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Chaves v FC Famalicao : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Estadio Municipal Eng. Manuel Br, Chaves

It's an away trip for Armando Evangelista's FC Famalicao side on Friday night, as they make their way to the Estadio Municipal Eng. Manuel Br for a Liga NOS tie with João Miguel da Cunha Teixeira's Chaves. Our predictions are based on in-depth statistical analysis of both teams' performance, across 17 of the biggest markets. The data and the odds are unique to each market, and head-to-head statistics are included across the board.

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The last Portuguese Liga NOS meeting between Chaves and Famalicao was on Friday 10th May 2024

Portuguese Liga NOS

May 10th 2024

Chaves 0	1 Famalicao

	45' G. Alves Freitas Azevedo Sá

	GDC FAM
Shots On	2 4
Shots Off	5 4
Corners	3 3
Possession	42% 58%
Fouls	18 21
Yellow/red cards	3/0 1/0

Chaves	Famalicao

R. Moura Nascimento Y. Nogueira de Paula J. Araújo Correia V. Salgado Cunha Mango Fernandes S. Rosa Cruz (Paulo Victor 76') K. Nwakali (R. Martins Guimarães 46') R. Guzzo R. Rodrigues Ribeiro (B. Martins Sousa 46') D. Luis Essugo (H. Gomes Morim 66') H. Hernández Marrero (J. Batista Santos 46') Leandro Sanca	L. Reis Júnior E. Mihaj F. Moura M. Aguirregabiria Padilla R. da Silva Junior Z. Youssouf (G. Assunção da Silva 82') G. Alves Freitas Azevedo Sá M. Topić Chiquinho (F. Danho 82') H. Pereira Araújo (M. Lopes Moura 77') J. Rodríguez Francis

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We do not expect to see a a bore-draw or a narrow 1-0 win here, and instead are tipping over 1.5 goals. That means that Chaves and Famalicao will score a minimum of a couple of between them during 90 mins. It's a prediction based on each side's recent form stats, as well as their historic head-to-heads. We give it a probability of 76%. Bookmakers have it available at 1.29.

An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 44% chance of Famalicao coming away with a win.

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Chaves 31%	19/10 11%	9/5 7%
Draw 25%	12/5 3%	12/5 3%
Famalicao 44%	7/5 8%	6/4 5%
Draw 1-1 12%	11/2	5/1
Famalicao 1-0 10%	15/2 6%	13/2 7%
Famalicao 2-1 9%	17/2 5%	15/2
Chaves 1-0 8%	17/2 6%	7/1
Famalicao 2-0 7%	11/1 8%	10/1 10%
Chaves 2-1 7%	10/1 10%	8/1 5%
Draw 0-0 6%	9/1	15/2 6%
Draw 2-2 6%	12/1	11/1
Chaves 2-0 5%	14/1 15%	11/1
Famalicao 3-1 5%	18/1 10%	14/1
Famalicao 3-0 4%	22/1 12%	18/1 12%
Chaves 3-1 3%	22/1 10%	16/1 11%
Famalicao 3-2 3%	28/1	20/1
Chaves 3-2 2%	28/1	22/1
Chaves 3-0 2%	28/1 12%	20/1 9%
Over 2.5 Goals 52%	19/20	-
Under 2.5 Goals 48%	17/20	-
Home 1st Goal 45%	6/5 5%	-
Away 1st Goal 51%	4/5 2%	-
No 1st Goal 4%	9/1	-
BTTS - Yes 56%	3/4	3/4 3%
BTTS - No 44%	1/1	1/1 3%
BTTS - Home Win 15%	9/2	4/1 9%
BTTS - Draw 19%	10/3	10/3
BTTS - Away Win 22%	15/4 5%	18/5
Home/draw 56%	8/15 2%	8/15 3%
Away/draw 69%	2/5 3%	4/9 3%
Home/away 75%	3/10 2%	3/10 2%
Over 1.5 Goals 76%	2/7	-
Under 1.5 Goals 24%	5/2	-
Over 3.5 Goals 30%	12/5	-
Under 3.5 Goals 70%	3/10	-
Over 4.5 Goals 15%	11/2 7%	-
Under 4.5 Goals 85%	1/9 1%	-
Over 5.5 Goals 6%	14/1	-
Under 5.5 Goals 94%	1/33	-
Over 0.5 Goals 94%	1/20 1%	-
Under 0.5 Goals 6%	10/1 10%	-
Home DNB 48%	1/1 9%	19/20 5%
Away DNB 62%	8/11 5%	3/4 5%
Chaves win to nil 15%	4/1 11%	-
Famalicao win to nil 23%	3/1 11%	-
Chaves / Chaves 19%	15/4 10%	10/3 6%
Chaves / Famalicao 3%	25/1	20/1
Chaves / Draw 6%	14/1	11/1
Draw / Chaves 13%	11/2 8%	5/1 8%
Draw / Famalicao 14%	5/1	19/4 5%
Draw / Draw 17%	4/1	19/5 4%
Famalicao / Chaves 3%	28/1	22/1
Famalicao / Famalicao 19%	3/1 8%	29/10 5%
Famalicao / Draw 6%	12/1 13%	11/1

Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

Chaves have played 32 matches so far this season and are in 17th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

30 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 19 games, drawn 8 and won 3. Chaves have conceded 67 goals, scored 28, failed to score in 12 matches and kept 3 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Chaves have played 16 games at home, winning 3, drawing 4 and losing 9 fixtures. They have scored 21 goals, conceded 36 goals, kept 1 clean sheet and failed to score 4 times in home league games.

Famalicao lay in 8th place on 39 points in the Liga NOS league table having played 32 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 18 games against teams below them in the table, winning 6, drawing 10 and losing 2 games. They have scored 24 goals and kept 4 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Famalicao have conceded 18 goals and have failed to score in 4 matches.

Away league performance

Famalicao have played 16 away games, winning 3, drawing 6 and losing 7 games. They have scored an average of 0.9 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.3 goals per away game.

Chaves

Won

Draw

Lost

Scores

Famalicao

HOME	AWAY	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY
l 0-3A	l 3-0A	S. Lisbon	34	29	3	2	67	90	l 0-1A	l 1-0A
l 0-2A	l 1-0A	Benfica	34	25	5	4	49	80	w 2-0F	l 3-0A
l 0-3A	l 1-0A	Porto	34	22	6	6	36	72	l 0-3A	d 2-2F
l 2-4A	d 1-1A	Braga	34	21	5	8	21	68	l 1-2F	w 1-2A
l 1-2A	l 5-0A	V. Guimaraes	34	19	6	9	14	63	l 1-3A	l 1-0A
l 1-2A	l 1-0A	Moreirense	34	16	7	11	1	55	d 0-00-0	l 1-0A
l 1-5F	w 0-2F	Arouca	34	13	7	14	4	46	w 1-0F	l 3-2F
l 0-1A	d 2-2F	Famalicao Away	34	10	12	12	-4	42	-	-
l 1-3A	l 3-1A	Casa Pia	34	10	8	16	-12	38	l 1-2F	w 0-2F
d 1-1A	l 5-0A	Sporting Farense	34	10	7	17	-5	37	w 1-0F	d 1-1F
d 0-00-0	l 2-0A	Rio Ave	34	6	19	9	-5	37	w 2-1A	d 1-1F
w 4-2A	d 0-00-0	Gil Vicente	34	9	9	16	-10	36	w 3-1F	w 1-2F
d 2-2F	l 4-0A	Estoril	34	9	6	19	-9	33	d 1-1A	l 1-0A
d 2-2A	d 1-1F	Estrela Amadora	34	7	12	15	-20	33	d 0-00-0	l 1-0A
w 2-1F	l 4-1A	Boavista	34	7	11	16	-23	32	d 1-1F	d 2-2F
l 2-3F	l 2-1A	Portimonense	34	8	8	18	-33	32	d 2-2A	d 1-1F
w 2-1A	w 0-1F	Vizela	34	5	11	18	-30	26	w 3-2F	d 0-00-0
-	-	Chaves Home	34	5	8	21	-41	23	d 2-2A	w 0-1F

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Lost

HOME FORM
Chaves	0 - 3	Porto
Chaves	2 - 2	Estoril
Chaves	2 - 3	Portimonense
Chaves	1 - 2	V. Guimaraes
Chaves	1 - 5	Arouca
Chaves	2 - 1	Boavista
Chaves	1 - 1	Sporting Farense
Chaves	0 - 0	Rio Ave
Chaves	0 - 3	S. Lisbon
Chaves	1 - 3	Casa Pia
Chaves	2 - 1	Vizela
Chaves	0 - 2	Benfica
Chaves	4 - 2	Gil Vicente
Chaves	2 - 2	Estrela Amadora
Chaves	1 - 2	Moreirense
Chaves	2 - 4	Braga
Chaves	1 - 4	Boavista
Chaves	2 - 0	P. Ferreira
Chaves	1 - 0	Casa Pia
Chaves	1 - 0	Benfica

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

12 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

8 / 20

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM
H	Chaves	0 - 3	Porto
A	Chaves	1 - 3	Casa Pia
H	Chaves	2 - 2	Estoril
A	Chaves	1 - 0	Vizela
H	Chaves	2 - 3	Portimonense
A	Chaves	0 - 1	Benfica
H	Chaves	1 - 2	V. Guimaraes
A	Chaves	0 - 0	Gil Vicente
H	Chaves	1 - 5	Arouca
A	Chaves	1 - 1	Estrela Amadora
H	Chaves	2 - 1	Boavista
A	Chaves	0 - 1	Moreirense
H	Chaves	1 - 1	Sporting Farense
A	Chaves	1 - 1	Braga
H	Chaves	0 - 0	Rio Ave
H	Chaves	0 - 3	S. Lisbon
A	Chaves	2 - 2	Famalicao
A	Chaves	0 - 1	Porto
H	Chaves	1 - 3	Casa Pia
A	Chaves	0 - 4	Estoril

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

12 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

8 / 20

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM
Estoril	1 - 0	Famalicao
Porto	2 - 2	Famalicao
Gil Vicente	1 - 2	Famalicao
V. Guimaraes	1 - 0	Famalicao
Arouca	3 - 2	Famalicao
Sporting Farense	1 - 1	Famalicao
Moreirense	1 - 0	Famalicao
Casa Pia	0 - 2	Famalicao
Benfica	3 - 0	Famalicao
Portimonense	1 - 1	Famalicao
Vizela	0 - 0	Famalicao
Estrela Amadora	1 - 0	Famalicao
Boavista	2 - 2	Famalicao
Rio Ave	1 - 1	Famalicao
S. Lisbon	1 - 0	Famalicao
Braga	1 - 2	Famalicao
Rio Ave	2 - 2	Famalicao
Vizela	0 - 0	Famalicao
S. Lisbon	2 - 1	Famalicao
P. Ferreira	1 - 3	Famalicao

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM
H	Famalicao	2 - 0	Benfica
A	Famalicao	0 - 1	Estoril
H	Famalicao	2 - 2	Portimonense
H	Famalicao	0 - 1	S. Lisbon
A	Famalicao	2 - 2	Porto
H	Famalicao	3 - 2	Vizela
A	Famalicao	2 - 1	Gil Vicente
H	Famalicao	0 - 0	Estrela Amadora
A	Famalicao	0 - 1	V. Guimaraes
H	Famalicao	1 - 1	Boavista
A	Famalicao	2 - 3	Arouca
H	Famalicao	2 - 1	Rio Ave
A	Famalicao	1 - 1	Sporting Farense
A	Famalicao	0 - 1	Moreirense
H	Famalicao	1 - 2	Braga
A	Famalicao	2 - 0	Casa Pia
H	Famalicao	2 - 2	Chaves
A	Famalicao	0 - 3	Benfica
H	Famalicao	1 - 1	Estoril
A	Famalicao	1 - 1	Portimonense

Goal Statistics

	Chaves 18th	Famalicao 8th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.2 goals	1.5 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 29% 1 36% 2 22% 3 9% 4+ There is a 65% probability that Chaves will score no more than 1 goal	0 21% 1 33% 2 25% 3 13% 4+ There is a 79% probability that Famalicao will score 1 or more goals

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-2 Chaves’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	+1 Famalicao’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	1.3 average goals scored	1.1 average goals scored
	2.0 conceded	1.3 conceded

Statistics Liga NOS - 2023/2024 Season

GDC

FAM

19%

better

view stats

Games scored	20		23
Failed to score	14		11
Scored first	8		17
Goals scored	31		37
Avg. goals scored	0.9		1.1
Avg. shots per game	9		10
Avg. shots per goal	10		9
Conversion rate	10%		11%
KickOff rating		+19%

GDC

FAM

32%

better

view stats

Games conceded	30		26
Clean sheets	4		8
Conceded first	24		14
Goals conceded	72		41
Avg. goals conceded	2.1		1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded	11		9
Avg. shots/goal conceded	5		7
Conversion rate	19%		13%
KickOff rating		+32%

Chaves v Famalicao Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

Chaves Liga NOS squad statistics 2023/2024

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
32	14	4	9
H Hernández	H Hernández	K Nwakali	Y Nogueira

Line-up	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
R Moura GLK	7			-
J Correia DEF	30	3	1	7 -
Y Nogueira DEF	21			7 2
V Fernandes DEF	17			6 -
S Cruz DEF	24	1	1	2 -
K Nwakali MID	32	1	4	3 -
D Essugo MID	14			4 -
R Guzzo MID	17	2		4 -
R Ribeiro FWD	23	1	1	6 -
H Hernández FWD	32	14	1	2 -
L Sanca FWD	31		3	3 -
Subs
H Souza GLK	26			5 -
H Sylla DEF	7			2 -
B Rodrigues DEF	17			4 -
S Vitória DEF	20	1		4 -
Benny MID	29	1	1	1 -
Guima MID	22		1	7 -
H Morim MID	18	1		2 -
P Victor FWD	22	1	1	8 -
Jô FWD	27	2	2	1 -

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
14	28	4	7
H Hernández	H Hernández	K Nwakali	L Sanca

Line-up	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
H Hernández FWD	14	28	1	1
J Correia DEF	3	10	1	2
R Guzzo MID	2	8		3
S Cruz DEF	1	1	1	1
K Nwakali MID	1	7	4	4
R Ribeiro FWD	1	6	1	5
Y Nogueira DEF		1		1
V Fernandes DEF		1
L Sanca FWD		12	3	7
Subs
Jô FWD	2	7	2	3
S Vitória DEF	1	6
Benny MID	1	3	1	4
H Morim MID	1	5		2
P Victor FWD	1	6	1	2
H Sylla DEF				2
B Rodrigues DEF		2
Guima MID		2	1	3

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1056	39	131
K Nwakali	K Nwakali	H Hernández

Line-up	passes	tackles	duels won
K Nwakali MID	1056	39	112
Y Nogueira DEF	770	36	101
R Ribeiro FWD	731	22	88
S Cruz DEF	623	33	89
J Correia DEF	600	19	91
V Fernandes DEF	587	28	65
H Hernández FWD	552	11	131
R Guzzo MID	537	13	43
D Essugo MID	487	30	90
L Sanca FWD	344	18	85
R Moura GLK	169	3	4
Subs
H Souza GLK	675		9
B Rodrigues DEF	583	15	39
Guima MID	537	37	87
S Vitória DEF	468	11	51
Benny MID	328	11	36
H Morim MID	205	20	48
Jô FWD	178	11	119
P Victor FWD	172	14	60
H Sylla DEF	112	7	22

Famalicao Liga NOS squad statistics 2023/2024

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
33	5	6	12
L Júnior	Chiquinho	G Sá	Chiquinho

Line-up	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
L Júnior GLK	33			2 -
M Aguirregabiria DEF	24			4 -
E Mihaj DEF	18			5 -
Riccieli DEF	23	1	1	6 1
F Moura DEF	33	1	4	7 -
Z Youssouf MID	32	2	1	9 -
M Topic MID	32		2	6 -
J Francis MID	23	1	5	3 1
G Sá MID	28	3	6	5 -
Chiquinho MID	27	5	2	11 1
H Araújo FWD	20			1 -
Subs
I Zlobin GLK	1			1 -
Nathan DEF	28			8 -
G Assunção MID	20			5 1
O Liimatta MID	12			-
F Soares MID	8		1	2 -
T Lacoux MID	9			1 -
F Danho FWD	10	1		-
Sorriso FWD	15	1	2	1 -
Óscar Aranda FWD	21	1		3 -

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
5	11	6	10
Chiquinho	Z Youssouf	G Sá	F Moura

Line-up	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
Chiquinho MID	5	10	2	5
G Sá MID	3	7	6	5
Z Youssouf MID	2	11	1	4
Riccieli DEF	1	3	1	1
F Moura DEF	1	3	4	10
J Francis MID	1	11	5	6
M Aguirregabiria DEF		1		1
E Mihaj DEF		1
M Topic MID		2	2	2
H Araújo FWD		2
Subs
F Danho FWD	1	3		1
Sorriso FWD	1	1	2	1
Óscar Aranda FWD	1	7		3
Nathan DEF		3		1
G Assunção MID		1
F Soares MID			1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1322	74	229
Z Youssouf	Z Youssouf	Z Youssouf

Line-up	passes	tackles	duels won
Z Youssouf MID	1322	74	229
M Topic MID	1210	51	121
F Moura DEF	1179	57	123
Riccieli DEF	1009	24	100
E Mihaj DEF	935	21	58
L Júnior GLK	934	2	18
G Sá MID	602	38	159
M Aguirregabiria DEF	523	21	44
J Francis MID	292	18	109
Chiquinho MID	247	34	152
H Araújo FWD	158	3	34
Subs
Nathan DEF	594	59	130
G Assunção MID	301	17	38
Sorriso FWD	202	14	48
Óscar Aranda FWD	198	7	87
T Lacoux MID	196	12	24
O Liimatta MID	112	7	23
F Soares MID	70	4	12
F Danho FWD	45	3	21
I Zlobin GLK	9

Portuguese Liga NOS match betting previews, predictions and odds

Chaves v FC Famalicao : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Chaves have played 32 matches so far this season and are in 17th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

Home league performance

Famalicao lay in 8th place on 39 points in the Liga NOS league table having played 32 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

Away league performance

Chaves v Famalicao Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

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