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Stal Mielec v Legia Warsaw : Ekstraklasa match betting preview, prediction and odds

Stadion Stali Mielec, Mielec

We’ve Ekstraklasa action to enjoy on Sunday afternoon, as Kamil Kieres and his Stal Mielec side host Kosta Runjaic’s Legia Warsaw at the Stadion Stali Mielec. All of the key stats for the encounter, including head to heads (H2Hs), predictions and the best odds across 17 markets are included in this in-depth preview. It's all brought together specifically to help you make the most well-informed bet possible.

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Stal Mielec's next match is v Jagiellonia at 19:00 on Saturday 4th May
Legia Warsaw's next match is v RKS at 16:30 on Sunday 5th May
The last Polish Ekstraklasa meeting between Stal Mielec and L. Warsaw was on Sunday 28th April 2024
Polish Ekstraklasa
April 28th 2024
Stal Mielec 1
3 L. Warsaw
 
I. Shkurin 39'21' J. Soares Pesqueira
76' B. Kapustka
90' M. Rosołek
 
STM
LEG
Shots On
2
7
Shots Off
4
5
Corners
4
Possession
52%
48%
Fouls
14
11
Yellow/red cards
2/0
2/0
 
Stal MielecL. Warsaw
 
M. Kochalski
M. Matras
B. Esselink
M. Ehmann
K. Hinokio (I. Gheorghe 73')
M. Domański (K. Meriluoto 80')
L. Gerstenstein (A. Jaunzems 80')
M. Guillaumier (R. Ferreira Santos 83')
P. Wlazło
K. Getinger (K. Wołkowicz 79')
I. Shkurinfootball icon
D. Hładun
S. Kapuadi
(P. Kun 63') Y. Oliveira Ribeiro
R. Pankov
football iconJ. Soares Pesqueira
(M. Rosołek 83') R. Morishita
J. Elitim Sepúlveda
P. Wszołek
(R. Pankov 89') R. Augustyniak
(Q. Zyba 88') football iconB. Kapustka
(W. Urbański 83') M. Gual Huguet
Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

The statistics suggest there's no obvious winner in this fixture, but good reason to think Stal Mielec and L. Warsaw will score at least a couple of goals between them. We've seen goals when they've gone head-to-head in years gone by, and neither Kamil Kieres or Kosta Runjaic has suffered the frustration of many 0-0s recently either. The bookmakers predict over 1.5 goals too, with best odds of 1.25 equating to about a 74% probability.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 41% chance of L. Warsaw coming away with a win.
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral Betfred 888Sport
Stal Mielec
32%
9/2
16%
4/1
15%
--
Draw
26%
3/1
7%
14/5
9%
--
L. Warsaw
41%
4/7
8%
8/15
8%
--
Draw 1-1
12%
13/2
7%
6/1
8%
--
L. Warsaw 1-0
10%
6/111/2
8%
--
Stal Mielec 1-0
9%
14/1
25%
11/1
20%
--
L. Warsaw 2-1
9%
15/213/2--
Stal Mielec 2-1
8%
16/1
13%
12/1--
Draw 0-0
7%
11/1
20%
9/1
18%
--
L. Warsaw 2-0
7%
13/2
6%
6/1
7%
--
Stal Mielec 2-0
5%
28/1
26%
20/1
24%
--
Draw 2-2
5%
16/112/1--
L. Warsaw 3-1
4%
12/1
13%
10/1
8%
--
L. Warsaw 3-0
3%
11/1
8%
9/1
9%
--
Stal Mielec 3-1
3%
40/128/1
12%
--
L. Warsaw 3-2
2%
25/118/1--
Stal Mielec 3-0
2%
50/140/1
21%
--
Stal Mielec 3-2
2%
40/128/1--
Over 2.5 Goals
49%
4/5
8%
---
Under 2.5 Goals
51%
1/1
8%
---
Home 1st Goal
46%
11/5
7%
---
Away 1st Goal
49%
2/5
3%
---
No 1st Goal
5%
11/1
20%
---
BTTS - Yes
53%
10/1117/20
3%
--
BTTS - No
47%
10/1117/20
3%
--
BTTS - Home Win
15%
9/1
5%
8/1
13%
--
BTTS - Draw
19%
9/2
10%
17/4
9%
--
BTTS - Away Win
19%
12/5
9%
9/4
10%
--
Home/draw
59%
13/10
10%
11/8
13%
--
Away/draw
68%
1/7
3%
1/7
3%
--
Home/away
74%
2/9
2%
2/9
2%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
74%
1/4
3%
---
Under 1.5 Goals
26%
11/4
7%
---
Over 3.5 Goals
27%
2/1
12%
---
Under 3.5 Goals
73%
4/11
5%
---
Over 4.5 Goals
12%
5/1
8%
---
Under 4.5 Goals
88%
1/8
1%
---
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
12/1
13%
---
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
1/25
1%
---
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
1/25
2%
---
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
11/1
20%
---
Home DNB
51%
3/1
14%
3/1
18%
--
Away DNB
60%
2/9
5%
1/5
7%
--
Stal Mielec win to nil
17%
9/1
25%
---
L. Warsaw win to nil
22%
13/8
5%
---
Stal Mielec / Stal Mielec
9%
8/1
13%
15/2
21%
--
Stal Mielec / L. Warsaw
4%
20/1
9%
16/1
11%
--
Stal Mielec / Draw
5%
16/1
13%
14/1
15%
--
Draw / Stal Mielec
8%
10/1
10%
9/1
11%
--
Draw / L. Warsaw
19%
10/3
4%
16/5
3%
--
Draw / Draw
14%
5/1
9%
19/4
15%
--
L. Warsaw / Stal Mielec
2%
40/133/1
17%
--
L. Warsaw / L. Warsaw
33%
6/4
9%
11/8
9%
--
L. Warsaw / Draw
6%
14/112/1--
bet365
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Win / draw / win Ekstraklasa table

Stal Mielec have played 29 matches so far this season and are in 10th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

14 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 5 games, drawn 4 and won 5. Stal Mielec have conceded 17 goals, scored 13, failed to score in 8 matches and kept 5 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Stal Mielec have played 14 games at home, winning 7, drawing 5 and losing 2 fixtures. They have scored 21 goals, conceded 12 goals, kept 6 clean sheets and failed to score 5 times in home league games.

L. Warsaw lay in 7th place on 47 points in the Ekstraklasa league table having played 29 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 18 games against teams below them in the table, winning 9, drawing 6 and losing 3 games. They have scored 30 goals and kept 7 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. L. Warsaw have conceded 17 goals and have failed to score in 2 matches.

Away league performance

L. Warsaw have played 14 away games, winning 5, drawing 5 and losing 4 games. They have scored an average of 1.4 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.4 goals per away game.

Stal Mielec
Won
Draw
Lost
Scores
L. Warsaw
HOME AWAY TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY
May 4
l
 
4-0A
 Jagiellonia3016862756 
d
 
1-1F
l
 
2-0A
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
2-1F
 Lech Poznan3014106952 
d
 
0-00-0
May 12
w
 
3-1F
w
 
0-1F
 S.Wroclaw3014971151 
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
4-0A
w
 
2-1A
May 11
 Gornik Z.3015691051 
w
 
2-1F
w
 
1-3F
l
 
1-3A
w
 
1-3F
 L. Warsaw Away30131161250 
-
-
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
2-0A
 Rakow30131071949 
l
 
1-2A
d
 
1-1F
May 17
w
 
2-3F
 MKS Pogon30146102048 
d
 
1-1F
w
 
3-4A
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
1-0A
 W Lodz3012612042 
w
 
3-1F
l
 
1-0A
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
3-0A
 P.Gliwice308148038 
w
 
3-1F
d
 
1-1A
-
-
 Stal Mielec H3010812-638 
l
 
1-3A
w
 
1-3F
w
 
4-2F
d
 
0-00-0
 Zaglebie 3010812-1138 
May 25
w
 
0-3F
w
 
2-0F
l
 
2-1A
 RKS309813-1435 
May 5
w
 
0-1F
l
 
0-1A
l
 
5-2A
 W Poznan3081012-634 
d
 
2-2A
May 19
d
 
2-2F
d
 
2-2A
 Cracovia306159-233 
w
 
2-0F
l
 
2-0A
w
 
2-1A
l
 
1-0A
 Puszcza3071211-1133 
d
 
1-1A
d
 
1-1A
l
 
2-3A
l
 
1-0A
 Korona3061311-431 
w
 
1-0F
d
 
3-3F
w
 
3-1F
d
 
1-1A
 Ruch Chorzow3031413-1823 
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-1F
w
 
1-0F
May 25
 LKS Lodz305619-3621 
w
 
3-0F
d
 
1-1A
Win / draw / win form
Stal Mielec 10TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
9
Draw
8
L
3
see results
HOME FORM
Stal Mielec0 - 0W Lodz
Stal Mielec0 - 0Lech Poznan
Stal Mielec3 - 1Ruch Chorzow
Stal Mielec1 - 0LKS Lodz
Stal Mielec0 - 0Rakow
Stal Mielec2 - 1Puszcza
Stal Mielec2 - 1Gornik Z.
Stal Mielec0 - 1W Poznan
Stal Mielec2 - 3Korona
Stal Mielec4 - 2Zaglebie
Stal Mielec2 - 0RKS
Stal Mielec3 - 1S.Wroclaw
Stal Mielec0 - 0P.Gliwice
Stal Mielec2 - 2Cracovia
Stal Mielec1 - 0W Poznan
Stal Mielec0 - 0L.Gdansk
Stal Mielec2 - 1Korona
Stal Mielec1 - 1ASPN
Stal Mielec1 - 1Jagiellonia
Stal Mielec0 - 2P.Gliwice
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
Won
7
Draw
5
Lost
8
see results
OVERALL FORM
AStal Mielec2 - 5W Poznan
HStal Mielec0 - 0W Lodz
AStal Mielec0 - 1Korona
HStal Mielec0 - 0Lech Poznan
AStal Mielec0 - 0Zaglebie
HStal Mielec3 - 1Ruch Chorzow
AStal Mielec1 - 2RKS
HStal Mielec1 - 0LKS Lodz
HStal Mielec0 - 0Rakow
AStal Mielec1 - 0S.Wroclaw
HStal Mielec2 - 1Puszcza
AStal Mielec0 - 3P.Gliwice
AStal Mielec2 - 2Cracovia
AStal Mielec3 - 2MKS Pogon
HStal Mielec2 - 1Gornik Z.
AStal Mielec0 - 4Jagiellonia
AStal Mielec3 - 1L. Warsaw
HStal Mielec0 - 1W Poznan
AStal Mielec0 - 1W Lodz
HStal Mielec2 - 3Korona
L. Warsaw 5TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
7
Draw
6
Lost
7
see results
AWAY FORM
Rakow1 - 1L. Warsaw
Gornik Z.1 - 3L. Warsaw
W Lodz1 - 0L. Warsaw
Korona3 - 3L. Warsaw
Ruch Chorzow0 - 1L. Warsaw
Cracovia2 - 0L. Warsaw
LKS Lodz1 - 1L. Warsaw
Zaglebie 0 - 3L. Warsaw
RKS0 - 1L. Warsaw
S.Wroclaw4 - 0L. Warsaw
Jagiellonia2 - 0L. Warsaw
MKS Pogon3 - 4L. Warsaw
P.Gliwice1 - 1L. Warsaw
Puszcza1 - 1L. Warsaw
L.Gdansk1 - 0L. Warsaw
MKS Pogon2 - 1L. Warsaw
W Poznan1 - 0L. Warsaw
ASPN2 - 2L. Warsaw
RKS0 - 2L. Warsaw
Gornik Z.0 - 1L. Warsaw
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
6
Draw
9
Lost
5
see results
OVERALL FORM
HL. Warsaw0 - 0S.Wroclaw
AL. Warsaw1 - 1Rakow
HL. Warsaw1 - 1Jagiellonia
AL. Warsaw3 - 1Gornik Z.
HL. Warsaw3 - 1P.Gliwice
AL. Warsaw0 - 1W Lodz
HL. Warsaw1 - 1MKS Pogon
AL. Warsaw3 - 3Korona
HL. Warsaw1 - 1Puszcza
AL. Warsaw1 - 0Ruch Chorzow
AL. Warsaw0 - 2Cracovia
HL. Warsaw2 - 0Cracovia
AL. Warsaw1 - 1LKS Lodz
AL. Warsaw3 - 0Zaglebie
HL. Warsaw2 - 2W Poznan
HL. Warsaw0 - 0Lech Poznan
AL. Warsaw1 - 0RKS
HL. Warsaw1 - 3Stal Mielec
AL. Warsaw0 - 4S.Wroclaw
HL. Warsaw1 - 2Rakow
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Stal Mielec since 2021
Stal Mielec
L. Warsaw
Goals: Scored
2
2
Games: Scored
1 / 3
2 / 3
Clean sheets
1 / 3
2 / 3
STM
1
D
1
LEG
1
see results
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Stal Mielec
0 - 1L. Warsaw
Stal Mielec2 - 1
Draw0 - 0Draw
All league games since 2020
Stal Mielec
L. Warsaw
Goals: Scored
11
8
Games: Scored
4 / 7
6 / 7
Clean sheets
1 / 7
3 / 7
STM
4
D
1
LEG
2
see results
FIXTURE HISTORY
1 - 3Stal Mielec
L. Warsaw2 - 0
0 - 1L. Warsaw
Stal Mielec2 - 1
1 - 3Stal Mielec
Draw0 - 0Draw
2 - 3Stal Mielec
Goal Statistics

Legia Warsaw's defensive record is very strong, Kosta Runjaic's men having conceded 1 or less in 7 consecutive Ekstraklasa outings. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.2 for Stal Mielec makes sense in this context.

Stal Mielec 10th L. Warsaw 5th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.2
goals
1.4
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
30%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 66% probability that Stal Mielec will score no more than 1 goal
0
25%
1
34%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 59% probability that L. Warsaw will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+1
Stal Mielec’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-17
L. Warsaw have scored 17% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.3
average goals scored
1.3
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
1.3
conceded
 
Statistics Ekstraklasa - 2023/2024 Season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/259142/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Stal Mielec
PG (predicted goals)
L. Warsaw
1.2
1.4
Attack rating
STM
LEG
19%
better
view stats
Games scored18
24
Failed to score12
6
Scored first10
16
Goals scored36
46
Avg. goals scored1.2
1.5
Avg. shots per game8
11
Avg. shots per goal6
7
Conversion rate16%
14%
KickOff rating
+19%
Defence rating
STM
LEG
6%
better
view stats
Games conceded22
21
Clean sheets8
9
Conceded first15
12
Goals conceded42
34
Avg. goals conceded1.4
1.1
Avg. shots/game conceded11
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
6
Conversion rate12%
16%
KickOff rating
+6%

Stal Mielec v L. Warsaw Ekstraklasa lLine ups will show here when available.

Stal Mielec Ekstraklasa squad statistics 2023/2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
281268
M KochalskiI ShkurinM DomanskiM Ehmann
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Kochalski GLK28
1
-
B Esselink DEF222
3
1
M Matras DEF2723
3
-
M Ehmann DEF15
8
-
L Gerstenstein MID1811
1
-
P Wlazlo MID2313
7
-
M Guillaumier MID2721
3
-
K Getinger MID2834
3
-
M Domanski MID2836
2
-
I Shkurin MID27125
4
-
K Hinokio FWD2631
4
-
Subs
K. Jałocha GLK
-
A Jaunzems DEF191
-
M Pingot DEF8
4
-
K Pajnowski DEF71
2
-
K. Wołkowicz MID241
3
-
R Santos MID9
2
-
I Gheorghe MID4
1
-
M Stepien MID19
1
-
K Meriluoto FWD2121
-
L. Warsaw Ekstraklasa squad statistics 2023/2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
238510
JosuéJosuéP WszolekJosué
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Hladun GLK8
-
R Pankov DEF2014
6
-
R Augustyniak DEF201
3
-
S Kapuadi DEF171
7
-
R Morishita  MID8
-
Josué MID2682
10
-
J Elitim MID2713
6
-
B Kapustka MID1412
1
-
Y Ribeiro MID211
5
-
P Wszolek FWD2345
3
1
M Gual FWD2763
1
-
Subs
K Tobiasz GLK201
-
A Jedrzejczyk  DEF17
6
1
Q Zyba MID2
-
G Dias MID17
1
-
J Çelhaka MID16
5
-
F Rejczyk MID4
-
P Kun MID2412
1
-
W. Urbański MID1
-
M Rosolek FWD2412
1
-