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Bayern Munich v Real Madrid : Champions League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Wed 15th Apr, 20:00 BST, Allianz Arena, München

Wednesday night sees Vincent Kompany’s Bayern Munich and Álvaro Arbeloa Coca’s Real Madrid go head to head in a Champions League clash at the Allianz Arena. The aim of this preview is, quite simply, to help you make the smartest bet possible. To this end, statistics for every betting market have been published below, with head-to-head records and statistically significant form streaks highlighted. Odds from leading bookmakers are provided too.

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Champions League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Bayern to win

A Champions League win on home turf for Vincent Kompany's Bayern side win in the win / draw / win market is what we're predicting. Stats suggest they're in strong form across a number of key metrics, and they should have too much for their opponents. The odds from the bookies are pointing in the same direction, and when that happens you've got a pretty compelling case. A Bayern win is our recommendation, but it could be a close one.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Bayern are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 61% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.60.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Bayern 61%	4/7	3/5
Draw 18%	15/4	19/5
Real Madrid 20%	15/4	7/2
Bayern 2-1 9%	17/2	8/1
Bayern 3-1 7%	10/1	9/1
Draw 1-1 7%	10/1	9/1
Draw 2-2 6%	11/1	10/1
Bayern 2-0 6%	12/1	11/1
Bayern 3-2 5%	14/1	14/1
Bayern 3-0 5%	14/1	12/1
Real Madrid 2-1 5%	14/1	12/1
Bayern 1-0 5%	16/1	12/1
Bayern 4-1 5%	16/1	12/1
Bayern 4-2 3%	22/1	18/1
Bayern 4-0 3%	22/1	18/1
Real Madrid 3-2 3%	22/1	18/1
Real Madrid 1-0 3%	25/1	18/1
Draw 3-3 3%	25/1	20/1
Over 2.5 Goals 76%	2/7	2/7
Under 2.5 Goals 24%	11/4	12/5
Home 1st Goal 54%	1/2	1/2
Away 1st Goal 45%	6/4	6/4
No 1st Goal 1%	33/1	20/1
BTTS - Yes 70%	4/11	4/11
BTTS - No 30%	2/1	19/10
BTTS - Home Win 39%	11/8	11/8
BTTS - Draw 16%	4/1	19/5
BTTS - Away Win 14%	5/1	19/4
Home/draw 79%	2/11	1/5
Away/draw 39%	13/10	13/10
Home/away 82%	2/11	2/11
Over 1.5 Goals 91%	1/12	1/14
Under 1.5 Goals 9%	7/1	13/2
Over 3.5 Goals 56%	8/11	7/10
Under 3.5 Goals 44%	11/10	21/20
Over 4.5 Goals 36%	13/8	6/4
Under 4.5 Goals 64%	1/2	10/21
Over 5.5 Goals 21%	10/3	16/5
Under 5.5 Goals 79%	2/9	1/5
Over 0.5 Goals 98%	1/80	1/500
Under 0.5 Goals 2%	33/1	20/1
Home DNB 74%	1/4	2/7
Away DNB 33%	11/4	12/5
Bayern win to nil 22%	3/1	-
Real Madrid win to nil 6%	12/1	-
Bayern / Bayern 35%	5/4	13/10
Bayern / Real Madrid 3%	25/1	22/1
Bayern / Draw 6%	14/1	12/1
Draw / Bayern 16%	4/1	4/1
Draw / Real Madrid 8%	10/1	9/1
Draw / Draw 9%	8/1	7/1
Real Madrid / Bayern 5%	14/1	14/1
Real Madrid / Real Madrid 11%	13/2	11/2
Real Madrid / Draw 6%	14/1	11/1

Win / draw / win Champions League table

Bayern have played 8 matches so far this season and lay in 2nd place in the Champions League league table. Bayern have won all their 10 games against teams below them in the table and kept 2 clean sheets in those games. Bayern have a great home record this season winning all their home games and keeping 2 clean sheets.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 10 games against teams below in the table, having won 10, drawn 0 and lost no matches. They have kept 2 clean sheets and have scored in every game. Bayern have outscored their opponents by 22 goals to 21 goals.

Home League Performance

Bayern have played 5 games at home winning 5, drawing 0 and losing 0 games. They have scored 16 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and conceded 3 goals at home.

Real Madrid are in 9th position in the Champions League on 15 points having played 8 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

2 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 9 goals and kept 2 clean sheets. They have scored 14 goals in total and failed to score in 1 fixture.

Performance against teams above them in the league

5 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 3 games, drawn 0 and won 2. Real Madrid have conceded 6 goals, scored 7, failed to score in 1 fixture and have kept 1 clean sheet.

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Bayern Real Madrid
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Arsenal	8	8	0	0	19	24	-	l 3-1A	-	-
2	Bayern	8	7	0	1	14	21	-	-	l 1-2A	Apr 15
3	Liverpool	8	6	0	2	12	18	-	-	-	l 1-0A
4	Spurs	8	5	2	1	10	17	-	-	-	-
5	Barcelona	8	5	1	2	8	16	-	-	-	-
6	Chelsea	8	5	1	2	7	16	w 3-1F	-	-	-
7	S. Lisbon	8	5	1	2	6	16	w 3-1A	-	-	-
8	Man City	8	5	1	2	6	16	-	-	l 1-2F	w 1-2F
9	Real Madrid	8	5	0	3	9	15	Apr 15	w 1-2F	-	-
10	Inter	8	5	0	3	8	15	-	-	-	-
11	PSG	8	4	2	2	10	14	-	w 1-2F	-	-
12	Newcastle	8	4	2	2	10	14	-	-	-	-
13	Juventus	8	3	4	1	4	13	-	-	w 1-0F	-
14	A.Madrid	8	4	1	3	2	13	-	-	-	-
15	Atalanta	8	4	1	3	0	13	w 4-1F	w 1-6F	-	-
16	Leverkusen	8	3	3	2	-1	12	-	-	-	-
17	Dortmund	8	3	2	3	2	11	-	-	-	-
18	Olympiakos	8	3	2	3	-4	11	-	-	-	w 3-4A
19	Brugge	8	3	1	4	-2	10	w 4-0F	-	-	-
20	Galatasaray	8	3	1	4	-2	10	-	-	-	-
21	Monaco	8	2	4	2	-6	10	-	-	w 6-1F	-
22	Qarabag	8	3	1	4	-8	10	-	-	-	-
23	Bodø	8	2	3	3	-1	9	-	-	-	-
24	Benfica	8	3	0	5	-2	9	-	-	w 2-1A	l 4-2F
25	Marseille	8	3	0	5	-3	9	-	-	w 2-1A	-
26	Paphos	8	2	3	3	-3	9	-	w 1-5F	-	-
27	Union SG	8	3	0	5	-9	9	w 2-0F	-	-	-
28	PSV	8	2	2	4	0	8	-	w 1-2F	-	-
29	A.Bilbao	8	2	2	4	-5	8	-	-	-	-
30	Napoli	8	2	2	4	-6	8	-	-	-	-
31	Kobenhavn	8	2	2	4	-9	8	-	-	-	-
32	Ajax	8	2	0	6	-13	6	-	-	-	-
33	E.Frankfurt	8	1	1	6	-11	4	-	-	-	-
34	Slavia	8	0	3	5	-14	3	-	-	-	-
35	Villarreal	8	0	1	7	-13	1	-	-	-	-
36	Kairat Almaty	8	0	1	7	-15	1	-	-	-	w 0-5F

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Win / draw / win form

Bayern have won 6 consecutive european games

Bayern have not lost in 6 consecutive european games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

19 / 20

Conceded

11 / 20

Clean sheets

9 / 20

Failed to score

1 / 20

Won

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Bayern	4 - 1	Atalanta
Bayern	2 - 0	Union SG
Bayern	3 - 1	S. Lisbon
Bayern	4 - 0	Brugge
Bayern	3 - 1	Chelsea
Bayern	1 - 2	Inter
Bayern	3 - 0	Leverkusen
Bayern	1 - 1	Celtic
Bayern	3 - 1	S. Bratislava
Bayern	1 - 0	PSG
Bayern	1 - 0	Benfica
Bayern	9 - 2	D. Zagreb
Bayern	2 - 2	Real Madrid
Bayern	1 - 0	Arsenal
Bayern	3 - 0	Lazio
Bayern	0 - 0	Kobenhavn
Bayern	2 - 1	Galatasaray
Bayern	4 - 3	Man Utd
Bayern	1 - 1	Man City
Bayern	2 - 0	PSG

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

19 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

1 / 20

Won

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Bayern	2 - 1	Real Madrid
H	Bayern	4 - 1	Atalanta
A	Bayern	6 - 1	Atalanta
A	Bayern	2 - 1	PSV
H	Bayern	2 - 0	Union SG
H	Bayern	3 - 1	S. Lisbon
A	Bayern	1 - 3	Arsenal
A	Bayern	2 - 1	PSG
H	Bayern	4 - 0	Brugge
A	Bayern	5 - 1	Paphos
H	Bayern	3 - 1	Chelsea
A	Bayern	2 - 2	Inter
H	Bayern	1 - 2	Inter
A	Bayern	2 - 0	Leverkusen
H	Bayern	3 - 0	Leverkusen
H	Bayern	1 - 1	Celtic
A	Bayern	2 - 1	Celtic
H	Bayern	3 - 1	S. Bratislava
A	Bayern	0 - 3	Feyenoord
A	Bayern	5 - 1	Shakhtar

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Man City	1 - 2	Real Madrid
Benfica	0 - 1	Real Madrid
Benfica	4 - 2	Real Madrid
Olympiakos	3 - 4	Real Madrid
Liverpool	1 - 0	Real Madrid
Kairat Almaty	0 - 5	Real Madrid
Arsenal	3 - 0	Real Madrid
A.Madrid	1 - 0	Real Madrid
Man City	2 - 3	Real Madrid
Brest	0 - 3	Real Madrid
Atalanta	2 - 3	Real Madrid
Liverpool	2 - 0	Real Madrid
Lille	1 - 0	Real Madrid
Dortmund	0 - 2	Real Madrid
Bayern	2 - 2	Real Madrid
Man City	1 - 1	Real Madrid
RB Leipzig	0 - 1	Real Madrid
Union Berlin	2 - 3	Real Madrid
Braga	1 - 2	Real Madrid
Napoli	2 - 3	Real Madrid

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

17 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

3 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Real Madrid	1 - 2	Bayern
A	Real Madrid	2 - 1	Man City
H	Real Madrid	3 - 0	Man City
H	Real Madrid	2 - 1	Benfica
A	Real Madrid	1 - 0	Benfica
A	Real Madrid	2 - 4	Benfica
H	Real Madrid	6 - 1	Monaco
H	Real Madrid	1 - 2	Man City
A	Real Madrid	4 - 3	Olympiakos
A	Real Madrid	0 - 1	Liverpool
H	Real Madrid	1 - 0	Juventus
A	Real Madrid	5 - 0	Kairat Almaty
H	Real Madrid	2 - 1	Marseille
H	Real Madrid	1 - 2	Arsenal
A	Real Madrid	0 - 3	Arsenal
A	Real Madrid	0 - 1	A.Madrid
H	Real Madrid	2 - 1	A.Madrid
H	Real Madrid	3 - 1	Man City
A	Real Madrid	3 - 2	Man City
A	Real Madrid	3 - 0	Brest

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Bayern

Real Madrid

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

6 / 7

7 / 7

Clean sheets

0 / 7

1 / 7

FCB

RMD

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Bayern
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
	1 - 2	Real Madrid
	1 - 2	Real Madrid
	0 - 4	Real Madrid
Bayern	2 - 1
Bayern	2 - 1
Draw	1 - 1	Draw

Real Madrid

Bayern

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

8 / 8

6 / 8

Clean sheets

2 / 8

0 / 8

FCB

RMD

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Real Madrid
	1 - 2	Bayern
Real Madrid	2 - 1
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
Real Madrid	4 - 2
Real Madrid	1 - 0
Real Madrid	2 - 1
Real Madrid	3 - 2
Real Madrid	1 - 0

Goal Statistics

Bayern Munich's forwards have been superb of late, scoring 2 goals or more in 6 consecutive Champions League matches. A PG of 2.5 suggests that run should continue on Wednesday night.

Bayern Munich's defensive record is very strong, V. Kompany's men having conceded 1 or less in 6 consecutive Champions League games. An average PG rating of 1.4 for Real Madrid makes sense in this context.

	Bayern 2nd	Real Madrid 9th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	2.5 goals	1.4 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 8% 1 20% 2 26% 3 22% 4+ 25% There is a 72% probability that Bayern will score 2 or more goals in this match	0 24% 1 34% 2 25% 3 12% 4+ There is a 76% probability that Real Madrid will score 1 or more goals

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-4 Bayern’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	+4 Real Madrid’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	2.5 average goals scored	1.9 average goals scored
	0.8 conceded	1.4 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Champions League - 2025/2025 season

29%

better

FCB

RMD

view stats

Games scored	19		19
Failed to score	0		1
Scored first	13		13
Goals scored	63		43
Avg. goals scored	3.2		2.2
Avg. shots per game	14		12
Avg. shots per goal	4		6
Conversion rate for	23		18
Avg. XG for	2.8		1.9
KickOff rating		+29%

better

FCB

RMD

view stats

Games conceded	15		15
Clean sheets	4		5
Conceded first	6		7
Goals conceded	20		24
Avg. goals conceded	1		1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded	8		9
Avg. shots/goal conceded	8		7
Conversion rate against	12%		14%
Avg. XG against	1.5		1.4
KickOff rating		+7%

The line-ups for the Champions League match between Bayern v Real Madrid will show here when available.

Bayern Champions League squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
11	11	6	4
A Pavlović	H Kane	M Olise	K Laimer

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
J Tah DEF	11	1	1	2 -
A Pavlović MID	11			-
J Kimmich MID	10			2 -
T Bischof MID	10			1 -
S Gnabry FWD	10	2	5	-
M Olise FWD	10	3	6	3 -
H Kane FWD	10	11		-
D Upamecano DEF	9		1	2 -
L Goretzka MID	9			-
L Díaz FWD	9	5	3	1 1
M Neuer GLK	8			2 -
K Laimer DEF	8		3	4 -
N Jackson FWD	8	3	3	-
J Stanisic DEF	7	1	1	1 -
M Kim DEF	7			2 1
R Guerreiro MID	7	1		-
L. Karl MID	7	4	2	-
A Davies DEF	5		1	-
H Ito DEF	4			-
J Urbig GLK	3			-
J Musiala MID	3	2		1 -

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
11	19	6	7
H Kane	H Kane	M Olise	S Gnabry

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
H Kane FWD	11	19		5
L Díaz FWD	5	12	3	6
L. Karl MID	4	9	2	3
M Olise FWD	3	14	6	7
N Jackson FWD	3	10	3	3
S Gnabry FWD	2	6	5	7
J Musiala MID	2	3
J Tah DEF	1	1	1
J Stanisic DEF	1	2	1	2
R Guerreiro MID	1	3		2
A Pavlović MID		5		1
J Kimmich MID		2		2
T Bischof MID		1
D Upamecano DEF		3	1	1
K Laimer DEF			3	2
A Davies DEF			1
J Urbig GLK				1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
929	20	60
A Pavlović	K Laimer	M Olise

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
A Pavlović MID	929	12	23
J Kimmich MID	866	12	34
J Tah DEF	658	16	35
D Upamecano DEF	537	16	32
M Olise FWD	471	9	60
L Díaz FWD	400	5	34
K Laimer DEF	327	20	33
M Neuer GLK	302		2
J Stanisic DEF	290	14	23
L. Karl MID	277	10	18
M Kim DEF	277	4	13
R Guerreiro MID	272	6	10
T Bischof MID	271	7	17
H Kane FWD	253	3	47
S Gnabry FWD	217	9	16
L Goretzka MID	167	3	8
N Jackson FWD	109		11
J Urbig GLK	104
H Ito DEF	81		4
A Davies DEF	66	4	8
J Musiala MID	46	1	4

Real Madrid Champions League squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
13	14	4	4
A Tchouameni	K Mbappé	A Güler	Álvaro Fernandez

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
A Tchouameni MID	13	1	1	3 -
A Güler MID	13		4	1 -
V Junior FWD	13	5	4	2 -
F Valverde MID	12	3	4	-
T Courtois GLK	11		2	-
B Díaz FWD	11	1	1	1 -
E Camavinga MID	10	1	1	1 -
K Mbappé FWD	10	14	1	2 -
D. Huijsen DEF	9			2 -
Álvaro Fernandez DEF	9			4 -
T Alexander-Arnold DEF	8		1	1 -
R. Asencio del Rosario DEF	8		1	2 1
J Bellingham MID	8	2	1	2 -
F García DEF	7			-
F. Mastantuono FWD	7	1		-
A Rüdiger DEF	6			1 -
D Carvajal DEF	5			1
T. Pitarch Pinar MID	5			-
Rodrygo FWD	5	1	1	2 1
G. García Torres FWD	5		1	-
Éder Militão DEF	4			1 -
D Ceballos MID	4			-
A Lunin GLK	3			-
D Alaba DEF	3			-
F Mendy DEF	2			-
Manuel Ibanez MID	2			-
J. Cestero Sancho MID	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
14	28	4	7
K Mbappé	K Mbappé	A Güler	V Junior

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
K Mbappé FWD	14	28	1	4
V Junior FWD	5	20	4	7
F Valverde MID	3	4	4	2
J Bellingham MID	2	4	1
A Tchouameni MID	1	5	1	2
B Díaz FWD	1	9	1	3
E Camavinga MID	1	2	1	1
F. Mastantuono FWD	1	5		2
Rodrygo FWD	1	5	1	4
A Güler MID		7	4	5
T Courtois GLK			2	2
D. Huijsen DEF		1
T Alexander-Arnold DEF			1	4
R. Asencio del Rosario DEF		1	1	1
G. García Torres FWD			1	1
Éder Militão DEF		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
698	24	60
A Tchouameni	A Tchouameni	A Tchouameni

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
A Tchouameni MID	698	24	60
F Valverde MID	633	21	47
D. Huijsen DEF	590	16	42
A Güler MID	571	15	49
Álvaro Fernandez DEF	499	24	55
V Junior FWD	402	5	57
R. Asencio del Rosario DEF	346	6	20
T Courtois GLK	326		3
A Rüdiger DEF	319	3	9
K Mbappé FWD	306	1	31
E Camavinga MID	306	21	42
T Alexander-Arnold DEF	296	12	16
J Bellingham MID	276	15	46
D Ceballos MID	201	5	9
Éder Militão DEF	159	4	16
B Díaz FWD	146	9	21
F García DEF	115	3	5
T. Pitarch Pinar MID	105	3	5
Rodrygo FWD	103	1	20
F. Mastantuono FWD	99	3	19
A Lunin GLK	89		3
D Alaba DEF	80	1	4
F Mendy DEF	68	1	7
D Carvajal DEF	46	3	3
G. García Torres FWD	36	2	2
Manuel Ibanez MID	14	1	2
J. Cestero Sancho MID	6		1

European Champions League match betting previews, predictions and odds

Bayern Munich v Real Madrid : Champions League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Performance against teams below them in the league

Home League Performance

Real Madrid are in 9th position in the Champions League on 15 points having played 8 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

Performance against teams above them in the league

The line-ups for the Champions League match between Bayern v Real Madrid will show here when available.

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