ 15% There is a 61% probability that Southampton will score 2 or more goals in this match	0 28% 1 36% 2 23% 3 9% 4+ There is a 64% probability that Stoke will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	+26 Southampton have scored 26% more goals at home than predicted	=0 Stoke’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	2.4 average goals scored	1.2 average goals scored
	1.2 conceded	1.5 conceded

Statistics Championship - 2023/2024 Season

38%

better

SOU

STK

view stats

Games scored	41		29
Failed to score	5		17
Scored first	32		17
Goals scored	87		49
Avg. goals scored	1.9		1.1
Avg. shots per game	11		9
Avg. shots per goal	6		8
Conversion rate	18%		12%
KickOff rating		+38%

better

SOU

STK

view stats

Games conceded	34		32
Clean sheets	12		14
Conceded first	13		25
Goals conceded	63		60
Avg. goals conceded	1.4		1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded	8		8
Avg. shots/goal conceded	6		6
Conversion rate	18%		15%
KickOff rating		+1%

Southampton v Stoke Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

Southampton Championship squad statistics 2023/2024

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
41	20	12	10
A Armstrong	A Armstrong	A Armstrong	J Bednarek

Line-up	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
A McCarthy GLK				-
J Bree DEF	15		1	1
T Harwood-Bellis DEF	36	2	3	3 -
J Stephens DEF	21		1	5 -
K Walker-Peters DEF	38	3	2	4 -
W Smallbone MID	39	5	3	8 -
S Charles MID	29			6 -
R Fraser MID	35	6	2	5 -
D Brooks FWD	14	2	4	1 -
S Mara FWD	27	3	2	1 -
S Edozie FWD	28	6	3	2 -
Subs
J Lumley GLK				-
J Bednarek DEF	38	2		10 -
R Manning DEF	34		2	8 -
F Downes MID	31	2	2	9 -
J Aribo MID	30	3	1	5 -
J Rothwell MID	12	4		1 -
K Sulemana MID	22		3	3 1
A Armstrong FWD	42	20	12	5 -
C Adams FWD	36	13	3	4 -

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
20	60	12	11
A Armstrong	A Armstrong	A Armstrong	A Armstrong

Line-up	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
S Edozie FWD	6	8	3	1
R Fraser MID	6	17	2	5
W Smallbone MID	5	15	3	8
K Walker-Peters DEF	3	10	2	8
S Mara FWD	3	9	2	2
T Harwood-Bellis DEF	2	6	3	5
D Brooks FWD	2	6	4	6
J Bree DEF		2	1	1
J Stephens DEF		3	1	1
S Charles MID		2
Subs
A Armstrong FWD	20	60	12	11
C Adams FWD	13	26	3	5
J Rothwell MID	4	6		1
J Aribo MID	3	5	1	1
J Bednarek DEF	2	8		1
F Downes MID	2	3	2	6
R Manning DEF		5	2
K Sulemana MID		8	3	3

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
3508	59	226
J Bednarek	K Walker-Peters	K Walker-Peters

Line-up	passes	tackles	duels won
T Harwood-Bellis DEF	3338	32	115
K Walker-Peters DEF	2511	59	226
W Smallbone MID	1903	46	70
J Stephens DEF	1343	20	45
S Charles MID	1082	32	74
R Fraser MID	628	16	58
J Bree DEF	623	15	45
S Edozie FWD	405	27	108
D Brooks FWD	299	11	32
S Mara FWD	139	12	49
Subs
J Bednarek DEF	3508	32	112
R Manning DEF	2338	52	134
F Downes MID	2037	57	136
A Armstrong FWD	967	23	86
J Aribo MID	777	42	98
C Adams FWD	550	17	89
K Sulemana MID	354	13	82
J Rothwell MID	215	3	8

Stoke Championship squad statistics 2023/2024

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
35	6	5	14
M Rose	A Vidigal	L Cundle	J Thompson

Line-up	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
D Iversen GLK	15			-
K Hoever DEF	37	3	3	3 -
B Wilmot DEF	22	1	2	6 -
L McNally DEF	35	2	1	7 -
E Stevens DEF	18			6 -
J Laurent MID	34	1	1	8 -
J Thompson MID	29	2	2	14 -
M Manhoef MID	11	1	1	2 -
L Cundle MID	13	1		1 -
J. Bae MID	35	2	4	2 -
T Campbell FWD	20	1	1	2 -
Subs
J Bonham GLK	14			-
J Tchamadeu DEF	13			4 -
M Rose DEF	37	1		5 -
A Vidigal MID	28	6		2 -
L Baker MID	19	2		3 -
S. Sidibe MID	3			-
W Burger MID	36	2	4	10 -
N Ennis FWD	12	1		1 -
N Lowe FWD	12	1		-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
6	17	5	6
A Vidigal	A Vidigal	L Cundle	J. Bae

Line-up	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
K Hoever DEF	3	6	3	5
L McNally DEF	2	5	1	1
J Thompson MID	2	2	2	1
J. Bae MID	2	9	4	6
B Wilmot DEF	1	3	2	2
J Laurent MID	1	8	1	1
M Manhoef MID	1	4	1	2
L Cundle MID	1	2
T Campbell FWD	1	9	1
E Stevens DEF				2
Subs
A Vidigal MID	6	17		1
L Baker MID	2	12		3
W Burger MID	2	11	4	6
M Rose DEF	1	2		1
N Ennis FWD	1	6
N Lowe FWD	1	4		1
J Tchamadeu DEF				1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
2041	100	199
M Rose	W Burger	W Burger

Line-up	passes	tackles	duels won
L McNally DEF	1405	67	196
K Hoever DEF	1376	92	176
B Wilmot DEF	1234	17	109
J Laurent MID	1050	55	144
J Thompson MID	943	53	87
J. Bae MID	694	41	115
E Stevens DEF	687	28	62
D Iversen GLK	469		6
L Cundle MID	362	20	32
T Campbell FWD	236	12	44
M Manhoef MID	155	9	31
Subs
M Rose DEF	2041	40	146
W Burger MID	1422	100	199
L Baker MID	445	13	39
J Bonham GLK	443		2
A Vidigal MID	415	16	62
J Tchamadeu DEF	266	17	37
N Ennis FWD	85	8	32
N Lowe FWD	70	2	21
S. Sidibe MID	4		2

English Championship match betting previews, predictions and odds

Norwich v Leeds

Sun 12th May, 12:00

West Brom v Southampton

Sun 12th May, 14:15

Southampton v Stoke City : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Southampton have played 44 matches so far this season and lay in 4th place in the Championship league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

Home League Performance

Stoke are in 18th position in the Championship on 50 points having played 44 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

Performance against teams above them in the league

Southampton v Stoke Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

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