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Roma v Milan : Europa League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Stadio Olimpico, Roma

Stefano Pioli will be hoping for a crucial away win in the Europa League on Thursday night, as he takes his Milan side to the Stadio Olimpico to visit Roma and Daniele De Rossi. The aim of this preview is, quite simply, to help you make the smartest bet possible. To this end, statistics for seventeen major betting market have been published below, with head to head (H2H) records and particularly important form streaks highlighted. Odds from leading bookmakers are also given.

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Roma's next match is v Leverkusen at 20:00 on Thursday 2nd May
Milan's next match is v Genoa at 17:00 on Sunday 5th May
The last European Europa League meeting between Roma and Milan was on Thursday 18th April 2024
European Europa League
April 18th 2024
Roma 2
1 Milan
 
G. Mancini 12'85' M. Gabbia
P. Exequiel Dybala 22'
 
RMA
ACM
Shots On
3
4
Shots Off
3
6
Corners
11
Possession
36%
64%
Fouls
6
21
Yellow/red cards
0/1
6/0
 
RomaMilan
 
M. Svilar
L. Spinazzola
C. Smalling
M. Çelik
G. Mancinifootball icon
L. Pellegrini (J. Esmoris Tasende 82')
E. Bove (R. Luz Sanches 82')
L. Paredes
P. Exequiel Dybalafootball icon (D. Llorente Ríos 43')
R. Lukaku Menama (K. Bakumo-Abraham 29')
S. El Shaarawy
M. Maignan
(T. Reijnders 46') D. Calabria
football iconM. Gabbia
F. Tomori
T. Hernández
(L. Jović 40') I. Bennacer
(S. Chukwueze 46') R. Loftus-Cheek
(A. Florenzi 69') Y. Musah
(N. Okafor 69') C. Pulisic
R. Conceição Leão
O. Giroud
Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

The KickOff predictive algorithm suggests there's a 79% chance of Roma and Milan serving up a minimum of a couple of goals in this Europa League clash. Recent form stats and head-to-head (H2H) records are central to that calculation , and it would appear that the bookmakers like the look of it as a tip too. This over 1.5 goals tip is available with best odds of 1.25.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 43% chance of Milan coming away with a win.
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral Betfred 888Sport
Roma
32%
12/5
26%
12/5
26%
7/4-
Draw
25%
5/2
6%
12/55/2-
Milan
43%
11/10
16%
23/20
17%
6/4-
Draw 1-1
12%
11/211/2
8%
6/1
8%
-
Milan 1-0
9%
13/2
21%
13/2
12%
8/1
6%
-
Milan 2-1
9%
15/2
11%
7/1
11%
8/1-
Roma 1-0
8%
10/117/2
12%
9/1
5%
-
Roma 2-1
8%
11/1
20%
9/1
11%
9/1-
Milan 2-0
7%
10/1
27%
17/2
21%
12/1-
Draw 0-0
6%
10/1
8%
8/1
5%
11/1-
Draw 2-2
6%
12/1
8%
11/1
9%
12/1-
Roma 2-0
5%
16/1
13%
14/1
25%
12/1-
Milan 3-1
5%
16/1
19%
12/1
13%
18/1-
Milan 3-0
4%
20/1
19%
14/1
21%
25/1-
Roma 3-1
3%
25/1
24%
18/1
27%
18/1-
Milan 3-2
3%
22/118/122/1
12%
-
Roma 3-2
2%
33/1
31%
22/1
21%
25/1-
Roma 3-0
2%
33/1
31%
25/1
24%
25/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
53%
10/11
6%
-4/5
2%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
47%
10/11
5%
-10/11
4%
-
Home 1st Goal
46%
13/10
26%
-21/20
3%
-
Away 1st Goal
50%
4/6
17%
-9/10
1%
-
No 1st Goal
4%
10/1
8%
-10/1-
BTTS - Yes
57%
7/10
5%
7/10
3%
4/6-
BTTS - No
43%
21/20
7%
21/20
5%
11/10-
BTTS - Home Win
16%
11/2
30%
19/4
25%
4/1-
BTTS - Draw
19%
7/2
4%
10/3
3%
16/5-
BTTS - Away Win
21%
3/1
11%
29/10
11%
10/3
4%
-
Home/draw
57%
7/10
13%
7/10
15%
8/15-
Away/draw
68%
3/10
10%
3/10
12%
4/9-
Home/away
75%
2/7
3%
3/103/10-
Over 1.5 Goals
77%
3/10
4%
-1/4
3%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
23%
5/2
13%
-11/4
7%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
31%
12/5
13%
-2/1
8%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
69%
1/3
5%
-4/11
2%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
15%
5/1
9%
-9/2
8%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
85%
1/8
2%
-1/8
2%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
7%
12/1
18%
---
Under 5.5 Goals
93%
1/25
1%
---
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1/20
1%
-1/25-
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
10/1
8%
-9/1-
Home DNB
50%
11/8
25%
11/8
25%
10/11-
Away DNB
60%
8/15
15%
8/15
16%
4/5-
Roma win to nil
16%
5/1
20%
-4/1
9%
-
Milan win to nil
22%
11/4
25%
-10/3-
Roma / Roma
17%
9/2
27%
17/4
25%
10/3-
Roma / Milan
4%
22/118/1
10%
25/1
10%
-
Roma / Draw
6%
14/1
15%
11/114/1-
Draw / Roma
12%
13/2
15%
6/1
17%
11/2-
Draw / Milan
15%
4/1
17%
4/1
13%
5/1-
Draw / Draw
15%
9/219/59/2-
Milan / Roma
3%
28/1
12%
22/1
10%
28/1-
Milan / Milan
22%
5/2
13%
23/10
18%
3/1-
Milan / Draw
6%
14/111/112/1-
bet365
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Win / draw / win form
Roma
20 games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
49
Conceded
9
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
7 / 20
Clean sheets
13 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
16
D
3
L
1
see results
HOME FORM
Roma4 - 0Brighton
Roma1 - 1Feyenoord
Roma3 - 0Sheriff
Roma2 - 0Slavia
Roma4 - 0Servette
Roma1 - 0Leverkusen
Roma2 - 1Feyenoord
Roma2 - 0R.Sociedad
Roma2 - 0Salzburg
Roma3 - 1Ludogorets
Roma1 - 2Real Betis
Roma3 - 0HJK Helsinki
Roma1 - 0Feyenoord
Roma1 - 0Leicester
Roma4 - 0Bodø
Roma1 - 1Vitesse
Roma4 - 0Luhansk
Roma2 - 2Bodø
Roma5 - 1CSK Sofia
Roma3 - 0Trabzonspor
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
11
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
11
Draw
5
L
4
see results
OVERALL FORM
ARoma1 - 0Milan
ARoma0 - 1Brighton
HRoma4 - 0Brighton
HRoma1 - 1Feyenoord
ARoma1 - 1Feyenoord
HRoma3 - 0Sheriff
ARoma1 - 1Servette
ARoma0 - 2Slavia
HRoma2 - 0Slavia
HRoma4 - 0Servette
ARoma2 - 1Sheriff
ARoma0 - 0Leverkusen
HRoma1 - 0Leverkusen
HRoma2 - 1Feyenoord
ARoma0 - 1Feyenoord
ARoma0 - 0R.Sociedad
HRoma2 - 0R.Sociedad
HRoma2 - 0Salzburg
ARoma0 - 1Salzburg
HRoma3 - 1Ludogorets
Milan
20 games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
6
Draw
8
Lost
6
see results
AWAY FORM
Slavia1 - 3Milan
Rennes3 - 2Milan
Newcastle1 - 2Milan
PSG3 - 0Milan
Dortmund0 - 0Milan
Inter1 - 0Milan
Napoli1 - 1Milan
Spurs0 - 0Milan
D. Zagreb0 - 4Milan
Chelsea3 - 0Milan
Salzburg1 - 1Milan
A.Madrid0 - 1Milan
Porto1 - 0Milan
Liverpool3 - 2Milan
Man Utd1 - 1Milan
Red Star Bel.2 - 2Milan
Sparta0 - 1Milan
Lille1 - 1Milan
Celtic1 - 3Milan
Rio Ave2 - 2Milan
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
9
D
4
Lost
7
see results
OVERALL FORM
HMilan0 - 1Roma
AMilan3 - 1Slavia
HMilan4 - 2Slavia
AMilan2 - 3Rennes
HMilan3 - 0Rennes
AMilan2 - 1Newcastle
HMilan1 - 3Dortmund
HMilan2 - 1PSG
AMilan0 - 3PSG
AMilan0 - 0Dortmund
HMilan0 - 0Newcastle
AMilan0 - 1Inter
HMilan0 - 2Inter
AMilan1 - 1Napoli
HMilan1 - 0Napoli
AMilan0 - 0Spurs
HMilan1 - 0Spurs
HMilan4 - 0Salzburg
AMilan4 - 0D. Zagreb
HMilan0 - 2Chelsea
Goal Statistics

Milan have been steady in front of goal of late, scoring in 21 consecutive Europa League matches. Their PG of 1.5 against Roma on Thursday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

Roma Milan
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.3
goals
1.5
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
28%
1
36%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 64% probability that Roma will score no more than 1 goal
0
22%
1
33%
2
25%
3
13%
4+
There is a 78% probability that Milan will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away games
20 home / away games
+26
Roma have scored 26% more goals at home than predicted
-3
Milan’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.5
average goals scored
1.3
average goals scored
0.5
conceded
1.3
conceded
 
Statistics Europa League - 2023/2023 Season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/273949/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Roma
PG (predicted goals)
Milan
1.3
1.5
Attack rating
2%
better
RMA
ACM
view stats
Games scored18
18
Failed to score2
2
Scored first12
12
Goals scored38
39
Avg. goals scored1.9
2
Avg. shots per game9
12
Avg. shots per goal5
6
Conversion rate22%
16%
KickOff rating
+2%
Defence rating
16%
better
RMA
ACM
view stats
Games conceded13
14
Clean sheets7
6
Conceded first7
7
Goals conceded21
27
Avg. goals conceded1.1
1.4
Avg. shots/game conceded11
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded11
6
Conversion rate9%
16%
KickOff rating
+16%

The line-ups for the Europa League match between Roma v Milan will show here when available.

Roma Europa League squad statistics 2023
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
11753
M SvilarR Lukaku S ShaarawyE Bove
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Svilar GLK11
1
-
Z Celik DEF102
1
-
C Smalling DEF1
-
G Mancini DEF92
1
-
L Spinazzola DEF71
2
-
L Pellegrini MID721
1
-
L Paredes MID102
2
-
E Bove MID101
3
-
S Shaarawy FWD105
-
P Dybala FWD711
-
R Lukaku  FWD1071
-
Subs
P Boer GLK
-
R Patrício GLK
-
D Llorente DEF101
1
-
A Angeliño DEF1
-
R Karsdorp  DEF7
-
R Sanches  MID4
-
H Aouar MID9
-
T Baldanzi MID4
-
N Zalewski MID82
-
T Abraham FWD1
-
S Azmoun FWD2
-
J. e Costa Cesco FWD2
-
Milan Europa League squad statistics 2023
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
5432
M Maignan R Loftus-CheekT HernándezA Florenzi 
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Maignan  GLK5
1
-
D Calabria DEF3
1
-
M Gabbia DEF5
1
-
F Tomori DEF2
1
-
T Hernández DEF53
-
Y Musah MID3
-
I Bennacer MID4
-
C Pulisic MID521
1
-
R Loftus-Cheek MID54
1
-
R Leão MID533
1
-
O Giroud FWD41
-
Subs
M Sportiello GLK1
-
L Nava GLK
-
A Florenzi  DEF33
2
-
M Thiaw DEF4
-
D. Bartesaghi DEF
-
Y Adli MID4
1
-
T Reijnders MID51
-
F Terracciano MID2
-
K. Zeroli MID
-
S Chukwueze FWD2
-
L Jović  FWD21
-
N Okafor FWD4
-
European Europa League match betting previews, predictions and odds
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Thu 2nd May, 20:00
Roma v Leverkusen
Thu 2nd May, 20:00