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Chaves v FC Porto : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Estadio Municipal Eng. Manuel Br, Chaves

FC Porto, led by manager Sergio Conceicao, visit João Miguel da Cunha Teixeira and his Chaves side at the Estadio Municipal Eng. Manuel Br on Saturday night in the Liga NOS. Quite simply, we want you to win betting on this game. To this end, stats for every betting market have been published below, with head to head (H2H) history and statistically significant form streaks highlighted. Odds from leading bookmakers are included as well.

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The last Portuguese Liga NOS meeting between Chaves and Porto was on Saturday 4th May 2024
Portuguese Liga NOS
May 4th 2024
Chaves 0
3 Porto
 
27' F. Conceição
45' F. de Lima Barbosa
73' M. Taremi
 
GDC
PTO
Shots On
3
Shots Off
3
6
Corners
2
8
Possession
25%
75%
Fouls
6
15
Yellow/red cards
2/1
3/0
 
ChavesPorto
 
R. Moura Nascimento
Y. Nogueira de Paula
J. Araújo Correia
J. Pius
V. Salgado Cunha Mango Fernandes
H. Sylla (S. Rosa Cruz 46')
K. Nwakali (B. Martins Sousa 81')
H. Gomes Morim (T. Theophilus Phete 89')
R. Rodrigues Ribeiro (R. Martins Guimarães 69')
D. Luis Essugo
H. Hernández Marrero (J. Batista Santos 69')
D. Meireles Costa
J. da Silva Figueiredo Freitas
(R. Silva Baró 65') M. Moreira Moutinho Fernandes
Otavio Ataide
(S. Antunes Eustáquio 79') N. González Iglesias
A. Varela
E. Aquino Cossa
(D. Loader 79') football iconF. de Lima Barbosa
(G. Santos Sousa 83') football iconF. Conceição
(G. Albuquerque Borges 83') football iconM. Taremi
J. Teixeira Mendes
Best Tip: Porto to win

Nobody in Liga NOS wants to suffer defeat in front of their own fans, but the statistics below are suggesting that could be Chaves's fate as they go head-to-head with Porto at Estadio Municipal Eng. Manuel Br on Saturday night. The UK's top bookmakers agree, making an away win the most likely outcome at odds of 1.25, and so does our predictive algorithm. We've calculated the away win in the win / draw / win market has a 62% probability, easily making it the best bet here.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 63% chance of Porto coming away with a win.
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Chaves
17%
10/1
16%
9/1
11%
Draw
20%
5/1
9%
5/1
14%
Porto
63%
1/4
3%
1/4
Porto 2-1
10%
8/17/1
Porto 2-0
10%
6/1
8%
11/2
Draw 1-1
9%
10/19/1
Porto 1-0
9%
15/2
6%
13/2
Porto 3-1
7%
10/117/2
5%
Porto 3-0
7%
7/113/2
Draw 2-2
5%
20/116/1
11%
Chaves 2-1
5%
28/1
12%
20/1
9%
Chaves 1-0
4%
28/1
26%
20/1
11%
Draw 0-0
4%
16/1
13%
14/1
Porto 4-1
4%
14/1
12%
12/1
13%
Porto 4-0
4%
11/1
8%
9/1
9%
Porto 3-2
4%
22/1
12%
18/1
10%
Chaves 2-0
2%
50/1
24%
33/1
Porto 4-2
2%
33/1
17%
25/1
10%
Over 2.5 Goals
61%
19/40
6%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
39%
8/5
11%
-
Home 1st Goal
41%
7/2-
Away 1st Goal
56%
2/11
2%
-
No 1st Goal
3%
16/1
13%
-
BTTS - Yes
57%
19/2010/11
5%
BTTS - No
43%
4/54/5
3%
BTTS - Home Win
10%
18/1
12%
14/1
BTTS - Draw
16%
6/16/1
BTTS - Away Win
31%
7/4
5%
17/10
6%
Home/draw
37%
11/4
7%
11/4
4%
Away/draw
83%
1/20
2%
1/20
1%
Home/away
80%
1/8
2%
1/8
2%
Over 1.5 Goals
83%
1/7
3%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
17%
9/2
10%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
39%
11/10
12%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
61%
4/6
9%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
21%
11/4
13%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
79%
1/4
4%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
10%
6/1
22%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
90%
1/10
3%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
1/40
1%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
18/1
27%
-
Home DNB
31%
8/1
13%
7/1
7%
Away DNB
77%
1/14
1%
1/16
1%
Chaves win to nil
8%
18/1
12%
-
Porto win to nil
31%
11/10-
Chaves / Chaves
5%
18/1
12%
12/1
Chaves / Porto
5%
16/1
11%
16/1
Chaves / Draw
4%
20/118/1
12%
Draw / Chaves
4%
20/1
11%
16/1
Draw / Porto
20%
3/13/1
Draw / Draw
10%
8/1
13%
7/1
7%
Porto / Chaves
2%
50/140/1
Porto / Porto
46%
4/5
2%
3/4
3%
Porto / Draw
5%
18/116/1
bet365
Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

Chaves have played 31 matches so far this season and are in 17th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

29 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 18 games, drawn 8 and won 3. Chaves have conceded 64 goals, scored 28, failed to score in 11 matches and kept 3 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Chaves have played 15 games at home, winning 3, drawing 4 and losing 8 fixtures. They have scored 21 goals, conceded 33 goals, kept 1 clean sheet and failed to score 3 times in home league games.

Porto lay in 3rd place on 63 points in the Liga NOS league table having played 31 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 27 games against teams below them in the table, winning 18, drawing 5 and losing 4 games. They have scored 50 goals and kept 10 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Porto have conceded 21 goals and have failed to score in 3 matches.

Away league performance

Porto have played 15 away games, winning 9, drawing 2 and losing 4 games. They have scored an average of 1.6 goals per away game and conceded an average 0.9 goals per away game.

Chaves
Won
Draw
Lost
Scores
Porto
HOME AWAY TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY
l
 
0-3A
l
 
3-0A
 S. Lisbon3429326790 
d
 
2-2F
l
 
2-0A
l
 
0-2A
l
 
1-0A
 Benfica3425544980 
w
 
5-0F
l
 
1-0A
l
 
0-3A
l
 
1-0A
 Porto Away3422663672 
-
-
l
 
2-4A
d
 
1-1A
 Braga3421582168 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-1F
l
 
1-2A
l
 
5-0A
 V. Guimaraes3419691463 
l
 
1-2A
w
 
1-2A
l
 
1-2A
l
 
1-0A
 Moreirense3416711155 
w
 
5-0F
w
 
1-2A
l
 
1-5F
w
 
0-2F
 Arouca3413714446 
d
 
1-1A
l
 
3-2A
l
 
0-1A
d
 
2-2F
 Famalicao34101212-442 
d
 
2-2A
w
 
0-3F
l
 
1-3A
l
 
3-1A
 Casa Pia3410816-1238 
w
 
3-1F
w
 
1-2F
d
 
1-1A
l
 
5-0A
 Sporting Farense3410717-537 
w
 
2-1F
w
 
1-3F
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
2-0A
 Rio Ave346199-537 
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
1-2A
w
 
4-2A
d
 
0-00-0
 Gil Vicente349916-1036 
w
 
2-1F
d
 
1-1F
d
 
2-2F
l
 
4-0A
 Estoril349619-933 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
1-0A
d
 
2-2A
d
 
1-1F
 Estrela Amadora3471215-2033 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-1F
w
 
2-1F
l
 
4-1A
 Boavista3471116-2332 
w
 
2-1A
d
 
1-1F
l
 
2-3F
l
 
2-1A
 Portimonense348818-3332 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-3F
w
 
2-1A
w
 
0-1F
 Vizela3451118-3026 
w
 
4-1A
w
 
0-2F
-
-
 Chaves Home345821-4123 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-3F
Win / draw / win form
Chaves 18TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
39
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
6
D
4
Lost
10
Goals: Scored
18
Conceded
35
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
W
3
Draw
7
Lost
10
Porto 3RD
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
13
D
3
L
4
Goals: Scored
42
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
11
Draw
5
L
4
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
9
Porto have beaten Chaves in 9 consecutive league meetings
9
Porto have not lost to Chaves in 9 consecutive league meetings
League games at Chaves since 2017
Chaves
Porto
Goals: Scored
2
13
Games: Scored
2 / 4
4 / 4
Clean sheets
0 / 4
2 / 4
PTO
4
All league games since 2016
Chaves
Porto
Goals: Scored
3
27
Games: Scored
3 / 9
9 / 9
Clean sheets
0 / 9
6 / 9
PTO
9
Goal Statistics

FC Porto's forwards have been superb of late, finding the net twice or more in 3 consecutive Liga NOS outings. A PG of 2.1 suggests that run should continue on Saturday night.

Chaves 18th Porto 3rd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.0
goals
2.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
36%
1
37%
2
19%
3
4+
There is a 73% probability that Chaves will score no more than 1 goal
0
12%
1
25%
2
27%
3
19%
4+
17%
There is a 63% probability that Porto will score 2 or more goals in this match
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+2
Chaves’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
=0
Porto’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.4
average goals scored
1.7
average goals scored
2.0
conceded
0.9
conceded
 
Statistics Liga NOS - 2023/2024 Season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/264919/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Chaves
PG (predicted goals)
Porto
1
2.1
Attack rating
GDC
PTO
42%
better
view stats
Games scored20
29
Failed to score14
5
Scored first8
20
Goals scored31
63
Avg. goals scored0.9
1.9
Avg. shots per game9
13
Avg. shots per goal10
7
Conversion rate10%
14%
KickOff rating
+42%
Defence rating
GDC
PTO
46%
better
view stats
Games conceded30
21
Clean sheets4
13
Conceded first24
13
Goals conceded72
27
Avg. goals conceded2.1
0.8
Avg. shots/game conceded11
6
Avg. shots/goal conceded5
8
Conversion rate19%
13%
KickOff rating
+46%

Chaves v Porto Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

Chaves Liga NOS squad statistics 2023/2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
321449
H HernándezH HernándezK NwakaliY Nogueira
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R Moura GLK7
-
H Sylla DEF7
2
-
Y Nogueira DEF21
7
2
V Fernandes DEF17
6
-
J Pius DEF15
5
1
K Nwakali MID3214
3
-
D Essugo MID14
4
-
H Morim MID181
2
-
R Ribeiro FWD2311
6
-
H Hernández FWD32141
2
-
J Correia FWD3031
7
-
Subs
H Souza GLK26
5
-
B Rodrigues DEF17
4
-
S Vitória DEF201
4
-
S Cruz DEF2411
2
-
T Phete MID9
3
-
Benny MID2911
1
-
Guima MID221
7
-
P Victor FWD2211
8
-
FWD2722
1
-
Porto Liga NOS squad statistics 2023/2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
3313611
D CostaEvanilson PepêF Conceição
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Costa GLK33
1
M. Moreira Moutinho Fernandes DEF41
2
-
J. da Silva Figueiredo Freitas DEF122
1
-
O Silva DEF121
3
-
J Mendes DEF51
-
F Conceição MID2754
11
-
A Varela MID3023
8
-
N González  MID2521
7
-
Pepê MID3446
4
-
Evanilson  FWD27133
5
1
M Taremi FWD2364
3
-
Subs
C Ramos GLK2
-
F Cardoso DEF1711
4
1
S Eustaquio MID2822
3
-
M Grujić MID101
1
-
R Baró MID10
-
W. da Silva Costa FWD
-
G Borges FWD172
2
-
D Namaso FWD1612
1
-
G. Santos Sousa FWD1
-
Portuguese Liga NOS match betting previews, predictions and odds