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Cambridge United v Derby County : League One match betting preview, prediction and odds

The Abbey Stadium, Cambridge

Garry Monk and Paul Warne pit their wits in the League One on Saturday afternoon, as Cambridge United face Derby County at The Abbey Stadium. We want you to make a smart bet on this match, so we've delved into our extensive database and found the statistics that are most significant. Head-to-head and recent form are included, and the KickOff predictions are produced from them. The best odds are there to ensure you get the best price.

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The last English League One meeting between Cambridge and Derby was on Saturday 20th April 2024
English League One
April 20th 2024
Cambridge 0
1 Derby
 
39' N. Mendez-Laing
 
CMU
DER
Shots On
3
4
Shots Off
1
4
Corners
3
7
Possession
50%
50%
Fouls
7
11
Yellow/red cards
2/0
2/0
 
CambridgeDerby
 
W. Mannion
L. Bennett (J. Brophy 63')
J. Gibbons
D. Andrew
Z. Rossi
R. Bennett
J. Cousins
P. Digby (J. Lankester 72')
E. Kachunga (S. Kaikai 80')
G. Ahadme (L. Taylor 80')
M. Bonne
J. Wildsmith
(T. Barkhuizen 76') K. Wilson
C. Nelson
E. Cashin
S. Bradley
K. Smith
(M. Bird 69') L. Thompson
L. Sibley
E. Adams
J. Collins
(M. Waghorn 90') football iconN. Mendez-Laing
Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

It may be an over exaggeration to say that we expect Garry Monk and Paul Warne to got all-out defensive here, but we're certainly not expecting a deluge of goals as Cambridge and Derby go head-to-head. The statistics belowpoint towards there being under 2.5 goals (i.e. 2 goals of fewer in total), and we reckon it's likely to go that way too. With best odds of 1.85 available on under 2.5 goals and neither side looking like strong favourites to win, that's the bet we'd advise you go for.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
There’s absolutely nothing to pick between these sides, and our predictive algorithm gives Cambridge and Derby an equal chance of claiming victory. The home win and the away win are both at 50% probability.
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral Betfred 888Sport
Cambridge
22%
6/1
17%
11/2
8%
5/1-
Draw
28%
3/1
2%
3/1
5%
3/1-
Derby
50%
1/2
2%
11/204/7-
Derby 1-0
15%
9/2
15%
9/2
8%
5/1-
Draw 1-1
13%
13/2
6%
6/1
7%
7/1-
Draw 0-0
11%
15/2
23%
7/1
16%
10/1-
Derby 2-0
11%
5/1
14%
5/1
8%
6/1-
Cambridge 1-0
9%
14/111/114/1-
Derby 2-1
9%
8/1
6%
7/1
7%
7/1-
Cambridge 2-1
5%
20/1
11%
16/1
13%
16/1-
Derby 3-0
5%
9/1
9%
17/210/1-
Derby 3-1
4%
12/111/1
9%
12/1-
Cambridge 2-0
4%
33/1
17%
22/128/1-
Draw 2-2
4%
20/1
11%
16/1
13%
16/1-
Derby 4-0
2%
20/116/122/1-
Derby 3-2
2%
33/1
17%
22/1
10%
25/1-
Cambridge 3-1
1%
50/1
24%
40/1
21%
50/1-
Derby 4-1
1%
25/120/1
11%
25/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
38%
21/20
8%
-5/6-
Under 2.5 Goals
62%
3/4
8%
-5/6-
Home 1st Goal
40%
3/1
14%
-21/10-
Away 1st Goal
52%
1/3
2%
-4/9-
No 1st Goal
8%
15/2
23%
-10/1-
BTTS - Yes
42%
6/5
10%
23/20
8%
10/11-
BTTS - No
58%
8/13
7%
13/20
6%
4/5-
BTTS - Home Win
8%
14/1
25%
10/1
10%
10/1-
BTTS - Draw
17%
5/1
9%
9/29/2-
BTTS - Away Win
17%
3/1
11%
11/4
10%
5/2-
Home/draw
50%
6/4
5%
29/20
2%
11/8-
Away/draw
78%
1/10
2%
1/9
1%
1/7-
Home/away
72%
2/91/4
2%
2/9-
Over 1.5 Goals
65%
1/3
3%
-2/7-
Under 1.5 Goals
35%
9/4
7%
-5/2-
Over 3.5 Goals
18%
11/4
15%
-9/4-
Under 3.5 Goals
82%
1/4
6%
-1/3-
Over 4.5 Goals
7%
7/1
23%
-11/2-
Under 4.5 Goals
93%
1/12
3%
-1/10-
Over 5.5 Goals
3%
16/1
13%
---
Under 5.5 Goals
98%
1/40
1%
---
Over 0.5 Goals
89%
1/16
1%
-1/25-
Under 0.5 Goals
11%
9/1
9%
-9/1-
Home DNB
42%
9/2
27%
18/5
6%
10/3-
Away DNB
69%
1/7
5%
1/6
1%
1/5-
Cambridge win to nil
14%
10/1
10%
-9/1-
Derby win to nil
33%
6/5
12%
-7/5-
Cambridge / Cambridge
8%
11/1
20%
17/2
6%
17/2-
Cambridge / Derby
4%
22/1
10%
18/122/1-
Cambridge / Draw
5%
18/1
12%
14/116/1-
Draw / Cambridge
7%
12/1
8%
10/112/1-
Draw / Derby
20%
3/1
8%
3/116/5-
Draw / Draw
14%
9/2
8%
4/1
9%
5/1-
Derby / Cambridge
2%
40/133/150/1-
Derby / Derby
35%
13/10
3%
13/1013/10-
Derby / Draw
5%
16/1
13%
14/116/1-
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Win / draw / win League One table

Cambridge have played 43 matches so far this season and are in 19th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

34 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 18 games, drawn 8 and won 8. Cambridge have conceded 53 goals, scored 27, failed to score in 16 matches and kept 9 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Cambridge have played 21 games at home, winning 8, drawing 6 and losing 7 fixtures. They have scored 21 goals, conceded 22 goals, kept 7 clean sheets and failed to score 7 times in home league games.

Derby lay in 2nd place on 86 points in the League One league table having played 44 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 42 games against teams below them in the table, winning 26, drawing 6 and losing 10 games. They have scored 72 goals and kept 20 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Derby have conceded 34 goals and have failed to score in 6 matches.

Away league performance

Derby have played 22 away games, winning 12, drawing 4 and losing 6 games. They have scored an average of 1.6 goals per away game and conceded an average 0.9 goals per away game.

Cambridge
Won
Draw
Lost
Scores
Derby
HOME AWAY TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
3-1F
 Portsmouth46281353797 
d
 
1-1F
d
 
2-2F
l
 
0-1A
d
 
0-00-0
 Derby Away46288104192 
-
-
l
 
1-2F
l
 
2-0A
 Bolton46251293587 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
2-1F
l
 
0-1A
l
 
5-0A
 Peterborough46259122884 
l
 
2-3F
w
 
2-4A
w
 
2-0F
l
 
2-1F
 Oxford Utd462211132377 
l
 
1-2A
w
 
2-3A
l
 
0-4A
w
 
0-2F
 Barnsley462113121876 
w
 
3-0F
l
 
2-1F
l
 
0-3A
l
 
6-0A
 Lincoln462014122574 
w
 
3-1F
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
2-1A
l
 
1-0A
 Blackpool462110151773 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-3F
l
 
1-2A
l
 
1-0A
 Stevenage461914131171 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
3-1A
d
 
1-1F
d
 
0-00-0
 Wycombe46171415565 
d
 
1-1F
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
0-2A
l
 
2-0A
 L Orient46181117-265 
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-3F
w
 
3-1F
l
 
2-1A
 Wigan46201016762 
l
 
1-2A
w
 
0-1F
w
 
2-0F
d
 
0-00-0
 Exeter46171019-1561 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-3F
d
 
1-1F
l
 
2-1A
 Northampton4617920-960 
w
 
4-0F
l
 
1-0A
w
 
2-0F
l
 
1-0A
 Bristol R4616921-1657 
w
 
2-1F
w
 
0-3F
d
 
1-1A
d
 
2-2A
 Charlton46112015-153 
l
 
1-2F
w
 
0-1F
w
 
1-0F
l
 
4-0A
 Reading46161119-253 
w
 
2-1F
l
 
1-0A
-
-
 Cambridge Home46121222-2248 
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
0-1F
d
 
1-1F
w
 
1-2A
 Shrewsbury4613924-3248 
d
 
1-1F
l
 
1-0A
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
2-1A
 Burton46121024-2846 
w
 
3-2F
w
 
0-3F
l
 
0-1A
l
 
1-0A
 Cheltenham4612826-2444 
w
 
2-1A
d
 
1-1A
w
 
2-1F
w
 
0-2F
 Fleetwood46101323-2343 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-3F
d
 
1-1A
d
 
0-00-0
 Port Vale46101125-3341 
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-1F
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-4F
 Carlisle467930-4030 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-2F
Win / draw / win form
Cambridge 18TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
19
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
7
Draw
6
Lost
7
see results
HOME FORM
Cambridge1 - 1Charlton
Cambridge3 - 1Wigan
Cambridge1 - 1Northampton
Cambridge0 - 1Peterborough
Cambridge1 - 2Bolton
Cambridge0 - 1Cheltenham
Cambridge0 - 0Burton
Cambridge2 - 1Fleetwood
Cambridge0 - 2L Orient
Cambridge2 - 0Exeter
Cambridge2 - 1Blackpool
Cambridge0 - 3Lincoln
Cambridge1 - 0Carlisle
Cambridge0 - 0Portsmouth
Cambridge1 - 1Shrewsbury
Cambridge0 - 4Barnsley
Cambridge1 - 1Port Vale
Cambridge1 - 0Reading
Cambridge2 - 0Bristol R
Cambridge1 - 2Stevenage
Goals: Scored
17
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
9 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
11 / 20
Won
5
D
4
Lost
11
see results
OVERALL FORM
ACambridge0 - 1Bristol R
HCambridge1 - 1Charlton
ACambridge0 - 1Blackpool
HCambridge3 - 1Wigan
ACambridge2 - 0Barnsley
ACambridge0 - 4Reading
ACambridge0 - 6Lincoln
HCambridge1 - 1Northampton
ACambridge0 - 2Bolton
ACambridge0 - 1Stevenage
HCambridge0 - 1Peterborough
HCambridge1 - 2Bolton
ACambridge4 - 0Carlisle
ACambridge1 - 3Portsmouth
HCambridge0 - 1Cheltenham
ACambridge2 - 1Shrewsbury
HCambridge0 - 0Burton
ACambridge0 - 0Exeter
HCambridge2 - 1Fleetwood
HCambridge0 - 2L Orient
Derby 2ND
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
10
D
4
Lost
6
see results
AWAY FORM
Wycombe0 - 0Derby
Portsmouth2 - 2Derby
Northampton1 - 0Derby
Bristol R0 - 3Derby
Barnsley2 - 1Derby
Exeter0 - 3Derby
Charlton0 - 1Derby
Reading1 - 0Derby
Lincoln0 - 0Derby
Fleetwood1 - 3Derby
Oxford Utd2 - 3Derby
Wigan0 - 1Derby
L Orient0 - 3Derby
Port Vale0 - 1Derby
Stevenage3 - 1Derby
Shrewsbury1 - 0Derby
Cheltenham1 - 1Derby
Blackpool1 - 3Derby
Carlisle0 - 2Derby
Bolton2 - 1Derby
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
14
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
12
D
4
L
4
see results
OVERALL FORM
HDerby3 - 0L Orient
ADerby0 - 0Wycombe
ADerby2 - 2Portsmouth
HDerby1 - 0Blackpool
ADerby0 - 1Northampton
HDerby1 - 0Bolton
HDerby2 - 1Reading
ADerby3 - 0Bristol R
HDerby3 - 0Port Vale
HDerby1 - 2Charlton
ADerby1 - 2Barnsley
HDerby1 - 0Stevenage
ADerby3 - 0Exeter
HDerby1 - 1Shrewsbury
ADerby1 - 0Charlton
HDerby2 - 1Cheltenham
ADerby0 - 1Reading
ADerby0 - 0Lincoln
HDerby3 - 2Burton
ADerby3 - 1Fleetwood
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
5
Derby have not lost to Cambridge in 5 consecutive league meetings
4
Derby have kept a clean sheet in 4 consecutive league meetings with Cambridge
League games at Cambridge since 1992
Cambridge
Derby
Goals: Scored
1
5
Games: Scored
1 / 2
2 / 2
Clean sheets
0 / 2
1 / 2
DER
2
see results
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Cambridge
0 - 2Derby
1 - 3Derby
All league games since 1992
Cambridge
Derby
Goals: Scored
1
6
Games: Scored
1 / 5
3 / 5
Clean sheets
2 / 5
4 / 5
D
2
DER
3
see results
FIXTURE HISTORY
Draw0 - 0Draw
Derby1 - 0
0 - 2Derby
Draw0 - 0Draw
1 - 3Derby
Goal Statistics

Cambridge United's defensive record is to be admired, G. Monk's men having conceded 1 or less in 5 consecutive League One outings. An average PG rating of 1.4 for Derby County makes sense in this context.

Cambridge 18th Derby 2nd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
0.8
goals
1.4
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
44%
1
36%
2
15%
3
4+
There is a 80% probability of Cambridge scoring 1 goal or less
0
25%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 60% probability that Derby will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-24
Cambridge have scored 24% fewer goals at home than predicted
-2
Derby’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.0
average goals scored
1.5
average goals scored
1.1
conceded
0.9
conceded
 
Statistics League One - 2023/2024 Season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/260617/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Cambridge
PG (predicted goals)
Derby
0.8
1.4
Attack rating
CMU
DER
42%
better
view stats
Games scored25
40
Failed to score21
6
Scored first16
33
Goals scored39
78
Avg. goals scored0.8
1.7
Avg. shots per game7
9
Avg. shots per goal8
6
Conversion rate12%
18%
KickOff rating
+42%
Defence rating
CMU
DER
31%
better
view stats
Games conceded32
24
Clean sheets14
22
Conceded first24
10
Goals conceded61
37
Avg. goals conceded1.3
0.8
Avg. shots/game conceded9
6
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
8
Conversion rate15%
13%
KickOff rating
+31%

Cambridge v Derby League One lLine ups will show here when available.

Cambridge League One squad statistics 2023/2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
431049
D AndrewG AhadmeS KaikaiR Bennett
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
W Mannion GLK11
1
-
R Bennett DEF391
9
-
Z Rossi DEF10
-
D Andrew DEF4321
8
-
L. Bennett MID431
2
-
P Digby MID391
8
-
J Cousins MID331
4
-
J Gibbons MID10
1
-
E Kachunga MID335
4
-
M Bonne FWD131
-
G Ahadme FWD2610
2
-
Subs
L Chadwick GLK
-
J Okedina DEF10
-
A May  MID25
1
-
J Brophy MID433
6
-
J Lankester MID3813
9
-
L Taylor FWD1232
3
1
S Kaikai FWD3634
1
-
Derby League One squad statistics 2023/2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
44131510
C NelsonJ CollinsN Mendez-LaingE Cashin
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Wildsmith GLK38
2
1
C Nelson DEF442
2
-
S Bradley DEF313
2
1
E Cashin DEF4231
10
-
K Wilson MID3922
3
-
K Smith MID3011
3
-
E Adams MID1511
5
-
L Sibley MID3632
6
-
L Thompson MID221
1
-
J Collins FWD36132
9
-
N Mendez-Laing FWD44815
6
-
Subs
J Vickers GLK7
1
-
C Hourihane MID4058
9
-
M Bird MID3157
3
-
T Barkhuizen FWD3566
1
-
M Waghorn FWD237
1
-
C Washington FWD1932
1
-
C Blackett-Taylor FWD111
-
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