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Emelec v Barcelona Guayaquil : Liga Pro match betting preview, prediction and odds

Estadio Banco del Pacífico, Guayaquil

Home advantage makes a difference in the Liga Pro, and Hernán Torres Oliveros’s Emelec will have the blessing of it on Monday morning. Luis Diego López Breijo’s Barcelona Guayaquil are their opponents at the Estadio Banco del Pacífico. All of the key stats for the encounter, including head-to-heads, predictions and the best odds across 17 of the biggest betting markets are included in this preview. It's all brought together specifically to help you make the most well-informed bet possible.

This match has now expired. Kickoff has all of the best football predictions for you to choose from, for all Liga Pro Predictions. Kickoff constantly updates all 17 football betting markets to analyse and predict football scores – whether you choose football accumulator tips, both teams to score (BTTS tips), correct score, or if you are looking for free football tips – then make sure to sign up to Kickoff.co.uk today.

Emelec's next match is v LDU Quito at 00:00 on Sunday 12th May
Barcelona Guayaquil's next match is v Aucas at 00:00 on Monday 13th May

The last Ecuadorian Liga Pro meeting between Emelec and Guayaquil was on Monday 29th April 2024

Ecuadorian Liga Pro

April 29th 2024

Emelec 1	1 Guayaquil

J. Ayoví Corozo 55'	11' J. Alman Herrera


Shots On	2 4
Shots Off	5 3
Corners	8 2
Possession	53% 47%
Fouls	15 18
Yellow/red cards	4/0 3/0

Emelec	Guayaquil

P. Ortíz Angulo G. Cortez Quiñónez L. León Bermeo B. Carabalí Cañola A. Leguizamón Espínola R. Caicedo Ante (A. González Sibulo 46') C. Meli (C. Valencia Sánchez 90') R. Garcés Salazar (J. Ayoví Corozo 46') C. Erbes J. Ruiz Gómez (J. Sánchez Enríquez 76') F. Castelli	J. Burrai L. Sosa (B. Oyola 74') P. Perlaza Caicedo N. Ramírez Aguilera A. Chalá Ayoví (A. Preciado Quintero 74') D. Díaz L. Souza de Almeida (J. Trindade Flores 80') D. Arroyo Espinoza J. Rojas López (G. Cortéz Casierra 88') A. Obando (W. Vargas Leon 74') J. Corozo Alman

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

We think it's unlikely that this match will serve up 4+ goals, and the odds and statistics align with KickOff's predictive algorithm on this one. Emelec and Guayaquil have rarely been involved in a high volume of goals of late, whether that be in Liga Pro individually or in their head-to-head duals. So, without a strong favourite WDW or double chance market, we're going for under 3.5 goals. The UK's top bookies have that available at a best price of 1.25.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Emelec are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 37% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.20.

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Emelec 36%	13/8 16%	-
Draw 27%	21/10	-
Guayaquil 37%	13/8 13%	-
Draw 1-1 13%	5/1	-
Guayaquil 1-0 11%	7/1 16%	-
Emelec 1-0 10%	7/1 7%	-
Draw 0-0 8%	7/1 11%	-
Guayaquil 2-1 8%	10/1 8%	-
Emelec 2-1 8%	10/1 16%	-
Guayaquil 2-0 7%	11/1 20%	-
Emelec 2-0 6%	11/1 9%	-
Draw 2-2 5%	14/1	-
Guayaquil 3-1 3%	22/1 12%	-
Emelec 3-1 3%	22/1 21%	-
Guayaquil 3-0 3%	25/1 24%	-
Emelec 3-0 3%	25/1 24%	-
Guayaquil 3-2 2%	33/1	-
Emelec 3-2 2%	33/1 17%	-
Over 2.5 Goals 45%	23/20 5%	-
Under 2.5 Goals 55%	4/6 5%	-
Home 1st Goal 47%	1/1 16%	-
Away 1st Goal 48%	1/1 13%	-
No 1st Goal 5%	7/1 11%	-
BTTS - Yes 51%	5/6 2%	-
BTTS - No 49%	5/6 4%	-
BTTS - Home Win 16%	5/1 26%	-
BTTS - Draw 19%	7/2 4%	-
BTTS - Away Win 16%	5/1 14%	-
Home/draw 63%	4/9 8%	-
Away/draw 64%	4/9 6%	-
Home/away 73%	4/11 2%	-
Over 1.5 Goals 71%	4/11 2%	-
Under 1.5 Goals 29%	2/1 8%	-
Over 3.5 Goals 24%	11/4 7%	-
Under 3.5 Goals 76%	1/4 3%	-
Over 4.5 Goals 11%	8/1 13%	-
Under 4.5 Goals 89%	1/14 1%	-
Over 5.5 Goals 4%	18/1 12%	-
Under 5.5 Goals 96%	1/40	-
Over 0.5 Goals 92%	1/14	-
Under 0.5 Goals 8%	8/1	-
Home DNB 55%	5/6 13%	-
Away DNB 56%	5/6 17%	-
Emelec win to nil 20%	10/3 15%	-
Guayaquil win to nil 21%	10/3 21%	-
Emelec / Emelec 18%	7/2 13%	-
Emelec / Guayaquil 3%	28/1	-
Emelec / Draw 6%	14/1	-
Draw / Emelec 14%	5/1 9%	-
Draw / Guayaquil 14%	5/1 8%	-
Draw / Draw 18%	15/4 5%	-
Guayaquil / Emelec 3%	28/1 12%	-
Guayaquil / Guayaquil 19%	7/2 10%	-
Guayaquil / Draw 6%	14/1	-

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

12 / 20

Conceded

8 / 20

Clean sheets

12 / 20

Failed to score

8 / 20

Won

Draw

HOME FORM
Emelec	2 - 0	Cumbaya
Emelec	0 - 0	I. Valle
Emelec	2 - 0	Delfin
Emelec	0 - 0	Mushuc
Emelec	2 - 1	Cuenca
Emelec	0 - 0	Guayaquil
Emelec	2 - 1	Catolica
Emelec	3 - 0	Cumbaya
Emelec	3 - 1	Mushuc
Emelec	0 - 0	Aucas
Emelec	0 - 1	Delfin
Emelec	0 - 0	Orense
Emelec	0 - 0	Gualaceo
Emelec	0 - 0	G. City
Emelec	1 - 1	LDU Quito
Emelec	2 - 3	I. Valle
Emelec	1 - 2	El Nacional
Emelec	1 - 0	Tecnico
Emelec	2 - 0	Libertad
Emelec	3 - 1	Tecnico

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

10 / 20

Clean sheets

10 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Draw

OVERALL FORM
A	Emelec	1 - 3	Aucas
H	Emelec	2 - 0	Cumbaya
A	Emelec	1 - 1	Tecnico
H	Emelec	0 - 0	I. Valle
A	Emelec	1 - 1	Orense
H	Emelec	2 - 0	Delfin
A	Emelec	1 - 0	El Nacional
H	Emelec	0 - 0	Mushuc
A	Emelec	2 - 1	Cuenca
H	Emelec	2 - 1	Cuenca
A	Emelec	2 - 0	Gualaceo
H	Emelec	0 - 0	Guayaquil
A	Emelec	0 - 0	G. City
H	Emelec	2 - 1	Catolica
A	Emelec	0 - 1	LDU Quito
H	Emelec	3 - 0	Cumbaya
A	Emelec	1 - 2	I. Valle
H	Emelec	3 - 1	Mushuc
A	Emelec	1 - 1	El Nacional
H	Emelec	0 - 0	Aucas

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

18 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

2 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM
Libertad	0 - 3	Guayaquil
Macara	1 - 1	Guayaquil
I. Valle	3 - 1	Guayaquil
Catolica	0 - 1	Guayaquil
Emelec	0 - 0	Guayaquil
Orense	2 - 3	Guayaquil
Aucas	3 - 2	Guayaquil
Cuenca	1 - 2	Guayaquil
Cumbaya	2 - 2	Guayaquil
Mushuc	2 - 2	Guayaquil
Delfin	1 - 1	Guayaquil
G. City	1 - 2	Guayaquil
El Nacional	4 - 1	Guayaquil
Libertad	2 - 2	Guayaquil
Tecnico	2 - 2	Guayaquil
LDU Quito	0 - 1	Guayaquil
I. Valle	1 - 0	Guayaquil
Gualaceo	2 - 1	Guayaquil
Cumbaya	1 - 1	Guayaquil
Cuenca	2 - 1	Guayaquil

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

18 / 20

Conceded

10 / 20

Clean sheets

10 / 20

Failed to score

2 / 20

Won

Draw

OVERALL FORM
H	Guayaquil	1 - 0	El Nacional
A	Guayaquil	3 - 0	Libertad
H	Guayaquil	4 - 0	Cuenca
A	Guayaquil	1 - 1	Macara
H	Guayaquil	0 - 0	Orense
A	Guayaquil	1 - 3	I. Valle
H	Guayaquil	2 - 0	Imbabura
A	Guayaquil	1 - 0	Catolica
H	Guayaquil	2 - 1	G. City
A	Guayaquil	0 - 0	Emelec
H	Guayaquil	3 - 2	El Nacional
A	Guayaquil	3 - 2	Orense
H	Guayaquil	1 - 0	Libertad
A	Guayaquil	2 - 3	Aucas
H	Guayaquil	1 - 0	Tecnico
A	Guayaquil	2 - 1	Cuenca
H	Guayaquil	1 - 0	LDU Quito
A	Guayaquil	2 - 2	Cumbaya
A	Guayaquil	2 - 2	Mushuc
H	Guayaquil	1 - 1	I. Valle

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Emelec

Guayaquil

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

5 / 7

Clean sheets

2 / 7

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Emelec
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
	1 - 3	Guayaquil
Emelec	2 - 1
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
	0 - 1	Guayaquil
Emelec	2 - 0
Draw	2 - 2	Draw

Emelec

Guayaquil

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

11 / 14

Clean sheets

3 / 14

FIXTURE HISTORY
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
	1 - 3	Emelec
	1 - 3	Guayaquil
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Emelec	2 - 1
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Guayaquil	2 - 1
	0 - 3	Emelec
	0 - 1	Guayaquil
Guayaquil	1 - 0
Emelec	2 - 0
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
Guayaquil	3 - 1

Goal Statistics

Barcelona Guayaquil's defensive record is very strong, L. López Breijo's men having conceded 1 or less in 5 consecutive Liga Pro games. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.2 for Emelec makes sense in this context.

	Emelec 5th	Guayaquil 4th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.2 goals	1.3 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 29% 1 36% 2 22% 3 9% 4+ There is a 65% probability that Emelec will score no more than 1 goal	0 28% 1 36% 2 23% 3 9% 4+ There is a 64% probability that Guayaquil will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-30 Emelec have scored 30% fewer goals at home than predicted	+12 Guayaquil have scored 12% more goals when away than predicted
	1.2 average goals scored	1.5 average goals scored
	0.6 conceded	1.5 conceded

Statistics Liga Pro - 2024/2024 Season

22%

better

view stats

Games scored	9		9
Failed to score	2		1
Scored first	6		7
Goals scored	13		17
Avg. goals scored	1.2		1.7
Avg. shots per game	0		0
Avg. shots per goal	0		0
Conversion rate	0%		0%
KickOff rating		+22%

27%

better

view stats

Games conceded	6		4
Clean sheets	5		6
Conceded first	3		2
Goals conceded	8		6
Avg. goals conceded	0.7		0.6
Avg. shots/game conceded	0		0
Avg. shots/goal conceded	0		0
Conversion rate	0%		0%
KickOff rating		+27%

Emelec v Guayaquil Liga Pro lLine ups will show here when available.

Emelec Liga Pro squad statistics 2024

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
11	4	1	5
F León	J Ayoví	R Caicedo	F Castelli

Line-up	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
P Ortíz GLK	10			1 -
R Caicedo DEF	10	1	1	4 -
F León DEF	11	3	1	4 -
A Leguizamón DEF	10			2 -
G Cortez DEF	11			3 -
C Erbes MID	11			1 -
M Meli MID	11	1		3 -
R Garcés MID	4			1 -
B Carabalí MID	4	1		-
J Gómez MID	10		1	1 -
F Castelli FWD	10	3	1	5 -
Subs
G Napa GLK	2			1 -
A González DEF	6		1	1 -
J Quiñónez DEF	1			1
A Ricaurte MID	3			-
J Sánchez MID	9		1	2 -
J Rodríguez MID				-
T Chamba MID	6		1	-
C Valencia MID	7			1 -
R. Borja Robalino MID	1			-
W Corozo FWD	9		1	2 -
J Ayoví FWD	11	4		3 -
M Solís FWD	9			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
4	6	1	2
J Ayoví	F Castelli	R Caicedo	J Gómez

Line-up	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
F Castelli FWD	3	6	1
F León DEF	3	4	1
R Caicedo DEF	1	3	1	1
M Meli MID	1	2
B Carabalí MID	1	2		1
A Leguizamón DEF		1		1
G Cortez DEF		1
R Garcés MID		1
J Gómez MID		2	1	2
Subs
J Ayoví FWD	4	6
A González DEF			1	1
A Ricaurte MID				1
J Sánchez MID		2	1	1
T Chamba MID		1	1	2
C Valencia MID		1
W Corozo FWD		2	1	1
M Solís FWD		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
505	16	54
C Erbes	G Cortez	M Meli

Line-up	passes	tackles	duels won
C Erbes MID	505	15	47
F León DEF	469	7	40
A Leguizamón DEF	432	8	34
M Meli MID	407	16	54
G Cortez DEF	402	16	43
R Caicedo DEF	288	4	32
J Gómez MID	237	4	23
P Ortíz GLK	214	1	6
F Castelli FWD	142	4	53
B Carabalí MID	72	4	11
R Garcés MID	43	2	5
Subs
J Sánchez MID	138	6	20
M Solís FWD	135	2	11
W Corozo FWD	113	1	12
A González DEF	99	3	14
T Chamba MID	99	4	8
A Ricaurte MID	83	3	9
J Ayoví FWD	82	1	19
C Valencia MID	47	4	5
J Quiñónez DEF	24	1	3
G Napa GLK	23		1
R. Borja Robalino MID	7

Guayaquil Liga Pro squad statistics 2024

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
9	3	2	4
J Burrai	G Cortez	D Díaz	A Preciado

Line-up	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
J Burrai GLK	9			2 -
P Perlaza DEF	2			-
L Sosa DEF	9			1 -
A Chalá DEF	7	1	1	1 -
N Ramírez DEF	5			1 -
Leonai MID	8			2
D Díaz MID	10		2	3 -
A Obando MID	7	1	2	-
J Rojas MID	7	1		2 -
J Corozo MID	10	2		-
D Arroyo MID	10			1 -
Subs
V Mendoza GLK	1			-
M Pineida DEF	2			-
C Rodríguez DEF	4			-
W Vargas DEF	6		1	1 -
M Suárez DEF	5			1 -
J Trindade MID	7		1	2 1
A Preciado MID	9		1	4 -
G Cortez MID	5	3		2 -
A Rangel MID	4			-
F Gaibor MID	7		2	1 -
B Oyola MID	6	1	1	2 -
D Reasco FWD	5	1		-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
3	9	2	5
G Cortez	J Corozo	D Díaz	D Díaz

Line-up	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
J Corozo MID	2	9
A Chalá DEF	1	1	1	1
A Obando MID	1	3	2
J Rojas MID	1	4		1
L Sosa DEF		1
Leonai MID				1
D Díaz MID		5	2	5
Subs
G Cortez MID	3	3
B Oyola MID	1	3	1
D Reasco FWD	1	2
W Vargas DEF		1	1	1
J Trindade MID			1	1
A Preciado MID		1	1	1
A Rangel MID		1
F Gaibor MID		3	2	2

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
427	16	41
L Sosa	Leonai	A Preciado

Line-up	passes	tackles	duels won
L Sosa DEF	427	5	24
D Arroyo MID	304	16	32
D Díaz MID	283	9	30
J Burrai GLK	280		5
A Chalá DEF	209	5	20
N Ramírez DEF	209	12	33
J Rojas MID	202	14	34
Leonai MID	154	16	32
J Corozo MID	91	7	33
A Obando MID	66	1	25
P Perlaza DEF	39	4	8
Subs
F Gaibor MID	274	10	20
J Trindade MID	242	12	17
A Rangel MID	142	11	16
W Vargas DEF	134	5	20
M Suárez DEF	118	6	26
A Preciado MID	114	9	41
B Oyola MID	89	2	19
C Rodríguez DEF	88	7	16
G Cortez MID	47	2	11
M Pineida DEF	39	1	3
V Mendoza GLK	32
D Reasco FWD	22		5