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Emelec v Independiente del Valle : Liga Pro match betting preview, prediction and odds

Estadio Banco del Pacífico, Guayaquil

the Estadio Banco del Pacífico crowd welcome Independiente del Valle's fans on Monday morning, as Hernán Torres Oliveros's Emelec take on Javier Marcelo Gandolfi's side in the Liga Pro. Quite simply, we want you to win betting on this game. To this end, stats for every betting market have been laid out below, with head to head (H2H) history and statistically significant form streaks highlighted. Odds from leading bookmakers are provided too.

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Emelec's next match is v Guayaquil at 00:00 on Monday 29th April
The last Ecuadorian Liga Pro meeting between Emelec and I. Valle was on Monday 1st April 2024
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
April 1st 2024
Emelec 0
0 I. Valle
 
Shots On
2
4
Shots Off
6
9
Corners
1
2
Possession
38%
62%
Fouls
16
17
Yellow/red cards
3/0
2/0
 
EmelecI. Valle
 
P. Ortíz Angulo
L. León Bermeo
A. Leguizamón Espínola
R. Caicedo Ante (A. González Sibulo 83')
G. Cortez Quiñónez
C. Meli
C. Erbes
J. Sánchez Enríquez (R. Rivero Fernández 46')
F. Castelli (J. Ayoví Corozo 83')
J. Ruiz Gómez (M. Solís Arroyo 70')
W. Corozo Becerra (T. Chamba 70')
W. Ramírez Preciado
M. Carabajal
B. Caicedo Lastra
R. Schunke
(M. Fernández Cordero 75') A. Landázuri Estacio
(R. Ibarra Mina 64') J. Sornoza Moreira
(K. Arroyo Alvarado 67') P. Mercado Altamirano
R. Páez Andrade
C. Zabala
J. Ortiz Landázuri
(R. López Patrón 46') M. Hoyos
Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

Under 3.5 goals simply means that there will be 3 goals or less scored by Emelec and I. Valle combined during 90 mins. Up to date form stats and historical head-to-head (H2H) records have led us to this prediction, and our predictive algorithm suggests there's a 74% chance of it coming in. The best price currently available on under 3.5 goals is 1.32.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Emelec are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 39% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.38.
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral Betfred 888Sport
Emelec
39%
31/20
7%
-7/5
8%
29/20
5%
Draw
26%
11/5-11/5
3%
41/20
3%
I. Valle
35%
13/8
9%
-13/8
5%
19/10
9%
Draw 1-1
13%
5/1-11/2
8%
5/1
2%
Emelec 1-0
10%
15/2
6%
-7/115/2
6%
I. Valle 1-0
9%
15/2
11%
-15/2
6%
17/2
12%
Emelec 2-1
8%
9/1
5%
-8/1
5%
8/1
5%
I. Valle 2-1
8%
9/1
9%
-17/29/1
Draw 0-0
8%
17/2-9/1
5%
17/2
6%
Emelec 2-0
7%
12/1
8%
-11/1
8%
11/1
I. Valle 2-0
6%
12/1
13%
-12/113/1
12%
Draw 2-2
5%
14/1
15%
-12/111/1
8%
Emelec 3-1
4%
20/1-18/1
10%
17/1
10%
I. Valle 3-1
3%
20/1
9%
-20/120/1
5%
Emelec 3-0
3%
25/1
13%
-25/1
10%
22/1
8%
I. Valle 3-0
2%
25/1
10%
-28/1
12%
29/1
20%
Emelec 3-2
2%
28/1-25/1
10%
24/1
14%
I. Valle 3-2
2%
28/1
15%
-28/125/1
10%
Over 2.5 Goals
48%
1/1-10/11
5%
10/11
5%
Under 2.5 Goals
52%
4/5-4/5
4%
10/13
5%
Home 1st Goal
48%
5/6
2%
-10/11
5%
-
Away 1st Goal
47%
11/10
5%
-21/20
3%
-
No 1st Goal
5%
17/2-9/1
5%
-
BTTS - Yes
53%
4/5-8/114/6
6%
BTTS - No
47%
10/11-Evs11/10
8%
BTTS - Home Win
18%
9/2
10%
-18/5
8%
-
BTTS - Draw
19%
10/3-16/53/1
7%
BTTS - Away Win
16%
9/2
8%
-4/1-
Home/draw
65%
4/9
3%
-4/9
4%
4/11
4%
Away/draw
61%
1/2
2%
-1/2
4%
12/25
3%
Home/away
74%
4/11-1/31/3
3%
Over 1.5 Goals
73%
3/10-1/37/25
2%
Under 1.5 Goals
27%
12/5-9/447/20
8%
Over 3.5 Goals
26%
5/2-5/2
7%
23/10
7%
Under 3.5 Goals
74%
2/7-2/7
3%
2/7
3%
Over 4.5 Goals
12%
6/1-11/2
7%
27/5
9%
Under 4.5 Goals
88%
1/10-1/10
2%
1/14
2%
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
14/1---
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
1/33---
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
1/16-1/201/40
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
17/2-8/18/1
6%
Home DNB
57%
5/6
10%
-4/5
6%
7/10
6%
Away DNB
53%
5/6
13%
-10/11
6%
Evens
6%
Emelec win to nil
21%
10/3
8%
-16/5
7%
-
I. Valle win to nil
19%
7/2
10%
-18/5
6%
-
Emelec / Emelec
20%
10/3
8%
-3/1
8%
16/5
2%
Emelec / I. Valle
3%
28/1-28/128/1
Emelec / Draw
6%
14/1
15%
-12/123/2
4%
Draw / Emelec
14%
5/1
9%
-5/1
8%
5/1
4%
Draw / I. Valle
12%
5/1
8%
-6/1
8%
23/4
5%
Draw / Draw
17%
4/1-4/118/5
2%
I. Valle / Emelec
3%
28/1
12%
-28/125/1
10%
I. Valle / I. Valle
18%
7/2
5%
-7/2
7%
19/5
9%
I. Valle / Draw
6%
14/1-12/123/2
4%
bet365
Win / draw / win form
Emelec 5TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
12
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
9 / 20
Clean sheets
11 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
9
Draw
8
L
3
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
10
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
9 / 20
Clean sheets
11 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
Won
8
Draw
9
L
3
I. Valle 2ND
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
8
Draw
6
Lost
6
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
8
Draw
7
Lost
5
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
I. Valle have beaten Emelec in 3 consecutive league meetings
7
I. Valle have not lost to Emelec in 7 consecutive away league meetings
League games at Emelec since 2018
Emelec
I. Valle
Goals: Scored
10
13
Games: Scored
6 / 8
6 / 8
Clean sheets
2 / 8
2 / 8
1
D
4
3
All league games since 2018
Emelec
I. Valle
Goals: Scored
18
28
Games: Scored
12 / 16
12 / 16
Clean sheets
4 / 16
4 / 16
3
D
4
9
Goal Statistics

Independiente del Valle's defensive record is to be admired, J. Gandolfi's men having conceded 1 or less in 7 consecutive Liga Pro outings. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.3 for Emelec makes sense in this context.

Emelec 5th I. Valle 2nd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.3
goals
1.3
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
26%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 61% probability that Emelec will score no more than 1 goal
0
28%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 64% probability that I. Valle will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-26
Emelec have scored 26% fewer goals at home than predicted
-8
I. Valle’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.3
average goals scored
1.2
average goals scored
0.6
conceded
1.1
conceded
 
Statistics Liga Pro - 2024/2024 Season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/271883/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Emelec
PG (predicted goals)
I. Valle
1.3
1.3
Attack rating
35%
better
view stats
Games scored8
9
Failed to score2
1
Scored first5
9
Goals scored11
17
Avg. goals scored1.1
1.7
Avg. shots per game0
0
Avg. shots per goal0
0
Conversion rate0%
0%
KickOff rating
+35%
Defence rating
29%
better
view stats
Games conceded5
5
Clean sheets5
5
Conceded first3
0
Goals conceded7
6
Avg. goals conceded0.7
0.6
Avg. shots/game conceded0
0
Avg. shots/goal conceded0
0
Conversion rate0%
0%
KickOff rating
+29%

Emelec v I. Valle Liga Pro lLine ups will show here when available.

Emelec Liga Pro squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
8315
R CaicedoF CastelliR CaicedoF Castelli
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
P Ortíz GLK7
1
-
R Caicedo DEF811
2
-
F León DEF821
3
-
A Leguizamón DEF7
2
-
G Cortez DEF8
2
-
C Erbes MID8
-
J Sánchez MID71
2
-
W Corozo MID81
1
-
M Meli MID81
1
-
J Gómez MID71
1
-
F Castelli FWD731
5
-
Subs
G Napa GLK1
1
-
A González DEF3
1
-
B Carabalí DEF11
-
J Quiñónez DEF1
1
A Ricaurte MID3
-
R Garcés MID1
-
T Chamba MID51
-
C Valencia MID5
1
-
R. Borja Robalino MID1
-
R Rivero FWD7
1
-
J Ayoví FWD81
2
-
M Solís FWD8
-
I. Valle Liga Pro squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
7433
B CaicedoM HoyosB CaicedoM Carabajal
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Ramírez GLK4
-
A Landázuri DEF72
2
-
M Carabajal DEF6
3
-
R Schunke DEF7
1
-
B Caicedo DEF73
3
-
P Altamirano MID5
1
-
R Andrade MID62
1
-
J Ortiz MID6
1
-
C Zabala MID7
3
-
J Sornoza MID73
-
M Hoyos FWD74
-
Subs
G Villar GLK4
-
E. Ruiz Congo DEF2
2
-
L Zárate DEF51
1
-
J Pombo DEF1
1
-
M Fernández DEF61
1
-
J Valverde MID1
1
-
R Ibarra  MID3
-
K. Arroyo Alvarado MID611
1
-
Y Medina MID71
-
M. Ayoví Ayoví MID
-
R López FWD81
2
-