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Oxford United v Stevenage : League One match betting preview, prediction and odds

The Kassam Stadium, Oxford

Steve Evans guides his Stevenage charges to The Kassam Stadium in the League One on Friday night, with Des Buckingham's Oxford United the opponent. Analysing both teams' last 20 League One matches, as well as baseline data within the competition and the market, to generate our percentage predictions. All the statistics, including head-to-heads, are shown below, alongside odds from leading bookmakers.

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Oxford United's next match is v Peterborough at 19:45 on Saturday 4th May
The last English League One meeting between Oxford Utd and Stevenage was on Friday 19th April 2024
English League One
April 19th 2024
Oxford Utd 1
1 Stevenage
 
C. Brannagan 59'32' (OG)S. Long
 
OXF
STV
Shots On
6
Shots Off
12
Corners
8
5
Possession
66%
34%
Fouls
9
16
Yellow/red cards
3/0
 
Oxford UtdStevenage
 
J. Cumming
C. Brown
S. Longfootball icon
F. Stevens
G. Leigh
C. Brannaganfootball icon
M. Browne (O. Dale 64')
M. Harris
T. Goodhram (J. Henry 72')
R. da Rocha Rodrigues (B. Bodin 72')
J. Murphy
C. MacGillivray
C. Piergianni
N. Guinness-Walker
K. Smith
T. Vancooten
L. Thompson
(N. Thompson 90') H. White
(D. Sweeney 90') J. Roberts
(E. List 80') N. Freeman
(B. Thompson 60') J. Reid
K. Hemmings
Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

KickOff's predictive algorithm suggests there's a 76% probability of Oxford Utd and Stevenage scoring a minimum of two goals in this League One match. Recent form statistics and head-to-head (H2H) records are factored into that calculation , and it seems the bookies are predicting the same. This over 1.5 goals tip is available at a best price of 1.33.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Oxford Utd are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 52% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.95.
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral Betfred 888Sport
Oxford Utd
52%
4/5
6%
5/6
1%
19/20-
Draw
24%
13/5
3%
13/5
9%
12/5-
Stevenage
24%
7/2
13%
10/3
17%
3/1-
Draw 1-1
11%
6/1
8%
11/211/2-
Oxford Utd 1-0
11%
6/111/211/2-
Oxford Utd 2-1
10%
15/213/2
6%
15/2-
Oxford Utd 2-0
9%
15/2
6%
7/1
6%
8/1-
Stevenage 1-0
7%
11/1
9%
9/110/1-
Draw 0-0
7%
9/1
5%
15/217/2-
Stevenage 2-1
6%
14/1
15%
11/112/1-
Oxford Utd 3-1
5%
14/111/1
8%
14/1-
Oxford Utd 3-0
5%
14/111/1
8%
16/1-
Draw 2-2
5%
14/112/114/1-
Stevenage 2-0
4%
20/116/120/1-
Oxford Utd 3-2
3%
25/1
10%
18/1
10%
25/1-
Oxford Utd 4-1
2%
28/1
15%
22/1
12%
33/1-
Oxford Utd 4-0
2%
28/1
15%
22/1
12%
33/1-
Stevenage 3-1
2%
33/125/133/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
51%
19/20
3%
-Evs-
Under 2.5 Goals
49%
17/20
3%
-8/11-
Home 1st Goal
54%
1/2
4%
-4/6-
Away 1st Goal
42%
7/4
5%
-6/4-
No 1st Goal
4%
9/1
5%
-8/1-
BTTS - Yes
53%
4/5
6%
17/20
1%
5/6-
BTTS - No
47%
19/20
2%
17/205/6-
BTTS - Home Win
24%
3/127/10
8%
3/1-
BTTS - Draw
18%
4/1
5%
18/57/2-
BTTS - Away Win
12%
15/2
6%
13/213/2-
Home/draw
76%
2/11
3%
1/5
4%
1/4-
Away/draw
48%
19/20
7%
19/20
5%
5/6-
Home/away
76%
2/72/7
1%
3/10-
Over 1.5 Goals
76%
2/7
1%
-1/3-
Under 1.5 Goals
24%
5/2
3%
-9/4-
Over 3.5 Goals
29%
12/5
3%
-5/2-
Under 3.5 Goals
71%
3/10
1%
-2/7-
Over 4.5 Goals
14%
11/2
7%
-6/1-
Under 4.5 Goals
86%
1/9
1%
-1/12-
Over 5.5 Goals
6%
14/1---
Under 5.5 Goals
94%
1/33---
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
1/20
1%
-1/16-
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
10/1
16%
-7/1-
Home DNB
69%
1/3
5%
1/3
5%
2/5-
Away DNB
41%
9/4
18%
21/10
11%
7/4-
Oxford Utd win to nil
29%
2/1
8%
-21/10-
Stevenage win to nil
12%
6/1-6/1-
Oxford Utd / Oxford Utd
28%
15/8
7%
9/5
7%
2/1-
Oxford Utd / Stevenage
2%
33/128/140/1-
Oxford Utd / Draw
6%
14/112/114/1-
Draw / Oxford Utd
18%
15/47/2
6%
18/5-
Draw / Stevenage
9%
8/1
6%
15/2
6%
17/2-
Draw / Draw
16%
9/2
10%
4/14/1-
Stevenage / Oxford Utd
4%
22/118/1
10%
25/1-
Stevenage / Stevenage
12%
13/2
15%
11/211/2-
Stevenage / Draw
6%
14/112/114/1-
bet365
Win / draw / win League One table

Oxford Utd have played 44 matches so far this season and lay in 6th place in the League One league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 34 games against teams below in the table, having won 18, drawn 8 and lost 8 matches. They have kept 10 clean sheets and have failed to score in 5 fixtures. Oxford Utd have outscored their opponents by 76 goals to 54 goals.

Home League Performance

Oxford Utd have played 22 games at home winning 11, drawing 6 and losing 5 games. They have scored 43 goals, kept 7 clean sheets and conceded 23 goals at home.

Stevenage are in 9th position in the League One on 67 points having played 44 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

8 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 26 goals and kept 8 clean sheets. They have scored 29 goals in total and failed to score in 6 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

15 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 7 games, drawn 4 and won 4. Stevenage have conceded 21 goals, scored 15, failed to score in 5 fixtures and have kept 5 clean sheets.

Oxford Utd
Won
Draw
Lost
Scores
Stevenage
HOME AWAY TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY
d
 
2-2F
l
 
2-1A
 Portsmouth46281353797 
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
2-1A
l
 
2-3F
w
 
1-2F
 Derby46288104192 
w
 
3-1F
l
 
1-0A
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
5-0A
 Bolton46251293587 
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
3-2A
w
 
5-0F
l
 
3-0A
 Peterborough46259122884 
d
 
2-2F
l
 
3-1A
-
-
 Oxford Utd Home462211132377 
l
 
1-3F
d
 
1-1F
l
 
0-1A
w
 
1-3F
 Barnsley462113121876 
w
 
2-1A
l
 
2-1F
l
 
0-1A
w
 
0-2F
 Lincoln462014122574 
w
 
1-0F
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
1-1F
d
 
1-1A
 Blackpool462110151773 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
3-0A
d
 
1-1A
w
 
1-3A
 Stevenage Away461914131171 
-
-
d
 
2-2F
d
 
0-00-0
 Wycombe46171415565 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-1F
l
 
1-2F
w
 
2-3F
 L Orient46181117-265 
l
 
0-1A
w
 
0-3F
w
 
4-2A
l
 
2-0A
 Wigan46201016762 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
2-3A
w
 
3-0F
w
 
1-2F
 Exeter46171019-1561 
d
 
1-1F
l
 
1-0A
d
 
2-2F
l
 
2-1A
 Northampton4617920-960 
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-1F
w
 
2-1F
l
 
3-1A
 Bristol R4616921-1657 
l
 
2-3F
d
 
1-1F
w
 
2-1F
w
 
1-2A
 Charlton46112015-153 
d
 
1-1F
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
1-1F
d
 
1-1F
 Reading46161119-253 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
2-0A
w
 
2-1A
l
 
2-0A
 Cambridge46121222-2248 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-2F
w
 
3-0F
d
 
1-1F
 Shrewsbury4613924-3248 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-1F
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-4F
 Burton46121024-2846 
l
 
1-2A
w
 
1-2A
w
 
2-1F
l
 
2-0A
 Cheltenham4612826-2444 
w
 
2-1F
w
 
0-3F
w
 
4-0F
w
 
0-3F
 Fleetwood46101323-2343 
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
0-3F
l
 
1-2A
w
 
0-2F
 Port Vale46101125-3341 
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
2-2A
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-3F
 Carlisle467930-4030 
d
 
2-2F
d
 
2-2A
Win / draw / win form
Oxford Utd 5TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
40
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
9
Draw
6
Lost
5
Goals: Scored
36
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
8
Draw
6
Lost
6
Stevenage 9TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
7
Draw
5
Lost
8
Goals: Scored
18
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
6
Draw
6
Lost
8
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
5
Oxford Utd have not lost to Stevenage in 5 consecutive league meetings
League games at Oxford Utd since 2011
Oxford Utd
Stevenage
Goals: Scored
2
3
Games: Scored
2 / 3
2 / 3
Clean sheets
1 / 3
1 / 3
D
2
STV
1
All league games since 2011
Oxford Utd
Stevenage
Goals: Scored
12
5
Games: Scored
5 / 7
4 / 7
Clean sheets
3 / 7
2 / 7
OXF
3
D
3
STV
1
Goal Statistics

Oxford United's defensive record is to be admired, Des Buckingham's men having conceded 1 or less in 6 consecutive League One matches. An average PG rating of 1.0 for Stevenage makes sense in this context.

Oxford Utd 5th Stevenage 9th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.7
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
19%
1
31%
2
26%
3
15%
4+
9%
There is a 81% probability that Oxford Utd will score 1 or more goals
0
35%
1
37%
2
19%
3
4+
There is a 72% probability that Stevenage will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+27
Oxford Utd have scored 27% more goals at home than predicted
+3
Stevenage’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.0
average goals scored
1.3
average goals scored
1.1
conceded
1.3
conceded
 
Statistics League One - 2023/2024 Season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/260623/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Oxford Utd
PG (predicted goals)
Stevenage
1.7
1
Attack rating
16%
better
OXF
STV
view stats
Games scored37
34
Failed to score9
12
Scored first27
25
Goals scored79
57
Avg. goals scored1.7
1.2
Avg. shots per game10
9
Avg. shots per goal6
7
Conversion rate17%
14%
KickOff rating
+16%
Defence rating
OXF
STV
15%
better
view stats
Games conceded34
27
Clean sheets12
19
Conceded first17
15
Goals conceded56
46
Avg. goals conceded1.2
1
Avg. shots/game conceded8
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
7
Conversion rate15%
14%
KickOff rating
+15%

Oxford Utd v Stevenage League One lLine ups will show here when available.

Oxford Utd League One squad statistics 2023/2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
431498
C BrownM HarrisC BrannaganC Brannagan
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Cumming GLK18
-
F Stevens DEF3213
2
-
S Long DEF2611
4
-
C Brown DEF4351
7
-
G Leigh DEF2961
2
-
C Brannagan MID41109
8
-
M Browne MID10
1
-
R Rodrigues MID4293
8
-
T Goodrham MID3884
3
-
J Murphy MID2664
1
-
M Harris FWD41144
3
1
Subs
S Eastwood GLK2
-
J Thorniley DEF8
2
-
J Bennett DEF15
1
-
O Smyth MID101
3
-
J Henry MID132
1
-
B Bodin FWD3554
2
-
O Dale FWD1312
2
-
Stevenage League One squad statistics 2023/2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
411848
C PiergianniJ ReidN FreemanC Piergianni
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
C MacGillivray GLK9
1
-
K Smith DEF9
1
-
T Vancooten DEF302
4
-
C Piergianni DEF4142
8
-
N Guinness-Walker DEF12
-
L Thompson MID4021
8
-
H White MID10
1
-
N Freeman MID4024
5
-
J Roberts MID4454
6
-
K Hemmings FWD3243
1
-
J Reid FWD41182
8
-
Subs
R Mitchell GLK
-
N Thompson DEF25
4
1
D Sweeney DEF2112
3
-
B Thompson MID282
4
-
E List MID2741
3
-
A Pressley FWD202
1
-
M Evans FWD
-
English League One match betting previews, predictions and odds