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Kashiwa Reysol v Sagan Tosu : J-League match betting preview, prediction and odds

SANKYO FRONTIER Kashiwa Stadium, Kashiwa

Sunday morning sees Masami Ihara’s Kashiwa Reysol and Kenta Kawai’s Sagan Tosu go up against one another in a J-League clash at the SANKYO FRONTIER Kashiwa Stadium. Our aim is to give you all the tools you need to make a smart, well-informed bet on this tie, so we've delved into our extensive database and pulled out the stats that will help you do exactly that. Head to head (H2H) and recent form is included, and it all goes into our algorithmic predictions. Odds from leading bookmakers are there to ensure you get the best price.

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The last Japanese J-League meeting between Kashiwa and Sagan Tosu was on Sunday 28th April 2024

Japanese J-League

April 28th 2024

Kashiwa 1	1 Sagan Tosu

T. Shimamura 40'	14' M. Silvestre

	KAS SAG
Shots On	6 1
Shots Off	9 1
Corners	8 3
Possession	49% 51%
Fouls	11 12
Yellow/red cards	2/0 2/0

Kashiwa	Sagan Tosu

K. Matsumoto D. Jara Rodrigues T. Koga N. Kawaguchi T. Inukai T. Koyamatsu (K. Kinoshita 63') M. Gonçalves Sávio (Y. Muto 73') T. Shimamura (S. Toshima 73') E. Shirai T. Tsuchiya (O. Yamamoto 85') Y. Yamada	I. Park (Y. Horigome 75') T. Kikuchi (K. Ueebisu 46') S. Nagasawa (A. Yokoyama 67') Y. Maruhashi T. Kim K. Yamazaki Y. Naganuma K. Tezuka S. Kawahara (V. Vasconcelos Araújo 83') C. Togashi (K. Sakaiya 67') M. Silvestre

Best Tip: Kashiwa to win

We think there's an outright winner in this match, and it's Kashiwa. Their recent form statistics show their ability at home, and historical head-to-head (H2H) data proves they can get the job done against Sagan Tosu too. The odds point towards Masami Ihara's side winning in the win / draw / win market, and that's definitely our prediction for Sunday morning too.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Kashiwa are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 61% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.73.

Predictions	Bet365	Coral	Betfred	888Sport
Kashiwa 61%	8/11 4%	7/10	-	-
Draw 22%	5/2	5/2	-	-
Sagan Tosu 16%	4/1 11%	3/1 5%	-	-
Kashiwa 1-0 13%	6/1 8%	11/2	-	-
Kashiwa 2-0 12%	7/1	13/2	-	-
Draw 1-1 11%	6/1 8%	11/2	-	-
Kashiwa 2-1 10%	15/2	13/2	-	-
Kashiwa 3-0 7%	12/1 13%	11/1 9%	-	-
Draw 0-0 7%	9/1 5%	8/1	-	-
Kashiwa 3-1 6%	12/1 13%	11/1	-	-
Sagan Tosu 1-0 6%	12/1 8%	9/1	-	-
Sagan Tosu 2-1 4%	14/1	11/1	-	-
Draw 2-2 4%	14/1	12/1	-	-
Kashiwa 4-0 3%	25/1 10%	18/1	-	-
Kashiwa 4-1 3%	28/1 15%	20/1	-	-
Kashiwa 3-2 2%	25/1 10%	18/1	-	-
Sagan Tosu 2-0 2%	25/1 13%	16/1	-	-
Kashiwa 5-0 1%	50/1	33/1	-	-
Over 2.5 Goals 50%	17/20 8%	-	-	-
Under 2.5 Goals 50%	19/20 8%	-	-	-
Home 1st Goal 58%	1/2	-	-	-
Away 1st Goal 38%	15/8	-	-	-
No 1st Goal 4%	9/1 5%	-	-	-
BTTS - Yes 47%	4/5 6%	5/6 1%	-	-
BTTS - No 53%	19/20 2%	17/20	-	-
BTTS - Home Win 25%	11/4 6%	13/5	-	-
BTTS - Draw 15%	15/4	19/5	-	-
BTTS - Away Win 7%	17/2 6%	13/2 6%	-	-
Home/draw 84%	1/6 1%	1/5	-	-
Away/draw 39%	21/20 5%	1/1 2%	-	-
Home/away 78%	2/7	1/4	-	-
Over 1.5 Goals 75%	1/4 4%	-	-	-
Under 1.5 Goals 25%	11/4 10%	-	-	-
Over 3.5 Goals 28%	2/1 14%	-	-	-
Under 3.5 Goals 72%	4/11 5%	-	-	-
Over 4.5 Goals 13%	5/1 14%	-	-	-
Under 4.5 Goals 87%	1/8 2%	-	-	-
Over 5.5 Goals 5%	12/1 13%	-	-	-
Under 5.5 Goals 95%	1/25 1%	-	-	-
Over 0.5 Goals 93%	1/20 1%	-	-	-
Under 0.5 Goals 7%	10/1 16%	-	-	-
Home DNB 77%	2/7 1%	3/10	-	-
Away DNB 32%	5/2 3%	11/5 2%	-	-
Kashiwa win to nil 37%	2/1	-	-	-
Sagan Tosu win to nil 9%	8/1 13%	-	-	-
Kashiwa / Kashiwa 29%	7/4 5%	7/4 2%	-	-
Kashiwa / Sagan Tosu 3%	33/1	28/1	-	-
Kashiwa / Draw 6%	14/1	12/1	-	-
Draw / Kashiwa 18%	7/2	17/5 2%	-	-
Draw / Sagan Tosu 9%	17/2 6%	15/2 6%	-	-
Draw / Draw 15%	9/2 10%	17/4 5%	-	-
Sagan Tosu / Kashiwa 4%	20/1 9%	18/1	-	-
Sagan Tosu / Sagan Tosu 11%	7/1 7%	6/1	-	-
Sagan Tosu / Draw 6%	14/1	12/1	-	-

Win / draw / win J-League table

Kashiwa have played 8 matches so far this season and lay in 10th place in the J-League league table. Kashiwa are unbeaten in 4 games against teams below them in the league and kept 1 clean sheet out of 4 games.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 4 games against teams below in the table, having won 1, drawn 3 and lost no matches. They have kept 1 clean sheet and have scored in every game. They have been outscored by their opponents by 11 goals to 7 goals.

Home League Performance

Kashiwa have played 4 games at home winning 1, drawing 2 and losing 1 game. They have scored 3 goals, kept 1 clean sheet and conceded 4 goals at home.

Sagan Tosu are in 19th position in the J-League on 7 points having played 9 matches so far this season. Sagan Tosu have a terrible away record they have lost every game and didn't score in 2 games.

Away League Performance

4 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 12 goals and kept no clean sheets. They have scored 2 goals in total and failed to score in 2 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

8 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 6 games, drawn 1 and won 1. Sagan Tosu have conceded 18 goals, scored 7, failed to score in 4 fixtures and have kept 1 clean sheet.

Kashiwa

Won

Draw

Lost

Scores

Sagan Tosu

HOME	AWAY	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY
Oct 19	l 2-0A	Machida	11	7	1	3	5	22	Nov 3	l 3-1A
Nov 30	w 0-1F	Vissel Kobe	11	6	2	3	9	20	d 0-00-0	Aug 25
d 1-1A	Sep 28	Cerezo	11	5	5	1	6	20	l 0-2A	Jun 26
Jun 22	Aug 25	Hiroshima	11	4	7	0	9	19	Jul 21	l 4-0A
May 6	Sep 21	Kashima	11	6	1	4	3	19	w 4-2A	Aug 7
Jul 6	May 11	Tokyo	11	5	3	3	3	18	May 31	Oct 5
Oct 5	May 29	Yokohama FM	10	4	4	2	3	16	Nov 9	Jul 3
l 0-2A	Jul 14	Nagoya	11	5	1	5	-2	16	May 18	Nov 30
Jun 2	Nov 3	Avispa	11	3	6	2	0	15	Sep 28	Jun 16
Aug 11	Jun 16	Gamba Osaka	11	4	3	4	-1	15	Jul 14	l 2-1F
Sep 14	w 0-1F	Jubilo Iwata	11	4	2	5	2	14	Dec 8	May 11
w 1-0F	Aug 7	Urawa Reds	11	4	2	5	-1	14	Aug 11	l 3-0A
-	-	Kashiwa Home	10	3	5	2	-1	14	Jun 30	d 1-1F
Aug 31	d 1-1A	Tokyo Verdy	11	2	7	2	1	13	l 0-2A	Sep 21
Nov 9	d 1-1F	Albirex	11	3	4	4	-3	13	l 1-2F	Jul 6
Jul 20	May 25	Kawasaki	11	3	3	5	1	12	May 15	Sep 14
d 1-1F	Jun 26	Kyoto Sanga	11	2	3	6	-6	9	Jun 22	Oct 19
d 1-1A	Jun 30	Sagan Tosu Away	11	2	2	7	-9	8	-	-
May 19	Dec 8	Sapporo	11	1	5	5	-11	8	w 4-0F	Aug 16
May 15	Aug 17	Shonan	11	1	4	6	-8	7	Aug 31	May 6

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Draw

Lost

HOME FORM
Kashiwa	1 - 0	Urawa Reds
Kashiwa	1 - 1	Cerezo
Kashiwa	0 - 2	Nagoya
Kashiwa	1 - 1	Kyoto Sanga
Kashiwa	2 - 2	Sagan Tosu
Kashiwa	1 - 1	Kawasaki
Kashiwa	1 - 3	Avispa
Kashiwa	2 - 0	Yokohama FM
Kashiwa	0 - 0	Hiroshima
Kashiwa	1 - 1	Cerezo
Kashiwa	1 - 1	Shonan
Kashiwa	0 - 0	Albirex
Kashiwa	4 - 5	Sapporo
Kashiwa	1 - 1	Vissel Kobe
Kashiwa	0 - 1	Yokohama
Kashiwa	1 - 1	Kyoto Sanga
Kashiwa	1 - 0	Kashima
Kashiwa	0 - 3	Urawa Reds
Kashiwa	0 - 3	Nagoya
Kashiwa	1 - 1	Tokyo

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Draw

OVERALL FORM
H	Kashiwa	1 - 0	Urawa Reds
A	Kashiwa	1 - 1	Tokyo Verdy
H	Kashiwa	1 - 1	Cerezo
A	Kashiwa	1 - 1	Albirex
H	Kashiwa	0 - 2	Nagoya
A	Kashiwa	1 - 0	Jubilo Iwata
A	Kashiwa	1 - 0	Vissel Kobe
H	Kashiwa	1 - 1	Kyoto Sanga
A	Kashiwa	0 - 0	Nagoya
H	Kashiwa	2 - 2	Sagan Tosu
A	Kashiwa	1 - 1	Kashima
H	Kashiwa	1 - 1	Kawasaki
A	Kashiwa	0 - 2	Urawa Reds
A	Kashiwa	2 - 1	Sapporo
H	Kashiwa	1 - 3	Avispa
A	Kashiwa	2 - 1	Yokohama
H	Kashiwa	2 - 0	Yokohama FM
H	Kashiwa	0 - 0	Hiroshima
A	Kashiwa	1 - 1	Vissel Kobe
H	Kashiwa	1 - 1	Cerezo

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM
Gamba Osaka	2 - 1	Sagan Tosu
Urawa Reds	3 - 0	Sagan Tosu
Machida	3 - 1	Sagan Tosu
Hiroshima	4 - 0	Sagan Tosu
Kashiwa	2 - 2	Sagan Tosu
Nagoya	1 - 1	Sagan Tosu
Albirex	1 - 1	Sagan Tosu
Tokyo	3 - 2	Sagan Tosu
Yokohama FM	1 - 1	Sagan Tosu
Kashima	2 - 1	Sagan Tosu
Sapporo	1 - 1	Sagan Tosu
Vissel Kobe	2 - 1	Sagan Tosu
Shonan	0 - 6	Sagan Tosu
Yokohama	1 - 2	Sagan Tosu
Avispa	0 - 0	Sagan Tosu
Urawa Reds	0 - 2	Sagan Tosu
Kawasaki	1 - 0	Sagan Tosu
Kyoto Sanga	2 - 3	Sagan Tosu
Hiroshima	1 - 0	Sagan Tosu
Cerezo	2 - 1	Sagan Tosu

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

18 / 20

Clean sheets

2 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM
H	Sagan Tosu	4 - 2	Kashima
A	Sagan Tosu	1 - 2	Gamba Osaka
A	Sagan Tosu	0 - 3	Urawa Reds
H	Sagan Tosu	0 - 0	Vissel Kobe
A	Sagan Tosu	1 - 3	Machida
H	Sagan Tosu	0 - 2	Cerezo
A	Sagan Tosu	0 - 4	Hiroshima
H	Sagan Tosu	4 - 0	Sapporo
H	Sagan Tosu	1 - 2	Albirex
H	Sagan Tosu	0 - 1	Kawasaki
A	Sagan Tosu	2 - 2	Kashiwa
H	Sagan Tosu	1 - 3	Yokohama
A	Sagan Tosu	1 - 1	Nagoya
A	Sagan Tosu	1 - 1	Albirex
H	Sagan Tosu	3 - 2	Kyoto Sanga
A	Sagan Tosu	2 - 3	Tokyo
A	Sagan Tosu	1 - 1	Yokohama FM
H	Sagan Tosu	0 - 2	Hiroshima
H	Sagan Tosu	1 - 1	Gamba Osaka
A	Sagan Tosu	1 - 2	Kashima

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Sagan Tosu have not lost to Kashiwa in 5 consecutive away league meetings

Kashiwa

Sagan Tosu

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

5 / 5

Clean sheets

0 / 5

SAG

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Kashiwa
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
	1 - 4	Sagan Tosu
	1 - 3	Sagan Tosu
	1 - 2	Sagan Tosu
Draw	1 - 1	Draw

Kashiwa

Sagan Tosu

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

9 / 10

Clean sheets

1 / 10

KAS

SAG

FIXTURE HISTORY
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
	0 - 1	Kashiwa
	1 - 4	Sagan Tosu
	1 - 3	Sagan Tosu
Sagan Tosu	2 - 0
	1 - 2	Sagan Tosu
Sagan Tosu	2 - 1
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
	1 - 2	Kashiwa

Goal Statistics

	Kashiwa 13th	Sagan Tosu 18th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.8 goals	0.8 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 16% 1 29% 2 27% 3 17% 4+ 12% There is a 84% probability that Kashiwa will score 1 or more goals	0 44% 1 36% 2 15% 3 4+ There is a 80% probability of Sagan Tosu scoring 1 goal or less

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-27 Kashiwa have scored 27% fewer goals at home than predicted	+11 Sagan Tosu have scored 11% more goals when away than predicted
	1.0 average goals scored	1.3 average goals scored
	1.4 conceded	1.6 conceded

Statistics J-League - 2024/2024 Season

better

KAS

SAG

view stats

Games scored	8		6
Failed to score	2		5
Scored first	5		4
Goals scored	8		12
Avg. goals scored	0.8		1.1
Avg. shots per game	10		8
Avg. shots per goal	12		8
Conversion rate	8%		13%
KickOff rating		+3%

26%

better

KAS

SAG

view stats

Games conceded	7		9
Clean sheets	3		2
Conceded first	5		6
Goals conceded	9		21
Avg. goals conceded	0.9		1.9
Avg. shots/game conceded	7		13
Avg. shots/goal conceded	7		7
Conversion rate	14%		15%
KickOff rating		+26%

Kashiwa v Sagan Tosu J-League lLine ups will show here when available.

Kashiwa J-League squad statistics 2024

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
8	4	4	2
K Matsumoto	K Kinoshita	M Savio	T Inukai

Line-up	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
K Matsumoto GLK	8			-
N Kawaguchi DEF	2			-
T Inukai DEF	8			2 -
T Koga DEF	8	1		1 -
Diego DEF	8			1 -
T Shimamura MID	7		2	1 -
T Tsuchiya MID	8			-
E Shirai MID	8			2 -
Y Yamada MID	8		1	-
T Koyamatsu FWD	6			-
M Savio FWD	8	2	4	-
Subs
T Morita GLK				-
H Noda DEF				-
Y Tatsuta DEF	1			-
S Toshima MID	4			-
Y Muto FWD				-
K Kinoshita FWD	8	4		2 -
O Yamamoto FWD	5			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
4	6	4	2
K Kinoshita	M Savio	M Savio	Diego

Line-up	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
M Savio FWD	2	6	4	2
T Koga DEF	1	1
T Inukai DEF		1
Diego DEF		2		2
T Shimamura MID		1	2
E Shirai MID		1		2
Y Yamada MID		1	1	2
T Koyamatsu FWD		1
Subs
K Kinoshita FWD	4	6
S Toshima MID		1
O Yamamoto FWD		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
419	10	41
T Koga	Y Yamada	M Savio

Line-up	passes	tackles	duels won
T Koga DEF	419	4	21
T Inukai DEF	351	6	31
E Shirai MID	304	2	21
Diego DEF	266	8	33
M Savio FWD	265	10	41
K Matsumoto GLK	265		3
T Tsuchiya MID	162	9	24
Y Yamada MID	151	10	23
T Koyamatsu FWD	86	4	8
T Shimamura MID	76	3	13
N Kawaguchi DEF	24	3	6
Subs
K Kinoshita FWD	36	3	19
S Toshima MID	31		4
O Yamamoto FWD	31	3	6
Y Tatsuta DEF		1	2

Sagan Tosu J-League squad statistics 2024

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
8	2	1	3
I Park	M Ryan	S Kawahara	K Yamazaki

Line-up	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
I Park GLK	8			-
S Nagasawa DEF				-
K Yamazaki DEF	8			3 -
K Tae-Hyeon DEF	8			-
Y Maruhashi DEF	7			-
S Kawahara MID	8		1	-
K Tezuka MID	4		1	1 -
C Togashi MID	8			3 -
T Kikuchi MID	7		1	-
Y Naganuma MID	8	1		1 -
M Ryan FWD	8	2		-
Subs
A. Riera Rodríguez GLK				-
K Ueebisu DEF	3			-
N Fujita MID				-
Y Horigome MID	8			1 -
V Araújo FWD	6	1		-
A Yokoyama FWD	7		1	-
K. Sakaiya FWD	2			1

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
2	9	1	2
M Ryan	M Ryan	S Kawahara	S Kawahara

Line-up	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
M Ryan FWD	2	9		2
Y Naganuma MID	1	3
K Yamazaki DEF		1
K Tae-Hyeon DEF		1
Y Maruhashi DEF		2		1
S Kawahara MID			1	2
K Tezuka MID			1	1
C Togashi MID		1
T Kikuchi MID		1	1	2
Subs
V Araújo FWD	1	2
K Ueebisu DEF		2
Y Horigome MID		2
A Yokoyama FWD		2	1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
538	13	56
K Tae-Hyeon	Y Naganuma	K Tae-Hyeon

Line-up	passes	tackles	duels won
K Tae-Hyeon DEF	538	9	56
K Yamazaki DEF	461	9	33
S Kawahara MID	455	12	29
I Park GLK	355		5
Y Naganuma MID	224	13	44
Y Maruhashi DEF	177	6	12
T Kikuchi MID	106	3	14
K Tezuka MID	89	2	2
M Ryan FWD	76	7	25
C Togashi MID	74	5	29
Subs
Y Horigome MID	191	2	8
A Yokoyama FWD	62	5	15
K Ueebisu DEF	57	1	4
V Araújo FWD	52	4	16
K. Sakaiya FWD	35	5	8

Japanese J-League match betting previews, predictions and odds

Kashiwa Reysol v Sagan Tosu : J-League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Kashiwa have played 8 matches so far this season and lay in 10th place in the J-League league table. Kashiwa are unbeaten in 4 games against teams below them in the league and kept 1 clean sheet out of 4 games.

Performance against teams below them in the league

Home League Performance

Sagan Tosu are in 19th position in the J-League on 7 points having played 9 matches so far this season. Sagan Tosu have a terrible away record they have lost every game and didn't score in 2 games.

Away League Performance

Performance against teams above them in the league

Kashiwa v Sagan Tosu J-League lLine ups will show here when available.

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