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Sporting Farense v Estoril : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Estadio de Sao Luis, Faro

José Albano Ferreira da Mota's Sporting Farense side enjoy home advantage in the Liga NOS on Sunday afternoon, as Vasco Seabra's Estoril arrive at the Estadio de Sao Luis. Liga NOS stats are the foundation of the predictions you'll find below, with head-to-head records included too. You can view it all, with graphics and odds from leading bookmakers available for seventeen major betting markets via the tabs.

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The last Portuguese Liga NOS meeting between Sporting Farense and Estoril was on Sunday 5th May 2024

Portuguese Liga NOS

May 5th 2024

Sporting Farense 3	2 Estoril

G. Oliveira Silva 36'	45' F. Garcia Andrade
M. Andrade Gama de Oliveira 45'	52' R. Gomes
B. Duarte da Silva 65'

	FAR EST
Shots On	5 2
Shots Off	5 3
Corners	3 3
Possession	51% 49%
Fouls	15 13
Yellow/red cards	3/0

Sporting Farense	Estoril

M. Silva Velho G. Oliveira Silva David Pastor I. Rossi Branco T. Alves Pereira Oliveira M. Andrade Gama de Oliveira (J. Cardoso Santo 81') C. Santos R. Pereira Pinto Barbosa (V. Rodrigues Gonçalves 66') B. Duarte da Silva (R. Silva Costa 90') M. Belloumi (E. Baldé 81') M. Lopes Matias (C. Ponde 66')	M. Passos Carné J. Othavio Basso (F. Fonseca de Jesus 82') W. Cardoso Pina P. Costa Álvaro (R. Parra Artal 82') B. Cardoso Vital J. Freitas Silva Marques (R. Guitane 71') V. de Souza Zanocelo M. Espanha Fernandes (A. Marqués Méndez 71') C. Dias Moreira R. Gomes (H. Borges Tavares 77') F. Garcia Andrade

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We're ruling out a bore-draw or a slim 1-0 win here, and instead we're tipping over 1.5 goals. That means that Sporting Farense and Estoril will score at least 2 between them during the standard 90 mins. It's a tip based on form stats for each side, as well as past records of their head-to-head clashes. We give it a probability of 75%. The bookmakers have it priced at 1.20.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Sporting Farense are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 43% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.55.

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Sporting Farense 43%	7/4 10%	13/8 5%
Draw 26%	2/1 8%	2/1 12%
Estoril 32%	9/5 2%	9/5 2%
Draw 1-1 12%	5/1 8%	19/4 4%
Sporting Farense 1-0 10%	9/1 5%	15/2
Sporting Farense 2-1 9%	9/1	8/1 6%
Estoril 1-0 8%	9/1	8/1 6%
Estoril 2-1 7%	10/1 10%	8/1
Sporting Farense 2-0 7%	14/1 15%	11/1 9%
Draw 0-0 7%	9/1 9%	7/1 11%
Draw 2-2 6%	10/1 8%	9/1 9%
Estoril 2-0 5%	14/1	12/1 8%
Sporting Farense 3-1 4%	20/1 11%	14/1
Sporting Farense 3-0 4%	25/1	20/1 11%
Estoril 3-1 3%	20/1	16/1
Sporting Farense 3-2 3%	28/1 12%	18/1
Estoril 3-2 2%	28/1	20/1
Estoril 3-0 2%	28/1	22/1 10%
Over 2.5 Goals 51%	17/20	-
Under 2.5 Goals 49%	19/20	-
Home 1st Goal 50%	5/6	-
Away 1st Goal 46%	11/10	-
No 1st Goal 4%	9/1 9%	-
BTTS - Yes 55%	8/13 3%	8/13 3%
BTTS - No 45%	6/5 5%	23/20 2%
BTTS - Home Win 20%	4/1 5%	7/2 2%
BTTS - Draw 19%	11/4 13%	29/10 7%
BTTS - Away Win 15%	4/1	19/5
Home/draw 68%	2/5	2/5 3%
Away/draw 57%	2/5 7%	10/21 1%
Home/away 74%	4/11 2%	4/11 5%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%	1/4	-
Under 1.5 Goals 25%	11/4	-
Over 3.5 Goals 29%	2/1	-
Under 3.5 Goals 71%	4/11	-
Over 4.5 Goals 14%	5/1	-
Under 4.5 Goals 86%	1/8	-
Over 5.5 Goals 6%	12/1	-
Under 5.5 Goals 94%	1/25	-
Over 0.5 Goals 93%	1/20	-
Under 0.5 Goals 7%	10/1	-
Home DNB 61%	5/6 2%	4/5 3%
Away DNB 50%	5/6 4%	10/11 2%
Sporting Farense win to nil 22%	4/1 11%	-
Estoril win to nil 16%	4/1	-
Sporting Farense / Sporting Farense 19%	10/3 8%	16/5 8%
Sporting Farense / Estoril 3%	25/1	20/1
Sporting Farense / Draw 7%	12/1	10/1 8%
Draw / Sporting Farense 14%	5/1	19/4
Draw / Estoril 13%	5/1 8%	5/1
Draw / Draw 16%	9/2	10/3 10%
Estoril / Sporting Farense 3%	25/1	20/1
Estoril / Estoril 18%	10/3	7/2 4%
Estoril / Draw 7%	12/1	10/1 8%

Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

Sporting Farense have played 31 matches so far this season and lay in 11th place in the Liga NOS league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 11 games against teams below in the table, having won 5, drawn 3 and lost 3 matches. They have kept 6 clean sheets and have failed to score in 4 fixtures. They have been outscored by their opponents by 46 goals to 42 goals.

Home League Performance

Sporting Farense have played 15 games at home winning 5, drawing 4 and losing 6 games. They have scored 20 goals, kept 6 clean sheets and conceded 18 goals at home.

Estoril are in 13th position in the Liga NOS on 33 points having played 31 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

9 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 35 goals and kept 2 clean sheets. They have scored 21 goals in total and failed to score in 2 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

21 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 12 games, drawn 3 and won 6. Estoril have conceded 38 goals, scored 30, failed to score in 3 fixtures and have kept 7 clean sheets.

Sporting Farense

Won

Draw

Lost

Scores

Estoril

HOME	AWAY	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY
l 2-3A	l 3-2A	S. Lisbon	34	29	3	2	67	90	l 0-1A	l 5-1A
l 1-3A	d 1-1F	Benfica	34	25	5	4	49	80	l 0-1A	l 3-1A
l 1-3A	l 2-1A	Porto	34	22	6	6	36	72	w 1-0F	w 0-1F
w 3-1F	l 2-1A	Braga	34	21	5	8	21	68	l 0-1A	l 3-1F
l 1-2A	d 1-1F	V. Guimaraes	34	19	6	9	14	63	l 1-3A	l 3-2F
l 0-1A	l 1-0A	Moreirense	34	16	7	11	1	55	l 1-3A	l 2-1A
w 2-0F	l 2-1A	Arouca	34	13	7	14	4	46	l 1-2F	l 4-3F
d 1-1A	l 1-0A	Famalicao	34	10	12	12	-4	42	w 1-0F	d 1-1F
l 0-3A	w 1-3F	Casa Pia	34	10	8	16	-12	38	w 4-0F	d 0-00-0
-	-	Sporting Farense H	34	10	7	17	-5	37	w 4-0F	l 3-2A
d 1-1F	w 3-4F	Rio Ave	34	6	19	9	-5	37	w 2-0F	d 1-1A
w 1-0F	l 2-0A	Gil Vicente	34	9	9	16	-10	36	l 1-3F	l 5-3A
w 3-2F	l 4-0A	Estoril Away	34	9	6	19	-9	33	-	-
d 0-00-0	w 0-3F	Estrela Amadora	34	7	12	15	-20	33	w 1-0F	l 2-1A
w 2-0F	w 1-3F	Boavista	34	7	11	16	-23	32	l 1-2A	l 2-1A
l 1-3A	l 1-0A	Portimonense	34	8	8	18	-33	32	w 1-0F	l 1-0A
d 0-00-0	l 2-1F	Vizela	34	5	11	18	-30	26	d 2-2F	d 3-3A
w 5-0F	d 1-1F	Chaves	34	5	8	21	-41	23	w 4-0F	d 2-2A

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

HOME FORM
Sporting Farense	1 - 3	Benfica
Sporting Farense	2 - 0	Boavista
Sporting Farense	1 - 1	Rio Ave
Sporting Farense	0 - 1	Moreirense
Sporting Farense	1 - 1	Famalicao
Sporting Farense	1 - 3	Porto
Sporting Farense	1 - 0	Gil Vicente
Sporting Farense	0 - 0	Estrela Amadora
Sporting Farense	1 - 2	V. Guimaraes
Sporting Farense	2 - 0	Arouca
Sporting Farense	0 - 0	Vizela
Sporting Farense	2 - 3	S. Lisbon
Sporting Farense	3 - 1	Braga
Sporting Farense	5 - 0	Chaves
Sporting Farense	0 - 3	Casa Pia
Sporting Farense	1 - 0	Tondela
Sporting Farense	2 - 2	V. Guimaraes
Sporting Farense	1 - 1	Portimonense
Sporting Farense	0 - 1	S. Lisbon
Sporting Farense	1 - 2	Braga

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM
A	Sporting Farense	3 - 0	Estrela Amadora
H	Sporting Farense	1 - 3	Benfica
A	Sporting Farense	1 - 1	V. Guimaraes
H	Sporting Farense	2 - 0	Boavista
A	Sporting Farense	1 - 2	Arouca
H	Sporting Farense	1 - 1	Rio Ave
A	Sporting Farense	1 - 2	Vizela
A	Sporting Farense	2 - 3	S. Lisbon
H	Sporting Farense	0 - 1	Moreirense
A	Sporting Farense	1 - 2	Braga
H	Sporting Farense	1 - 1	Famalicao
A	Sporting Farense	1 - 1	Chaves
H	Sporting Farense	1 - 3	Porto
A	Sporting Farense	3 - 1	Casa Pia
A	Sporting Farense	0 - 1	Portimonense
H	Sporting Farense	1 - 0	Gil Vicente
A	Sporting Farense	0 - 4	Estoril
H	Sporting Farense	0 - 0	Estrela Amadora
A	Sporting Farense	1 - 1	Benfica
H	Sporting Farense	1 - 2	V. Guimaraes

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

18 / 20

Clean sheets

2 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM
Chaves	2 - 2	Estoril
Casa Pia	0 - 0	Estoril
Benfica	3 - 1	Estoril
Vizela	3 - 3	Estoril
Boavista	2 - 1	Estoril
Rio Ave	1 - 1	Estoril
S. Lisbon	5 - 1	Estoril
Famalicao	1 - 1	Estoril
Braga	3 - 1	Estoril
Porto	0 - 1	Estoril
Portimonense	1 - 0	Estoril
V. Guimaraes	3 - 2	Estoril
Gil Vicente	5 - 3	Estoril
Estrela Amadora	2 - 1	Estoril
Arouca	4 - 3	Estoril
Casa Pia	2 - 2	Estoril
Boavista	1 - 0	Estoril
Benfica	1 - 0	Estoril
Braga	4 - 1	Estoril
Porto	3 - 2	Estoril

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

18 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

2 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM
H	Estoril	1 - 0	Famalicao
A	Estoril	2 - 2	Chaves
H	Estoril	0 - 1	Braga
A	Estoril	0 - 0	Casa Pia
H	Estoril	1 - 0	Porto
H	Estoril	1 - 0	Portimonense
A	Estoril	1 - 3	Benfica
H	Estoril	1 - 3	V. Guimaraes
A	Estoril	3 - 3	Vizela
H	Estoril	1 - 3	Gil Vicente
A	Estoril	1 - 2	Boavista
H	Estoril	1 - 0	Estrela Amadora
A	Estoril	1 - 1	Rio Ave
H	Estoril	1 - 2	Arouca
H	Estoril	1 - 3	Moreirense
A	Estoril	1 - 5	S. Lisbon
H	Estoril	4 - 0	Sporting Farense
A	Estoril	1 - 1	Famalicao
H	Estoril	4 - 0	Chaves
A	Estoril	1 - 3	Braga

Goal Statistics

Sporting Farense have been consistent in attack of late, scoring in 8 consecutive Liga NOS outings. Their PG of 1.5 against Estoril on Sunday suggests that run is likely to continue.

	Sporting Farense 10th	Estoril 13th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.5 goals	1.2 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 23% 1 34% 2 25% 3 12% 4+ There is a 77% probability that Sporting Farense will score 1 or more goals	0 29% 1 36% 2 22% 3 9% 4+ There is a 65% probability that Estoril will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	+1 Sporting Farense’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	+23 Estoril have scored 23% more goals when away than predicted
	1.3 average goals scored	1.3 average goals scored
	1.2 conceded	2.3 conceded

Statistics Liga NOS - 2023/2024 Season

FAR

EST

14%

better

view stats

Games scored	25		29
Failed to score	9		5
Scored first	15		16
Goals scored	46		49
Avg. goals scored	1.4		1.4
Avg. shots per game	9		9
Avg. shots per goal	7		6
Conversion rate	15%		17%
KickOff rating		+14%

better

FAR

EST

view stats

Games conceded	27		24
Clean sheets	7		10
Conceded first	17		17
Goals conceded	51		58
Avg. goals conceded	1.5		1.7
Avg. shots/game conceded	13		11
Avg. shots/goal conceded	9		6
Conversion rate	12%		16%
KickOff rating		+2%

Sporting Farense v Estoril Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

Sporting Farense Liga NOS squad statistics 2023/2024

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
33	13	5	12
G Silva	B Duarte	M Matias	C Falcão

Line-up	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
R Velho GLK	32			2 -
Pastor DEF	30		2	8 -
G Silva DEF	33	1		3 1
I Rossi DEF	13			4 -
Talys DEF	13			-
R Barbosa MID	27	1	1	1 -
C Falcão MID	31	4	1	12 -
Mattheus MID	32	5	1	5 1
Belloumi FWD	33	7	4	3 -
B Duarte FWD	32	13	3	5 -
M Matias FWD	33	2	5	4 -
Subs
M Carvalho GLK	2			-
Talocha DEF	26		1	3 -
Z Muscat DEF	22	2		5 1
V Gonçalves MID	23	1		-
J Velásquez MID	2			-
F Isidoro MID	31	3	1	7 -
E Baldé FWD	28	1	3	-
R Costa FWD	21	3	2	2 -
C Ponde FWD	14	1	1	-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
13	25	5	8
B Duarte	B Duarte	M Matias	Mattheus

Line-up	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
B Duarte FWD	13	25	3	5
Belloumi FWD	7	23	4	8
Mattheus MID	5	19	1	8
C Falcão MID	4	8	1	3
M Matias FWD	2	17	5	8
G Silva DEF	1	6		1
R Barbosa MID	1	8	1	4
Pastor DEF		2	2	2
I Rossi DEF		1		1
Talys DEF		1		2
Subs
F Isidoro MID	3	7	1	7
R Costa FWD	3	7	2	2
Z Muscat DEF	2	4
V Gonçalves MID	1	2		2
E Baldé FWD	1	3	3	4
C Ponde FWD	1	3	1	3
Talocha DEF		3	1	4

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1359	81	169
G Silva	C Falcão	C Falcão

Line-up	passes	tackles	duels won
G Silva DEF	1359	34	97
Mattheus MID	931	44	151
R Velho GLK	920		24
C Falcão MID	877	81	169
Pastor DEF	866	56	116
Belloumi FWD	550	40	122
B Duarte FWD	511	15	159
M Matias FWD	462	43	133
I Rossi DEF	438	8	60
R Barbosa MID	344	12	45
Talys DEF	336	18	47
Subs
Z Muscat DEF	797	12	60
Talocha DEF	791	38	103
F Isidoro MID	656	25	104
V Gonçalves MID	227	11	47
E Baldé FWD	196	9	52
R Costa FWD	141	4	46
C Ponde FWD	79	4	13
M Carvalho GLK	41		1
J Velásquez MID	9		1

Estoril Liga NOS squad statistics 2023/2024

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
31	9	7	8
R Guitane	A Marqués	R Gomes	J Marques

Line-up	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
M Carné GLK	22			3 1
P Álvaro DEF	20		1	6 1
J Basso DEF	14	1		2 -
B Vital DEF	29	1		5 1
R Gomes MID	30	7	7	5 1
M Fernandes MID	28	1	2	6 -
V Zanocelo MID	15	1		3 -
W. Cardoso Pina MID	22			3 -
F. Garcia Andrade FWD	10	2		1 -
Cassiano FWD	29	7	3	2 -
J Marques FWD	32	5	5	8 -
Subs
D Figueira GLK	12			1 -
E Mangala DEF	17	1		3 -
R Parra DEF	13	1	1	1 -
Volnei DEF	21		2	4 -
R Guitane MID	33	5	3	-
Michel Costa MID	8			-
A Marqués FWD	31	9	1	3 -
J Carlos FWD	19	2		4 -
H Tavares FWD	32	2		5 -

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
9	20	7	14
A Marqués	J Marques	R Gomes	R Guitane

Line-up	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
R Gomes MID	7	18	7	8
Cassiano FWD	7	16	3	2
J Marques FWD	5	20	5	5
F. Garcia Andrade FWD	2	4		2
J Basso DEF	1	1
B Vital DEF	1	3
M Fernandes MID	1	6	2	2
V Zanocelo MID	1	1		1
P Álvaro DEF		2	1	2
W. Cardoso Pina MID		2		1
Subs
A Marqués FWD	9	18	1	1
R Guitane MID	5	8	3	14
J Carlos FWD	2	8		2
H Tavares FWD	2	7		2
E Mangala DEF	1	1
R Parra DEF	1	2	1
Volnei DEF		5	2	2
Michel Costa MID				1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1576	81	193
B Vital	M Fernandes	M Fernandes

Line-up	passes	tackles	duels won
B Vital DEF	1576	38	110
M Fernandes MID	1272	81	193
P Álvaro DEF	915	12	56
R Gomes MID	688	49	107
J Basso DEF	666	26	63
V Zanocelo MID	598	16	40
M Carné GLK	592	1	9
J Marques FWD	562	38	141
W. Cardoso Pina MID	354	33	81
Cassiano FWD	218	31	86
F. Garcia Andrade FWD	57	13	38
Subs
R Guitane MID	985	20	181
Volnei DEF	787	19	58
E Mangala DEF	594	15	35
R Parra DEF	373	8	15
H Tavares FWD	315	15	64
D Figueira GLK	260	2	4
A Marqués FWD	178	10	43
Michel Costa MID	170	9	19
J Carlos FWD	89	3	36

Portuguese Liga NOS match betting previews, predictions and odds

Sporting Farense v Estoril : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sporting Farense have played 31 matches so far this season and lay in 11th place in the Liga NOS league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

Home League Performance

Estoril are in 13th position in the Liga NOS on 33 points having played 31 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

Performance against teams above them in the league

Sporting Farense v Estoril Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

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