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Rio Ave v Vitoria Guimaraes : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Estadio Dos Arcos, Vila do Conde

Luís Carlos Batalha Freire and Alvaro Pacheco pit their wits in the Liga NOS on Saturday afternoon, as Rio Ave face Vitoria Guimaraes at the Estadio Dos Arcos. Our goal is for you to win betting on this match, so every stats you could possibly need to make a well-informed wager is laid out below. Go between 17 betting markets or take our top tip. We have predictions, head to head (H2H) analysis and odds for each one.

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The last Portuguese Liga NOS meeting between Rio Ave and V. Guimaraes was on Saturday 4th May 2024
Portuguese Liga NOS
May 4th 2024
Rio Ave 2
1 V. Guimaraes
 
J. Figueiredo Fernandes 37'90' N. Valente Santos
E. Boateng 56'
 
RIO
GUI
Shots On
3
5
Shots Off
3
3
Corners
6
6
Possession
42%
58%
Fouls
20
18
Yellow/red cards
3/0
7/0
 
Rio AveV. Guimaraes
 
J. da Siqueira
R. Pantalon
A. de Jesus Santos
P. Sá de Oliveira
J. da Costa
J. Salazar da Graça (F. Costa Conceição 84')
M. Tanlongo (V. Gomes da Silva 69')
J. Figueiredo Fernandesfootball icon (M. Vrousai 84')
U. Embaló (A. Butzke Benavides 83')
E. Boatengfootball icon
A. Yakubu (J. Silva Oliveira 45')
B. Semedo Varela
(R. Chaby Mangas 68') M. Gomes Ferreira Magalhães
(A. Oudrhiri Idrissi 83') T. Machado Ribeiro
T. Borevković
B. Boialvo Gaspar
M. Silva
T. Pereira Santos Händel
T. Maia da Silva
(N. Valente Santos 68') A. Bras André
J. Ferreira Silva
(N. Castro Oliveira 57') K. Andrade Lima
Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

It's our view that there's not a clear favourite to to get the win in this one, but does appear clear is that the odds are pointing towards it'll have a maximum of 3 goals. Our statistical analysis is inline with them too. Rio Ave and V. Guimaraes have taken part in a lot of under 3.5 goal games lately, and key performance stats point towards those records being extended. We feel confident predicting under 3.5 goals on Saturday afternoon, and the bookies have it priced at 1.20.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Rio Ave are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 39% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.70.
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Rio Ave
39%
23/10
20%
12/5
21%
Draw
28%
23/10
3%
11/5
3%
V. Guimaraes
33%
6/5
15%
5/4
13%
Draw 1-1
13%
11/2
8%
5/1
4%
Rio Ave 1-0
12%
15/2
6%
7/1
14%
V. Guimaraes 1-0
11%
11/2
13%
11/2
7%
Draw 0-0
10%
7/16/1
Rio Ave 2-1
8%
11/1
9%
10/1
16%
Rio Ave 2-0
7%
14/1
15%
12/1
18%
V. Guimaraes 2-1
7%
17/2
5%
15/2
6%
V. Guimaraes 2-0
6%
17/2
21%
8/1
18%
Draw 2-2
5%
16/1
13%
12/1
Rio Ave 3-1
3%
28/1
26%
22/1
21%
Rio Ave 3-0
3%
33/1
17%
25/1
24%
V. Guimaraes 3-1
3%
20/1
9%
14/1
12%
V. Guimaraes 3-0
2%
20/1
19%
16/1
11%
Rio Ave 3-2
2%
40/1
21%
28/1
12%
V. Guimaraes 3-2
2%
33/122/1
12%
Over 2.5 Goals
42%
13/10
5%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
58%
3/5
3%
-
Home 1st Goal
48%
7/5
9%
-
Away 1st Goal
46%
8/11
9%
-
No 1st Goal
6%
7/1-
BTTS - Yes
48%
19/2019/20
2%
BTTS - No
52%
4/54/5
2%
BTTS - Home Win
16%
13/2
25%
11/2
18%
BTTS - Draw
18%
15/4
6%
17/5
2%
BTTS - Away Win
13%
4/1
9%
19/5
9%
Home/draw
67%
4/6
11%
13/20
11%
Away/draw
61%
1/3
5%
3/10
7%
Home/away
72%
1/3
2%
7/20
Over 1.5 Goals
68%
2/5
3%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
32%
7/4
8%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
21%
10/3
8%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
79%
1/5
2%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
9%
9/1
11%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
91%
1/16
1%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
3%
20/1
11%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
97%
1/66
1%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
90%
1/12-
Under 0.5 Goals
10%
7/1-
Home DNB
59%
5/4
18%
13/10
20%
Away DNB
53%
4/7
13%
11/20
14%
Rio Ave win to nil
23%
4/1
15%
-
V. Guimaraes win to nil
20%
5/2
13%
-
Rio Ave / Rio Ave
15%
9/2
16%
17/4
17%
Rio Ave / V. Guimaraes
3%
28/120/1
9%
Rio Ave / Draw
6%
14/112/1
8%
Draw / Rio Ave
11%
6/1
17%
6/1
17%
Draw / V. Guimaraes
16%
4/1
17%
4/1
9%
Draw / Draw
18%
7/2
5%
10/3
3%
V. Guimaraes / Rio Ave
3%
33/1
17%
25/1
13%
V. Guimaraes / V. Guimaraes
22%
11/4
13%
5/2
17%
V. Guimaraes / Draw
6%
14/111/1
bet365
Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

Rio Ave have played 31 matches so far this season and are in 12th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

20 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 9 games, drawn 10 and won 1. Rio Ave have conceded 33 goals, scored 18, failed to score in 7 matches and kept 4 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Rio Ave have played 15 games at home, winning 5, drawing 7 and losing 3 fixtures. They have scored 22 goals, conceded 18 goals, kept 6 clean sheets and failed to score 2 times in home league games.

V. Guimaraes lay in 5th place on 60 points in the Liga NOS league table having played 31 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 24 games against teams below them in the table, winning 16, drawing 4 and losing 4 games. They have scored 37 goals and kept 10 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. V. Guimaraes have conceded 17 goals and have failed to score in 4 matches.

Away league performance

V. Guimaraes have played 15 away games, winning 7, drawing 4 and losing 4 games. They have scored an average of 1.1 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.1 goals per away game.

Rio Ave
Won
Draw
Lost
Scores
V. Guimaraes
HOME AWAY TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY
d
 
3-3F
l
 
2-0A
 S. Lisbon3429326790 
w
 
3-2A
l
 
3-0A
d
 
1-1A
l
 
4-1F
 Benfica3425544980 
d
 
2-2F
l
 
4-0A
l
 
1-2F
d
 
0-00-0
 Porto3422663672 
l
 
1-2F
w
 
1-2F
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
2-1F
 Braga3421582168 
l
 
2-3F
d
 
1-1A
w
 
2-1F
l
 
1-0A
 V. Guimaraes A3419691463 
-
-
l
 
0-4A
d
 
0-00-0
 Moreirense3416711155 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
1-0A
d
 
1-1F
d
 
2-2F
 Arouca3413714446 
w
 
2-1A
w
 
1-3A
d
 
1-1A
l
 
2-1F
 Famalicao34101212-442 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-3F
w
 
1-0F
d
 
1-1A
 Casa Pia3410816-1238 
l
 
0-2A
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
3-4A
d
 
1-1A
 Sporting Farense3410717-537 
d
 
1-1A
w
 
1-2F
-
-
 Rio Ave Home346199-537 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
2-1A
w
 
3-0F
d
 
1-1F
 Gil Vicente349916-1036 
w
 
2-1A
l
 
1-0A
d
 
1-1F
l
 
2-0A
 Estoril349619-933 
w
 
3-2A
w
 
1-3F
d
 
1-1F
d
 
2-2F
 Estrela Amadora3471215-2033 
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-1F
w
 
2-0F
d
 
0-00-0
 Boavista3471116-2332 
w
 
1-0F
d
 
1-1F
w
 
2-0F
d
 
2-2F
 Portimonense348818-3332 
l
 
1-2F
d
 
1-1F
d
 
1-1A
d
 
1-1F
 Vizela3451118-3026 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-1F
w
 
2-0F
d
 
0-00-0
 Chaves345821-4123 
w
 
5-0F
w
 
1-2F
Win / draw / win form
Rio Ave 11TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
6
Draw
9
Lost
5
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
W
3
Draw
14
L
3
V. Guimaraes 5TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
9
D
4
Lost
7
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
12
Draw
5
L
3
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
V. Guimaraes have kept a clean sheet in 3 consecutive league meetings with Rio Ave
League games at Rio Ave since 2016
Rio Ave
V. Guimaraes
Goals: Scored
5
7
Games: Scored
3 / 7
5 / 7
Clean sheets
2 / 7
4 / 7
RIO
2
D
2
GUI
3
All league games since 2015
Rio Ave
V. Guimaraes
Goals: Scored
13
22
Games: Scored
7 / 15
12 / 15
Clean sheets
3 / 15
8 / 15
RIO
4
D
3
GUI
8
Goal Statistics
Rio Ave 11th V. Guimaraes 5th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.2
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
29%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 65% probability that Rio Ave will score no more than 1 goal
0
33%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 70% probability that V. Guimaraes will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
=0
Rio Ave’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-5
V. Guimaraes’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.3
average goals scored
1.1
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
1.3
conceded
 
Statistics Liga NOS - 2023/2024 Season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/264923/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Rio Ave
PG (predicted goals)
V. Guimaraes
1.2
1.1
Attack rating
RIO
GUI
16%
better
view stats
Games scored25
28
Failed to score9
6
Scored first19
20
Goals scored38
52
Avg. goals scored1.1
1.5
Avg. shots per game8
10
Avg. shots per goal7
7
Conversion rate13%
15%
KickOff rating
+16%
Defence rating
3%
better
RIO
GUI
view stats
Games conceded24
24
Clean sheets10
10
Conceded first10
13
Goals conceded43
38
Avg. goals conceded1.3
1.1
Avg. shots/game conceded10
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
7
Conversion rate12%
14%
KickOff rating
+3%

Rio Ave v V. Guimaraes Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

Rio Ave Liga NOS squad statistics 2023/2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
347510
CostinhaE BoatengCostinhaJ Graça
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Jhonatan GLK26
4
-
R Pantalon DEF191
6
-
A Santos DEF323
7
-
P William DEF20
5
-
Costinha MID3435
4
-
M Tanlongo MID121
5
-
J Graça MID28
10
-
U Embaló MID1411
1
-
E Boateng FWD2772
8
-
Aziz FWD1662
-
Joca  FWD2842
2
-
Subs
C Miszta GLK1
-
M Nóbrega DEF211
8
-
H Sá DEF41
-
V Gomes MID17
3
-
Amine MID281
7
-
F Ronaldo FWD3413
3
-
Ukra FWD6
1
-
M Vrousai  FWD141
-
Z Manuel FWD242
2
-
V. Guimaraes Liga NOS squad statistics 2023/2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
321159
J SilvaJ SilvaT SilvaT Ribeiro
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
B Varela GLK27
2
-
Manu DEF232
5
-
T Borevkovic DEF23
2
1
T Ribeiro DEF2911
9
-
Maga MID22
2
-
A André MID183
9
-
T Händel  MID3121
5
-
T Silva MID2955
8
-
B Gaspar MID2823
7
-
J Silva FWD33115
7
-
K César FWD12
4
-
Subs
Charles GLK8
2
-
R Mangas DEF2313
2
-
Z Carlos DEF23
4
-
J Fernandes DEF2911
5
-
A Baio DEF1
-
M Villanueva DEF6
1
-
N Santos MID2724
4
1
A Butzke FWD16
-
N Oliveira FWD1522
5
-
Portuguese Liga NOS match betting previews, predictions and odds