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Brescia v Spezia : Serie B match betting preview, prediction and odds

Mario Rigamonti, Brescia

Spezia are away from home on Saturday afternoon, as manager Luca D'Angelo takes his side to visit Brescia and Rolando Maran at the Mario Rigamonti in the Serie B. We want you to make a smart bet on this match, so we've sifted through our 20+ year database and pulled out the stats that matter the most. Head to head (H2H) and recent form are included, and these are used to generate our predictions. Odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers are there to ensure you get the best price.

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Brescia's next match is v Lecco at 14:00 on Sunday 5th May
Spezia's next match is v Cosenza at 14:00 on Sunday 5th May

The last Italian Serie B meeting between Brescia and Spezia was on Saturday 27th April 2024

Italian Serie B

April 27th 2024

Brescia 0	0 Spezia

	BSC SPE
Shots On	1 2
Shots Off	10 4
Corners	5 5
Possession	58% 42%
Fouls	19 19
Yellow/red cards	1/0 2/0

Brescia	Spezia

L. Lezzerini A. Cistana D. Adorni L. Dickmann A. Jallow N. Galazzi (M. Ferro 77') B. Bjarnason (M. Bertagnoli 46') D. Bisoli T. van de Looi (F. Paghera 65') M. Besaggio (M. Huard 65') F. Bianchi	J. Zoet D. Nikolaou P. Hristov A. Matějů (A. Reca 71') L. Vignali Á. Nagy S. Esposito (R. Kouda 56') F. Bandinelli (F. Jagiełło 84') G. Di Serio (D. Verde 56') D. Falcinelli (F. Esposito 83') S. Elia

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

There's 77% chance of Brescia and Spezia no more than 3 goals combined during this Serie B fixture according to our predictive algorithm and, without a strong favourite in the WDW market, we think that's where the smart money should go. Calculations are made based on 20-game form, historical head-to-head (H2H) statistics and the view of the betting market, and you can back it at 1.20.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Brescia are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 49% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.55.

Predictions	Bet365	Coral	Betfred	888Sport
Brescia 49%	19/10 16%	13/8 7%	-	-
Draw 26%	21/10 3%	15/8	-	-
Spezia 25%	13/8 13%	8/5 5%	-	-
Brescia 1-0 12%	7/1 14%	6/1	-	-
Draw 1-1 12%	5/1	19/4	-	-
Brescia 2-0 9%	12/1 18%	10/1 10%	-	-
Brescia 2-1 9%	10/1 10%	17/2 6%	-	-
Draw 0-0 8%	13/2 7%	11/2 7%	-	-
Spezia 1-0 8%	13/2 6%	6/1 7%	-	-
Spezia 2-1 6%	9/1 17%	8/1 5%	-	-
Brescia 3-0 5%	28/1 26%	20/1 11%	-	-
Brescia 3-1 5%	25/1 13%	16/1	-	-
Draw 2-2 5%	14/1 12%	11/1	-	-
Spezia 2-0 4%	11/1 8%	10/1 8%	-	-
Brescia 3-2 2%	40/1	22/1	-	-
Spezia 3-1 2%	22/1 21%	16/1 11%	-	-
Brescia 4-0 2%	66/1 31%	40/1 21%	-	-
Brescia 4-1 2%	50/1	33/1	-	-
Over 2.5 Goals 46%	5/4 4%	-	-	-
Under 2.5 Goals 54%	8/13 3%	-	-	-
Home 1st Goal 52%	6/5 20%	-	-	-
Away 1st Goal 42%	10/11 17%	-	-	-
No 1st Goal 5%	13/2 7%	-	-	-
BTTS - Yes 49%	19/20 3%	10/11	-	-
BTTS - No 51%	4/5 3%	4/5 2%	-	-
BTTS - Home Win 20%	11/2 8%	9/2 5%	-	-
BTTS - Draw 18%	10/3 4%	16/5	-	-
BTTS - Away Win 11%	5/1 14%	9/2 4%	-	-
Home/draw 75%	4/9 6%	4/9 3%	-	-
Away/draw 51%	2/5 7%	4/9 4%	-	-
Home/away 74%	4/11	4/11	-	-
Over 1.5 Goals 71%	2/5 3%	-	-	-
Under 1.5 Goals 29%	7/4 5%	-	-	-
Over 3.5 Goals 24%	3/1 11%	-	-	-
Under 3.5 Goals 76%	2/9 3%	-	-	-
Over 4.5 Goals 11%	9/1 9%	-	-	-
Under 4.5 Goals 89%	1/16 1%	-	-	-
Over 5.5 Goals 4%	20/1 9%	-	-	-
Under 5.5 Goals 96%	1/66	-	-	-
Over 0.5 Goals 92%	1/12 2%	-	-	-
Under 0.5 Goals 8%	13/2 7%	-	-	-
Home DNB 67%	10/11 10%	17/20 7%	-	-
Away DNB 43%	4/5 10%	5/6 9%	-	-
Brescia win to nil 29%	7/2 20%	-	-	-
Spezia win to nil 14%	3/1 11%	-	-	-
Brescia / Brescia 18%	15/4 10%	17/5 10%	-	-
Brescia / Spezia 3%	28/1 15%	22/1	-	-
Brescia / Draw 6%	14/1	11/1	-	-
Draw / Brescia 14%	5/1 9%	5/1 9%	-	-
Draw / Spezia 14%	5/1 8%	19/4 4%	-	-
Draw / Draw 18%	7/2 4%	3/1 5%	-	-
Spezia / Brescia 3%	28/1	22/1	-	-
Spezia / Spezia 19%	10/3 13%	10/3 6%	-	-
Spezia / Draw 6%	14/1	11/1	-	-

Win / draw / win Serie B table

Brescia have played 34 matches so far this season and lay in 7th place in the Serie B league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 22 games against teams below in the table, having won 8, drawn 11 and lost 3 matches. They have kept 7 clean sheets and have failed to score in 4 fixtures. Brescia have outscored their opponents by 38 goals to 31 goals.

Home League Performance

Brescia have played 17 games at home winning 6, drawing 7 and losing 4 games. They have scored 20 goals, kept 6 clean sheets and conceded 16 goals at home.

Spezia are in 17th position in the Serie B on 36 points having played 34 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

7 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 30 goals and kept 3 clean sheets. They have scored 16 goals in total and failed to score in 8 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

28 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 11 games, drawn 13 and won 4. Spezia have conceded 40 goals, scored 24, failed to score in 14 fixtures and have kept 7 clean sheets.

Brescia

Won

Draw

Lost

Scores

Spezia

HOME	AWAY	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY
l 0-2A	l 2-1F	Parma	36	21	11	4	31	74	l 0-1A	l 2-0A
w 2-0F	l 1-0A	Como 1907	36	21	8	7	18	71	l 0-1A	l 4-0A
d 0-00-0	l 2-0A	Venezia	36	20	7	9	23	67	May 10	l 1-0A
l 0-3A	l 1-0A	Cremonese	36	18	9	9	15	63	l 0-1A	l 3-0A
d 1-1A	w 2-3A	Catanzaro	36	17	9	10	12	60	d 1-1A	l 3-0A
w 4-2F	l 1-0A	Palermo	36	14	10	12	8	52	w 1-0F	d 2-2F
w 3-1F	d 1-1A	Sampdoria	36	14	9	13	0	49	d 0-00-0	l 2-1A
-	-	Brescia Home	36	11	15	10	3	48	d 0-00-0	d 0-00-0
d 1-1A	d 1-1A	Sudtirol	36	12	10	14	-1	46	w 2-1F	d 3-3F
d 0-00-0	d 1-1A	Reggiana	36	10	16	10	-6	46	l 1-2A	d 0-00-0
w 1-0F	w 1-2A	Cosenza	36	11	12	13	5	45	d 0-00-0	May 5
w 3-1F	d 1-1A	Pisa	36	11	12	13	-2	45	d 0-00-0	w 2-3F
w 2-0F	l 3-2F	Cittadella	36	11	12	13	-4	45	w 4-2A	l 4-1A
l 0-1A	w 1-2F	Modena	36	9	16	11	-7	43	d 1-1A	d 0-00-0
d 0-00-0	d 0-00-0	Spezia Away	36	8	16	12	-14	40	-	-
d 1-1A	d 1-1A	Ascoli	36	8	13	15	-5	37	w 2-1F	w 1-2F
d 0-00-0	w 0-1F	Ternana	36	9	10	17	-9	37	d 2-2A	d 1-1A
l 1-2F	May 10	Bari 1908	36	7	16	13	-13	37	w 1-0F	d 1-1F
d 1-1A	d 2-2F	Feralpisalo	36	8	9	19	-19	33	l 0-2A	w 1-2F
May 5	w 0-2F	Lecco	36	6	8	22	-35	26	d 1-1F	d 0-00-0

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Draw

HOME FORM
Brescia	0 - 0	Ternana
Brescia	3 - 1	Pisa
Brescia	1 - 1	Catanzaro
Brescia	4 - 2	Palermo
Brescia	0 - 0	Reggiana
Brescia	2 - 0	Cittadella
Brescia	1 - 1	Sudtirol
Brescia	0 - 2	Parma
Brescia	2 - 0	Como 1907
Brescia	3 - 1	Sampdoria
Brescia	0 - 3	Cremonese
Brescia	1 - 2	Bari 1908
Brescia	0 - 1	Modena
Brescia	1 - 1	Feralpisalo
Brescia	1 - 1	Ascoli
Brescia	0 - 0	Venezia
Brescia	1 - 0	Cosenza
Brescia	1 - 1	Cosenza
Brescia	1 - 1	Pisa
Brescia	2 - 1	Cosenza

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM
H	Brescia	0 - 0	Ternana
A	Brescia	0 - 2	Venezia
H	Brescia	3 - 1	Pisa
A	Brescia	2 - 1	Cosenza
H	Brescia	1 - 1	Catanzaro
A	Brescia	1 - 2	Parma
H	Brescia	4 - 2	Palermo
A	Brescia	1 - 1	Ascoli
H	Brescia	0 - 0	Reggiana
A	Brescia	1 - 1	Sampdoria
A	Brescia	0 - 1	Como 1907
H	Brescia	2 - 0	Cittadella
A	Brescia	0 - 1	Cremonese
H	Brescia	1 - 1	Sudtirol
A	Brescia	2 - 1	Modena
H	Brescia	0 - 2	Parma
A	Brescia	3 - 2	Catanzaro
H	Brescia	2 - 0	Como 1907
A	Brescia	1 - 1	Reggiana
H	Brescia	3 - 1	Sampdoria

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

10 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

10 / 20

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM
Parma	2 - 0	Spezia
Reggiana	0 - 0	Spezia
Bari 1908	1 - 1	Spezia
Modena	0 - 0	Spezia
Ternana	1 - 1	Spezia
Pisa	2 - 3	Spezia
Como 1907	4 - 0	Spezia
Cittadella	4 - 1	Spezia
Ascoli	1 - 2	Spezia
Sampdoria	2 - 1	Spezia
Lecco	0 - 0	Spezia
Cremonese	3 - 0	Spezia
Palermo	2 - 2	Spezia
Feralpisalo	1 - 2	Spezia
Venezia	1 - 0	Spezia
Catanzaro	3 - 0	Spezia
Sudtirol	3 - 3	Spezia
Roma	2 - 1	Spezia
Lecce	0 - 0	Spezia
Cremonese	2 - 0	Spezia

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

12 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

8 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM
H	Spezia	0 - 0	Sampdoria
A	Spezia	0 - 2	Parma
H	Spezia	1 - 1	Lecco
H	Spezia	2 - 1	Ascoli
A	Spezia	0 - 0	Reggiana
H	Spezia	2 - 1	Sudtirol
A	Spezia	1 - 1	Bari 1908
H	Spezia	0 - 2	Feralpisalo
A	Spezia	0 - 0	Modena
H	Spezia	4 - 2	Cittadella
A	Spezia	1 - 1	Ternana
H	Spezia	1 - 1	Catanzaro
A	Spezia	3 - 2	Pisa
H	Spezia	0 - 1	Cremonese
A	Spezia	0 - 4	Como 1907
H	Spezia	1 - 1	Modena
A	Spezia	1 - 4	Cittadella
H	Spezia	1 - 0	Bari 1908
A	Spezia	2 - 1	Ascoli
H	Spezia	0 - 1	Parma

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Brescia have drawn with Spezia in 4 consecutive home league meetings

Spezia have not lost to Brescia in 5 consecutive away league meetings

Brescia

Spezia

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

4 / 5

5 / 5

Clean sheets

0 / 5

1 / 5

SPE

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Brescia
Draw	4 - 4	Draw
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
	0 - 1	Spezia

Brescia

Spezia

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

8 / 11

9 / 11

Clean sheets

2 / 11

3 / 11

BSC

SPE

FIXTURE HISTORY
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Draw	4 - 4	Draw
Spezia	3 - 2
	0 - 1	Brescia
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Spezia	2 - 0
Spezia	2 - 1
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Spezia	4 - 1
	0 - 1	Spezia

Goal Statistics

	Brescia 8th	Spezia 15th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.5 goals	1.0 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 22% 1 33% 2 25% 3 13% 4+ There is a 78% probability that Brescia will score 1 or more goals	0 37% 1 37% 2 18% 3 4+ There is a 74% probability of Spezia scoring 1 goal or less

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-1 Brescia’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	-24 Spezia have scored 24% fewer goals when away than predicted
	1.2 average goals scored	0.9 average goals scored
	1.0 conceded	1.7 conceded

Statistics Serie B - 2023/2024 Season

19%

better

BSC

SPE

view stats

Games scored	24		19
Failed to score	12		17
Scored first	13		11
Goals scored	40		32
Avg. goals scored	1.1		0.9
Avg. shots per game	9		10
Avg. shots per goal	8		11
Conversion rate	13%		9%
KickOff rating		+19%

better

BSC

SPE

view stats

Games conceded	26		26
Clean sheets	10		10
Conceded first	18		17
Goals conceded	37		46
Avg. goals conceded	1		1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded	9		10
Avg. shots/goal conceded	9		8
Conversion rate	11%		13%
KickOff rating		+7%

Brescia v Spezia Serie B lLine ups will show here when available.

Brescia Serie B squad statistics 2023/2024

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
30	8	5	8
L Dickmann	G Moncini	N Galazzi	A Cistana

Line-up	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
L Lezzerini GLK	20			1 -
L Dickmann DEF	31	1	2	7 -
A Cistana DEF	18			8 -
D Adorni DEF	22	1		5 -
A Jallow DEF	20	2	1	3 -
D Bisoli MID	27	2	4	6 -
T Looi MID	25			5 -
M Besaggio MID	16			2 -
N Galazzi MID	28	3	5	6 -
B Bjarnason MID	32	4		3 -
F Bianchi FWD	33	3	1	1 -
Subs
M. Avella GLK	5			-
A Papetti DEF	29		2	2 -
M Huard DEF	15			3 -
M Mangraviti DEF	25			1 -
R. Cartano DEF				-
F Paghera MID	20	1	1	8 -
M Fares MID	16			5 -
R. Fogliata MID	12		1	1 -
M Bertagnoli MID	22	1		6 -
M. Ferro FWD	6			1 -
G Moncini FWD	32	8	1	2 -

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
8	24	5	7
G Moncini	G Moncini	N Galazzi	D Bisoli

Line-up	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
B Bjarnason MID	4	7		3
N Galazzi MID	3	8	5	3
F Bianchi FWD	3	17	1	2
A Jallow DEF	2	5	1	1
D Bisoli MID	2	9	4	7
L Dickmann DEF	1	6	2	2
D Adorni DEF	1	2
T Looi MID		5
M Besaggio MID		1		1
Subs
G Moncini FWD	8	24	1	3
M Bertagnoli MID	1	7		1
F Paghera MID	1	2	1	1
A Papetti DEF			2	2
M Huard DEF		1		1
M Mangraviti DEF		3
M Fares MID		1
R. Fogliata MID			1	1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1135	59	173
A Papetti	D Bisoli	D Bisoli

Line-up	passes	tackles	duels won
D Bisoli MID	1085	59	173
L Dickmann DEF	1020	50	123
A Cistana DEF	908	26	83
D Adorni DEF	862	28	87
T Looi MID	768	24	56
A Jallow DEF	566	30	71
N Galazzi MID	557	20	80
L Lezzerini GLK	553		8
B Bjarnason MID	486	14	67
F Bianchi FWD	414	17	81
M Besaggio MID	282	26	58
Subs
A Papetti DEF	1135	50	127
M Mangraviti DEF	1042	16	79
F Paghera MID	634	36	59
M Bertagnoli MID	466	39	76
G Moncini FWD	310	4	97
M Fares MID	255	11	27
M Huard DEF	221	11	36
R. Fogliata MID	157	17	32
M. Avella GLK	116		1
M. Ferro FWD	34	2	7

Spezia Serie B squad statistics 2023/2024

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
30	7	5	10
D Nikolaou	D Verde	S Esposito	D Nikolaou

Line-up	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
J Zoet GLK	20			-
A Mateju DEF	12	1		2 -
P Hristov DEF	14	3		3 -
D Nikolaou DEF	30		1	9 1
S Elia MID	27		1	5 -
S Esposito MID	32	1	5	7 -
Ádám Nagy MID	11			3 -
L Vignali MID	12	1	1	1 -
F Bandinelli MID	28		1	5 -
G Serio FWD	5	2		-
D Falcinelli FWD	12		2	2 -
Subs
P Zovko GLK				-
I Gelashvili DEF	9	1		2 -
N Bertola DEF	14	1		5 -
P Wisniewski DEF				-
G Tanco DEF	5			1 -
A Reca DEF	11	2		1 -
P Candelari MID	8			2 -
R. Kouda MID	22	2	2	7 -
F Jagiełło MID	11	1	1	-
L Moro FWD	25	4		3 -
D Verde FWD	25	7		3 -
F. Esposito FWD	33	2		3 -

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
7	25	5	6
D Verde	D Verde	S Esposito	S Esposito

Line-up	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
P Hristov DEF	3	5
G Serio FWD	2	2
A Mateju DEF	1	4
S Esposito MID	1	9	5	6
L Vignali MID	1	2	1	1
D Nikolaou DEF		1	1
S Elia MID		4	1	2
F Bandinelli MID		8	1	2
D Falcinelli FWD		7	2	1
Subs
D Verde FWD	7	25		4
L Moro FWD	4	7		1
A Reca DEF	2	5		1
R. Kouda MID	2	13	2	2
F. Esposito FWD	2	10		1
I Gelashvili DEF	1	1
N Bertola DEF	1	3
F Jagiełło MID	1	2	1	2
G Tanco DEF		1
P Candelari MID		3

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1996	58	203
S Esposito	S Esposito	S Esposito

Line-up	passes	tackles	duels won
S Esposito MID	1996	58	203
D Nikolaou DEF	1484	43	124
F Bandinelli MID	888	39	115
S Elia MID	569	52	133
P Hristov DEF	554	9	72
J Zoet GLK	507		7
A Mateju DEF	489	22	65
Ádám Nagy MID	384	17	33
L Vignali MID	211	12	26
D Falcinelli FWD	147	7	53
G Serio FWD	43	1	21
Subs
D Verde FWD	714	4	56
N Bertola DEF	495	23	43
R. Kouda MID	386	20	95
F. Esposito FWD	360	9	121
A Reca DEF	286	16	45
F Jagiełło MID	285	10	26
I Gelashvili DEF	206	7	17
L Moro FWD	186	9	66
G Tanco DEF	64	8	12
P Candelari MID	42	5	16