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Colombia v Portugal : World Cup match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 28th Jun, 00:30 BST, Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens

Sunday morning sees Néstor Gabriel Lorenzo’s Colombia and Roberto Martínez Montoliú’s Portugal go up against one another in a World Cup clash at the Hard Rock Stadium. You'll see stats supporting our top of under 3.5 goals below, but there are 16 other markets we're covering too. Each has been designed to give you as full a picture as possible, with World Cup performances and head to heads (H2Hs) included, so that you feel able to make a well-informed bet. Finally, be sure to get the best odds and bet smart.

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

Under 3.5 goals means that there will be no more than 3 goals scored by Colombia and Portugal combined during 90 minutes. Latest form statistics and historical head-to-head (H2H) records have led us to this conclusion, and we're suggest there's a 74% chance of it being right on the money. The top price currently available on under 3.5 goals is 1.29.

An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 46% chance of Portugal coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Colombia 28%	5/2 3%	-
Draw 26%	9/4	-
Portugal 46%	11/10 2%	-
Draw 1-1 12%	11/2	-
Portugal 1-0 11%	13/2	-
Portugal 2-1 9%	17/2	-
Colombia 1-0 8%	9/1	-
Portugal 2-0 8%	9/1 9%	-
Draw 0-0 8%	8/1	-
Colombia 2-1 7%	12/1	-
Draw 2-2 5%	16/1 13%	-
Colombia 2-0 5%	18/1 12%	-
Portugal 3-1 5%	18/1	-
Portugal 3-0 4%	20/1	-
Portugal 3-2 2%	33/1	-
Colombia 3-1 2%	33/1 17%	-
Colombia 3-2 2%	40/1	-
Portugal 4-1 2%	40/1	-
Over 2.5 Goals 48%	11/10	-
Under 2.5 Goals 52%	8/11	-
Home 1st Goal 44%	13/10 2%	-
Away 1st Goal 51%	8/11 4%	-
No 1st Goal 5%	8/1	-
BTTS - Yes 51%	10/11	-
BTTS - No 49%	10/11	-
BTTS - Home Win 13%	13/2 7%	-
BTTS - Draw 18%	7/2	-
BTTS - Away Win 20%	15/4	-
Home/draw 54%	7/10 2%	-
Away/draw 72%	2/7 1%	-
Home/away 74%	1/3	-
Over 1.5 Goals 73%	4/11	-
Under 1.5 Goals 27%	11/5	-
Over 3.5 Goals 26%	11/4 6%	-
Under 3.5 Goals 74%	2/7 3%	-
Over 4.5 Goals 12%	7/1	-
Under 4.5 Goals 88%	1/12	-
Over 5.5 Goals 5%	16/1	-
Under 5.5 Goals 95%	1/40	-
Over 0.5 Goals 92%	1/14	-
Under 0.5 Goals 8%	8/1	-
Home DNB 46%	6/4 5%	-
Away DNB 64%	1/2 2%	-
Colombia win to nil 15%	5/1 9%	-
Portugal win to nil 26%	5/2	-
Colombia / Colombia 14%	5/1 9%	-
Colombia / Portugal 3%	25/1	-
Colombia / Draw 6%	14/1	-
Draw / Colombia 11%	13/2	-
Draw / Portugal 15%	9/2	-
Draw / Draw 17%	4/1 5%	-
Portugal / Colombia 2%	33/1	-
Portugal / Portugal 25%	12/5 3%	-
Portugal / Draw 6%	12/1	-

Group K table

Group K	Played	Won	Drawn	Lost	For	Against	GD	Points
1Colombia	1	1	0	0	3	1	2	3
2Congo DR	1	0	1	0	1	1	0	1
3Portugal	1	0	1	0	1	1	0	1
4Uzbekistan	1	0	0	1	1	3	-2	0

Win / draw / win form

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Colombia	3 - 1	Uzbekistan
H	Colombia	2 - 0	Jordan
H	Colombia	3 - 1	Costa Rica
H	Colombia	1 - 3	France
H	Colombia	1 - 2	Croatia
A	Colombia	0 - 0	Canada
A	Colombia	4 - 0	Mexico
A	Colombia	6 - 3	Venezuela
H	Colombia	3 - 0	Bolivia
A	Colombia	1 - 1	Argentina
H	Colombia	0 - 0	Peru
H	Colombia	2 - 2	Paraguay
A	Colombia	1 - 2	Brazil
H	Colombia	0 - 1	Ecuador
A	Colombia	2 - 3	Uruguay
H	Colombia	4 - 0	Chile
A	Colombia	0 - 1	Bolivia
H	Colombia	2 - 1	Argentina
A	Colombia	1 - 1	Peru
A	Colombia	0 - 0	Argentina

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Draw

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Portugal	1 - 1	Congo DR
H	Portugal	2 - 1	Nigeria
H	Portugal	2 - 1	Chile
A	Portugal	2 - 0	USA
A	Portugal	0 - 0	Mexico
H	Portugal	9 - 1	Armenia
A	Portugal	0 - 2	Ireland
H	Portugal	2 - 2	Hungary
H	Portugal	1 - 0	Ireland
A	Portugal	3 - 2	Hungary
A	Portugal	5 - 0	Armenia
H	Portugal	2 - 2	Spain
A	Portugal	2 - 1	Germany
H	Portugal	3 - 2	Denmark
A	Portugal	0 - 1	Denmark
A	Portugal	1 - 1	Croatia
H	Portugal	5 - 1	Poland
A	Portugal	0 - 0	Scotland
A	Portugal	3 - 1	Poland
H	Portugal	2 - 1	Scotland

Goal Statistics

Portugal's defensive record is to be admired, R. Martínez Montoliú's men having conceded 1 or less in 6 consecutive World Cup matches. An average PG rating of 1.1 for Colombia makes sense in this context.

	Colombia	Portugal
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.1 goals	1.5 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 33% 1 37% 2 20% 3 4+ There is a 70% probability that Colombia will score no more than 1 goal	0 23% 1 34% 2 25% 3 12% 4+ There is a 77% probability that Portugal will score 1 or more goals

	20 home / away games

Attack defence ratings past 20 games

COL

POR

14%

better

view stats

Games scored	14		16
Failed to score	5		4
Scored first	10		11
Goals scored	33		45
Avg. goals scored	1.7		2.3
Avg. shots per game	10		14
Avg. shots per goal	6		6
Conversion rate for	16		16
Avg. XG for	1.6		2.6
KickOff rating		+14%

better

COL

POR

view stats

Games conceded	12		15
Clean sheets	7		5
Conceded first	7		7
Goals conceded	21		20
Avg. goals conceded	1.1		1
Avg. shots/game conceded	8		8
Avg. shots/goal conceded	7		8
Conversion rate against	14%		13%
Avg. XG against	1.1		1.2
KickOff rating		+3%

The line-ups for the World Cup match between Colombia v Portugal will show here when available.

Colombia World Cup squad statistics 2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
1	1	1	1
C Vargas	D Muñoz	G Puerta	J Palacio

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
C Vargas GLK	1			-
J Palacio DEF	1			1 -
D Sánchez DEF	1			-
D Muñoz DEF	1	1		-
J Lucumí DEF	1			-
R Ríos MID	1			-
G Puerta MID	1		1	-
J Lerma MID	1			-
K Castaño MID	1			-
J Rodríguez MID	1			-
C Hernández FWD	1		1	-
J Arias FWD	1			-
L Díaz FWD	1	1	1	-
J Campaz FWD	1	1		-
A Gomez FWD	1			-
L Suárez FWD	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
1	1	1	1
D Muñoz	D Muñoz	G Puerta	G Puerta

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
D Muñoz DEF	1	1
L Díaz FWD	1	1	1	1
J Campaz FWD	1	1
G Puerta MID			1	1
J Rodríguez MID		1
C Hernández FWD			1	1
J Arias FWD				1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
77	2	8
D Sánchez	D Sánchez	L Díaz

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
D Sánchez DEF	77	2	3
J Lucumí DEF	74
J Lerma MID	61		5
J Rodríguez MID	55
G Puerta MID	52		1
J Arias FWD	43	1	2
D Muñoz DEF	39	2	3
C Vargas GLK	37
J Palacio DEF	33	1	3
L Díaz FWD	24		8
L Suárez FWD	10	1	5
R Ríos MID	9
J Campaz FWD	3	1	3
C Hernández FWD	3		1
K Castaño MID	1	1	1
A Gomez FWD		1	1

Portugal World Cup squad statistics 2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
1	1	1	1
D Costa	J Neves	P Neto	T Araújo

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
D Costa GLK	1			-
T Araújo DEF	1			1 -
R Veiga DEF	1			-
J Cancelo DEF	1			-
N Mendes DEF	1			-
N Semedo DEF	1			1 -
B Silva MID	1			1 -
Vitinha MID	1			-
B Fernandes MID	1			-
J Neves MID	1	1		-
G Ramos FWD	1			-
F Conceição FWD	1			-
R Leão FWD	1			-
C Ronaldo FWD	1			-
P Neto FWD	1		1	-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
1	1	1	1
J Neves	J Neves	P Neto	F Conceição

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
J Neves MID	1	1
F Conceição FWD				1
P Neto FWD			1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
128	3	7
Vitinha	B Fernandes	B Fernandes

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
Vitinha MID	128		1
T Araújo DEF	104		1
R Veiga DEF	91	2	4
J Neves MID	89	1	3
B Fernandes MID	76	3	7
N Mendes DEF	69	1	6
J Cancelo DEF	64	2	5
P Neto FWD	41	1	2
D Costa GLK	29
F Conceição FWD	27	1	1
C Ronaldo FWD	21		2
B Silva MID	18	1	1
N Semedo DEF	15		1
R Leão FWD	9
G Ramos FWD	2