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Rio Ave v Vitoria Guimaraes : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 13th Dec, 18:00 BST, Estadio Dos Arcos, Vila do Conde

the Estadio Dos Arcos faithful welcome Vitoria Guimaraes's travelling contingent on Saturday evening, as Sotiris Silaidopoulos's Rio Ave take on Luís Miguel Correia Pinto's team in the Liga NOS. This preview has odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers for 17 different markets, alongside supporting data that changes as you explore. Our predictions run off the last 20 matches, so all stats are shown for each side's last 20 too. Home vs away and overall performance can be found, while you'll also find head to head (H2H) history towards the bottom of the page.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Liga NOS Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

Under 3.5 goals means, quite simply that there will be 3 goals or less scored by Rio Ave and V. Guimaraes combined during 90 mins. Latest form stats and historical head-to-head (H2H) performances have led us to this conclusion, and we're suggest there's a 76% chance of it being a winning tip. The top price available at present on under 3.5 goals is 1.25.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Rio Ave are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 39% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.75.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Rio Ave
39%
33/20
2%
7/4
6%
Draw
27%
11/523/10
V. Guimaraes
34%
31/20
4%
6/4
9%
Draw 1-1
13%
5/15/1
Rio Ave 1-0
11%
15/2
6%
13/2
7%
V. Guimaraes 1-0
10%
15/2
6%
13/2
Rio Ave 2-1
8%
10/1
10%
17/2
6%
Draw 0-0
8%
8/1
6%
15/2
13%
V. Guimaraes 2-1
8%
9/115/2
11%
Rio Ave 2-0
7%
12/1
8%
11/1
20%
V. Guimaraes 2-0
6%
12/110/1
Draw 2-2
5%
12/1
13%
11/1
8%
Rio Ave 3-1
4%
22/1
10%
16/1
V. Guimaraes 3-1
3%
20/1
9%
16/1
11%
Rio Ave 3-0
3%
28/1
12%
20/1
11%
V. Guimaraes 3-0
2%
25/118/1
10%
Rio Ave 3-2
2%
33/122/1
V. Guimaraes 3-2
2%
33/120/1
19%
Over 2.5 Goals
46%
21/20
2%
1/1
5%
Under 2.5 Goals
54%
3/4
3%
8/11
4%
Home 1st Goal
48%
1/121/20
3%
Away 1st Goal
46%
20/21
3%
1/1
5%
No 1st Goal
5%
8/1
6%
15/2
6%
BTTS - Yes
51%
4/54/5
6%
BTTS - No
49%
19/2010/11
4%
BTTS - Home Win
17%
9/217/4
BTTS - Draw
19%
10/310/3
4%
BTTS - Away Win
15%
9/24/1
9%
Home/draw
66%
1/2
4%
1/2
4%
Away/draw
61%
4/94/9
4%
Home/away
73%
4/111/3
Over 1.5 Goals
72%
1/31/3
2%
Under 1.5 Goals
28%
9/421/10
7%
Over 3.5 Goals
25%
5/2
7%
5/2
7%
Under 3.5 Goals
75%
2/7
3%
2/7
3%
Over 4.5 Goals
11%
7/111/2
13%
Under 4.5 Goals
89%
1/121/11
2%
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
16/1
11%
12/1
13%
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
1/33
1%
1/66
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
1/141/16
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
8/1
6%
15/2
13%
Home DNB
58%
5/619/20
8%
Away DNB
53%
5/63/4
8%
Rio Ave win to nil
22%
7/2
4%
-
V. Guimaraes win to nil
19%
10/3-
Rio Ave / Rio Ave
19%
10/310/3
8%
Rio Ave / V. Guimaraes
3%
28/125/1
Rio Ave / Draw
6%
14/112/1
Draw / Rio Ave
13%
5/111/2
13%
Draw / V. Guimaraes
14%
5/119/4
4%
Draw / Draw
17%
4/1
5%
18/5
V. Guimaraes / Rio Ave
3%
28/125/1
V. Guimaraes / V. Guimaraes
20%
10/33/1
8%
V. Guimaraes / Draw
6%
12/1
13%
12/1
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Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

Rio Ave have played 13 matches so far this season and are in 10th position in the league. Rio Ave are winless in the 6 games they have played against teams above them in the table and have conceded in 5 of those games.

Performance against teams above them in the league

6 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 2 games, drawn 4 and won zero. Rio Ave have conceded 10 goals, scored 5, failed to score in 2 matches and kept 1 clean sheet.

Home league performance

Rio Ave have played 6 games at home, winning 1, drawing 3 and losing 2 fixtures. They have scored 7 goals, conceded 11 goals, kept 1 clean sheet and failed to score 2 times in home league games.

V. Guimaraes lay in 8th place on 18 points in the Liga NOS league table having played 13 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 7 games against teams below them in the table, winning 5, drawing 1 and losing 1 game. They have scored 13 goals and kept 3 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. V. Guimaraes have conceded 6 goals and have failed to score in 1 match.

Away league performance

V. Guimaraes have played 6 away games, winning 2, drawing 0 and losing 4 games. They have scored an average of 0.5 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.5 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Rio Ave
V. Guimaraes
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Porto1312102437 
l
 
0-3A
Feb 22
Jan 18
l
 
3-0A
2
S. Lisbon1310212532 
May 9
Dec 28
Dec 21
May 2
3
Benfica138501829 
Jan 18
d
 
1-1A
l
 
0-3A
Mar 22
4
Gil Vicente137331024 
May 2
Dec 20
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 18
5
Braga136431322 
d
 
2-2F
Feb 8
d
 
1-1A
Feb 22
6
Famalicao13553520 
Mar 1
d
 
0-00-0
Mar 15
l
 
2-0A
7
Moreirense13625120 
Feb 15
l
 
3-1A
Feb 1
l
 
2-0A
8
V. Guimaraes13535-318 
Dec 13
Apr 25
-
-
9
Alverca13526-417 
Apr 3
d
 
1-1F
Mar 1
l
 
2-0A
10
Rio Ave13373-416 
-
-
Apr 25
Dec 13
11
Santa Clara13436-315 
d
 
1-1F
Apr 11
w
 
2-1A
Mar 8
12
Estoril13355114 
l
 
0-4A
Mar 22
w
 
3-2A
Jan 25
13
Estrela Amadora13355-314 
Mar 15
w
 
1-2A
Feb 15
w
 
0-2F
14
Nacional13337-612 
d
 
1-1F
Jan 25
Jan 4
May 16
15
Casa Pia13238-149 
Jan 4
May 16
May 9
Dec 28
16
Tondela13238-159 
w
 
3-0F
Mar 8
Apr 3
w
 
0-1F
17
Arouca13238-239 
Feb 1
d
 
3-3A
d
 
1-1F
Feb 8
18
AVS130310-223 
Apr 18
w
 
1-2F
w
 
4-0F
Apr 11
Win / draw / win form
Rio Ave 10TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
33
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
5
Draw
10
Lost
5
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Rio Ave1 - 1Santa Clara
Rio Ave0 - 4Estoril
Rio Ave3 - 0Tondela
Rio Ave0 - 3Porto
Rio Ave2 - 2Braga
Rio Ave1 - 1Nacional
Rio Ave1 - 1Gil Vicente
Rio Ave2 - 0Estrela Amadora
Rio Ave1 - 1Santa Clara
Rio Ave0 - 2Boavista
Rio Ave2 - 3Benfica
Rio Ave2 - 1Braga
Rio Ave1 - 1AVS
Rio Ave2 - 2Porto
Rio Ave0 - 3S. Lisbon
Rio Ave2 - 1Nacional
Rio Ave2 - 2V. Guimaraes
Rio Ave3 - 2Moreirense
Rio Ave2 - 2Casa Pia
Rio Ave1 - 1Famalicao
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
5
Draw
10
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ARio Ave2 - 1AVS
HRio Ave1 - 1Santa Clara
ARio Ave1 - 1Alverca
HRio Ave0 - 4Estoril
ARio Ave2 - 1Estrela Amadora
HRio Ave3 - 0Tondela
ARio Ave0 - 0Famalicao
ARio Ave1 - 1Benfica
HRio Ave0 - 3Porto
ARio Ave1 - 3Moreirense
HRio Ave2 - 2Braga
ARio Ave3 - 3Arouca
HRio Ave1 - 1Nacional
HRio Ave1 - 1Gil Vicente
ARio Ave3 - 3Nacional
HRio Ave2 - 0Estrela Amadora
ARio Ave0 - 3V. Guimaraes
HRio Ave1 - 1Santa Clara
ARio Ave2 - 0Moreirense
HRio Ave0 - 2Boavista
V. Guimaraes 8TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
18
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
Won
5
Draw
7
Lost
8
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Tondela0 - 1V. Guimaraes
Famalicao2 - 0V. Guimaraes
Alverca2 - 0V. Guimaraes
Estrela Amadora0 - 2V. Guimaraes
Moreirense2 - 0V. Guimaraes
Porto3 - 0V. Guimaraes
S. Lisbon2 - 0V. Guimaraes
Nacional1 - 2V. Guimaraes
Gil Vicente0 - 1V. Guimaraes
Moreirense2 - 2V. Guimaraes
Boavista1 - 2V. Guimaraes
Porto1 - 1V. Guimaraes
Famalicao0 - 0V. Guimaraes
Estoril1 - 0V. Guimaraes
Sporting Farense2 - 2V. Guimaraes
Rio Ave2 - 2V. Guimaraes
Benfica1 - 0V. Guimaraes
Santa Clara1 - 0V. Guimaraes
Estrela Amadora2 - 2V. Guimaraes
Casa Pia1 - 1V. Guimaraes
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
9
D
3
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HV. Guimaraes0 - 0Gil Vicente
HV. Guimaraes4 - 0AVS
AV. Guimaraes1 - 0Tondela
HV. Guimaraes0 - 3Benfica
AV. Guimaraes0 - 2Famalicao
HV. Guimaraes2 - 1Santa Clara
AV. Guimaraes0 - 2Alverca
HV. Guimaraes1 - 1Braga
AV. Guimaraes2 - 0Estrela Amadora
HV. Guimaraes1 - 1Arouca
AV. Guimaraes0 - 2Moreirense
HV. Guimaraes3 - 2Estoril
AV. Guimaraes0 - 3Porto
AV. Guimaraes0 - 2S. Lisbon
HV. Guimaraes1 - 2Sporting Farense
AV. Guimaraes2 - 1Nacional
HV. Guimaraes3 - 0Rio Ave
HV. Guimaraes0 - 3Benfica
AV. Guimaraes1 - 0Gil Vicente
HV. Guimaraes2 - 0Santa Clara
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Rio Ave since 2016
Rio Ave
V. Guimaraes
Goals: Scored
9
10
Games: Scored
5 / 9
7 / 9
Clean sheets
2 / 9
4 / 9
RIO
3
D
3
GUI
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Rio Ave
Draw2 - 2Draw
Rio Ave2 - 1
0 - 1V. Guimaraes
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Rio Ave2 - 1
0 - 1V. Guimaraes
0 - 3V. Guimaraes
Rio Ave2 - 0
League games at V. Guimaraes since 2015
V. Guimaraes
Rio Ave
Goals: Scored
18
8
Games: Scored
8 / 9
4 / 9
Clean sheets
5 / 9
1 / 9
RIO
2
D
1
GUI
6
FIXTURE HISTORY AT V. Guimaraes
V. Guimaraes3 - 0
V. Guimaraes1 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
1 - 3Rio Ave
1 - 2Rio Ave
V. Guimaraes3 - 2
V. Guimaraes3 - 0
V. Guimaraes3 - 0
V. Guimaraes3 - 1
Goal Statistics

Vitoria Guimaraes's defensive record is to be admired, L. Correia Pinto's men having conceded 1 or less in 13 consecutive Liga NOS outings. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.3 for Rio Ave makes sense in this context.

Rio Ave 10th V. Guimaraes 8th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.3
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
27%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 62% probability that Rio Ave will score no more than 1 goal
0
30%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 66% probability that V. Guimaraes will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+8
Rio Ave’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-22
V. Guimaraes have scored 22% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.4
average goals scored
0.9
average goals scored
1.7
conceded
1.3
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2025/2025 season
Rio Ave
PG (predicted goals)
V. Guimaraes
1.3
1.2
Attack rating
24%
better
RIO
GUI
view stats
Games scored10
7
Failed to score3
5
Scored first6
4
Goals scored17
14
Avg. goals scored1.3
1.1
Avg. shots per game7
9
Avg. shots per goal5
8
Conversion rate for18
12
Avg. XG for1
1.1
KickOff rating
+24%
Defence rating
RIO
GUI
10%
better
view stats
Games conceded11
9
Clean sheets2
3
Conceded first6
8
Goals conceded21
17
Avg. goals conceded1.6
1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded12
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
7
Conversion rate against14%
14%
Avg. XG against1.9
1.4
KickOff rating
+10%

Rio Ave v V. Guimaraes Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

Rio Ave Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
131055
M Vrousai ClaytonA LuizClayton
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Vrousai  DEF1311
-
N Athanasiou DEF131
1
-
G Liavas MID131
2
-
A Luiz FWD1345
3
-
Clayton FWD13102
4
1
C Miszta GLK12
4
-
A Ndoj DEF121
5
-
B Aguilera MID12
4
-
F. Petrasso DEF11
3
-
J Panzo DEF11
2
1
O Pohlmann MID111
-
D Spikic FWD112
1
-
M Gual FWD10
-
N Abby DEF8
2
-
T. Nikitscher MID71
1
-
J Brabec DEF6
2
-
A. Papakanellos MID6
-
J Graça MID4
-
O Richards DEF3
-
E. da Silva Moreira DEF3
-
J DEF3
1
-
T. Bakoulas MID3
-
J Tomé DEF2
-
K Chamorro GLK1
-
T. Medina FWD1
-
K. Zoabi FWD1
1
-
V. Guimaraes Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
13324
MagaN OliveiraR AbascalJ Mendes
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Maga DEF13
2
-
N Oliveira FWD133
3
-
R Abascal DEF122
1
-
J Mendes DEF12
4
-
Beni MID121
3
-
A Ndoye FWD112
1
-
T Arcanjo FWD11
-
O Rivas DEF101
1
-
M. Mitrovic MID101
1
-
J. Castillo Reyes GLK9
1
-
O. Camara FWD921
1
-
Samu MID811
-
V. Félix FWD7
2
-
F Blanco FWD7
2
1
O Lebedenko DEF6
-
G. da Silva Cunha FWD611
1
-
M Nóbrega DEF51
-
G Nogueira MID51
1
-
Charles GLK4
-
D. Lobão Sousa MID4
1
-
T Strata DEF2
-