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Pau FC v Bastia : Ligue 2 match betting preview, prediction and odds

Stade Du Hameau Idron 1, Bizanos

Bastia pay Ligue 2 competitors Pau FC a visit on Friday evening, as Lilian Laslandes leads his team into an away clash with Nicolas Usai & co. at the Stade Du Hameau Idron 1. The predictions for all the markets are based on the past 20 games each side has played (at home, away or overall) with extra weighting assigned to top teams. All the statistics and infographics are designed specifically for the selected market. Head-to-head statistics for this fixture are also given where our data allows. Odds are provided straight from from leading bookmakers.

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The last French Ligue 2 meeting between Pau and Bastia was on Friday 10th May 2024
French Ligue 2
May 10th 2024
Pau 1
2 Bastia
 
M. Bassouamina 8'70' M. Alfarela
83' M. Alfarela
 
PAU
BAS
Shots On
2
6
Shots Off
4
5
Corners
6
6
Possession
54%
46%
Fouls
19
18
Yellow/red cards
3/1
2/0
 
PauBastia
 
B. Kamara
J. Ruiz
J. Gaspar
K. Ahoussou
A. Costa (Y. Begraoui 21')
C. Boli (T. Colléaux 64')
S. Beusnard (I. Mohamed 79')
H. Saivet
S. D'Almeida (L. Mouton 64')
M. Bassouaminafootball icon (M. Chahiri 79')
M. Sylla
J. Fabri
I. Dramé
D. Tavares
T. Meynadier
C. Traoré
F. Bohnert
(F. Bianchini 68') F. Tomi
T. Ducrocq
(C. Vincent 64') M. Siby
(B. Santelli 64') G. Charbonnier
football iconfootball iconM. Alfarela
Best Tip: Both teams to score

Pau may feel positive ahead of this fixture and, funnily enough, so might Bastia. The bookies can't split them and neither can we – there's no obvious winner in this fixture. So our tip looks to the both teams to score market, where the signs are pointing in one direction. The form statistics, past head-to-head (H2H) records and bookies odds below are all pointing towards both sides scoring, and that's what we'd recommend too.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Pau are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 42% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.10.
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Pau
42%
8/11
18%
7/10
13%
Draw
24%
11/4
15%
27/10
13%
Bastia
34%
7/2
29%
29/10
14%
Draw 1-1
11%
13/2
15%
6/1
17%
Pau 2-1
9%
15/2
6%
13/2
6%
Bastia 2-1
8%
14/1
25%
11/1
10%
Pau 1-0
8%
8/1
13%
7/1
14%
Bastia 1-0
7%
16/1
55%
11/1
33%
Draw 2-2
6%
12/110/1
8%
Pau 2-0
6%
17/2
5%
15/2
Bastia 2-0
5%
25/1
53%
16/1
31%
Pau 3-1
5%
12/1
24%
10/1
15%
Draw 0-0
5%
14/1
50%
11/1
29%
Bastia 3-1
4%
33/1
31%
20/1
Pau 3-2
3%
20/1
19%
14/1
21%
Pau 3-0
3%
14/1
21%
11/1
13%
Bastia 3-2
3%
33/122/1
9%
Bastia 3-0
2%
50/1
50%
28/1
12%
Over 2.5 Goals
59%
8/13
17%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
41%
5/4
22%
-
Home 1st Goal
50%
1/2
10%
-
Away 1st Goal
48%
7/4
15%
-
No 1st Goal
3%
14/1
50%
-
BTTS - Yes
61%
8/13
6%
3/5
11%
BTTS - No
39%
6/5
10%
6/5
15%
BTTS - Home Win
23%
9/4
25%
21/10
24%
BTTS - Draw
19%
7/2
4%
18/5
2%
BTTS - Away Win
19%
13/2
15%
11/2
Home/draw
66%
2/11
9%
2/9
4%
Away/draw
58%
21/20
21%
21/20
13%
Home/away
76%
1/4
6%
1/4
4%
Over 1.5 Goals
81%
2/11
9%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
19%
7/2
29%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
37%
6/4
23%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
63%
1/2
13%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
20%
7/2
31%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
80%
2/11
6%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
9%
8/1
40%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
91%
1/14
4%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1/33
3%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
14/1
50%
-
Home DNB
59%
3/10
15%
1/3
9%
Away DNB
51%
12/5
43%
21/10
18%
Pau win to nil
19%
12/5
9%
-
Bastia win to nil
15%
8/1
50%
-
Pau / Pau
28%
7/4
21%
13/8
15%
Pau / Bastia
3%
33/125/1
Pau / Draw
6%
12/111/1
Draw / Pau
16%
15/4
14%
18/5
4%
Draw / Bastia
9%
17/2
27%
15/2
21%
Draw / Draw
13%
11/2
18%
19/4
20%
Bastia / Pau
4%
18/1
17%
16/1
11%
Bastia / Bastia
13%
6/1
27%
11/2
9%
Bastia / Draw
6%
14/112/1
8%
bet365
Win / draw / win Ligue 2 table

Pau have played 36 matches so far this season and lay in 9th place in the Ligue 2 league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 20 games against teams below in the table, having won 10, drawn 6 and lost 4 matches. They have kept 5 clean sheets and have failed to score in 5 fixtures. Pau have outscored their opponents by 57 goals to 41 goals.

Home League Performance

Pau have played 18 games at home winning 7, drawing 6 and losing 5 games. They have scored 31 goals, kept 5 clean sheets and conceded 25 goals at home.

Bastia are in 13th position in the Ligue 2 on 46 points having played 36 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

9 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 24 goals and kept 5 clean sheets. They have scored 20 goals in total and failed to score in 7 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

22 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 11 games, drawn 5 and won 6. Bastia have conceded 32 goals, scored 20, failed to score in 9 fixtures and have kept 6 clean sheets.

Pau
Won
Draw
Lost
Scores
Bastia
HOME AWAY TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY
d
 
2-2A
d
 
2-2A
 Auxerre38211163674 
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
1-1A
d
 
4-4F
l
 
2-1A
 Angers38208101468 
w
 
2-0F
l
 
2-0A
l
 
0-1A
w
 
1-2A
 St Etienne38198111765 
l
 
0-4A
l
 
3-2A
d
 
2-2F
l
 
2-1A
 Rodez381612101160 
l
 
0-2A
d
 
1-1F
w
 
2-0F
d
 
1-1F
 Paris FC38161111759 
d
 
1-1A
l
 
1-0A
l
 
2-3A
l
 
2-0A
 Caen3817714658 
l
 
1-2F
l
 
1-0A
w
 
3-0F
d
 
1-1A
 Lavallois38151013-555 
l
 
0-3A
w
 
1-2F
w
 
1-0F
w
 
2-3A
 Amiens3812179053 
l
 
1-2A
l
 
2-1A
l
 
1-2A
l
 
4-0A
 Guingamp38131213451 
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
0-1F
-
-
 Pau Home38131213351 
l
 
1-4A
w
 
1-2A
w
 
3-2A
w
 
0-1F
 Grenoble38131213-151 
w
 
1-0F
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
3-0F
l
 
3-2A
 Bordeaux3814915-250 
w
 
3-1F
w
 
2-3F
l
 
1-2F
w
 
1-4F
 Bastia Away3814915-450 
-
-
l
 
0-3A
d
 
0-00-0
 Annecy38121016-146 
w
 
2-1F
l
 
3-2A
d
 
1-1A
l
 
2-0A
 Ajaccio38121016-1146 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
2-0A
d
 
1-1F
l
 
1-0A
 Dunkerque38121016-1646 
d
 
1-1F
w
 
0-5F
d
 
1-1A
d
 
2-2F
 Troyes3791414-741 
w
 
3-2A
l
 
2-0A
l
 
0-2A
d
 
2-2F
 Quevillaise.3871714-438 
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
0-1F
w
 
2-0F
w
 
1-2F
 Concarneau3810820-1838 
w
 
2-0F
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
3-1F
w
 
1-4F
 Valenciennes3751121-2926 
w
 
3-0F
l
 
3-1F
Win / draw / win form
Pau 10TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
34
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
8
Draw
6
Lost
6
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
6
Draw
7
Lost
7
Bastia 13TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
6
D
4
Lost
10
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
9
D
3
Lost
8
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Pau since 2021
Pau
Bastia
Goals: Scored
4
6
Games: Scored
2 / 2
1 / 2
Clean sheets
1 / 2
0 / 2
PAU
1
BAS
1
All league games since 2021
Pau
Bastia
Goals: Scored
9
9
Games: Scored
4 / 5
4 / 5
Clean sheets
1 / 5
1 / 5
PAU
2
D
1
BAS
2
Goal Statistics

Pau FC have been steady in front of goal of late, finding the net in 8 consecutive Ligue 2 outings. Their PG of 1.6 against Bastia on Friday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

Pau 10th Bastia 13th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.6
goals
1.4
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4+
8%
There is a 80% probability that Pau will score 1 or more goals
0
24%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 76% probability that Bastia will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+26
Pau have scored 26% more goals at home than predicted
+25
Bastia have scored 25% more goals when away than predicted
1.7
average goals scored
1.4
average goals scored
1.6
conceded
1.5
conceded
 
Statistics Ligue 2 - 2023/2024 Season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/263341/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Pau
PG (predicted goals)
Bastia
1.6
1.4
Attack rating
19%
better
PAU
BAS
view stats
Games scored30
25
Failed to score8
13
Scored first17
16
Goals scored60
44
Avg. goals scored1.6
1.2
Avg. shots per game9
8
Avg. shots per goal6
7
Conversion rate18%
14%
KickOff rating
+19%
Defence rating
PAU
BAS
16%
better
view stats
Games conceded31
25
Clean sheets7
13
Conceded first20
17
Goals conceded57
48
Avg. goals conceded1.5
1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded10
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
7
Conversion rate15%
14%
KickOff rating
+16%

Pau v Bastia Ligue 2 lLine ups will show here when available.

Pau Ligue 2 squad statistics 2023/2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
3615710
B KamaraM SyllaM SyllaJ Ruiz
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
B Kamara GLK36
3
-
K Ahoussou DEF271
7
1
S D'Almeida DEF331
8
-
J Ruiz DEF3533
10
-
M Bassouamina MID34112
-
J Gaspar MID152
2
-
H Saivet MID3284
3
-
S Beusnard MID3221
5
-
C Boli MID2631
2
-
M Sylla FWD35157
4
-
A Costa FWD31
1
-
Subs
M Jeannin GLK2
-
N Sow DEF2
-
L Mouton MID273
5
-
I Mohamed MID1014
2
-
T. Colléaux MID5
1
-
M Chahiri FWD211
2
-
Bastia Ligue 2 squad statistics 2023/2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
341268
F BohnertM AlfarelaF BianchiniT Ducrocq
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Fabri GLK4
-
T. Meynadier DEF12
-
C Traoré DEF12
1
I Dramé DEF202
3
-
D Tavares DEF2612
2
1
F Bohnert DEF3412
3
-
F Tomi MID2011
1
-
T Ducrocq MID352
7
1
M Siby MID141
-
M Alfarela FWD37122
4
-
R Wright FWD161
1
-
Subs
C. Lunardi GLK
-
M. Souboul DEF4
2
-
Y Okou DEF242
1
-
M Loubatieres MID9
-
C Vincent MID3434
6
1
F Bianchini MID2856
5
-
B Santelli FWD3172
3
1
French Ligue 2 match betting previews, predictions and odds