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Marseille v Lens : Ligue 1 match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 24th Jan, 20:05 BST, Stade Vélodrome, Marseille

Lens, led by manager Pierre Sage, visit Roberto De Zerbi and his Marseille side at the Stade Vélodrome on Saturday night in the Ligue 1. Our goal is for you to win betting on this match, so every statistics you could possibly need to make a smart selection is laid out below. Flip between 17 markets or take our top tip. We have predictions, head to head (H2H) analysis and odds for it all.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Ligue 1 Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Both teams to score

Marseille may feel positive ahead of this game and, funnily enough, so might Lens. The bookmakers don't think there's much between them and neither do we – there's no clear victor in this fixture. So we look to the both teams to score market, where the signs are pointing in one direction. The form statistics, past head-to-head (H2H) records and bookies odds below are all pointing towards both sides scoring, and we think that's the tip to go with here.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Marseille are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 48% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.95.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Marseille
48%
19/20
2%
19/20
Draw
23%
14/5
9%
14/5
Lens
29%
13/5
3%
5/2
Draw 1-1
10%
6/16/1
Marseille 2-1
9%
8/1
6%
7/1
Marseille 1-0
7%
9/1
11%
15/2
Lens 2-1
7%
11/1
8%
10/1
Marseille 2-0
7%
10/1
10%
17/2
Draw 2-2
6%
11/1
8%
9/1
9%
Marseille 3-1
6%
14/111/1
Lens 1-0
6%
14/1
15%
10/1
Marseille 3-0
4%
18/1
12%
12/1
Draw 0-0
4%
14/1
15%
11/1
Marseille 3-2
4%
20/116/1
Lens 2-0
4%
20/114/1
Lens 3-1
3%
25/1
10%
18/1
Lens 3-2
3%
28/120/1
Marseille 4-1
3%
28/120/1
Over 2.5 Goals
62%
8/13
6%
3/5
3%
Under 2.5 Goals
38%
13/10
10%
5/4
5%
Home 1st Goal
52%
4/64/6
Away 1st Goal
46%
6/5
4%
13/10
No 1st Goal
2%
14/1
15%
11/1
BTTS - Yes
63%
8/15
6%
4/7
3%
BTTS - No
37%
11/8
8%
13/10
5%
BTTS - Home Win
27%
5/2
3%
12/5
3%
BTTS - Draw
19%
10/3
4%
10/3
2%
BTTS - Away Win
17%
5/1
8%
9/2
Home/draw
71%
2/73/10
Away/draw
52%
4/5
2%
4/5
Home/away
77%
1/4
3%
1/4
Over 1.5 Goals
83%
1/5
2%
2/11
2%
Under 1.5 Goals
17%
7/2
4%
17/5
5%
Over 3.5 Goals
40%
6/4
9%
29/20
6%
Under 3.5 Goals
60%
8/15
6%
1/2
1%
Over 4.5 Goals
22%
7/2
10%
10/3
6%
Under 4.5 Goals
78%
1/5
3%
1/5
3%
Over 5.5 Goals
10%
8/1
10%
7/1
6%
Under 5.5 Goals
90%
1/14
1%
1/18
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
1/33
1%
1/40
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
14/1
15%
12/1
8%
Home DNB
64%
4/9
3%
4/9
Away DNB
45%
13/8
4%
6/4
Marseille win to nil
21%
3/1
7%
-
Lens win to nil
12%
6/1
13%
-
Marseille / Marseille
27%
21/10
3%
19/10
1%
Marseille / Lens
3%
25/1
10%
22/1
Marseille / Draw
6%
12/111/1
Draw / Marseille
15%
9/2
10%
17/4
Draw / Lens
10%
7/1
6%
7/1
Draw / Draw
13%
11/2
8%
19/4
Lens / Marseille
4%
20/116/1
Lens / Lens
15%
9/2
8%
17/4
Lens / Draw
6%
12/1
13%
11/1
Win / draw / win Ligue 1 table

Marseille have played 18 matches so far this season and are in 3rd position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

2 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 1 game, drawn zero and won 1. Marseille have conceded 2 goals, scored 2, scored in every game and kept 1 clean sheet.

Home league performance

Marseille have played 9 games at home, winning 6, drawing 2 and losing 1 fixture. They have scored 24 goals, conceded 10 goals, kept 4 clean sheets and failed to score 1 time in home league games.

Lens lay in 1st place on 43 points in the Ligue 1 league table having played 18 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 18 games against teams below them in the table, winning 14, drawing 1 and losing 3 games. They have scored 32 goals and kept 7 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Lens have conceded 13 goals and have failed to score in 4 matches.

Away league performance

Lens have played 9 away games, winning 6, drawing 1 and losing 2 games. They have scored an average of 1.7 goals per away game and conceded an average 1 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Marseille
Lens
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Lens1814131943 
Jan 24
l
 
2-1F
-
-
2
PSG1813322542 
w
 
1-0F
Feb 8
Apr 12
l
 
2-0A
3
Marseille1811252235 
-
-
w
 
2-1A
Jan 24
4
Lyon181035933 
Mar 1
l
 
1-0A
l
 
0-1A
May 16
5
Lille181026832 
Mar 22
l
 
1-0A
w
 
3-0F
Apr 5
6
Rennes18873531 
May 16
l
 
1-0A
Feb 7
d
 
0-00-0
7
Strasbourg18837627 
Feb 15
w
 
1-2A
w
 
1-0F
Mar 1
8
Toulouse18756626 
d
 
2-2A
Mar 8
Apr 19
w
 
0-3F
9
Monaco18729-523 
w
 
1-0F
Apr 5
Feb 22
w
 
1-4F
10
Brest18648-522 
w
 
3-0F
Feb 22
w
 
3-1A
Apr 26
11
Angers18648-522 
d
 
2-2A
w
 
2-5F
Mar 22
w
 
1-2F
12
Lorient18576-722 
w
 
4-0F
Apr 19
w
 
3-0F
Mar 15
13
Paris FC18549-819 
w
 
5-2F
Jan 31
w
 
2-1F
Feb 15
14
Le Havre18477-819 
w
 
6-2A
May 9
Jan 30
w
 
1-2F
15
Nice185310-1418 
Apr 26
w
 
1-5F
w
 
2-0F
May 3
16
Nantes183510-1314 
l
 
0-2A
May 3
May 9
w
 
1-2F
17
Auxerre183312-1412 
Mar 15
w
 
0-1F
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-2F
18
Metz183312-2112 
Apr 12
w
 
0-3F
Mar 8
l
 
2-0A
Win / draw / win form
4
Lens have won 4 consecutive away league games
Marseille 3RD
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
57
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
14
D
4
L
2
Goals: Scored
48
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
13
D
2
Lost
5
Lens 1ST
20 league games
Away
4
Overall
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
12
D
3
Lost
5
Goals: Scored
37
Conceded
14
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
15
D
2
L
3
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Marseille since 2014
Marseille
Lens
Goals: Scored
6
8
Games: Scored
3 / 6
6 / 6
Clean sheets
0 / 6
3 / 6
MAR
2
LEN
4
League games at Lens since 2015
Lens
Marseille
Goals: Scored
8
13
Games: Scored
5 / 7
6 / 7
Clean sheets
1 / 7
2 / 7
MAR
3
D
1
LEN
3
Goal Statistics
Marseille 3rd Lens 1st
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.8
goals
1.4
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
16%
1
29%
2
27%
3
16%
4+
11%
There is a 84% probability that Marseille will score 1 or more goals
0
25%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 75% probability that Lens will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+35
Marseille have scored 35% more goals at home than predicted
+9
Lens’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.9
average goals scored
1.6
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
1.1
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Ligue 1 - 2025/2026 season
Marseille
PG (predicted goals)
Lens
1.8
1.4
Attack rating
6%
better
MAR
LEN
view stats
Games scored14
14
Failed to score4
4
Scored first10
12
Goals scored41
32
Avg. goals scored2.3
1.8
Avg. shots per game11
11
Avg. shots per goal5
6
Conversion rate for20
16
Avg. XG for1.8
2
KickOff rating
+6%
Defence rating
MAR
LEN
22%
better
view stats
Games conceded12
11
Clean sheets6
7
Conceded first8
5
Goals conceded19
13
Avg. goals conceded1.1
0.7
Avg. shots/game conceded7
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
11
Conversion rate against15%
9%
Avg. XG against1.1
1.5
KickOff rating
+22%

Marseille v Lens Ligue 1 lLine ups will show here when available.

Marseille Ligue 1 squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
161254
M Greenwood M Greenwood P AubameyangM Murillo
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Greenwood  FWD17123
1
-
P Höjbjerg MID1622
2
-
P Aubameyang FWD1655
1
-
G Rulli GLK15
1
-
Emerson DEF153
1
-
M Murillo DEF1521
4
-
T Weah FWD1521
1
-
I Paixão FWD1541
1
-
B Pavard DEF1412
3
-
A Gomes MID143
4
-
B Nadir MID144
2
1
M O'Riley MID1412
2
-
R. Vaz FWD1442
2
-
L Balerdi DEF131
3
-
N Aguerd DEF111
2
-
A Vermeeren MID111
1
1
C Egan-Riley DEF9
1
A Gouiri FWD821
-
D. Bakola MID7
-
G Kondogbia MID6
2
-
F Medina DEF4
-
U Garcia DEF4
1
1
J Lange GLK3
-
P Lirola DEF3
-
H Traorè FWD311
-
N Maupay FWD1
-
Lens Ligue 1 squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
18866
R RisserW Saïd A ThomassonA Thomasson
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R Risser GLK18
2
-
M Udol DEF185
1
-
F Thauvin FWD1852
4
-
W Saïd  FWD1882
-
S Baidoo DEF1721
2
-
R Aguilar DEF171
3
-
M Sarr DEF171
2
-
A Thomasson MID1726
6
-
M Sangaré MID1611
1
-
M Guilavogui FWD161
3
1
R. Fofana FWD152
-
O Edouard FWD1472
1
-
F Sotoca FWD13
1
-
S Abdulhamid DEF121
-
J Gradit DEF10
2
1
A. Bulatović MID81
1
-
A Sima FWD81
2
-
P Ganiou DEF72
1
1
D Machado DEF5
1
-
A. Bermont FWD5
-
F. Sylla MID2
-