Independiente del Valle's team badge Mushuc Runa's team badge

Independiente del Valle v Mushuc Runa : Liga Pro match betting preview, prediction and odds

Fri 23rd May, 22:30 BST, Estadio General Rumiñahui del Va, Sangolquí

Javier Sanguinetti and Ever Hugo Almeida meet in the Liga Pro on Friday night, as Independiente del Valle face Mushuc Runa at the Estadio General Rumiñahui del Va. We want you to make a smart bet on this match, so we've searched our 20+ year database and dug out the statistics that matter the most. Head-to-head and recent form are included, and it all goes into our algorithmic predictions. Odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers are there to ensure you get the best price.


Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

We don't believe there is a clear favourite to to get the win in this one, but does appear clear is that the odds are pointing towards it'll have 3 goals or less. Our statistical analysis says the same. I. Valle and Mushuc have delivered a host of under 3.5 goal games recently, and key performance statistics point towards more of the same. We're confidently predicting under 3.5 goals on Friday night, and the bookmakers have it priced at 1.44.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think I. Valle are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 59% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.55.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
I. Valle
59%
11/20-
Draw
23%
29/10-
Mushuc
17%
19/4-
I. Valle 1-0
14%
7/1-
I. Valle 2-0
12%
7/1-
Draw 1-1
11%
13/2-
I. Valle 2-1
10%
15/2-
Draw 0-0
8%
11/1-
I. Valle 3-0
7%
10/1-
Mushuc 1-0
6%
16/1-
I. Valle 3-1
6%
11/1-
Mushuc 2-1
5%
18/1-
Draw 2-2
4%
14/1-
I. Valle 4-0
3%
20/1-
Mushuc 2-0
3%
28/1-
I. Valle 4-1
2%
22/1-
I. Valle 3-2
2%
22/1-
Mushuc 3-1
1%
40/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
47%
7/10-
Under 2.5 Goals
53%
11/10-
Home 1st Goal
57%
4/11-
Away 1st Goal
38%
9/4-
No 1st Goal
5%
11/1-
BTTS - Yes
46%
4/5-
BTTS - No
54%
10/11-
BTTS - Home Win
23%
9/4-
BTTS - Draw
16%
4/1-
BTTS - Away Win
8%
9/1-
Home/draw
83%
1/7-
Away/draw
41%
11/8-
Home/away
77%
1/4-
Over 1.5 Goals
72%
1/5-
Under 1.5 Goals
28%
10/3-
Over 3.5 Goals
25%
13/8-
Under 3.5 Goals
75%
4/9-
Over 4.5 Goals
12%
4/1-
Under 4.5 Goals
88%
1/6-
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
10/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
1/20-
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
1/25-
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
11/1-
Home DNB
76%
1/5-
Away DNB
34%
10/3-
I. Valle win to nil
36%
13/8-
Mushuc win to nil
10%
10/1-
I. Valle / I. Valle
36%
11/8-
I. Valle / Mushuc
2%
40/1-
I. Valle / Draw
6%
14/1-
Draw / I. Valle
19%
7/2-
Draw / Mushuc
7%
11/1-
Draw / Draw
13%
11/2-
Mushuc / I. Valle
4%
20/1-
Mushuc / Mushuc
9%
17/2-
Mushuc / Draw
5%
16/1-
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win form
3
Mushuc have lost 3 consecutive away league games
10
Mushuc have not won in 10 consecutive away league games
I. Valle 2ND
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
41
Conceded
14
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
13
Draw
5
L
2
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
I. Valle1 - 2Emelec
I. Valle2 - 0Manta
I. Valle4 - 0Cuenca
I. Valle1 - 1Macara
I. Valle1 - 1Catolica
I. Valle1 - 1LDU Quito
I. Valle1 - 0LDU Quito
I. Valle7 - 0Macara
I. Valle2 - 0El Nacional
I. Valle3 - 1Imbabura
I. Valle5 - 2Catolica
I. Valle2 - 1Emelec
I. Valle1 - 0Tecnico
I. Valle1 - 2Delfin
I. Valle1 - 0Orense
I. Valle1 - 1LDU Quito
I. Valle1 - 0Cuenca
I. Valle2 - 1Mushuc
I. Valle3 - 0Libertad
I. Valle1 - 1Aucas
Goals: Scored
39
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
12
D
4
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AI. Valle3 - 1Cuniburo
AI. Valle2 - 1Tecnico
HI. Valle1 - 2Emelec
AI. Valle2 - 1Orense
HI. Valle2 - 0Manta
AI. Valle3 - 1El Nacional
HI. Valle4 - 0Cuenca
AI. Valle2 - 1Aucas
HI. Valle1 - 1Macara
AI. Valle4 - 0Guayaquil
HI. Valle1 - 1Catolica
HI. Valle1 - 1LDU Quito
AI. Valle0 - 2Libertad
HI. Valle1 - 0LDU Quito
AI. Valle0 - 3LDU Quito
AI. Valle0 - 0Orense
HI. Valle7 - 0Macara
AI. Valle1 - 2LDU Quito
HI. Valle2 - 0El Nacional
AI. Valle2 - 0Cuenca
Mushuc 10TH
20 league games
Away
3
Overall
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
40
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
19 / 20
Clean sheets
1 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
W
2
Draw
8
Lost
10
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Manta2 - 1Mushuc
Aucas2 - 0Mushuc
Libertad2 - 1Mushuc
Tecnico1 - 1Mushuc
Catolica1 - 1Mushuc
Guayaquil1 - 0Mushuc
Guayaquil2 - 2Mushuc
Delfin4 - 2Mushuc
LDU Quito1 - 1Mushuc
Tecnico2 - 2Mushuc
Aucas1 - 2Mushuc
Catolica5 - 1Mushuc
Imbabura2 - 3Mushuc
Libertad2 - 2Mushuc
El Nacional1 - 0Mushuc
Macara0 - 0Mushuc
Cuenca5 - 0Mushuc
I. Valle2 - 1Mushuc
Orense2 - 2Mushuc
Cumbaya2 - 1Mushuc
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
33
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
5
Draw
8
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HMushuc2 - 5Orense
AMushuc1 - 2Manta
HMushuc4 - 3Macara
AMushuc0 - 2Aucas
AMushuc1 - 2Libertad
HMushuc1 - 0LDU Quito
AMushuc1 - 1Tecnico
HMushuc1 - 1Emelec
HMushuc1 - 2Cuniburo
AMushuc1 - 1Catolica
HMushuc3 - 1Cuenca
AMushuc0 - 1Guayaquil
HMushuc2 - 0Delfin
AMushuc2 - 2Guayaquil
HMushuc2 - 2El Nacional
AMushuc2 - 4Delfin
HMushuc2 - 1Macara
AMushuc1 - 1LDU Quito
HMushuc1 - 1Cuenca
HMushuc1 - 1I. Valle
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at I. Valle since 2019
I. Valle
Mushuc
Goals: Scored
11
7
Games: Scored
5 / 6
5 / 6
Clean sheets
1 / 6
1 / 6
4
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT I. Valle
I. Valle2 - 1
I. Valle3 - 1
0 - 1Mushuc
I. Valle2 - 0
I. Valle2 - 1
2 - 3Mushuc
League games at Mushuc since 2019
Mushuc
I. Valle
Goals: Scored
5
8
Games: Scored
3 / 6
5 / 6
Clean sheets
1 / 6
3 / 6
3
D
1
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Mushuc
Draw1 - 1Draw
Mushuc1 - 0
0 - 1I. Valle
0 - 2I. Valle
Mushuc3 - 2
0 - 2I. Valle
Goal Statistics

Independiente del Valle have been steady in front of goal of late, scoring in 11 consecutive Liga Pro games. Their PG of 1.7 against Mushuc Runa on Friday suggests that run is likely to continue.

I. Valle 2nd Mushuc 10th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.7
goals
0.8
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
18%
1
31%
2
27%
3
15%
4+
10%
There is a 82% probability that I. Valle will score 1 or more goals
0
44%
1
36%
2
15%
3
4+
There is a 80% probability of Mushuc scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+5
I. Valle’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+6
Mushuc’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.1
average goals scored
1.2
average goals scored
0.7
conceded
2.0
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga Pro - 2025/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/293056/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
I. Valle
PG (predicted goals)
Mushuc
1.7
0.8
Attack rating
26%
better
view stats
Games scored10
9
Failed to score1
2
Scored first6
5
Goals scored21
15
Avg. goals scored1.6
1.2
Avg. shots per game8
11
Avg. shots per goal5
10
Conversion rate for20
10
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
+26%
Defence rating
18%
better
view stats
Games conceded8
9
Clean sheets3
2
Conceded first5
6
Goals conceded10
14
Avg. goals conceded0.8
1.1
Avg. shots/game conceded6
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
8
Conversion rate against12%
12%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
+18%

I. Valle v Mushuc Liga Pro lLine ups will show here when available.

I. Valle Liga Pro squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
11763
M FernándezM HoyosP AltamiranoC Zabala
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
P Altamirano MID1326
-
C Spinelli FWD134
1
-
C Zabala MID11
3
-
M Fernández MID111
3
-
J Méndez MID11
1
-
M Hoyos FWD1171
1
-
L Zárate DEF1031
1
-
M Carabajal DEF10
3
-
L Loor DEF104
-
J Medina FWD103
2
-
G Villar GLK8
1
-
G Cortez DEF81
1
-
J Macías MID81
-
J Cazares MID812
1
-
R Schunke DEF7
1
-
J Sornoza MID72
1
-
R Ibarra FWD7
1
-
A Rodríguez FWD73
1
-
E Rodriguez FWD622
-
M Ramírez GLK5
-
Óscar Quiñónez DEF5
-
R Ibarra  FWD51
-
J Arroyo MID411
-
B García MID2
1
-
A Velasco DEF1
-
Mushuc Liga Pro squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
11345
B BentaberryC PenillaE. Caicedo LópezB Bentaberry
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L Arce MID1311
1
-
M Alonso FWD1311
-
C Penilla FWD1231
1
-
R Sinisterra FWD121
1
-
D Quintero DEF111
2
-
G Mina DEF11
3
-
B Bentaberry DEF11
5
-
E. Caicedo López FWD1134
-
B Villagomez FWD1131
1
-
R Formento GLK102
2
-
Ángel Gracia DEF913
2
-
K Peralta DEF9
2
-
S Tapiero MID91
4
-
L Lopez DEF81
-
N Davila MID7
1
-
C Orejuela FWD72
1
1
A Zambrano MID6
-
B Delgado FWD6
-
J Parrales DEF5
2
-
J. Quiñones Mesías DEF4
-
R Cristobal MID4
-
B Angulo FWD41
1
-
A Pabón GLK3
-
S Palma DEF1
-
P Perlaza DEF1
-