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KRC Genk v Union Saint Gilloise : Pro League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Cristal Arena, Genk

Saturday evening sees Thorsten Fink’s KRC Genk and Sébastien Pocognoli’s Union Saint Gilloise go head to head in a Pro League battle at the Cristal Arena. Our predictions for each betting market are based on the past 20 games each side has played (home, away and overall) with weighting applied to top teams. All the stats and infographics are tailored for the selected market. Head to head (H2H) statistics for this fixture are also given if there are are enough previous meetings. Odds are provided straight from from leading bookmakers.

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KRC Genk's next match is v Gent at 17:30 on Sunday 30th March
Union Saint Gilloise's next match is v Antwerp at 19:45 on Saturday 29th March
The last Belgian Pro League meeting between Genk and Union SG was on Saturday 15th March 2025
Belgian Pro League
March 15th 2025
Genk 2
1 Union SG
 
T. Arokodare 69'89' A. El Hadj
H. Oh 83'
 
GNK
USG
Shots On
7
3
Shots Off
6
3
Corners
4
5
Possession
55%
45%
Fouls
11
13
Yellow/red cards
1/0
 
GenkUnion SG
 
M. Penders
M. Smets
Z. El Ouahdi
J. Kayembe Ditu
M. Sadick Aliu
K. Karetsas (P. Hrošovský 81')
I. Bangoura (N. Sattlberger 21')
B. Heynen
J. Steuckers (Y. Sor 90')
C. Baah (N. Adedeji-Sternberg 80')
T. Arokodarefootball icon
A. Moris
C. Burgess
F. Leysen
K. Mac Allister
(K. Van de Perre 74') M. Rasmussen
N. Sadiki
(K. Rodríguez Cortéz 86') P. Akinpelu
(H. Teklab 80') O. Niang
(A. El Hadj 74') S. Boufal
A. Khalaili
(M. Fuseini 75') F. Ivanović

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

Under 3.5 goals means, quite simply that there will be no more than 3 goals scored by Genk and Union SG combined during 90 mins. Recent form stats and historical head-to-head (H2H) performances have led us to this conclusion, and we're suggest there's a 74% chance of it being a winning tip. The top price available at present on under 3.5 goals is 1.40.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Genk are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 40% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.62.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Genk
40%
31/20
2%
6/4
4%
Draw
27%
12/55/2
3%
Union SG
33%
17/10
4%
17/10
4%
Draw 1-1
13%
11/211/2
Genk 1-0
10%
9/1
9%
15/2
11%
Union SG 1-0
9%
9/1
9%
8/1
5%
Genk 2-1
9%
9/115/2
Draw 0-0
8%
11/1
8%
9/1
9%
Union SG 2-1
8%
9/18/1
6%
Genk 2-0
7%
12/1
13%
10/1
8%
Union SG 2-0
6%
14/111/1
Draw 2-2
5%
11/110/1
10%
Genk 3-1
4%
18/114/1
Genk 3-0
3%
25/118/1
Union SG 3-1
3%
20/1
11%
14/1
Genk 3-2
2%
25/118/1
12%
Union SG 3-0
2%
25/120/1
11%
Union SG 3-2
2%
25/118/1
12%
Over 2.5 Goals
47%
3/48/11
5%
Under 2.5 Goals
53%
21/201/1
7%
Home 1st Goal
49%
4/5
6%
-
Away 1st Goal
46%
21/20
7%
-
No 1st Goal
5%
12/1-
BTTS - Yes
52%
8/138/13
5%
BTTS - No
48%
6/56/5
4%
BTTS - Home Win
18%
15/416/5
BTTS - Draw
19%
10/316/5
BTTS - Away Win
15%
4/1
5%
7/2
7%
Home/draw
67%
4/9
4%
4/9
4%
Away/draw
60%
1/28/15
2%
Home/away
73%
3/103/10
1%
Over 1.5 Goals
73%
2/91/4
4%
Under 1.5 Goals
27%
3/111/4
11%
Over 3.5 Goals
26%
7/49/5
12%
Under 3.5 Goals
74%
2/52/5
5%
Over 4.5 Goals
12%
9/24/1
14%
Under 4.5 Goals
88%
1/71/7
3%
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
10/117/2
12%
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
1/201/25
2%
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
1/251/25
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
12/19/1
9%
Home DNB
59%
4/5
2%
4/5
3%
Away DNB
52%
10/11
4%
10/11
3%
Genk win to nil
22%
7/2
10%
-
Union SG win to nil
18%
4/1-
Genk / Genk
20%
3/1
8%
14/5
3%
Genk / Union SG
3%
25/120/1
11%
Genk / Draw
6%
12/111/1
Draw / Genk
14%
5/119/4
4%
Draw / Union SG
13%
11/2
8%
5/1
Draw / Draw
15%
9/24/1
9%
Union SG / Genk
4%
25/118/1
Union SG / Union SG
19%
10/316/5
8%
Union SG / Draw
6%
12/111/1
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win Pro League table

Genk have played 29 matches so far this season and lay in 1st place in the Pro League league table. Genk are unbeaten at home after 14 games and have kept 9 clean sheets in those matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 29 games against teams below in the table, having won 20, drawn 5 and lost 4 matches. They have kept 12 clean sheets and have failed to score in 4 fixtures. Genk have outscored their opponents by 53 goals to 48 goals.

Home League Performance

Genk have played 14 games at home winning 12, drawing 2 and losing 0 games. They have scored 28 goals, kept 9 clean sheets and conceded 8 goals at home.

Union SG are in 3rd position in the Pro League on 55 points having played 29 matches so far this season. Union SG are unbeaten in 3 games against teams above them in the league and kept 1 clean sheet out of 3 games.

Away League Performance

2 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 12 goals and kept 6 clean sheets. They have scored 19 goals in total and failed to score in 5 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

3 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 0 games, drawn 2 and won 1. Union SG have conceded 3 goals, scored 7, scored in every game and have kept 1 clean sheet.

Won
Draw
Lost
Genk
Union SG
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Genk Home3021542268 
-
-
w
 
4-0F
l
 
2-1A
2
Brugge3017852959 
w
 
3-2A
l
 
2-0A
d
 
2-2F
d
 
1-1F
3
Union SG Away30151052455 
w
 
2-1F
l
 
4-0A
-
-
4
Anderlecht3015692351 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-2F
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
0-2F
5
Antwerp30121081546 
w
 
2-0F
d
 
2-2A
w
 
2-1A
l
 
2-0A
6
Gent3011127845 
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
0-2F
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
1-3F
7
S. Liege3010911-1339 
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
1-2F
w
 
3-0F
d
 
0-00-0
8
Mechelen3010812538 
w
 
2-1A
w
 
1-2A
l
 
0-1A
d
 
1-1F
9
Westerlo3010713137 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-2F
w
 
3-1F
l
 
4-3F
10
S.Charleroi3010713037 
w
 
3-0F
d
 
1-1F
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-2A
11
Leuven308139-537 
w
 
2-0F
l
 
3-1A
w
 
1-0F
d
 
1-1F
12
Cercle B3071112-1532 
w
 
2-1A
w
 
2-3F
l
 
1-3F
d
 
0-00-0
13
Dender308814-1832 
w
 
4-0F
w
 
0-1F
w
 
4-1F
d
 
0-00-0
14
St Truiden3071013-1531 
w
 
3-2F
d
 
2-2F
w
 
2-1F
d
 
0-00-0
15
Kortrijk307518-2726 
w
 
3-2A
l
 
2-1F
w
 
3-0F
w
 
1-2F
16
Beerschot303918-3418 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
3-4A
w
 
3-1F
w
 
0-4F
Championship Round
UEFA Europa League Qualifiers
Championship Round
UEFA Conference League Play Offs
Relegation Round
Win / draw / win form
Genk 1ST
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
14
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
9 / 20
Clean sheets
11 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
15
D
3
L
2
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Genk0 - 0Gent
Genk2 - 1Cercle B
Genk1 - 0Beerschot
Genk2 - 0Leuven
Genk2 - 0Anderlecht
Genk3 - 2Kortrijk
Genk3 - 0S.Charleroi
Genk2 - 0Antwerp
Genk3 - 2St Truiden
Genk2 - 1Mechelen
Genk4 - 0Dender
Genk1 - 0Westerlo
Genk3 - 2Brugge
Genk0 - 0S. Liege
Genk0 - 1Gent
Genk1 - 0Antwerp
Genk0 - 3Brugge
Genk2 - 1Anderlecht
Genk1 - 1Cercle B
Genk1 - 0Union SG
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
13
D
4
L
3
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AGenk1 - 0Dender
AGenk1 - 1S.Charleroi
HGenk0 - 0Gent
AGenk2 - 1S. Liege
HGenk2 - 1Cercle B
HGenk1 - 0Beerschot
AGenk2 - 1Westerlo
AGenk2 - 1Mechelen
HGenk2 - 0Leuven
AGenk2 - 2Antwerp
HGenk2 - 0Anderlecht
AGenk0 - 2Brugge
HGenk3 - 2Kortrijk
AGenk2 - 2St Truiden
HGenk3 - 0S.Charleroi
AGenk0 - 4Union SG
HGenk2 - 0Antwerp
AGenk2 - 0Gent
HGenk3 - 2St Truiden
AGenk1 - 2Kortrijk
Union SG 3RD
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
7
Draw
9
L
4
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Anderlecht0 - 2Union SG
Kortrijk1 - 2Union SG
Beerschot0 - 4Union SG
S.Charleroi1 - 2Union SG
Gent1 - 3Union SG
Cercle B0 - 0Union SG
Leuven1 - 1Union SG
Mechelen1 - 1Union SG
Brugge1 - 1Union SG
S. Liege0 - 0Union SG
Antwerp2 - 0Union SG
St Truiden0 - 0Union SG
Westerlo4 - 3Union SG
Dender0 - 0Union SG
Cercle B1 - 2Union SG
Brugge2 - 2Union SG
Antwerp0 - 3Union SG
Anderlecht2 - 1Union SG
Genk1 - 0Union SG
Antwerp1 - 1Union SG
Goals: Scored
38
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
12
Draw
6
L
2
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HUnion SG3 - 0S. Liege
HUnion SG4 - 1Dender
AUnion SG2 - 0Anderlecht
HUnion SG0 - 1Mechelen
AUnion SG2 - 1Kortrijk
HUnion SG2 - 1St Truiden
AUnion SG4 - 0Beerschot
HUnion SG1 - 0Leuven
AUnion SG2 - 1S.Charleroi
AUnion SG3 - 1Gent
HUnion SG2 - 2Brugge
HUnion SG3 - 1Westerlo
AUnion SG0 - 0Cercle B
HUnion SG2 - 1Antwerp
AUnion SG1 - 1Leuven
HUnion SG4 - 0Genk
AUnion SG1 - 1Mechelen
HUnion SG1 - 3Cercle B
HUnion SG0 - 0Gent
AUnion SG1 - 1Brugge
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Genk since 2021
Genk
Union SG
Goals: Scored
4
5
Games: Scored
4 / 5
4 / 5
Clean sheets
1 / 5
1 / 5
GNK
1
D
2
USG
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Genk
Genk1 - 0
0 - 1Union SG
Draw1 - 1Draw
1 - 2Union SG
Draw1 - 1Draw
League games at Union SG since 2022
Union SG
Genk
Goals: Scored
12
5
Games: Scored
5 / 6
3 / 6
Clean sheets
3 / 6
1 / 6
GNK
2
USG
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Union SG
Union SG4 - 0
Union SG2 - 0
0 - 2Genk
Union SG3 - 0
1 - 2Genk
Union SG2 - 1
Goal Statistics

Union Saint Gilloise's defensive record is to be admired, S. Pocognoli's men having conceded 1 or less in 8 consecutive Pro League outings. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.4 for KRC Genk makes sense in this context.

Genk 1st Union SG 3rd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.4
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
26%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 61% probability that Genk will score no more than 1 goal
0
30%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 66% probability that Union SG will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-10
Genk’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-1
Union SG’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.7
average goals scored
1.4
average goals scored
0.7
conceded
1.0
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Pro League - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/277743/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Genk
PG (predicted goals)
Union SG
1.4
1.2
Attack rating
10%
better
GNK
USG
view stats
Games scored25
21
Failed to score4
8
Scored first17
19
Goals scored53
48
Avg. goals scored1.8
1.7
Avg. shots per game12
11
Avg. shots per goal7
7
Conversion rate for15
15
Avg. XG for2.1
1.9
KickOff rating
+10%
Defence rating
GNK
USG
19%
better
view stats
Games conceded17
16
Clean sheets12
13
Conceded first10
4
Goals conceded32
23
Avg. goals conceded1.1
0.8
Avg. shots/game conceded8
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
8
Conversion rate against13%
12%
Avg. XG against1.3
1.1
KickOff rating
+19%

Genk v Union SG Pro League lLine ups will show here when available.

Genk Pro League squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
301766
J SteuckersT ArokodareJ SteuckersM Sadick
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Penders GLK11
1
1
Z Ouahdi DEF2731
5
-
M Sadick DEF271
5
1
M Smets DEF29
4
1
J Kayembe DEF2911
3
-
I. Bangoura MID25
3
-
K. Karetsas MID2522
1
-
B Heynen MID282
3
-
J Steuckers FWD3086
1
-
T Arokodare FWD30175
2
-
C Baah FWD2833
1
-
Subs
H Crombrugge GLK19
1
-
L. Kiaba Mounganga GLK
-
K Nkuba DEF161
5
-
J. Ndenge Kongolo DEF4
-
P Hrosovsky MID2662
2
-
Y Medina MID
-
N Sattlberger MID2111
2
-
H Oh FWD2771
1
-
Y Sor FWD1414
-
N. Adedeji-Sternberg FWD2333
-
Union SG Pro League squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
301149
A MorisF IvanovicF IvanovicK Allister
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Moris GLK30
2
-
K Allister DEF2631
8
1
C Burgess  DEF212
8
-
F Leysen DEF23
3
-
A Khalaili MID2413
4
-
N Sadiki MID2912
4
-
M Rasmussen MID1812
1
-
O. Niang MID182
5
-
F Ivanovic FWD24114
2
-
P David FWD24104
6
-
S Boufal FWD163
4
-
Subs
V Chambaere GLK1
-
G François DEF3
-
R Sykes DEF1521
4
-
K. Van de Perre MID14
1
-
A Hadj MID1931
2
-
H Teklab MID51
-
K Rodríguez FWD202
-
M. Giger FWD2
-
M Fuseini FWD2351
3
-