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Pau FC v Bastia : Ligue 2 match betting preview, prediction and odds

Stade Du Hameau Idron 1, Bizanos

Bastia pay Ligue 2 rivals Pau FC a visit on Friday evening, as Benoit Tavenot leads his team into an away clash with Nicolas Usaï & co. at the Stade Du Hameau Idron 1. Ligue 2 stats are the foundation of the predictions you'll find below, with head to head (H2H) records included too. You can view it all, with data visualisations and the best odds available for the biggest betting markets via the tabs.

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Pau FC's next match is v Clermont at 19:00 on Friday 13th March
Bastia's next match is v Boulogne at 19:00 on Friday 13th March
The last French Ligue 2 meeting between Pau and Bastia was on Friday 6th March 2026
French Ligue 2
March 6th 2026
Pau 2
2 Bastia
 
O. Sissoko 4'13' J. Eickmayer
J. Anziani 31'90' C. Vincent
 
PAU
BAS
Shots On
2
5
Shots Off
4
8
Corners
4
5
Possession
44%
56%
Fouls
19
17
Yellow/red cards
1/0
4/0
 
PauBastia
 
J. Kalulu Kyatengwa
N. Raveyre
A. Briançon (C. Fall 57')
J. Ruiz
T. Pouilly (N. Glossoa 79')
J. Anzianifootball icon
K. Dong (R. Touzghar 46')
G. Versini (A. Bobichon 84')
O. Sissokofootball icon (O. Sadik 83')
S. Beusnard
D. Meddah
J. Guevara
Z. Ariss
(R. Beliandjou 46') F. Tomi
(C. Vincent 74') T. Ducrocq
(I. Karamoko 74') A. Boutrah
(P. Lebas Da Silva 84') F. Bohnert
J. Placide
G. Akueson
football iconJ. Eickmayer
(A. Bi Zaouai 60') J. Janneh
M. Merghem

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

It's our view that there's not a clear favourite to to get the win in this one, but what is clear is that the odds suggest it'll have 3 goals or less. Our statistical analysis is inline with them too. Pau and Bastia have delivered a host of under 3.5 goal games of late, and key performance stats point towards more of the same. We have confidence in predicting under 3.5 goals on Friday evening, and the bookies have it priced at 1.25.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Pau are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 38% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.10.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Pau
38%
6/41/50
Draw
27%
21/1010/1
Bastia
35%
7/455/1
Draw 1-1
13%
5/117/4
Pau 1-0
11%
7/16/1
Bastia 1-0
10%
15/213/2
Draw 0-0
9%
15/27/1
Pau 2-1
8%
9/11/4
Bastia 2-1
8%
10/19/2
Pau 2-0
7%
11/111/2
Bastia 2-0
6%
12/110/1
Draw 2-2
5%
14/111/2
Pau 3-1
3%
20/17/1
Bastia 3-1
3%
22/19/1
Pau 3-0
3%
22/110/1
Bastia 3-0
2%
28/120/1
Pau 3-2
2%
33/128/1
Bastia 3-2
2%
33/133/1
Over 2.5 Goals
44%
11/101/8
Under 2.5 Goals
56%
7/104/1
Home 1st Goal
48%
20/2119/20
Away 1st Goal
47%
21/2011/10
No 1st Goal
5%
15/27/1
BTTS - Yes
50%
5/64/11
BTTS - No
50%
5/69/5
BTTS - Home Win
16%
9/21/10
BTTS - Draw
19%
10/311/2
BTTS - Away Win
15%
5/133/1
Home/draw
65%
2/51/1000
Away/draw
62%
1/210/1
Home/away
73%
4/111/40
Over 1.5 Goals
70%
1/31/14
Under 1.5 Goals
30%
9/46/1
Over 3.5 Goals
23%
11/46/1
Under 3.5 Goals
77%
1/41/14
Over 4.5 Goals
10%
7/133/1
Under 4.5 Goals
90%
1/121/1000
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
16/190/1
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
1/401/1000
Over 0.5 Goals
91%
1/141/20
Under 0.5 Goals
9%
8/17/1
Home DNB
57%
4/53/4
Away DNB
54%
10/1119/20
Pau win to nil
22%
3/1-
Bastia win to nil
20%
7/2-
Pau / Pau
22%
3/110/21
Pau / Bastia
3%
28/17/1
Pau / Draw
6%
14/114/5
Draw / Pau
15%
5/133/1
Draw / Bastia
12%
11/228/1
Draw / Draw
16%
15/425/1
Bastia / Pau
3%
28/11/50
Bastia / Bastia
16%
7/2125/1
Bastia / Draw
6%
14/1125/1
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Win / draw / win Ligue 2 table

Pau have played 25 matches so far this season and lay in 11th place in the Ligue 2 league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 10 games against teams below in the table, having won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 matches. They have kept 3 clean sheets and have scored in every game. Pau have outscored their opponents by 37 goals to 12 goals.

Home League Performance

Pau have played 13 games at home winning 4, drawing 3 and losing 6 games. They have scored 17 goals, kept 3 clean sheets and conceded 22 goals at home.

Bastia are in 18th position in the Ligue 2 on 18 points having played 24 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

6 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 11 goals and kept 4 clean sheets. They have scored 5 goals in total and failed to score in 9 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

24 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 12 games, drawn 9 and won 3. Bastia have conceded 27 goals, scored 12, failed to score in 15 fixtures and have kept 9 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Pau
Bastia
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Troyes2615651651 
d
 
1-1F
l
 
4-3F
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
1-0A
2
St Etienne2615471749 
l
 
0-3A
l
 
6-0A
Apr 18
d
 
2-2F
3
Le Mans2611114944 
l
 
1-2F
Apr 6
May 7
l
 
1-0A
4
Reims26111051443 
w
 
2-0F
May 7
l
 
1-3F
d
 
0-00-0
5
Rodez2610106140 
d
 
3-3F
w
 
1-2F
l
 
2-3F
Mar 20
6
Dunkerque2610971439 
l
 
0-3A
l
 
3-1A
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
1-1F
7
Annecy261169639 
w
 
2-0F
Apr 24
l
 
0-2A
l
 
1-0A
8
Montpellier2611510638 
Mar 20
w
 
0-1F
l
 
0-2A
l
 
2-0A
9
Red Star251087338 
l
 
0-3A
w
 
0-3F
Dec 5
Apr 11
10
Guingamp26998-136 
Apr 17
d
 
2-2A
l
 
1-3A
Apr 30
11
Pau26989-535 
-
-
d
 
1-1F
d
 
2-2A
12
Boulogne268612-930 
l
 
1-2A
w
 
0-3F
Mar 13
l
 
1-0A
13
Grenoble266119-629 
d
 
2-2F
d
 
1-1A
w
 
1-0F
d
 
0-00-0
14
Clermont267712-528 
w
 
3-1F
Mar 13
w
 
1-0F
Apr 24
15
Nancy267613-1427 
Apr 30
d
 
2-2A
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
2-0A
16
Amiens266515-1523 
l
 
1-2A
Apr 10
Apr 3
d
 
0-00-0
17
Lavallois2631112-1620 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-1F
l
 
0-2A
w
 
0-2F
18
Bastia2531012-1519 
d
 
2-2F
d
 
1-1A
-
-
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
Pau 11TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
35
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
7
D
4
Lost
9
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Pau0 - 3St Etienne
Pau1 - 2Boulogne
Pau2 - 2Grenoble
Pau3 - 3Rodez
Pau1 - 2Amiens
Pau1 - 2Le Mans
Pau1 - 1Troyes
Pau0 - 3Dunkerque
Pau3 - 1Clermont
Pau1 - 0Lavallois
Pau0 - 3Red Star
Pau2 - 0Reims
Pau2 - 0Annecy
Pau1 - 3Guingamp
Pau2 - 1Metz
Pau2 - 2Clermont
Pau1 - 0Annecy
Pau0 - 2Troyes
Pau1 - 0Grenoble
Pau0 - 5Rodez
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
36
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
7
Draw
5
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HPau0 - 3St Etienne
APau3 - 4Troyes
HPau1 - 2Boulogne
APau3 - 0Red Star
APau1 - 0Lavallois
HPau2 - 2Grenoble
APau1 - 3Dunkerque
HPau3 - 3Rodez
HPau1 - 2Amiens
APau1 - 0Montpellier
HPau1 - 2Le Mans
APau2 - 2Guingamp
HPau1 - 1Troyes
APau0 - 6St Etienne
HPau0 - 3Dunkerque
APau1 - 1Grenoble
HPau3 - 1Clermont
APau2 - 1Rodez
HPau1 - 0Lavallois
APau3 - 0Boulogne
Bastia 18TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
11
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
7 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
13 / 20
W
2
Draw
8
Lost
10
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Dunkerque1 - 1Bastia
Reims0 - 0Bastia
Lavallois0 - 2Bastia
St Etienne2 - 2Bastia
Annecy1 - 0Bastia
Nancy2 - 0Bastia
Troyes1 - 0Bastia
Grenoble0 - 0Bastia
Montpellier2 - 0Bastia
Boulogne1 - 0Bastia
Amiens0 - 0Bastia
Le Mans1 - 0Bastia
Guingamp2 - 2Bastia
Paris FC1 - 0Bastia
Annecy1 - 1Bastia
Lorient4 - 0Bastia
Troyes2 - 0Bastia
Clermont1 - 1Bastia
Rodez0 - 2Bastia
Amiens1 - 0Bastia
Goals: Scored
10
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
7 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
13 / 20
W
3
Draw
7
Lost
10
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HBastia0 - 2Annecy
ABastia1 - 1Dunkerque
HBastia0 - 0Troyes
ABastia0 - 0Reims
HBastia0 - 0Nancy
HBastia0 - 2Montpellier
ABastia2 - 0Lavallois
HBastia1 - 0Grenoble
ABastia2 - 2St Etienne
HBastia0 - 2Lavallois
ABastia0 - 1Annecy
HBastia1 - 3Reims
HBastia1 - 0Clermont
ABastia0 - 2Nancy
ABastia0 - 1Troyes
HBastia0 - 0Dunkerque
ABastia0 - 0Grenoble
HBastia2 - 3Rodez
ABastia0 - 2Montpellier
ABastia0 - 1Boulogne
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
Pau have drawn with Bastia in 3 consecutive league meetings
League games at Pau since 2021
Pau
Bastia
Goals: Scored
6
9
Games: Scored
4 / 4
3 / 4
Clean sheets
1 / 4
0 / 4
PAU
1
D
1
BAS
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Pau
Draw1 - 1Draw
1 - 2Bastia
2 - 6Bastia
Pau2 - 0
League games at Bastia since 2022
Bastia
Pau
Goals: Scored
5
7
Games: Scored
5 / 5
4 / 5
Clean sheets
1 / 5
0 / 5
PAU
1
D
3
BAS
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Bastia
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
1 - 4Pau
Bastia1 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Goal Statistics

Goals have been difficult to come by for Bastia of late. It has been 6 Ligue 2 matches since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.2 suggests they'll have problems ending that run on Friday evening against Pau FC.

Pau 11th Bastia 18th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.3
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
28%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 64% probability that Pau will score no more than 1 goal
0
30%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 66% probability that Bastia will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-14
Pau have scored 14% fewer goals at home than predicted
-43
Bastia have scored 43% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.2
average goals scored
0.6
average goals scored
1.8
conceded
1.2
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Ligue 2 - 2025/2026 season
Pau
PG (predicted goals)
Bastia
1.3
1.2
Attack rating
54%
better
PAU
BAS
view stats
Games scored21
9
Failed to score4
15
Scored first14
8
Goals scored37
12
Avg. goals scored1.5
0.5
Avg. shots per game9
8
Avg. shots per goal6
16
Conversion rate for16
6
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
+54%
Defence rating
PAU
BAS
20%
better
view stats
Games conceded18
15
Clean sheets7
9
Conceded first11
10
Goals conceded42
27
Avg. goals conceded1.7
1.1
Avg. shots/game conceded8
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded5
6
Conversion rate against21%
16%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
+20%

Pau v Bastia Ligue 2 lLine ups will show here when available.

Pau Ligue 2 squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
258310
J. Kalulu KyatengwaG VersiniK DongD Meddah
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
N Raveyre GLK22
3
-
T. Pouilly DEF2421
3
1
D Meddah DEF2012
9
1
A Briançon DEF19
4
-
J Ruiz DEF211
4
-
J. Kalulu Kyatengwa DEF2512
2
1
K Dong MID2113
1
-
S Beusnard MID2021
2
1
J Anziani MID52
-
G Versini FWD2483
1
-
O. Sissoko FWD1741
2
-
Subs
E Salles GLK3
-
C. Fall MID1521
3
-
A Bobichon MID2453
-
R. Touzghar MID2523
5
-
E Zuliani MID14
2
-
O. Sadik FWD2032
4
-
N. Glossoa FWD202
1
-
Bastia Ligue 2 squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
24228
Z. ArissA BoutrahA BoutrahJ. Guevara
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Placide GLK211
2
-
F Bohnert DEF171
4
-
G Akueson DEF8
2
-
J. Guevara DEF181
8
-
Z. Ariss DEF241
8
-
T Ducrocq MID191
4
1
J Janneh MID18
-
M Merghem MID4
1
-
J Eickmayer MID71
-
A Boutrah MID2022
2
-
F Tomi FWD2521
3
-
Subs
L. Olmeta GLK4
1
-
D. Basset DEF1
-
P Lebas DEF3
-
C Vincent MID211
3
-
A. Bi Zaouai MID181
2
-
I Karamoko FWD17
2
-
R. Beliandjou FWD3
-