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Red Star FC v Guingamp : Ligue 2 match betting preview, prediction and odds

Fri 24th Apr, 19:00 BST, Stade de Paris, Saint-Ouen

Guingamp, led by manager Sylvain Ripoll, visit Grégory Poirier and his Red Star FC side at the Stade de Paris on Friday evening in the Ligue 2. Analysing both sides' last 20 Ligue 2 matches, as well as baseline data within the competition and the market, to generate our match predictions. All the stats, including head-to-heads, are shown below, alongside odds from leading bookmakers.


Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

We don't believe there is a clear favourite to to get the win in this one, but does appear clear is that the odds are pointing towards it'll have 3 goals or less. Our statistical analysis says the same. Red Star and Guingamp have taken part in plenty of under 3.5 goal games lately, and key performance statistics point towards more of the same. We have confidence in predicting under 3.5 goals on Friday evening, and the bookmakers have it priced at 1.30.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Red Star are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 42% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.91.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Red Star
42%
5/610/11
Draw
26%
13/512/5
Guingamp
31%
27/1012/5
Draw 1-1
13%
6/111/2
Red Star 1-0
11%
13/26/1
Guingamp 1-0
9%
10/19/1
Red Star 2-1
9%
15/27/1
Draw 0-0
8%
11/117/2
Red Star 2-0
8%
17/215/2
Guingamp 2-1
7%
12/110/1
Guingamp 2-0
5%
18/114/1
Draw 2-2
5%
14/110/1
Red Star 3-1
4%
14/112/1
Red Star 3-0
4%
16/112/1
Guingamp 3-1
3%
28/118/1
Red Star 3-2
2%
25/118/1
Guingamp 3-0
2%
40/125/1
Guingamp 3-2
2%
33/122/1
Over 2.5 Goals
47%
17/204/5
Under 2.5 Goals
53%
19/2017/20
Home 1st Goal
50%
4/67/10
Away 1st Goal
45%
11/87/5
No 1st Goal
5%
11/117/2
BTTS - Yes
52%
8/113/4
BTTS - No
49%
1/119/20
BTTS - Home Win
19%
11/414/5
BTTS - Draw
19%
15/417/5
BTTS - Away Win
14%
6/15/1
Home/draw
69%
2/72/7
Away/draw
58%
10/114/5
Home/away
74%
2/72/7
Over 1.5 Goals
72%
2/71/4
Under 1.5 Goals
28%
5/212/5
Over 3.5 Goals
25%
9/419/10
Under 3.5 Goals
75%
1/31/3
Over 4.5 Goals
12%
11/217/4
Under 4.5 Goals
88%
1/91/10
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
12/19/1
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
1/251/66
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
1/201/33
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
10/18/1
Home DNB
61%
2/54/9
Away DNB
50%
7/48/5
Red Star win to nil
24%
12/5-
Guingamp win to nil
17%
11/2-
Red Star / Red Star
27%
2/12/1
Red Star / Guingamp
3%
28/125/1
Red Star / Draw
6%
12/111/1
Draw / Red Star
16%
4/14/1
Draw / Guingamp
10%
15/213/2
Draw / Draw
15%
9/217/4
Guingamp / Red Star
4%
22/118/1
Guingamp / Guingamp
13%
11/29/2
Guingamp / Draw
6%
14/111/1
Win / draw / win Ligue 2 table

Red Star have played 30 matches so far this season and lay in 6th place in the Ligue 2 league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 20 games against teams below in the table, having won 12, drawn 4 and lost 4 matches. They have kept 10 clean sheets and have failed to score in 3 fixtures. They have been outscored by their opponents by 40 goals to 38 goals.

Home League Performance

Red Star have played 15 games at home winning 6, drawing 6 and losing 3 games. They have scored 18 goals, kept 6 clean sheets and conceded 19 goals at home.

Guingamp are in 11th position in the Ligue 2 on 40 points having played 31 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

6 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 23 goals and kept 3 clean sheets. They have scored 21 goals in total and failed to score in 4 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

19 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 10 games, drawn 5 and won 4. Guingamp have conceded 34 goals, scored 19, failed to score in 7 fixtures and have kept 4 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Red Star
Guingamp
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Troyes3118762161 
l
 
1-3F
l
 
1-0A
w
 
1-0F
l
 
5-2F
2
St Etienne3117682057 
w
 
2-1F
l
 
2-0A
l
 
1-2A
w
 
2-3F
3
Le Mans31151241757 
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
3-3A
d
 
1-1A
4
Reims31131261651 
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
3-2A
l
 
0-2A
l
 
1-0A
5
Rodez3113126451 
d
 
1-1A
d
 
1-1A
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
2-1A
6
Red Star301398548 
-
-
l
 
0-4A
Apr 24
7
Montpellier3113810947 
May 9
d
 
1-1F
w
 
1-0F
l
 
3-1F
8
Annecy3113711646 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
2-1A
l
 
0-3A
l
 
1-0A
9
Pau3112910-645 
l
 
0-3A
w
 
0-3F
d
 
2-2F
l
 
2-1F
10
Dunkerque31101011640 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
3-0A
w
 
2-1F
d
 
0-00-0
11
Guingamp31101011-440 
Apr 24
w
 
0-4F
-
-
12
Boulogne319913-936 
d
 
2-2F
w
 
1-2F
w
 
3-0F
d
 
2-2F
13
Grenoble3161411-832 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-3F
d
 
1-1A
d
 
0-00-0
14
Clermont317915-830 
d
 
2-2F
w
 
0-1F
l
 
0-1A
May 9
15
Nancy317915-2030 
w
 
2-1F
w
 
0-1F
d
 
2-2A
w
 
0-3F
16
Lavallois3151313-1528 
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
0-1F
w
 
2-0F
d
 
2-2A
17
Bastia3041214-1524 
w
 
4-3A
Dec 5
May 2
w
 
1-3F
18
Amiens316619-1924 
l
 
1-3A
May 2
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-2A
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
5
Red Star have not lost in 5 consecutive home league games
6
Guingamp have not won in 6 consecutive away league games
Red Star 6TH
20 league games
Home
5
Overall
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
7
Draw
9
L
4
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
7
Draw
7
Lost
6
Guingamp 11TH
20 league games
Away
6
Overall
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
6
Draw
5
Lost
9
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
6
Draw
7
Lost
7
Goal Statistics

Goals have been an issue for Guingamp of late. It has been 5 Ligue 2 games since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.2 suggests they'll have problems ending that run on Friday evening against Red Star FC.

Red Star 6th Guingamp 11th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.4
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
25%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 60% probability that Red Star will score no more than 1 goal
0
32%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 68% probability that Guingamp will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-19
Red Star have scored 19% fewer goals at home than predicted
+6
Guingamp’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.2
average goals scored
1.4
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
1.6
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Ligue 2 - 2025/2026 season
Red Star
PG (predicted goals)
Guingamp
1.4
1.2
Attack rating
3%
better
RED
GUI
view stats
Games scored22
22
Failed to score8
9
Scored first16
14
Goals scored38
40
Avg. goals scored1.3
1.3
Avg. shots per game9
9
Avg. shots per goal7
7
Conversion rate for15
15
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
+3%
Defence rating
20%
better
RED
GUI
view stats
Games conceded17
22
Clean sheets13
9
Conceded first10
14
Goals conceded33
44
Avg. goals conceded1.1
1.4
Avg. shots/game conceded8
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
6
Conversion rate against14%
17%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
+20%

Red Star v Guingamp Ligue 2 lLine ups will show here when available.

Red Star Ligue 2 squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
301258
D DurivauxD. DurandS KhaouiB Danger
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Durivaux DEF3013
3
-
D. Durand FWD30123
1
-
D Sylla MID294
5
-
R. Hachem MID2911
3
-
G Poussin GLK28
2
-
B Danger DEF2721
8
-
S Khaoui MID2725
4
-
J. Ikanga FWD2641
2
-
K. Cissé FWD2614
1
-
P Lemonnier  DEF2512
1
-
G Haag MID2412
8
-
H. Benali FWD245
3
-
K Cabral FWD2331
2
1
M Huard DEF221
5
-
A. Hachem FWD201
1
-
G Trani MID1511
-
J Eickmayer MID121
-
J. Kayi Sanda DEF6
-
S Renel MID5
-
J Escartin DEF41
1
-
Q Beunardeau GLK2
-
V. Kany MID2
-
Guingamp Ligue 2 squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
311359
D LouiserreL MafoutaA. HemiaK Sidibé
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Louiserre MID31
3
-
L Mafouta FWD31134
4
-
A Sissoko DEF281
5
-
K Sidibé MID2722
9
-
D Gomis DEF2641
6
-
S. Kielt MID2641
-
A Abdallah DEF25
4
-
J. Hatchi FWD2522
4
1
A Sagna MID2311
1
-
F Mbemba FWD211
1
1
E Koffi DEF201
-
A Demouchy DEF191
2
-
G Ott FWD194
1
-
A Ortolá GLK18
1
-
D. Ourega DEF1813
2
-
S. Nair DEF151
4
-
D N'Landu MID1521
2
-
T Bartouche GLK14
2
-
A. Hemia MID1335
3
-
J. Matumona Makanga DEF7
2
1