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Marseille v Benfica : Europa League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Stade Vélodrome, Marseille

Home advantage can be vital in the Europa League, and Jean-Louis Gasset’s Marseille will have the luxury of it on Thursday night. Roger Schmidt’s Benfica are their visitors to the Stade Vélodrome. We want to see our users winning on this match, so every statistics you could ever need to make a sound selection is laid out below. Go between 17 betting markets or take our top tip. We have predictions, head to head (H2H) analysis and odds from leading bookmakers for each one.

This match has now expired. Kickoff has all of the best football predictions for you to choose from, for all Europa League Predictions. Kickoff constantly updates all 17 football betting markets to analyse and predict football scores – whether you choose football accumulator tips, both teams to score (BTTS tips), correct score, or if you are looking for free football tips – then make sure to sign up to Kickoff.co.uk today.

Marseille's next match is v Atalanta at 20:00 on Thursday 2nd May
Benfica's next match is v Famalicao at 20:30 on Sunday 5th May

The last European Europa League meeting between Marseille and Benfica was on Thursday 18th April 2024

European Europa League

April 18th 2024

Marseille 1	0 Benfica

F. Pemi Moumbagna 79'

	MAR BEF
Shots On	5 5
Shots Off	9 4
Corners	8 6
Possession	54% 46%
Fouls	14 19
Yellow/red cards	3/0 4/0

Marseille	Benfica

P. López Sabata S. Gigot (R. Daou 100') L. Balerdi Rossa C. Mbemba Mangulu (M. Murillo Bermudez 46') G. Kondogbia J. Veretout A. Harit (G. Lafont 110') E. Soglo (L. Tomaz de Lima 58') A. Ounahi (F. Pemi Moumbagna 59') P. Aubameyang I. Ndiaye (C. Correa 75')	A. Trubin A. Tavares Silva A. Hartmann Bah N. Otamendi F. Morris Luís F. Aursnes J. Gonçalves Neves (O. Kökçü 61') C. Tengstedt (A. Mendonça Cabral 102') R. Fernandes Ferreira da Silva Á. Di María Hernández (J. Naval da Costa Eduardo 61') D. Neres Campos

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

The stats suggest there's no obvious winner for this clash, but the evidence does point towards the conclusion that Marseille and Benfica will score 2 or more goals between them. Goals have flowed freely when they've gone head-to-head in years gone by, and neither Jean-Louis Gasset or Roger Schmidt has served up too many 0-0s lately either. The bookies predict over 1.5 goals too, with top odds of 1.29 equating to approximately a 79% probability.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Marseille are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 40% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.40.

Predictions	Bet365	Coral	Betfred	888Sport
Marseille 40%	11/8	7/5	11/8 1%	-
Draw 25%	5/2	5/2	13/5	-
Benfica 35%	15/8 3%	9/5	9/5	-
Draw 1-1 11%	11/2 7%	11/2	6/1 8%	-
Marseille 2-1 9%	8/1	15/2	15/2 6%	-
Marseille 1-0 8%	8/1	15/2	8/1 6%	-
Benfica 2-1 8%	10/1	8/1	9/1	-
Benfica 1-0 8%	10/1	8/1	10/1 10%	-
Marseille 2-0 6%	12/1	10/1	12/1 8%	-
Draw 2-2 6%	11/1	10/1	11/1 8%	-
Draw 0-0 5%	12/1	9/1	12/1 8%	-
Benfica 2-0 5%	14/1	12/1	14/1	-
Marseille 3-1 4%	18/1	14/1	16/1	-
Benfica 3-1 4%	20/1	16/1	18/1 10%	-
Marseille 3-0 3%	22/1	18/1 12%	25/1	-
Marseille 3-2 3%	22/1	18/1	20/1 9%	-
Benfica 3-2 3%	25/1	18/1	25/1	-
Benfica 3-0 2%	28/1	20/1	28/1	-
Over 2.5 Goals 56%	4/5 4%	-	8/11 4%	-
Under 2.5 Goals 44%	1/1 5%	-	Evs 5%	-
Home 1st Goal 49%	4/5	-	5/6 4%	-
Away 1st Goal 47%	11/10	-	21/20	-
No 1st Goal 3%	12/1	-	11/1 9%	-
BTTS - Yes 59%	8/13	8/13	8/13 3%	-
BTTS - No 41%	6/5	6/5 2%	6/5 5%	-
BTTS - Home Win 21%	10/3	16/5	3/1 8%	-
BTTS - Draw 19%	10/3	16/5	16/5 3%	-
BTTS - Away Win 19%	4/1	19/5	18/5 8%	-
Home/draw 65%	2/5	2/5	4/9 3%	-
Away/draw 60%	8/15	11/20	4/7	-
Home/away 75%	2/7	3/10 1%	2/7 1%	-
Over 1.5 Goals 79%	1/4	-	2/9 5%	-
Under 1.5 Goals 21%	3/1	-	3/1 14%	-
Over 3.5 Goals 34%	2/1	-	7/4 15%	-
Under 3.5 Goals 66%	2/5	-	2/5 5%	-
Over 4.5 Goals 17%	9/2 10%	-	4/1 17%	-
Under 4.5 Goals 83%	1/7 3%	-	1/7 3%	-
Over 5.5 Goals 8%	10/1	-	9/1	-
Under 5.5 Goals 92%	1/20	-	1/25	-
Over 0.5 Goals 95%	1/25	-	1/25	-
Under 0.5 Goals 5%	12/1	-	9/1	-
Home DNB 58%	4/6 3%	8/11	8/11	-
Away DNB 52%	11/10 5%	1/1	Evs	-
Marseille win to nil 19%	7/2	-	7/2 7%	-
Benfica win to nil 16%	9/2	-	4/1	-
Marseille / Marseille 21%	3/1	11/4 1%	11/4	-
Marseille / Benfica 3%	25/1	20/1	28/1	-
Marseille / Draw 6%	14/1	11/1	12/1	-
Draw / Marseille 14%	9/2	9/2	5/1	-
Draw / Benfica 12%	11/2	5/1 8%	6/1	-
Draw / Draw 15%	5/1	4/1	9/2	-
Benfica / Marseille 4%	22/1	18/1	25/1	-
Benfica / Benfica 18%	7/2	17/5	7/2	-
Benfica / Draw 6%	12/1	11/1	12/1 13%	-

Win / draw / win form

Benfica have not lost in 7 consecutive european games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Lost

HOME FORM
Marseille	4 - 0	Villarreal
Marseille	3 - 1	Shakhtar
Marseille	4 - 3	Ajax
Marseille	3 - 1	AEK
Marseille	2 - 2	Brighton
Marseille	2 - 1	Panathinaikos
Marseille	1 - 2	Spurs
Marseille	4 - 1	S. Lisbon
Marseille	0 - 1	E.Frankfurt
Marseille	0 - 0	Feyenoord
Marseille	2 - 1	PAOK
Marseille	2 - 1	Basel
Marseille	3 - 1	Qarabag
Marseille	1 - 0	Lok. Moscow
Marseille	2 - 2	Lazio
Marseille	0 - 0	Galatasaray
Marseille	2 - 1	Olympiakos
Marseille	0 - 2	Porto
Marseille	0 - 3	Man City
Marseille	1 - 3	Limassol

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM
A	Marseille	1 - 2	Benfica
A	Marseille	1 - 3	Villarreal
H	Marseille	4 - 0	Villarreal
H	Marseille	3 - 1	Shakhtar
A	Marseille	2 - 2	Shakhtar
A	Marseille	0 - 1	Brighton
H	Marseille	4 - 3	Ajax
A	Marseille	2 - 0	AEK
H	Marseille	3 - 1	AEK
H	Marseille	2 - 2	Brighton
A	Marseille	3 - 3	Ajax
H	Marseille	2 - 1	Panathinaikos
A	Marseille	0 - 1	Panathinaikos
H	Marseille	1 - 2	Spurs
A	Marseille	1 - 2	E.Frankfurt
A	Marseille	2 - 0	S. Lisbon
H	Marseille	4 - 1	S. Lisbon
H	Marseille	0 - 1	E.Frankfurt
A	Marseille	0 - 2	Spurs
H	Marseille	0 - 0	Feyenoord

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

11 / 20

Clean sheets

9 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Draw

AWAY FORM
Rangers	0 - 1	Benfica
Toulouse	0 - 0	Benfica
Salzburg	1 - 3	Benfica
R.Sociedad	3 - 1	Benfica
Inter	1 - 0	Benfica
Inter	3 - 3	Benfica
Brugge	0 - 2	Benfica
M. Haifa	1 - 6	Benfica
PSG	1 - 1	Benfica
Juventus	1 - 2	Benfica
Dynamo Kyiv	0 - 2	Benfica
Midtjylland	1 - 3	Benfica
Liverpool	3 - 3	Benfica
Ajax	0 - 1	Benfica
Barcelona	0 - 0	Benfica
Bayern	5 - 2	Benfica
Dynamo Kyiv	0 - 0	Benfica
PSV	0 - 0	Benfica
Spartak M	0 - 2	Benfica
Arsenal	3 - 2	Benfica

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM
H	Benfica	2 - 1	Marseille
A	Benfica	1 - 0	Rangers
H	Benfica	2 - 2	Rangers
A	Benfica	0 - 0	Toulouse
H	Benfica	2 - 1	Toulouse
A	Benfica	3 - 1	Salzburg
H	Benfica	3 - 3	Inter
A	Benfica	1 - 3	R.Sociedad
H	Benfica	0 - 1	R.Sociedad
A	Benfica	0 - 1	Inter
H	Benfica	0 - 2	Salzburg
A	Benfica	3 - 3	Inter
H	Benfica	0 - 2	Inter
H	Benfica	5 - 1	Brugge
A	Benfica	2 - 0	Brugge
A	Benfica	6 - 1	M. Haifa
H	Benfica	4 - 3	Juventus
A	Benfica	1 - 1	PSG
H	Benfica	1 - 1	PSG
A	Benfica	2 - 1	Juventus

Goal Statistics

Marseille have been consistent in attack of late, scoring in 5 consecutive Europa League outings. Their PG of 1.5 against Benfica on Thursday suggests that run is likely to continue.

	Marseille	Benfica
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.5 goals	1.4 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 22% 1 33% 2 25% 3 13% 4+ There is a 78% probability that Marseille will score 1 or more goals	0 25% 1 35% 2 24% 3 11% 4+ There is a 60% probability that Benfica will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away games
20 home / away games	+4 Marseille’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	+28 Benfica have scored 28% more goals when away than predicted
	1.8 average goals scored	1.7 average goals scored
	1.3 conceded	1.2 conceded

Statistics Europa League - 2023/2023 Season

MAR

BEF

14%

better

view stats

Games scored	16		17
Failed to score	4		3
Scored first	9		12
Goals scored	34		43
Avg. goals scored	1.7		2.2
Avg. shots per game	11		12
Avg. shots per goal	6		6
Conversion rate	16%		18%
KickOff rating		+14%

MAR

BEF

31%

better

view stats

Games conceded	17		12
Clean sheets	3		8
Conceded first	11		7
Goals conceded	28		19
Avg. goals conceded	1.4		1
Avg. shots/game conceded	8		8
Avg. shots/goal conceded	6		8
Conversion rate	17%		12%
KickOff rating		+31%

The line-ups for the Europa League match between Marseille v Benfica will show here when available.

Marseille Europa League squad statistics 2023

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
10	10	6	3
P López	P Aubameyang	A Harit	L Balerdi

Line-up	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
P López GLK	10			1 -
C Mbemba DEF	10	3		1 -
S Gigot DEF	6			2 -
L Balerdi DEF	9			3 -
A Harit MID	11	1	6	-
A Ounahi MID	9		1	2 -
G Kondogbia MID	10	1		1 -
J Veretout MID	10	3	2	-
E. Soglo MID	4			-
I Ndiaye MID	11	1		-
P Aubameyang FWD	10	10	2	-
Subs
R Blanco GLK	1			-
Y M'Madi DEF				-
M Murillo DEF	5			-
G. Lafont MID				-
R. Daou MID				-
F Moumbagna FWD	4			-
J Correa FWD	5			-
K. Hikram Abdallah FWD				-
L Henrique FWD	4			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
10	15	6	5
P Aubameyang	P Aubameyang	A Harit	A Harit

Line-up	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
P Aubameyang FWD	10	15	2	3
C Mbemba DEF	3	5
J Veretout MID	3	4	2	2
A Harit MID	1	5	6	5
G Kondogbia MID	1	3
I Ndiaye MID	1	4		1
S Gigot DEF		1
A Ounahi MID		5	1	2
Subs
F Moumbagna FWD		1		1
J Correa FWD		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
461	29	55
C Mbemba	G Kondogbia	L Balerdi

Line-up	passes	tackles	duels won
C Mbemba DEF	461	16	30
G Kondogbia MID	447	29	47
A Harit MID	374	10	53
L Balerdi DEF	367	26	55
P López GLK	325		3
J Veretout MID	323	8	21
A Ounahi MID	269	7	33
S Gigot DEF	208	8	32
P Aubameyang FWD	159	2	18
I Ndiaye MID	150	4	31
E. Soglo MID	17	1	2
Subs
J Correa FWD	62	4	13
M Murillo DEF	58	2	11
L Henrique FWD	54	3	6
R Blanco GLK	35
F Moumbagna FWD	26	1	14

Benfica Europa League squad statistics 2023

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
5	4	1	2
A Trubin	Ángel Di María	Ángel Di María	A Bah

Line-up	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
A Trubin GLK	5			-
A Bah DEF	5			2 -
A Silva DEF	5			-
N Otamendi DEF	5			-
F Aursnes DEF	5			-
Florentino MID	3			-
J Neves MID	5			-
Ángel Di María MID	5	4	1	1 -
R Silva MID	5	2		-
D Neres MID	5		1	1 -
C Tengstedt FWD	3		1	1 -
Subs
A Gomes GLK				-
S Soares GLK				-
A Bajrami DEF				-
D. Spencer Marques DEF				-
Álvaro Fernandez DEF	3			-
Morato DEF	1			-
O Kökcü MID	3			1 -
J Mário MID	4			-
B Rollheiser FWD				-
M Leonardo FWD	4			-
T Gouveia FWD	2			-
A Cabral FWD	3			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
4	5	1	3
Ángel Di María	Ángel Di María	Ángel Di María	Ángel Di María

Line-up	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
Ángel Di María MID	4	5	1	3
R Silva MID	2	2
A Bah DEF		1
A Silva DEF		1
F Aursnes DEF		1		1
J Neves MID		2		1
D Neres MID		2	1	2
C Tengstedt FWD		1	1	1
Subs
Álvaro Fernandez DEF		1
A Cabral FWD		2

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
374	18	49
J Neves	J Neves	J Neves

Line-up	passes	tackles	duels won
J Neves MID	374	18	49
A Silva DEF	315	11	21
N Otamendi DEF	287	12	27
Ángel Di María MID	239	11	20
A Bah DEF	224	14	27
F Aursnes DEF	215	17	22
Florentino MID	162	10	14
R Silva MID	161	4	19
A Trubin GLK	124		1
D Neres MID	111	2	15
C Tengstedt FWD	27	2	4
Subs
J Mário MID	124	3	14
O Kökcü MID	98	1	10
Álvaro Fernandez DEF	56	1	3
A Cabral FWD	33	3	8
Morato DEF	22	1	2
M Leonardo FWD	15		2
T Gouveia FWD	10	1	1

European Europa League match betting previews, predictions and odds

Marseille v Benfica : Europa League match betting preview, prediction and odds

The line-ups for the Europa League match between Marseille v Benfica will show here when available.

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