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Albirex Niigata v Tokyo : J-League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Denka Big Swan Stadium, Niigata

Saturday morning sees Rikizo Matsuhashi’s Albirex Niigata and Peter Cklamovski’s Tokyo go head to head in a J-League clash at the Denka Big Swan Stadium. Statistics drive the algorithmic predictions below for all the markets, and changing between them shows bespoke analysis, including head-to-head, form and unique league tables. Odds from leading bookmakers are also provided. Hit the tabs below to find out more.

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The last Japanese J-League meeting between Albirex and Tokyo was on Saturday 27th April 2024

Japanese J-League

April 27th 2024

Albirex 1	3 Tokyo

F. Hayakawa 90'	39' T. Nakagawa
	49' K. Shirai
	62' D. Queiroz de Oliveira

	ALB TOK
Shots On	4 6
Shots Off	6 3
Corners	6 2
Possession	64% 36%
Fouls	10 12
Yellow/red cards	3/0

Albirex	Tokyo

R. Kojima K. Chiba (S. Ota 63') F. Hayakawa M. Fitzgerald Y. Takagi (M. Hasegawa 73') S. Fujiwara E. Matsuda (T. Hasegawa 73') E. Miyamoto H. Akiyama Y. Komi (H. Inamura 63') K. Taniguchi (Y. Ono 63')	G. Hatano (R. Nozawa 81') K. Bangunagande H. de Souza Trevisan K. Doi K. Shirai (D. Queiroz de Oliveira 19') T. Terayama (Y. Nagatomo 68') K. Tawaratsumida K. Koizumi S. Anzai (R. Harakawa 81') T. Ko (R. Sato 68') T. Nakagawa

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

It's our view that there's not a clear favourite to win this match, but does appear clear is that the odds suggest it'll have 3 goals or less. Our statistical analysis draws the same conclusion. Albirex and Tokyo have served up a host of under 3.5 goal games of late, and key performance stats point towards an extension of that record. We feel confident predicting under 3.5 goals on Saturday morning, and the bookies have it priced at 1.25.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Albirex are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 40% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.25.

Predictions	Bet365	Coral	Betfred	888Sport
Albirex 40%	11/8 3%	23/20 2%	-	-
Draw 26%	23/10 2%	21/10 3%	-	-
Tokyo 34%	21/10	2/1	-	-
Draw 1-1 13%	5/1	5/1	-	-
Albirex 1-0 10%	13/2	11/2	-	-
Tokyo 1-0 9%	8/1	7/1	-	-
Albirex 2-1 9%	17/2	15/2	-	-
Tokyo 2-1 8%	10/1	9/1	-	-
Draw 0-0 7%	8/1	13/2	-	-
Albirex 2-0 7%	10/1	8/1	-	-
Tokyo 2-0 6%	14/1	12/1	-	-
Draw 2-2 5%	14/1	12/1	-	-
Albirex 3-1 4%	20/1 11%	14/1	-	-
Albirex 3-0 3%	20/1	14/1	-	-
Tokyo 3-1 3%	25/1	18/1 10%	-	-
Albirex 3-2 2%	28/1	20/1	-	-
Tokyo 3-0 2%	33/1	22/1	-	-
Tokyo 3-2 2%	33/1	25/1	-	-
Over 2.5 Goals 48%	11/10 2%	-	-	-
Under 2.5 Goals 52%	7/10 3%	-	-	-
Home 1st Goal 49%	4/5 4%	-	-	-
Away 1st Goal 46%	13/10	-	-	-
No 1st Goal 5%	8/1	-	-	-
BTTS - Yes 53%	10/11 6%	17/20 3%	-	-
BTTS - No 47%	10/11 2%	5/6 2%	-	-
BTTS - Home Win 18%	4/1	18/5	-	-
BTTS - Draw 19%	7/2	17/5 4%	-	-
BTTS - Away Win 16%	11/2	5/1 8%	-	-
Home/draw 66%	4/11	7/20 2%	-	-
Away/draw 60%	8/15 3%	8/13 2%	-	-
Home/away 74%	1/3	1/3 2%	-	-
Over 1.5 Goals 73%	4/11 2%	-	-	-
Under 1.5 Goals 27%	2/1 8%	-	-	-
Over 3.5 Goals 26%	11/4	-	-	-
Under 3.5 Goals 74%	1/4	-	-	-
Over 4.5 Goals 12%	7/1	-	-	-
Under 4.5 Goals 88%	1/12	-	-	-
Over 5.5 Goals 5%	18/1 12%	-	-	-
Under 5.5 Goals 95%	1/50	-	-	-
Over 0.5 Goals 93%	1/14	-	-	-
Under 0.5 Goals 7%	8/1	-	-	-
Home DNB 59%	4/6 3%	3/5 2%	-	-
Away DNB 52%	11/10 5%	6/5 2%	-	-
Albirex win to nil 22%	11/4	-	-	-
Tokyo win to nil 18%	4/1	-	-	-
Albirex / Albirex 21%	3/1 7%	13/5 3%	-	-
Albirex / Tokyo 3%	28/1	25/1	-	-
Albirex / Draw 6%	14/1	11/1 8%	-	-
Draw / Albirex 15%	9/2	4/1	-	-
Draw / Tokyo 12%	11/2	11/2	-	-
Draw / Draw 17%	15/4 5%	7/2 2%	-	-
Tokyo / Albirex 3%	25/1	20/1	-	-
Tokyo / Tokyo 16%	4/1	4/1	-	-
Tokyo / Draw 6%	14/1	12/1	-	-

Win / draw / win J-League table

Albirex have played 9 matches so far this season and are in 11th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

4 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 2 games, drawn 1 and won 1. Albirex have conceded 3 goals, scored 2, failed to score in 2 matches and kept 1 clean sheet.

Home league performance

Albirex have played 4 games at home, winning 1, drawing 2 and losing 1 fixture. They have scored 3 goals, conceded 3 goals, kept 1 clean sheet and failed to score 1 time in home league games.

Tokyo lay in 10th place on 12 points in the J-League league table having played 9 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 4 games against teams below them in the table, winning 2, drawing 1 and losing 1 game. They have scored 7 goals and kept 0 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Tokyo have conceded 7 goals and have failed to score in 1 match.

Away league performance

Tokyo have played 4 away games, winning 1, drawing 2 and losing 1 game. They have scored an average of 1.8 goals per away game and conceded an average 2 goals per away game.

Albirex

Won

Draw

Lost

Scores

Tokyo

HOME	AWAY	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY
Aug 25	Jun 1	Machida	11	7	1	3	5	22	l 1-2A	Nov 9
Sep 21	May 6	Vissel Kobe	11	6	2	3	9	20	l 1-2F	Oct 19
l 0-1A	Jul 20	Cerezo	11	5	5	1	6	20	Dec 8	d 2-2A
d 1-1A	Jun 26	Hiroshima	11	4	7	0	9	19	d 1-1A	Aug 31
Oct 5	Jun 16	Kashima	11	6	1	4	3	19	w 2-0F	Jul 20
l 1-3A	Jul 13	Tokyo Away	11	5	3	3	3	18	-	-
May 15	Oct 19	Yokohama FM	10	4	4	2	3	16	May 19	Sep 28
w 1-0F	Aug 31	Nagoya	11	5	1	5	-2	16	Sep 14	May 15
May 25	Aug 17	Avispa	11	3	6	2	0	15	Jun 30	w 1-3F
Nov 30	l 1-0A	Gamba Osaka	11	4	3	4	-1	15	May 26	Aug 7
Aug 7	l 2-0A	Jubilo Iwata	11	4	2	5	2	14	Jun 16	Nov 30
May 11	Dec 8	Urawa Reds	11	4	2	5	-1	14	w 2-1A	Sep 21
d 1-1A	Nov 9	Kashiwa	10	3	5	2	-1	14	May 11	Jul 6
Nov 3	d 2-2A	Tokyo Verdy	11	2	7	2	1	13	Aug 17	d 2-2A
-	-	Albirex Home	11	3	4	4	-3	13	Jul 13	w 1-3F
Jun 22	Sep 28	Kawasaki	11	3	3	5	1	12	Aug 11	l 3-0A
Aug 12	w 0-1F	Kyoto Sanga	11	2	3	6	-6	9	w 2-1F	Aug 24
Jul 6	w 1-2A	Sagan Tosu	11	2	2	7	-9	8	Oct 5	May 31
d 1-1A	Jun 29	Sapporo	11	1	5	5	-11	8	Jun 26	May 6
Sep 14	May 19	Shonan	11	1	4	6	-8	7	Nov 3	Jun 22

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

HOME FORM
Albirex	1 - 1	Sapporo
Albirex	0 - 1	Cerezo
Albirex	1 - 1	Kashiwa
Albirex	1 - 0	Nagoya
Albirex	1 - 0	Cerezo
Albirex	0 - 0	Tokyo
Albirex	1 - 1	Sagan Tosu
Albirex	3 - 1	Yokohama
Albirex	1 - 1	Urawa Reds
Albirex	2 - 2	Shonan
Albirex	0 - 1	Vissel Kobe
Albirex	2 - 0	Hiroshima
Albirex	1 - 3	Kyoto Sanga
Albirex	1 - 3	Gamba Osaka
Albirex	2 - 1	Yokohama FM
Albirex	0 - 0	Kashiwa
Albirex	0 - 2	Kashima
Albirex	3 - 2	Avispa
Albirex	1 - 3	Nagoya
Albirex	1 - 0	Kawasaki

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Draw

OVERALL FORM
A	Albirex	1 - 0	Kyoto Sanga
H	Albirex	1 - 1	Sapporo
H	Albirex	0 - 1	Cerezo
A	Albirex	0 - 2	Jubilo Iwata
H	Albirex	1 - 1	Kashiwa
A	Albirex	2 - 2	Tokyo Verdy
H	Albirex	1 - 0	Nagoya
A	Albirex	0 - 1	Gamba Osaka
A	Albirex	2 - 1	Sagan Tosu
H	Albirex	1 - 0	Cerezo
A	Albirex	0 - 0	Yokohama FM
H	Albirex	0 - 0	Tokyo
A	Albirex	1 - 0	Kyoto Sanga
H	Albirex	1 - 1	Sagan Tosu
A	Albirex	3 - 2	Kawasaki
H	Albirex	3 - 1	Yokohama
A	Albirex	1 - 1	Gamba Osaka
H	Albirex	1 - 1	Urawa Reds
A	Albirex	0 - 2	Kashima
A	Albirex	1 - 0	Avispa

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

11 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

9 / 20

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM
Tokyo Verdy	2 - 2	Tokyo
Kawasaki	3 - 0	Tokyo
Avispa	1 - 3	Tokyo
Cerezo	2 - 2	Tokyo
Shonan	0 - 1	Tokyo
Albirex	0 - 0	Tokyo
Yokohama	1 - 0	Tokyo
Kawasaki	1 - 0	Tokyo
Yokohama FM	2 - 1	Tokyo
Cerezo	0 - 1	Tokyo
Urawa Reds	0 - 0	Tokyo
Gamba Osaka	3 - 1	Tokyo
Vissel Kobe	3 - 2	Tokyo
Kashima	1 - 1	Tokyo
Sapporo	5 - 1	Tokyo
Avispa	1 - 0	Tokyo
Hiroshima	1 - 2	Tokyo
Sagan Tosu	1 - 0	Tokyo
Nagoya	0 - 0	Tokyo
Kyoto Sanga	2 - 0	Tokyo

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM
H	Tokyo	1 - 2	Machida
A	Tokyo	2 - 2	Tokyo Verdy
H	Tokyo	2 - 0	Kashima
H	Tokyo	2 - 1	Urawa Reds
A	Tokyo	0 - 3	Kawasaki
A	Tokyo	3 - 1	Avispa
H	Tokyo	1 - 2	Vissel Kobe
H	Tokyo	1 - 1	Hiroshima
A	Tokyo	2 - 2	Cerezo
A	Tokyo	1 - 0	Shonan
H	Tokyo	1 - 3	Sapporo
A	Tokyo	0 - 0	Albirex
H	Tokyo	1 - 2	Hiroshima
A	Tokyo	0 - 1	Yokohama
H	Tokyo	3 - 0	Gamba Osaka
H	Tokyo	3 - 2	Sagan Tosu
A	Tokyo	0 - 1	Kawasaki
H	Tokyo	1 - 2	Avispa
H	Tokyo	2 - 2	Vissel Kobe
A	Tokyo	1 - 2	Yokohama FM

Goal Statistics

Goals have been difficult to come by for Albirex Niigata of late. It has been 5 J-League games since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.4 suggests they'll have problems ending that run on Saturday morning against Tokyo.

	Albirex 14th	Tokyo 8th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.4 goals	1.2 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 25% 1 35% 2 24% 3 11% 4+ There is a 60% probability that Albirex will score no more than 1 goal	0 29% 1 36% 2 22% 3 9% 4+ There is a 65% probability that Tokyo will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-23 Albirex have scored 23% fewer goals at home than predicted	-23 Tokyo have scored 23% fewer goals when away than predicted
	1.1 average goals scored	0.9 average goals scored
	1.2 conceded	1.5 conceded

Statistics J-League - 2024/2024 Season

ALB

TOK

41%

better

view stats

Games scored	8		10
Failed to score	3		1
Scored first	2		5
Goals scored	10		19
Avg. goals scored	0.9		1.7
Avg. shots per game	9		8
Avg. shots per goal	10		5
Conversion rate	10%		21%
KickOff rating		+41%

12%

better

ALB

TOK

view stats

Games conceded	9		10
Clean sheets	2		1
Conceded first	9		6
Goals conceded	13		16
Avg. goals conceded	1.2		1.5
Avg. shots/game conceded	10		11
Avg. shots/goal conceded	8		7
Conversion rate	12%		14%
KickOff rating		+12%

Albirex v Tokyo J-League lLine ups will show here when available.

Albirex J-League squad statistics 2024

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
8	2	2	1
R Kojima	K Taniguchi	Y Takagi	S Fujiwara

Line-up	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
R Kojima GLK	8			-
S Fujiwara DEF	7			1 -
M Fitzgerald DEF	6			1 -
K Chiba DEF	1	1		-
F Hayakawa DEF	5			-
E Miyamoto MID	6		1	1 -
H Akiyama MID	8	1	1	-
E Matsuda MID	7			-
Y Takagi MID	6		2	1 -
Y Komi MID	8		1	1 -
K Taniguchi FWD	8	2		-
Subs
K Abe GLK				-
T Hasegawa DEF	1			-
H Inamura DEF				-
M Hasegawa MID	8	1		-
Y Shimada MID	3			1 -
Y Ono MID	1			-
S Ota FWD	4			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
2	5	2	2
K Taniguchi	Y Komi	Y Takagi	E Matsuda

Line-up	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
K Taniguchi FWD	2	3
H Akiyama MID	1	2	1
K Chiba DEF	1	1
F Hayakawa DEF		2
E Miyamoto MID		1	1
E Matsuda MID		4		2
Y Takagi MID			2	1
Y Komi MID		5	1	2
Subs
M Hasegawa MID	1	3		1
T Hasegawa DEF		1
S Ota FWD		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
774	17	41
H Akiyama	S Fujiwara	S Fujiwara

Line-up	passes	tackles	duels won
H Akiyama MID	774	10	30
M Fitzgerald DEF	548	7	21
E Miyamoto MID	410	10	33
S Fujiwara DEF	364	17	41
R Kojima GLK	318		4
E Matsuda MID	214	4	18
F Hayakawa DEF	190	5	16
Y Komi MID	184	3	14
Y Takagi MID	166	3	18
K Taniguchi FWD	118	2	10
K Chiba DEF	95	1	6
Subs
Y Shimada MID	188	2	9
M Hasegawa MID	187	1	21
S Ota FWD	82	4	7
T Hasegawa DEF	48	1	2
Y Ono MID	25		1

Tokyo J-League squad statistics 2024

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
8	1	2	2
K Bangnagande	K Bangnagande	K Bangnagande	H Trevisan

Line-up	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
G Hatano GLK	6			1
K Shirai DEF	4		1	1 -
K Doi DEF	4			1 -
H Trevisan DEF	6			1 1
K Bangnagande DEF	8	1	2	-
T Ko MID	5			-
T Terayama MID				-
K Koizumi MID	8	1		2 -
S Anzai FWD	5			2 -
T Nakagawa FWD	8	1	1	-
K Tawaratsumida FWD	7		1	-
Subs
T Kodama GLK				-
M Morishige DEF	4			1 -
Y Nagatomo DEF	6	1		1 -
R Harakawa MID	5	1		-
R Sato MID				-
D Oliveira FWD	4			-
L Nozawa FWD				-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
1	2	2	2
K Bangnagande	T Nakagawa	K Bangnagande	H Trevisan

Line-up	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
K Bangnagande DEF	1	1	2	1
K Koizumi MID	1	1
T Nakagawa FWD	1	2	1	1
K Shirai DEF		1	1	1
H Trevisan DEF				2
K Tawaratsumida FWD		1	1	1
Subs
Y Nagatomo DEF	1	1
R Harakawa MID	1	1
D Oliveira FWD		2

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
320	17	53
H Trevisan	K Bangnagande	H Trevisan

Line-up	passes	tackles	duels won
H Trevisan DEF	320	14	53
K Koizumi MID	314	13	20
T Ko MID	302	16	28
K Bangnagande DEF	270	17	51
K Doi DEF	204	3	9
G Hatano GLK	182		7
T Nakagawa FWD	116	4	20
K Shirai DEF	81	3	10
K Tawaratsumida FWD	77	3	16
S Anzai FWD	64	7	17
T Terayama MID	6	1	2
Subs
M Morishige DEF	199	9	29
Y Nagatomo DEF	131	7	13
R Harakawa MID	60	5	8
D Oliveira FWD	50		16

Japanese J-League match betting previews, predictions and odds

Albirex Niigata v Tokyo : J-League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Albirex have played 9 matches so far this season and are in 11th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

Home league performance

Tokyo lay in 10th place on 12 points in the J-League league table having played 9 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

Away league performance

Albirex v Tokyo J-League lLine ups will show here when available.

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