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Hamburger SV v FC St. Pauli : Bundesliga 2 match betting preview, prediction and odds

Volksparkstadion, Hamburg

The Bundesliga 2 is the focus for both Hamburger SV and FC St. Pauli on Friday evening, as bosses Steffen Baumgart and Fabian Hürzeler go head to head at the Volksparkstadion. Analysing both teams' last 20 Bundesliga 2 matches, as well as trends within the competition and the market, to generate our match predictions. All the stats, including head-to-heads, are shown below, alongside odds from leading bookmakers.

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FC St. Pauli's next match is v Osnabruck at 12:30 on Sunday 12th May

The last German Bundesliga 2 meeting between Hamburg and St. Pauli was on Friday 3rd May 2024

German Bundesliga 2

May 3rd 2024

Hamburg 1	0 St. Pauli

R. Glatzel 85'

	HSV STP
Shots On	6 3
Shots Off	3 6
Corners	5 1
Possession	46% 54%
Fouls	5 5
Yellow/red cards	2/0 2/1

Hamburg	St. Pauli

M. Raab S. Schonlau M. Muheim D. Hadzikadunic J. Meffert (E. Saad 87') L. Reis M. Pherai Ł. Poręba (A. Suhonen 71') R. Königsdörffer (M. Okugawa 86') M. Diarra Dompé (L. Öztunali 90') R. Glatzel (A. Németh 90')	N. Vasilj M. Saliakas K. Mets D. Nemeth H. Wahl (L. Ritzka 86') C. Metcalfe (I. Brempt 87') A. Kemlein M. Hartel J. Irvine (E. Amenyido 78') J. Eggestein (A. Albers Nielsen 89') O. Afolayan

Best Tip: Both teams to score

We have a pair of strong, attacking teams going head-to-head and, as such, we're predicting both of them to score at least 1 goal during the 90 minutes. Can respective bosses Steffen Baumgart or Fabian Hürzeler find a tactical plan to top their opponent? Recent form stats and historical head-to-heads, as well as the latest odds from the bookmakers, suggest that's unlikely.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Hamburg are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 40% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.50.

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Hamburg 40%	23/20 14%	21/20 18%
Draw 23%	11/4 4%	12/5 3%
St. Pauli 37%	11/5 23%	2/1 33%
Draw 1-1 10%	13/2	6/1
Hamburg 2-1 8%	8/1 10%	7/1 11%
St. Pauli 2-1 8%	11/1 20%	9/1 18%
Draw 2-2 7%	10/1	9/1
Hamburg 1-0 6%	11/1 8%	17/2 14%
St. Pauli 1-0 6%	14/1 15%	10/1 10%
Hamburg 2-0 5%	12/1 13%	10/1 15%
St. Pauli 2-0 5%	18/1 27%	14/1 25%
Hamburg 3-1 5%	14/1 12%	11/1 20%
St. Pauli 3-1 4%	20/1 11%	16/1 31%
Draw 0-0 4%	16/1	11/1 8%
Hamburg 3-2 4%	18/1 10%	14/1 12%
St. Pauli 3-2 4%	22/1 10%	16/1 13%
Hamburg 3-0 3%	20/1 19%	14/1 21%
St. Pauli 3-0 3%	33/1 31%	22/1 35%
Over 2.5 Goals 63%	4/7 3%	-
Under 2.5 Goals 37%	27/20 2%	-
Home 1st Goal 50%	4/6 7%	-
Away 1st Goal 48%	6/5 10%	-
No 1st Goal 2%	16/1	-
BTTS - Yes 65%	4/9	10/21
BTTS - No 35%	13/8	6/4
BTTS - Home Win 23%	5/2 13%	12/5 15%
BTTS - Draw 19%	10/3 8%	16/5
BTTS - Away Win 22%	4/1 15%	18/5 24%
Home/draw 63%	4/11 9%	7/20 14%
Away/draw 60%	4/6 11%	7/10 18%
Home/away 77%	1/4 3%	2/7 3%
Over 1.5 Goals 84%	1/6	-
Under 1.5 Goals 16%	4/1	-
Over 3.5 Goals 41%	5/4	-
Under 3.5 Goals 59%	4/7	-
Over 4.5 Goals 23%	3/1	-
Under 4.5 Goals 77%	2/9	-
Over 5.5 Goals 11%	7/1	-
Under 5.5 Goals 89%	1/12	-
Over 0.5 Goals 96%	1/40	-
Under 0.5 Goals 4%	16/1	-
Home DNB 56%	4/7 14%	11/20 21%
Away DNB 53%	5/4 23%	13/10 31%
Hamburg win to nil 16%	7/2 18%	-
St. Pauli win to nil 15%	6/1 27%	-
Hamburg / Hamburg 24%	12/5 15%	9/4 19%
Hamburg / St. Pauli 4%	22/1	20/1 24%
Hamburg / Draw 6%	12/1	11/1
Draw / Hamburg 14%	5/1 8%	17/4 19%
Draw / St. Pauli 11%	13/2 15%	6/1 22%
Draw / Draw 13%	11/2	9/2 4%
St. Pauli / Hamburg 4%	20/1 9%	16/1 11%
St. Pauli / St. Pauli 17%	15/4 19%	19/5 33%
St. Pauli / Draw 6%	12/1	11/1

Win / draw / win Bundesliga 2 table

Hamburg have played 31 matches so far this season and are in 4th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

5 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 3 games, drawn 1 and won 1. Hamburg have conceded 9 goals, scored 5, failed to score in 2 matches and kept 1 clean sheet.

Home league performance

Hamburg have played 15 games at home, winning 10, drawing 0 and losing 5 fixtures. They have scored 31 goals, conceded 18 goals, kept 7 clean sheets and failed to score 1 time in home league games.

St. Pauli lay in 1st place on 63 points in the Bundesliga 2 league table having played 31 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 31 games against teams below them in the table, winning 18, drawing 9 and losing 4 games. They have scored 57 goals and kept 10 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. St. Pauli have conceded 33 goals and have failed to score in 5 matches.

Away league performance

St. Pauli have played 15 away games, winning 8, drawing 4 and losing 3 games. They have scored an average of 1.7 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.3 goals per away game.

Hamburg

Won

Draw

Lost

Scores

St. Pauli

HOME	AWAY	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY
l 0-1A	l 4-2A	Holstein	32	20	4	8	25	64	w 5-1F	w 3-4F
w 1-0F	d 2-2A	St. Pauli Away	32	18	9	5	23	63	-	-
w 1-0F	l 2-0A	Dusseldorf	32	17	8	7	31	59	d 0-00-0	w 1-2F
-	-	Hamburg Home	33	16	7	10	17	55	d 2-2F	l 1-0A
l 3-4A	d 2-2A	Karlsruher	32	14	10	8	18	52	w 2-1A	l 2-1A
l 3-4A	w 0-1F	Hannover	32	12	13	7	15	49	d 0-00-0	w 1-2F
l 1-2F	l 1-0A	Paderborn	33	14	7	12	-1	49	w 2-1F	d 2-2A
w 3-0F	w 1-2F	H.Berlin	33	13	9	11	11	48	w 2-0F	w 1-2F
w 2-0F	d 1-1F	Greuther	33	13	8	12	-1	47	w 3-2F	d 0-00-0
w 5-3F	w 0-2F	Schalke	33	12	7	14	-5	43	w 3-1F	l 3-1A
w 1-0F	l 2-1A	Elversberg	33	12	7	14	-11	43	l 3-4F	w 0-2F
May 19	w 0-2F	Nurnberg	33	11	7	15	-18	40	w 5-1F	w 0-2F
w 2-0F	d 2-2A	Magdeburg	33	9	11	13	-7	38	d 0-00-0	l 1-0A
w 2-1F	d 3-3F	Kaiserslautern	33	10	6	17	-10	36	w 2-0F	w 1-2F
w 2-1F	w 0-4F	E. Braun	32	10	5	17	-12	35	w 1-0F	d 1-1F
w 3-0F	d 1-1A	Wiesbaden	32	8	8	16	-12	32	d 1-1F	May 19
w 2-0F	d 2-2F	Rostock	33	9	4	20	-26	31	w 1-0F	w 2-3A
l 1-2A	l 2-1F	Osnabruck	32	5	10	17	-37	25	May 12	d 1-1F

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

18 / 20

Conceded

12 / 20

Clean sheets

8 / 20

Failed to score

2 / 20

Won

Lost

HOME FORM
Hamburg	0 - 1	Holstein
Hamburg	2 - 1	Kaiserslautern
Hamburg	3 - 0	Wiesbaden
Hamburg	1 - 2	Osnabruck
Hamburg	1 - 0	Elversberg
Hamburg	3 - 4	Hannover
Hamburg	3 - 4	Karlsruher
Hamburg	1 - 2	Paderborn
Hamburg	2 - 1	E. Braun
Hamburg	2 - 0	Magdeburg
Hamburg	2 - 0	Greuther
Hamburg	1 - 0	Dusseldorf
Hamburg	2 - 0	Rostock
Hamburg	3 - 0	H.Berlin
Hamburg	5 - 3	Schalke
Hamburg	2 - 1	Greuther
Hamburg	2 - 2	Paderborn
Hamburg	4 - 3	St. Pauli
Hamburg	6 - 1	Hannover
Hamburg	0 - 0	Holstein

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

18 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

2 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM
A	Hamburg	4 - 0	E. Braun
H	Hamburg	0 - 1	Holstein
A	Hamburg	2 - 2	Magdeburg
H	Hamburg	2 - 1	Kaiserslautern
A	Hamburg	1 - 1	Greuther
H	Hamburg	3 - 0	Wiesbaden
A	Hamburg	0 - 2	Dusseldorf
H	Hamburg	1 - 2	Osnabruck
H	Hamburg	1 - 0	Elversberg
A	Hamburg	2 - 2	Rostock
H	Hamburg	3 - 4	Hannover
A	Hamburg	2 - 1	H.Berlin
H	Hamburg	3 - 4	Karlsruher
A	Hamburg	2 - 0	Schalke
A	Hamburg	2 - 0	Nurnberg
H	Hamburg	1 - 2	Paderborn
A	Hamburg	2 - 2	St. Pauli
H	Hamburg	2 - 1	E. Braun
A	Hamburg	2 - 4	Holstein
H	Hamburg	2 - 0	Magdeburg

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

18 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

2 / 20

Won

AWAY FORM
Hannover	1 - 2	St. Pauli
Karlsruher	2 - 1	St. Pauli
Nurnberg	0 - 2	St. Pauli
Schalke	3 - 1	St. Pauli
Holstein	3 - 4	St. Pauli
Magdeburg	1 - 0	St. Pauli
Dusseldorf	1 - 2	St. Pauli
Osnabruck	1 - 1	St. Pauli
Rostock	2 - 3	St. Pauli
Elversberg	0 - 2	St. Pauli
Paderborn	2 - 2	St. Pauli
H.Berlin	1 - 2	St. Pauli
E. Braun	1 - 1	St. Pauli
Greuther	0 - 0	St. Pauli
Kaiserslautern	1 - 2	St. Pauli
Holstein	3 - 4	St. Pauli
Darmstadt	0 - 3	St. Pauli
Hamburg	4 - 3	St. Pauli
Heidenheim	0 - 1	St. Pauli
Sandhausen	0 - 5	St. Pauli

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

18 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

2 / 20

Won

OVERALL FORM
H	St. Pauli	1 - 0	Rostock
A	St. Pauli	2 - 1	Hannover
H	St. Pauli	3 - 4	Elversberg
A	St. Pauli	1 - 2	Karlsruher
H	St. Pauli	2 - 1	Paderborn
A	St. Pauli	2 - 0	Nurnberg
H	St. Pauli	2 - 0	H.Berlin
A	St. Pauli	1 - 3	Schalke
A	St. Pauli	4 - 3	Holstein
H	St. Pauli	1 - 0	E. Braun
A	St. Pauli	0 - 1	Magdeburg
H	St. Pauli	3 - 2	Greuther
A	St. Pauli	2 - 1	Dusseldorf
H	St. Pauli	2 - 0	Kaiserslautern
H	St. Pauli	1 - 1	Wiesbaden
A	St. Pauli	1 - 1	Osnabruck
H	St. Pauli	2 - 2	Hamburg
A	St. Pauli	3 - 2	Rostock
H	St. Pauli	0 - 0	Hannover
A	St. Pauli	2 - 0	Elversberg

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Hamburg

St. Pauli

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

3 / 5

4 / 5

Clean sheets

1 / 5

2 / 5

HSV

STP

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Hamburg
Hamburg	4 - 3
Hamburg	2 - 1
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
	0 - 2	St. Pauli
Draw	0 - 0	Draw

Hamburg

St. Pauli

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

6 / 11

9 / 11

Clean sheets

2 / 11

5 / 11

HSV

STP

FIXTURE HISTORY
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
Hamburg	4 - 3
St. Pauli	3 - 0
Hamburg	2 - 1
St. Pauli	3 - 2
St. Pauli	1 - 0
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
	0 - 2	St. Pauli
St. Pauli	2 - 0
	0 - 4	Hamburg
Draw	0 - 0	Draw

Goal Statistics

FC St. Pauli have been steady in front of goal of late, finding the net in 10 consecutive Bundesliga 2 outings. Their PG of 1.6 against Hamburger SV on Friday suggests that run is likely to continue.

	Hamburg 4th	St. Pauli 2nd
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.7 goals	1.6 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 19% 1 32% 2 26% 3 15% 4+ 9% There is a 81% probability that Hamburg will score 1 or more goals	0 20% 1 32% 2 26% 3 14% 4+ 8% There is a 80% probability that St. Pauli will score 1 or more goals

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	+8 Hamburg’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	+32 St. Pauli have scored 32% more goals when away than predicted
	2.3 average goals scored	2.1 average goals scored
	1.3 conceded	1.3 conceded

Statistics Bundesliga 2 - 2023/2024 Season

10%

better

HSV

STP

view stats

Games scored	30		26
Failed to score	3		6
Scored first	21		21
Goals scored	60		57
Avg. goals scored	1.8		1.8
Avg. shots per game	12		12
Avg. shots per goal	7		7
Conversion rate	15%		15%
KickOff rating		+10%

HSV

STP

10%

better

view stats

Games conceded	21		22
Clean sheets	12		10
Conceded first	12		7
Goals conceded	43		34
Avg. goals conceded	1.3		1.1
Avg. shots/game conceded	10		7
Avg. shots/goal conceded	7		7
Conversion rate	14%		14%
KickOff rating		+10%

Hamburg v St. Pauli Bundesliga 2 lLine ups will show here when available.

Hamburg Bundesliga 2 squad statistics 2023/2024

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
31	19	7	10
J Meffert	R Glatzel	M Dompé	J Meffert

Line-up	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
M Raab GLK	13			-
L Reis DEF	24	3	2	4 -
D Hadzikadunic DEF	24	1		7 -
S Schonlau DEF	16	1		-
M Muheim DEF	27	5	4	6 1
Łukasz Poręba MID	16	1	1	1 -
J Meffert MID	31	2	2	10 -
I Pherai MID	28	3	4	4 -
R Königsdörffer FWD	29	2	3	3 -
R Glatzel FWD	31	19	4	1 -
M Dompé FWD	27	3	7	3 -
Subs
D Fernandes GLK	20			1 -
M Heyer DEF	16	1		8 -
I Brempt DEF	22		4	3 -
N Katterbach DEF	5			1 -
S Ambrosius DEF	17			2 -
M Okugawa MID	8			-
L Öztunali MID	19			1 -
A Suhonen MID	12		1	-
A Németh FWD	28			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
19	44	7	8
R Glatzel	R Glatzel	M Dompé	R Glatzel

Line-up	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
R Glatzel FWD	19	44	4	8
M Muheim DEF	5	13	4	6
L Reis DEF	3	7	2	2
I Pherai MID	3	17	4	7
M Dompé FWD	3	16	7	8
J Meffert MID	2	3	2	4
R Königsdörffer FWD	2	14	3	4
D Hadzikadunic DEF	1	4
S Schonlau DEF	1	2		1
Łukasz Poręba MID	1	2	1	2
Subs
M Heyer DEF	1	1
I Brempt DEF		2	4	2
L Öztunali MID		4		2
A Suhonen MID		2	1	1
A Németh FWD		10

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1512	63	167
M Muheim	J Meffert	I Brempt

Line-up	passes	tackles	duels won
M Muheim DEF	1512	50	129
J Meffert MID	1487	63	125
D Hadzikadunic DEF	1483	21	109
S Schonlau DEF	1122	37	92
L Reis DEF	1039	56	123
I Pherai MID	513	23	87
R Glatzel FWD	480	11	106
M Dompé FWD	466	13	87
M Raab GLK	422		4
R Königsdörffer FWD	366	15	73
Łukasz Poręba MID	253	14	28
Subs
D Fernandes GLK	1074		5
I Brempt DEF	868	61	167
S Ambrosius DEF	846	33	92
M Heyer DEF	358	15	45
L Öztunali MID	215	2	20
A Suhonen MID	149	8	18
N Katterbach DEF	125	13	26
A Németh FWD	101	8	32
M Okugawa MID	46	4	8

St. Pauli Bundesliga 2 squad statistics 2023/2024

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
29	16	10	7
N Vasilj	M Hartel	M Hartel	J Irvine

Line-up	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
N Vasilj GLK	29			1 -
D Nemeth DEF	3			2 -
H Wahl DEF	28			3 -
K Mets DEF	27			1 1
M Saliakas MID	27	2	3	5 -
J Irvine MID	22	5	7	7 -
A Kemlein MID	12		2	2 -
C Metcalfe MID	25	3	4	5 -
O Afolayan MID	26	6	2	3 -
M Hartel MID	29	16	10	-
J Eggestein FWD	24	8	4	2 -
Subs
S Burchert GLK				1 -
A Dzwigala DEF	13			2 -
T. Scheller DEF	2			-
L Ritzka DEF	26	2		2 -
D Sinani MID	6			1 -
C Boukhalfa MID	14	1		-
E Saad FWD	27	7	1	6 -
E Amenyido FWD	16	1	2	-
A Albers FWD	14	1		-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
16	38	10	9
M Hartel	M Hartel	M Hartel	M Hartel

Line-up	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
M Hartel MID	16	38	10	9
J Eggestein FWD	8	23	4	5
O Afolayan MID	6	17	2	2
J Irvine MID	5	18	7	7
C Metcalfe MID	3	12	4	5
M Saliakas MID	2	10	3	6
N Vasilj GLK				1
H Wahl DEF		1		1
K Mets DEF		3		2
A Kemlein MID			2	3
Subs
E Saad FWD	7	20	1	6
L Ritzka DEF	2	6		1
C Boukhalfa MID	1	2
E Amenyido FWD	1	2	2
A Albers FWD	1	5		1
A Dzwigala DEF		2

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
2278	41	139
K Mets	M Saliakas	E Saad

Line-up	passes	tackles	duels won
K Mets DEF	2278	15	65
H Wahl DEF	1924	30	92
M Saliakas MID	1335	41	92
N Vasilj GLK	1324	1	13
M Hartel MID	1090	19	77
J Irvine MID	907	24	111
J Eggestein FWD	606	8	53
C Metcalfe MID	546	21	62
O Afolayan MID	460	17	122
A Kemlein MID	255	18	26
D Nemeth DEF	78	2	6
Subs
L Ritzka DEF	713	30	70
E Saad FWD	678	33	139
A Dzwigala DEF	604	19	36
A Albers FWD	87	3	30
E Amenyido FWD	78	4	21
D Sinani MID	47	1	1
C Boukhalfa MID	39	3	13
T. Scheller DEF	1		2