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Manchester United v Arsenal : Premier League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Old Trafford, Manchester

Mikel Arteta pays counterpart Erik ten Hag a visit on Sunday afternoon in the English Premier League, as their Arsenal and Manchester United teams go head to head at the Old Trafford. We've analysed both sides' last 20 Premier League matches, as well as trends within the competition and the market, to generate our match predictions. All the stats, including head to heads (H2H), are shown below, alongside odds from leading bookmakers.

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Manchester United's next match is v Man City at 15:00 on Saturday 25th May
The last English Premier League meeting between Man Utd and Arsenal was on Sunday 12th May 2024
English Premier League
May 12th 2024
Man Utd 0
1 Arsenal
 
20' L. Trossard
 
MNU
ARS
Shots On
2
5
Shots Off
6
3
Corners
4
7
Possession
54%
46%
Fouls
5
6
Yellow/red cards
2/0
 
Man UtdArsenal
 
A. Onana
J. Dalot Teixeira
J. Evans (W. Kambwala 75')
A. Wan-Bissaka (O. Forson 87')
C. Casimiro
S. Amrabat (C. Dannemann Eriksen 87')
K. Mainoo
S. McTominay
A. Garnacho
A. Traoré (A. dos Santos 70')
R. Højlund (E. Wheatley 88')
D. Raya Martin
B. White
G. dos Santos Magalhães
T. Tomiyasu
W. Saliba
K. Havertz
D. Rice
(J. Kiwior 90') M. Ødegaard
(J. Frello Filho 90') T. Partey
(G. Martinelli Silva 66') football iconL. Trossard
(G. de Jesus 82') B. Saka
Best Tip: Arsenal to win

Nobody in the Premier League wants to lose in front of their own fans, but the statistics below suggest that is set to be Man Utd's fate as they go head-to-head with Arsenal at Old Trafford on Sunday afternoon. The bookies agree, each suggesting an away win is the most likely outcome at odds of 1.40, and so does our predictive algorithm. Our algorithm suggests the away win in the win / draw / win market has a 61% probability, making it a clear bet of the day here.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 64% chance of Arsenal coming away with a win.
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Man Utd
17%
17/2
81%
17/2
73%
Draw
18%
5/1
26%
5/1
30%
Arsenal
64%
2/7
14%
2/7
14%
Arsenal 2-1
10%
9/1
5%
7/1
7%
Arsenal 2-0
8%
8/1
18%
13/2
17%
Draw 1-1
8%
12/1
18%
10/1
29%
Arsenal 3-1
8%
10/1
8%
8/1
5%
Arsenal 1-0
7%
11/18/1
5%
Arsenal 3-0
6%
9/1
23%
7/1
27%
Draw 2-2
6%
20/1
40%
14/1
25%
Man Utd 2-1
5%
28/1
53%
20/1
40%
Arsenal 4-1
5%
14/1
29%
11/1
20%
Arsenal 3-2
4%
22/1
10%
14/1
15%
Arsenal 4-0
4%
14/1
35%
10/1
27%
Man Utd 1-0
3%
33/1
48%
20/1
24%
Draw 0-0
3%
22/1
10%
16/1
Arsenal 4-2
3%
33/120/1
Man Utd 3-2
2%
50/1
50%
33/1
48%
Over 2.5 Goals
69%
2/5
3%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
31%
2/1
9%
-
Home 1st Goal
43%
3/1
33%
-
Away 1st Goal
56%
2/9
10%
-
No 1st Goal
1%
22/1
10%
-
BTTS - Yes
62%
7/10
13%
8/11
13%
BTTS - No
38%
21/20
14%
1/1
17%
BTTS - Home Win
11%
12/1
73%
11/1
60%
BTTS - Draw
16%
6/1
27%
11/2
30%
BTTS - Away Win
36%
7/5
8%
7/5
4%
Home/draw
36%
5/2
40%
27/10
48%
Away/draw
83%
1/14
9%
1/18
7%
Home/away
82%
1/8
5%
1/8
5%
Over 1.5 Goals
87%
1/9
1%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
13%
11/2
8%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
47%
1/1
5%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
53%
4/5
4%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
28%
12/5-
Under 4.5 Goals
72%
1/3-
Over 5.5 Goals
15%
9/2
8%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
85%
1/7
2%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
97%
1/66-
Under 0.5 Goals
3%
20/1-
Home DNB
30%
7/1
100%
6/1
67%
Away DNB
77%
1/12
11%
1/14
11%
Man Utd win to nil
6%
18/1
46%
-
Arsenal win to nil
28%
11/8
27%
-
Man Utd / Man Utd
6%
16/1
79%
12/1
63%
Man Utd / Arsenal
5%
16/1
11%
14/1
Man Utd / Draw
4%
20/1
24%
16/1
31%
Draw / Man Utd
4%
20/1
62%
16/1
55%
Draw / Arsenal
19%
10/3
9%
16/5
5%
Draw / Draw
9%
9/1
25%
15/2
21%
Arsenal / Man Utd
2%
50/1
50%
40/1
58%
Arsenal / Arsenal
46%
4/5
22%
8/11
21%
Arsenal / Draw
4%
20/1
40%
16/1
31%
bet365
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Win / draw / win Premier League table

Man Utd have played 35 matches so far this season and are in 8th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

12 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 6 games, drawn 3 and won 3. Man Utd have conceded 24 goals, scored 16, failed to score in 4 matches and kept 1 clean sheet.

Home league performance

Man Utd have played 17 games at home, winning 9, drawing 3 and losing 5 fixtures. They have scored 28 goals, conceded 25 goals, kept 4 clean sheets and failed to score 3 times in home league games.

Arsenal lay in 2nd place on 83 points in the Premier League league table having played 36 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 34 games against teams below them in the table, winning 25, drawing 4 and losing 5 games. They have scored 87 goals and kept 15 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Arsenal have conceded 28 goals and have failed to score in 4 matches.

Away league performance

Arsenal have played 18 away games, winning 12, drawing 3 and losing 3 games. They have scored an average of 2.3 goals per away game and conceded an average 0.7 goals per away game.

Man Utd
Won
Draw
Lost
Scores
Arsenal
HOME AWAY TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY
l
 
0-3A
l
 
3-1F
 Man City3828736291 
w
 
1-0F
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
0-1A
l
 
3-1F
 Arsenal Away3828556289 
-
-
d
 
2-2A
d
 
0-00-0
 Liverpool38241044582 
w
 
3-1F
d
 
1-1F
w
 
3-2A
w
 
1-2F
 A Villa38208101568 
l
 
0-2A
l
 
1-0A
d
 
2-2F
l
 
2-0A
 Spurs38206121366 
d
 
2-2F
w
 
2-3F
w
 
2-1F
l
 
4-3A
 Chelsea38189111463 
w
 
5-0F
d
 
2-2A
w
 
3-2F
l
 
1-0A
 Newcastle38186142360 
w
 
4-1F
l
 
1-0A
-
-
 Man Utd Home3818614-160 
w
 
3-1A
w
 
0-1F
w
 
3-0F
l
 
2-0A
 West Ham38141014-1452 
l
 
0-2A
w
 
0-6F
l
 
0-1A
l
 
4-0A
 C Palace38131015-149 
w
 
5-0F
w
 
0-1F
l
 
1-3A
w
 
0-2F
 Brighton38121214-748 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-3F
l
 
0-3A
d
 
2-2A
 Bournemouth3813916-1348 
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-4F
l
 
1-2A
w
 
0-1F
 Fulham3813817-647 
d
 
2-2A
l
 
2-1F
w
 
1-0F
w
 
3-4F
 Wolves3813718-1546 
w
 
2-1F
w
 
0-2F
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-3F
 Everton3813916-1140 
w
 
2-1A
w
 
0-1F
w
 
2-1A
d
 
1-1A
 Brentford3810919-939 
w
 
2-1F
w
 
0-1F
w
 
3-2A
l
 
2-1A
 Nottm Forest389920-1832 
w
 
2-1F
w
 
1-2F
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-2F
 Luton386824-3326 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
3-4F
d
 
1-1F
w
 
0-1F
 Burnley385924-3724 
w
 
3-1F
w
 
0-5F
w
 
4-2A
w
 
1-2F
 Sheff Utd383728-6916 
w
 
5-0F
w
 
0-6F
Win / draw / win form
Man Utd 8TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
36
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
12
D
3
Lost
5
see results
HOME FORM
Man Utd1 - 1Burnley
Man Utd4 - 2Sheff Utd
Man Utd2 - 2Liverpool
Man Utd2 - 0Everton
Man Utd1 - 2Fulham
Man Utd3 - 0West Ham
Man Utd2 - 2Spurs
Man Utd3 - 2A Villa
Man Utd0 - 3Bournemouth
Man Utd2 - 1Chelsea
Man Utd1 - 0Luton
Man Utd0 - 3Man City
Man Utd2 - 1Brentford
Man Utd0 - 1C Palace
Man Utd1 - 3Brighton
Man Utd3 - 2Nottm Forest
Man Utd1 - 0Wolves
Man Utd2 - 1Fulham
Man Utd4 - 1Chelsea
Man Utd2 - 0Wolves
Goals: Scored
34
Conceded
37
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
7
Draw
6
Lost
7
see results
OVERALL FORM
AMan Utd0 - 4C Palace
HMan Utd1 - 1Burnley
HMan Utd4 - 2Sheff Utd
AMan Utd2 - 2Bournemouth
HMan Utd2 - 2Liverpool
AMan Utd3 - 4Chelsea
AMan Utd1 - 1Brentford
HMan Utd2 - 0Everton
AMan Utd1 - 3Man City
HMan Utd1 - 2Fulham
AMan Utd2 - 1Luton
AMan Utd2 - 1A Villa
HMan Utd3 - 0West Ham
AMan Utd4 - 3Wolves
HMan Utd2 - 2Spurs
AMan Utd1 - 2Nottm Forest
HMan Utd3 - 2A Villa
AMan Utd0 - 2West Ham
AMan Utd0 - 0Liverpool
HMan Utd0 - 3Bournemouth
Arsenal 2ND
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
44
Conceded
14
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
9 / 20
Clean sheets
11 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
13
D
3
L
4
see results
AWAY FORM
Spurs2 - 3Arsenal
Wolves0 - 2Arsenal
Brighton0 - 3Arsenal
Man City0 - 0Arsenal
Sheff Utd0 - 6Arsenal
Burnley0 - 5Arsenal
West Ham0 - 6Arsenal
Nottm Forest1 - 2Arsenal
Fulham2 - 1Arsenal
Liverpool1 - 1Arsenal
A Villa1 - 0Arsenal
Luton3 - 4Arsenal
Brentford0 - 1Arsenal
Newcastle1 - 0Arsenal
Chelsea2 - 2Arsenal
Bournemouth0 - 4Arsenal
Everton0 - 1Arsenal
C Palace0 - 1Arsenal
Nottm Forest1 - 0Arsenal
Newcastle0 - 2Arsenal
Goals: Scored
55
Conceded
13
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
9 / 20
Clean sheets
11 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
15
D
2
L
3
see results
OVERALL FORM
HArsenal3 - 0Bournemouth
AArsenal3 - 2Spurs
HArsenal5 - 0Chelsea
AArsenal2 - 0Wolves
HArsenal0 - 2A Villa
AArsenal3 - 0Brighton
HArsenal2 - 0Luton
AArsenal0 - 0Man City
HArsenal2 - 1Brentford
AArsenal6 - 0Sheff Utd
HArsenal4 - 1Newcastle
AArsenal5 - 0Burnley
AArsenal6 - 0West Ham
HArsenal3 - 1Liverpool
AArsenal2 - 1Nottm Forest
HArsenal5 - 0C Palace
AArsenal1 - 2Fulham
HArsenal0 - 2West Ham
AArsenal1 - 1Liverpool
HArsenal2 - 0Brighton
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Man Utd since 1993
Man Utd
Arsenal
Goals: Scored
52
23
Games: Scored
24 / 31
19 / 31
Clean sheets
12 / 31
7 / 31
MNU
18
D
9
ARS
4
see results
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Man Utd
Man Utd3 - 1
Man Utd3 - 2
0 - 1Arsenal
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw2 - 2Draw
Man Utd2 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
Man Utd3 - 2
Draw1 - 1Draw
Man Utd1 - 0
Man Utd2 - 1
Man Utd8 - 2
Man Utd1 - 0
Man Utd2 - 1
Draw0 - 0Draw
Man Utd2 - 1
0 - 1Arsenal
Man Utd2 - 0
Man Utd2 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
Man Utd2 - 0
0 - 1Arsenal
Man Utd6 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 1Arsenal
Man Utd1 - 0
Man Utd1 - 0
Man Utd3 - 0
Man Utd1 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
All league games since 1992
Man Utd
Arsenal
Goals: Scored
88
73
Games: Scored
44 / 63
46 / 63
Clean sheets
17 / 63
19 / 63
MNU
26
D
18
ARS
19
see results
FIXTURE HISTORY
Arsenal3 - 1
Arsenal3 - 2
Man Utd3 - 1
Arsenal3 - 1
Man Utd3 - 2
Draw0 - 0Draw
0 - 1Arsenal
Arsenal2 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Arsenal2 - 0
Draw2 - 2Draw
Man Utd2 - 1
1 - 3Man Utd
Arsenal2 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Man Utd3 - 2
Arsenal3 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
1 - 2Man Utd
Draw0 - 0Draw
Man Utd1 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Man Utd2 - 1
1 - 2Man Utd
Man Utd8 - 2
Arsenal1 - 0
Man Utd1 - 0
1 - 3Man Utd
Man Utd2 - 1
Draw0 - 0Draw
Arsenal2 - 1
Man Utd2 - 1
Draw2 - 2Draw
Arsenal2 - 1
0 - 1Arsenal
Man Utd2 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
2 - 4Man Utd
Man Utd2 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw2 - 2Draw
Man Utd2 - 0
0 - 1Arsenal
Arsenal3 - 1
Man Utd6 - 1
Arsenal1 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
1 - 2Man Utd
Draw1 - 1Draw
Arsenal3 - 0
0 - 1Arsenal
Arsenal3 - 2
1 - 2Man Utd
Man Utd1 - 0
Man Utd1 - 0
Arsenal1 - 0
Man Utd3 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw2 - 2Draw
Man Utd1 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
0 - 1Man Utd
Goal Statistics

Arsenal's forwards have been excellent of late, scoring 2 goals or more in 4 consecutive English Premier League outings. A PG of 2.4 suggests that run should continue on Sunday afternoon.

Man Utd 8th Arsenal 2nd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.2
goals
2.4
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
31%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 67% probability that Man Utd will score no more than 1 goal
0
9%
1
22%
2
26%
3
21%
4+
22%
There is a 69% probability that Arsenal will score 2 or more goals in this match
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
=0
Man Utd’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+30
Arsenal have scored 30% more goals when away than predicted
1.8
average goals scored
2.2
average goals scored
1.4
conceded
0.7
conceded
 
Statistics Premier League - 2023/2024 Season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/258915/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Man Utd
PG (predicted goals)
Arsenal
1.2
2.4
Attack rating
MNU
ARS
28%
better
view stats
Games scored29
33
Failed to score9
5
Scored first19
29
Goals scored57
91
Avg. goals scored1.5
2.4
Avg. shots per game10
12
Avg. shots per goal7
5
Conversion rate15%
20%
KickOff rating
+28%
Defence rating
MNU
ARS
33%
better
view stats
Games conceded29
20
Clean sheets9
18
Conceded first18
8
Goals conceded58
29
Avg. goals conceded1.5
0.8
Avg. shots/game conceded12
6
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
8
Conversion rate12%
13%
KickOff rating
+33%

Man Utd v Arsenal Premier League lLine ups will show here when available.

Man Utd Premier League squad statistics 2023/2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
381047
A OnanaR HöjlundA GarnachoCasemiro
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Onana GLK38
5
-
D Dalot DEF3623
5
-
Casemiro DEF2512
7
-
J Evans  DEF231
2
-
A Wan-Bissaka DEF222
4
-
K Mainoo MID2431
3
-
S Amrabat MID21
6
-
A Diallo MID911
1
-
S McTominay MID3271
2
-
A Garnacho MID3674
4
-
R Höjlund FWD30102
2
-
Subs
A Bayındır GLK
-
W. Kambwala DEF8
1
-
H Amass DEF
-
H. Ogunneye DEF
-
C Eriksen MID2212
1
-
O. Forson MID41
-
T. Collier MID
-
Antony FWD2911
5
-
E. Wheatley FWD3
-
Arsenal Premier League squad statistics 2023/2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
38161011
W SalibaB SakaM ØdegaardK Havertz
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Raya GLK32
2
-
B White DEF3744
8
-
W Saliba DEF3821
4
-
G Magalhães DEF363
4
-
T Tomiyasu DEF2221
1
1
M Ødegaard MID35810
2
-
T Partey MID14
3
-
D Rice MID3878
5
-
B Saka FWD35168
4
-
K Havertz FWD37138
11
-
L Trossard FWD34121
2
-
Subs
A Ramsdale GLK6
-
J Kiwior DEF2013
1
-
O Zinchenko DEF2712
2
-
E Rowe MID121
-
Jorginho MID242
1
-
F Vieira MID1112
1
G Jesus  FWD2745
6
-
G Martinelli FWD3565
1
-
E Nketiah FWD2752
3
-
English Premier League match betting previews, predictions and odds