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Tottenham Hotspur v Burnley : Premier League match betting preview, prediction and odds

The Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, London

Home advantage can be vital in the English Premier League, and Ange Postecoglou’s Tottenham Hotspur will have the luxury of it on Saturday afternoon. Vincent Kompany’s Burnley are their opponents at The Tottenham Hotspur Stadium. We've analysed both clubs' last 20 Premier League matches, as well as baseline data within the competition and the market, to generate our match predictions. All the statistics, including head to heads (H2H), are shown below, alongside the best odds.

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Tottenham Hotspur's next match is v Sheff Utd at 16:00 on Sunday 19th May
Burnley's next match is v Nottm Forest at 16:00 on Sunday 19th May

The last English Premier League meeting between Spurs and Burnley was on Saturday 11th May 2024

English Premier League

May 11th 2024

Spurs 2	1 Burnley

P. Porro Sauceda 32'	25' J. Bruun Larsen
M. van de Ven 82'

	TOT BRN
Shots On	9 3
Shots Off	6 2
Corners	9 3
Possession	63% 37%
Fouls	10 14
Yellow/red cards	3/0 5/0

Spurs	Burnley

G. Vicario P. Porro Sauceda M. van de Ven C. Romero O. Skipp (R. Drăgușin 75') P. Sarr (P. Højbjerg 88') J. Maddison (G. Lo Celso 88') Y. Bissouma (R. Bentancur Colmán 75') D. Kulusevski (D. Scarlett 75') B. Johnson H. Son	A. Murić C. Taylor M. Esteve D. O'Shea (M. Benson Hedilazio 72') V. da Silva L. Assignon (M. Amdouni 88') J. Cullen S. Berge (D. Fofana 87') L. Foster (M. Ndayishimiye 81') J. Bruun Larsen W. Odobert

Best Tip: Spurs to win

As training goes on this week and the Spurs players ready themselves for this fixture, the bookmakers have predicted success for them. The odds and our pre-match statistics below also point that way, as does the historical head-to-head (H2H) information we use in our predictive algorithms. The The Tottenham Hotspur Stadium has rarely been a successful away day for Burnley in the past, and we expect more of the same come Saturday afternoon. A win / draw / win home win is our tip.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Spurs are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 61% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.33.

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Spurs 61%	2/7 3%	1/3
Draw 19%	11/2 18%	5/1 4%
Burnley 20%	7/1	13/2 6%
Spurs 2-1 9%	11/1 20%	15/2 6%
Draw 1-1 7%	16/1 31%	11/1 20%
Spurs 3-1 7%	10/1	8/1
Spurs 2-0 7%	12/1 18%	9/1 11%
Draw 2-2 6%	18/1 12%	12/1
Spurs 1-0 5%	20/1 40%	12/1 30%
Spurs 3-0 5%	12/1 8%	10/1 16%
Burnley 2-1 5%	22/1 12%	18/1 12%
Spurs 3-2 5%	18/1	12/1
Spurs 4-1 5%	14/1	10/1 8%
Spurs 4-0 3%	16/1	12/1
Spurs 4-2 3%	22/1 12%	16/1 11%
Burnley 1-0 3%	40/1 21%	25/1 13%
Burnley 3-2 3%	33/1 17%	25/1 10%
Burnley 3-1 2%	40/1 20%	33/1
Over 2.5 Goals 73%	2/9 8%	-
Under 2.5 Goals 27%	10/3 27%	-
Home 1st Goal 54%	2/7 3%	-
Away 1st Goal 44%	5/2 3%	-
No 1st Goal 1%	33/1 31%	-
BTTS - Yes 68%	4/9 6%	4/9 6%
BTTS - No 32%	13/8 10%	17/10 13%
BTTS - Home Win 38%	11/10 9%	1/1 9%
BTTS - Draw 16%	11/2 8%	5/1
BTTS - Away Win 14%	15/2 23%	8/1 5%
Home/draw 80%	1/12	1/12
Away/draw 39%	5/2 8%	23/10 2%
Home/away 81%	1/9 3%	1/8 1%
Over 1.5 Goals 89%	1/16 4%	-
Under 1.5 Goals 11%	9/1 43%	-
Over 3.5 Goals 53%	4/7 13%	-
Under 3.5 Goals 47%	11/8 19%	-
Over 4.5 Goals 33%	13/10 16%	-
Under 4.5 Goals 67%	8/13 13%	-
Over 5.5 Goals 18%	11/4 17%	-
Under 5.5 Goals 82%	2/7 8%	-
Over 0.5 Goals 98%	1/150	-
Under 0.5 Goals 2%	28/1 12%	-
Home DNB 74%	1/7 3%	1/9
Away DNB 33%	9/2 15%	19/4 4%
Spurs win to nil 24%	9/4 18%	-
Burnley win to nil 6%	18/1	-
Spurs / Spurs 44%	5/6 4%	4/5 6%
Spurs / Burnley 2%	33/1 17%	28/1 15%
Spurs / Draw 5%	18/1	14/1
Draw / Spurs 19%	15/4 6%	7/2 7%
Draw / Burnley 5%	18/1	14/1
Draw / Draw 8%	11/1 20%	17/2 12%
Burnley / Spurs 6%	14/1	12/1 13%
Burnley / Burnley 7%	14/1 15%	9/1 9%
Burnley / Draw 5%	20/1 11%	14/1

Win / draw / win Premier League table

Spurs have played 35 matches so far this season and lay in 5th place in the Premier League league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 28 games against teams below in the table, having won 16, drawn 4 and lost 8 matches. They have kept 5 clean sheets and have failed to score in 3 fixtures. Spurs have outscored their opponents by 69 goals to 39 goals.

Home League Performance

Spurs have played 17 games at home winning 12, drawing 0 and losing 5 games. They have scored 36 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and conceded 24 goals at home.

Burnley are in 19th position in the Premier League on 24 points having played 36 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

10 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 33 goals and kept 1 clean sheet. They have scored 21 goals in total and failed to score in 5 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

34 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 22 games, drawn 9 and won 3. Burnley have conceded 73 goals, scored 30, failed to score in 12 fixtures and have kept 1 clean sheet.

Spurs

Won

Draw

Lost

Scores

Burnley

HOME	AWAY	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY
l 0-2A	d 3-3F	Man City	38	28	7	3	62	91	l 0-3A	l 3-1A
l 2-3A	d 2-2A	Arsenal	38	28	5	5	62	89	l 0-5A	l 3-1A
w 2-1F	l 4-2A	Liverpool	38	24	10	4	45	82	l 0-2A	l 3-1A
l 1-2F	w 0-4F	A Villa	38	20	8	10	15	68	l 1-3A	l 3-2A
-	-	Spurs Home	38	20	6	12	13	66	l 2-5F	l 2-1F
l 1-4F	l 2-0A	Chelsea	38	18	9	11	14	63	l 1-4F	d 2-2A
w 4-1F	l 4-0A	Newcastle	38	18	6	14	23	60	l 1-4A	l 2-0A
w 2-0F	d 2-2A	Man Utd	38	18	6	14	-1	60	l 0-1A	d 1-1A
l 1-2F	d 1-1F	West Ham	38	14	10	14	-14	52	l 1-2F	d 2-2F
w 3-1A	w 1-2F	C Palace	38	13	10	15	-1	49	l 0-2A	l 3-0A
w 2-1A	l 4-2A	Brighton	38	12	12	14	-7	48	d 1-1F	d 1-1F
w 3-1F	w 0-2F	Bournemouth	38	13	9	16	-13	48	l 0-2A	l 2-1F
w 2-0F	l 3-0A	Fulham	38	13	8	17	-6	47	d 2-2A	w 0-2F
l 1-2A	l 2-1F	Wolves	38	13	7	18	-15	46	d 1-1F	l 1-0A
w 2-1F	d 2-2F	Everton	38	13	9	16	-11	40	l 0-2A	l 1-0A
w 3-2A	d 2-2F	Brentford	38	10	9	19	-9	39	w 2-1F	l 3-0A
w 3-1F	w 0-2F	Nottm Forest	38	9	9	20	-18	32	l 1-2A	d 1-1F
w 2-1A	w 0-1F	Luton	38	6	8	24	-33	26	d 1-1F	w 1-2F
w 2-1A	w 2-5A	Burnley Away	38	5	9	24	-37	24	-	-
w 2-1A	w 0-3F	Sheff Utd	38	3	7	28	-69	16	w 5-0F	w 1-4F

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

20 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

0 / 20

Won

Lost

HOME FORM
Spurs	2 - 3	Arsenal
Spurs	3 - 1	Nottm Forest
Spurs	2 - 1	Luton
Spurs	3 - 1	C Palace
Spurs	1 - 2	Wolves
Spurs	2 - 1	Brighton
Spurs	3 - 2	Brentford
Spurs	3 - 1	Bournemouth
Spurs	2 - 1	Everton
Spurs	4 - 1	Newcastle
Spurs	1 - 2	West Ham
Spurs	1 - 2	A Villa
Spurs	1 - 4	Chelsea
Spurs	2 - 0	Fulham
Spurs	2 - 1	Liverpool
Spurs	2 - 1	Sheff Utd
Spurs	2 - 0	Man Utd
Spurs	1 - 3	Brentford
Spurs	1 - 0	C Palace
Spurs	2 - 2	Man Utd

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

17 / 20

Conceded

18 / 20

Clean sheets

2 / 20

Failed to score

3 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM
A	Spurs	2 - 4	Liverpool
A	Spurs	0 - 2	Chelsea
H	Spurs	2 - 3	Arsenal
A	Spurs	0 - 4	Newcastle
H	Spurs	3 - 1	Nottm Forest
A	Spurs	1 - 1	West Ham
H	Spurs	2 - 1	Luton
A	Spurs	0 - 3	Fulham
A	Spurs	4 - 0	A Villa
H	Spurs	3 - 1	C Palace
H	Spurs	1 - 2	Wolves
H	Spurs	2 - 1	Brighton
A	Spurs	2 - 2	Everton
H	Spurs	3 - 2	Brentford
A	Spurs	2 - 2	Man Utd
H	Spurs	3 - 1	Bournemouth
A	Spurs	2 - 4	Brighton
H	Spurs	2 - 1	Everton
A	Spurs	2 - 0	Nottm Forest
H	Spurs	4 - 1	Newcastle

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

18 / 20

Clean sheets

2 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM
Man Utd	1 - 1	Burnley
Sheff Utd	1 - 4	Burnley
Everton	1 - 0	Burnley
Chelsea	2 - 2	Burnley
West Ham	2 - 2	Burnley
C Palace	3 - 0	Burnley
Liverpool	3 - 1	Burnley
Man City	3 - 1	Burnley
A Villa	3 - 2	Burnley
Fulham	0 - 2	Burnley
Brighton	1 - 1	Burnley
Wolves	1 - 0	Burnley
Arsenal	3 - 1	Burnley
Bournemouth	2 - 1	Burnley
Brentford	3 - 0	Burnley
Luton	1 - 2	Burnley
Newcastle	2 - 0	Burnley
Nottm Forest	1 - 1	Burnley
Bristol C	1 - 2	Burnley
Blackburn	0 - 1	Burnley

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

19 / 20

Clean sheets

1 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM
H	Burnley	1 - 4	Newcastle
A	Burnley	1 - 1	Man Utd
A	Burnley	4 - 1	Sheff Utd
H	Burnley	1 - 1	Brighton
A	Burnley	0 - 1	Everton
H	Burnley	1 - 1	Wolves
A	Burnley	2 - 2	Chelsea
H	Burnley	2 - 1	Brentford
A	Burnley	2 - 2	West Ham
H	Burnley	0 - 2	Bournemouth
A	Burnley	0 - 3	C Palace
H	Burnley	0 - 5	Arsenal
A	Burnley	1 - 3	Liverpool
H	Burnley	2 - 2	Fulham
A	Burnley	1 - 3	Man City
H	Burnley	1 - 1	Luton
A	Burnley	2 - 3	A Villa
H	Burnley	0 - 2	Liverpool
A	Burnley	2 - 0	Fulham
H	Burnley	0 - 2	Everton

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Spurs have beaten Burnley in 4 consecutive home league meetings

Spurs have not lost to Burnley in 8 consecutive home league meetings

Spurs have kept a clean sheet in 4 consecutive home league meetings with Burnley

Spurs

Burnley

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

8 / 8

3 / 8

Clean sheets

5 / 8

0 / 8

TOT

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Spurs
Spurs	1 - 0
Spurs	4 - 0
Spurs	5 - 0
Spurs	1 - 0
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Spurs	2 - 1
Spurs	2 - 1
Spurs	5 - 0

Spurs

Burnley

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

15 / 17

8 / 17

Clean sheets

9 / 17

2 / 17

TOT

BRN

FIXTURE HISTORY
	2 - 5	Spurs
Spurs	1 - 0
Burnley	1 - 0
Spurs	4 - 0
	0 - 1	Spurs
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Spurs	5 - 0
Burnley	2 - 1
Spurs	1 - 0
	0 - 3	Spurs
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
	0 - 2	Spurs
Spurs	2 - 1
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Spurs	2 - 1
Burnley	4 - 2
Spurs	5 - 0

Goal Statistics

A PG of 2.4 is decent for Tottenham Hotspur in their clash with Burnley, as is their run of scoring 1 goal or more in 78 consecutive English Premier League outings.

	Spurs 5th	Burnley 19th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	2.4 goals	1.4 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 9% 1 21% 2 26% 3 21% 4+ 23% There is a 70% probability that Spurs will score 2 or more goals in this match	0 26% 1 35% 2 24% 3 11% 4+ There is a 61% probability that Burnley will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	+7 Spurs’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	+1 Burnley’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	2.0 average goals scored	1.2 average goals scored
	1.5 conceded	1.7 conceded

Statistics Premier League - 2023/2024 Season

33%

better

TOT

BRN

view stats

Games scored	34		26
Failed to score	4		12
Scored first	21		16
Goals scored	74		41
Avg. goals scored	1.9		1.1
Avg. shots per game	11		9
Avg. shots per goal	6		8
Conversion rate	17%		12%
KickOff rating		+33%

22%

better

TOT

BRN

view stats

Games conceded	31		36
Clean sheets	7		2
Conceded first	17		22
Goals conceded	61		78
Avg. goals conceded	1.6		2.1
Avg. shots/game conceded	9		12
Avg. shots/goal conceded	6		6
Conversion rate	17%		17%
KickOff rating		+22%

Spurs v Burnley Premier League lLine ups will show here when available.

Spurs Premier League squad statistics 2023/2024

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
37	17	10	11
G Vicario	H Son	B Johnson	Y Bissouma

Line-up	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
G Vicario GLK	37			2 -
P Porro DEF	34	2	7	3 -
C Romero DEF	32	5		7 1
M Ven DEF	26	3		5 -
O Skipp DEF	20			3 -
Y Bissouma MID	28			10 1
P Sarr MID	33	3	3	9 -
D Kulusevski MID	35	6	3	7 -
J Maddison MID	27	4	8	5 -
B Johnson MID	31	5	10	3 -
H Son FWD	34	17	9	1 -
Subs
B Austin GLK				-
E Royal DEF	21	1		6 -
R Drăguşin DEF	8			1 -
G Celso MID	22	2	2	2 -
R Bentancur MID	22	1	1	7 -
M. Moore MID	1			-
P Höjbjerg MID	35			4 -
D Scarlett FWD	3			-
B Gil FWD	11			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
17	38	10	16
H Son	H Son	B Johnson	H Son

Line-up	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
H Son FWD	17	38	9	16
D Kulusevski MID	6	21	3	14
C Romero DEF	5	9
B Johnson MID	5	21	10	12
J Maddison MID	4	22	8	15
M Ven DEF	3	3
P Sarr MID	3	14	3	3
P Porro DEF	2	10	7	13
O Skipp DEF		1
Y Bissouma MID		5
Subs
G Celso MID	2	6	2	1
E Royal DEF	1	3		1
R Bentancur MID	1	5	1
P Höjbjerg MID		6		2
B Gil FWD		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
2446	91	174
C Romero	P Porro	C Romero

Line-up	passes	tackles	duels won
C Romero DEF	2446	65	174
Y Bissouma MID	1821	77	149
P Porro DEF	1784	91	155
M Ven DEF	1682	48	114
G Vicario GLK	1322		28
P Sarr MID	1261	34	93
J Maddison MID	1259	32	141
D Kulusevski MID	1101	60	145
H Son FWD	968	20	98
B Johnson MID	613	26	79
O Skipp DEF	357	17	34
Subs
P Höjbjerg MID	1325	31	68
E Royal DEF	913	37	94
R Bentancur MID	721	23	61
G Celso MID	481	21	56
R Drăguşin DEF	270	5	18
B Gil FWD	143	1	11
D Scarlett FWD	3		2
M. Moore MID	1

Burnley Premier League squad statistics 2023/2024

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
33	6	4	9
S Berge	J Larsen	D O'Shea	J Cullen

Line-up	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
A Muric GLK	9			-
L Assignon DEF	14	1	2	4 -
D O'Shea DEF	32	3	4	5 1
M Estève DEF	15			5 -
C Taylor DEF	27	1	1	8 -
Vitinho MID	31		1	1 -
J Cullen MID	24	1	3	9 -
S Berge MID	36	1	2	9 -
J Larsen MID	31	6		1 -
L Foster FWD	23	5	3	1
W Odobert FWD	28	3	3	3 -
Subs
J Trafford GLK	28			2 -
H Ekdal DEF	8			2 -
J Gudmundsson MID	25	1	3	2 -
J Brownhill MID	32	4	2	4 1
J Rodríguez FWD	20	2	1	-
B Hedilazio FWD	8			-
D Fofana FWD	16	4	1	1 -
Z Amdouni FWD	31	5	1	2 -
M Trésor FWD	16			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
6	22	4	7
J Larsen	Z Amdouni	D O'Shea	W Odobert

Line-up	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
J Larsen MID	6	16		2
L Foster FWD	5	17	3	3
D O'Shea DEF	3	5	4	4
W Odobert FWD	3	14	3	7
L Assignon DEF	1	4	2	4
C Taylor DEF	1	1	1	5
J Cullen MID	1	3	3	4
S Berge MID	1	3	2	6
A Muric GLK				1
Vitinho MID		4	1	1
Subs
Z Amdouni FWD	5	22	1	2
D Fofana FWD	4	10	1	2
J Brownhill MID	4	11	2	1
J Rodríguez FWD	2	8	1
J Gudmundsson MID	1	5	3	5
H Ekdal DEF		1
B Hedilazio FWD		2
M Trésor FWD				1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1653	76	176
D O'Shea	S Berge	S Berge

Line-up	passes	tackles	duels won
D O'Shea DEF	1653	37	166
S Berge MID	1396	76	176
J Cullen MID	1302	40	112
C Taylor DEF	994	36	101
Vitinho MID	735	62	134
M Estève DEF	706	25	65
W Odobert FWD	488	17	90
A Muric GLK	487	1	6
J Larsen MID	437	8	45
L Foster FWD	423	21	94
L Assignon DEF	336	38	75
Subs
J Trafford GLK	1361	2	22
J Brownhill MID	988	58	125
Z Amdouni FWD	456	27	105
J Gudmundsson MID	439	13	51
H Ekdal DEF	238	4	11
J Rodríguez FWD	206	15	47
D Fofana FWD	166	11	48
M Trésor FWD	145	10	24
B Hedilazio FWD	47	3	11

English Premier League match betting previews, predictions and odds

Tottenham Hotspur v Burnley : Premier League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Spurs have played 35 matches so far this season and lay in 5th place in the Premier League league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

Home League Performance

Burnley are in 19th position in the Premier League on 24 points having played 36 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

Performance against teams above them in the league

Spurs v Burnley Premier League lLine ups will show here when available.

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